Benjamin Sleeter
My research activities focus on characterizing changes in land use and disturbance – past, present and future - and how they impact ecosystem carbon dynamics.
I lead two large projects which have shared goals of further developing USGS capabilities in land change science and ecosystem carbon cycling. I lead the development of the LUCAS modeling framework (Land Use and Carbon Scenario Simulator).
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 18
National land use projections
A major scientific challenge in global change research is connecting coarse-scale global assessments, particularly those involving the projection of land use, to scales relevant and useful for analysis and management. We have downscaled land use projections from two global scenario frameworks, the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES), and the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)...
Land Use and Climate Change Team
We are a research team focusing on understanding the rates, causes, and consequences of land change across a range of geographic and temporal scales. Our emphasis is on developing alternative future projections and quantifying the impact on environmental systems, in particular, the role of land-use change on ecosystem carbon dynamics. We are interested in how land-use and climate systems will...
Land Cover Trends
Land Cover Trends was a research project focused on understanding the rates, trends, causes, and consequences of contemporary U.S. land use and land cover change. The project spanned from 1999 to 2011. The research was supported by the Climate and Land Use Change Research and Development Program of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and was a collaborative effort with the U.S. Environmental...
A web-based application for the management and visualization of land-use scenario data
Land-use researchers need the ability to rapidly compare multiple land-use scenarios over a range of spatial and temporal scales, and to visualize spatial and nonspatial data; however, land-use datasets are often distributed in the form of large tabular files and spatial files. These formats are not ideal for the way land-use researchers interact with and share these datasets. The size...
Integration of Land Cover Trends Field Photography with an Online Map Service
The USGS National Land Cover Trends Project has the largest repository of field photos at the USGS (over 33,000 photos). Prior to CDI funding, Land Cover Trends had limited funding to make the national collection of photos available online for researchers, land managers, and citizens. The goal of this CDI project was to add geotags and keywords to the digital copies of each field photo...
Assessing the Vulnerability of Dryland Ecosystems to Drought in the Western U.S.
In the western U.S., rising temperatures and pronounced drought conditions pose significant challenges to public land managers. Widespread declines of multiple plant species have already been observed, providing insight into what the future could look like for vegetation in the region as conditions are projected to become warmer and drier. To understand how vulnerable western ecosystems...
Filter Total Items: 13
Land-use and Land-cover Projections for California's 4th Climate Assessment Land-use and Land-cover Projections for California's 4th Climate Assessment
This dataset consists of modeled projections of land use and land cover for the State of California for the period 1970-2100. For the 1970-2001 period, we used the USGS's LUCAS model to "backcast" LULC, beginning with the 2001 initial conditions and ending with 1970. For future projections, the model was initialized in 2001 and run forward on an annual time step to 2100. In total 5...
Filter Total Items: 54
Integrating continuous stocks and flows into state-and-transition simulation models of landscape change Integrating continuous stocks and flows into state-and-transition simulation models of landscape change
State-and-transition simulation models (STSMs) provide a general framework for forecasting landscape dynamics, including projections of both vegetation and land-use/land-cover (LULC) change. The STSM method divides a landscape into spatially-referenced cells and then simulates the state of each cell forward in time, as a discrete-time stochastic process using a Monte Carlo approach, in...
Authors
Colin Daniel, Benjamin Sleeter, Leonardo Frid, Marie-Josée Fortin
Future scenarios of land change based on empirical data and demographic trends Future scenarios of land change based on empirical data and demographic trends
Changes in land use and land cover (LULC) have important and fundamental interactions with the global climate system. Top-down global scale projections of land use change have been an important component of climate change research; however, their utility at local to regional scales is often limited. The goal of this study was to develop an approach for projecting changes in LULC based on...
Authors
Benjamin Sleeter, Tamara Wilson, Ethan Sharygin, Jason Sherba
Mediterranean California’s water use future under multiple scenarios of developed and agricultural land use change Mediterranean California’s water use future under multiple scenarios of developed and agricultural land use change
With growing demand and highly variable inter-annual water supplies, California’s water use future is fraught with uncertainty. Climate change projections, anticipated population growth, and continued agricultural intensification, will likely stress existing water supplies in coming decades. Using a state-and-transition simulation modeling approach, we examine a broad suite of spatially...
Authors
Tamara Wilson, Benjamin Sleeter, D. Cameron
Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios
We examine the impacts of climate on net returns from crop and livestock production and the resulting impact on land-use change across the contiguous USA. We first estimate an econometric model to project effects of weather fluctuations on crop and livestock net returns and then use a semi-reduced form land-use share model to study agricultural land-use changes under future climate and...
Authors
Jianhong Mu, Benjamin Sleeter, John Abatzoglou, John Antle
Projecting community changes in hazard exposure to support long-term risk reduction: A case study of tsunami hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest Projecting community changes in hazard exposure to support long-term risk reduction: A case study of tsunami hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Tsunamis have the potential to cause considerable damage to communities along the U.S. Pacific Northwest coastline. As coastal communities expand over time, the potential societal impact of tsunami inundation changes. To understand how community exposure to tsunami hazards may change in coming decades, we projected future development (i.e. urban, residential, and rural), households, and...
Authors
Benjamin Sleeter, Nathan Wood, Christopher Soulard, Tamara Wilson
Community for Data Integration 2016 annual report Community for Data Integration 2016 annual report
The Community for Data Integration (CDI) represents a dynamic community of practice focused on advancing science data and information management and integration capabilities across the U.S. Geological Survey and the CDI community. This annual report describes the various presentations, activities, and outcomes of the CDI monthly forums, working groups, virtual training series, and other...
Authors
Madison Langseth, Leslie Hsu, Jon Amberg, Norman Bliss, Andrew Bock, Rachel T. Bolus, R. Sky Bristol, Katherine Chase, Theresa Crimmins, Paul Earle, Richard Erickson, A. Everette, Jeff Falgout, John Faundeen, Michael N. Fienen, Rusty Griffin, Michelle R. Guy, Kevin D. Henry, Nancy Hoebelheinrich, Randall J. Hunt, Vivian B. Hutchison, Drew Ignizio, Dana Infante, Catherine Jarnevich, Jeanne Jones, Tim Kern, Scott Leibowitz, Francis Lightsom, R. Marsh, S. Grace McCalla, Marcia McNiff, Jeffrey Morisette, John Nelson, Tamar Norkin, Todd Preston, Alyssa Rosemartin, Roy Sando, Jason Sherba, Richard Signell, Benjamin Sleeter, Eric Sundquist, Colin B. Talbert, Roland J. Viger, Jake F. Weltzin, Sharon Waltman, Marc Weber, Daniel Wieferich, Brad Williams, Lisamarie Windham-Myers
A carbon balance model for the great dismal swamp ecosystem A carbon balance model for the great dismal swamp ecosystem
Background Carbon storage potential has become an important consideration for land management and planning in the United States. The ability to assess ecosystem carbon balance can help land managers understand the benefits and tradeoffs between different management strategies. This paper demonstrates an application of the Land Use and Carbon Scenario Simulator (LUCAS) model developed for...
Authors
Rachel Sleeter, Benjamin Sleeter, Brianna Williams, Dianna Hogan, Todd Hawbaker, Zhiliang Zhu
Human footprint affects US carbon balance more than climate change Human footprint affects US carbon balance more than climate change
The MC2 model projects an overall increase in carbon capture in conterminous United States during the 21st century while also simulating a rise in fire causing much carbon loss. Carbon sequestration in soils is critical to prevent carbon losses from future disturbances, and we show that natural ecosystems store more carbon belowground than managed systems do. Natural and human-caused...
Authors
Dominique Bachelet, Ken Ferschweiler, Tim Sheehan, Barry Baker, Benjamin Sleeter, Zhiliang Zhu
Divergent projections of future land use in the United States arising from different models and scenarios Divergent projections of future land use in the United States arising from different models and scenarios
A variety of land-use and land-cover (LULC) models operating at scales from local to global have been developed in recent years, including a number of models that provide spatially explicit, multi-class LULC projections for the conterminous United States. This diversity of modeling approaches raises the question: how consistent are their projections of future land use? We compared...
Authors
Terry Sohl, Michael Wimberly, Volker Radeloff, David Theobald, Benjamin Sleeter
Estimating carbon sequestration in the piedmont ecoregion of the United States from 1971 to 2010 Estimating carbon sequestration in the piedmont ecoregion of the United States from 1971 to 2010
Background: Human activities have diverse and profound impacts on ecosystem carbon cycles. The Piedmont ecoregion in the eastern United States has undergone significant land use and land cover change in the past few decades. The purpose of this study was to use newly available land use and land cover change data to quantify carbon changes within the ecoregion. Land use and land cover...
Authors
Jinxun Liu, Benjamin Sleeter, Zhiliang Zhu, Linda S. Heath, Zhengxi Tan, Tamara Wilson, Jason Sherba, Decheng Zhou
State-and-transition simulation models: a framework for forecasting landscape change State-and-transition simulation models: a framework for forecasting landscape change
SummaryA wide range of spatially explicit simulation models have been developed to forecast landscape dynamics, including models for projecting changes in both vegetation and land use. While these models have generally been developed as separate applications, each with a separate purpose and audience, they share many common features.We present a general framework, called a state-and...
Authors
Colin Daniel, Leonardo Frid, Benjamin Sleeter, Marie-Josee Fortin
Future land-use related water demand in California Future land-use related water demand in California
Water shortages in California are a growing concern amidst ongoing drought, earlier spring snowmelt, projected future climate warming, and currently mandated water use restrictions. Increases in population and land use in coming decades will place additional pressure on already limited available water supplies. We used a state-and-transition simulation model to project future changes in...
Authors
Tamara Wilson, Benjamin Sleeter, D. Cameron
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 18
National land use projections
A major scientific challenge in global change research is connecting coarse-scale global assessments, particularly those involving the projection of land use, to scales relevant and useful for analysis and management. We have downscaled land use projections from two global scenario frameworks, the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES), and the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)...
Land Use and Climate Change Team
We are a research team focusing on understanding the rates, causes, and consequences of land change across a range of geographic and temporal scales. Our emphasis is on developing alternative future projections and quantifying the impact on environmental systems, in particular, the role of land-use change on ecosystem carbon dynamics. We are interested in how land-use and climate systems will...
Land Cover Trends
Land Cover Trends was a research project focused on understanding the rates, trends, causes, and consequences of contemporary U.S. land use and land cover change. The project spanned from 1999 to 2011. The research was supported by the Climate and Land Use Change Research and Development Program of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and was a collaborative effort with the U.S. Environmental...
A web-based application for the management and visualization of land-use scenario data
Land-use researchers need the ability to rapidly compare multiple land-use scenarios over a range of spatial and temporal scales, and to visualize spatial and nonspatial data; however, land-use datasets are often distributed in the form of large tabular files and spatial files. These formats are not ideal for the way land-use researchers interact with and share these datasets. The size...
Integration of Land Cover Trends Field Photography with an Online Map Service
The USGS National Land Cover Trends Project has the largest repository of field photos at the USGS (over 33,000 photos). Prior to CDI funding, Land Cover Trends had limited funding to make the national collection of photos available online for researchers, land managers, and citizens. The goal of this CDI project was to add geotags and keywords to the digital copies of each field photo...
Assessing the Vulnerability of Dryland Ecosystems to Drought in the Western U.S.
In the western U.S., rising temperatures and pronounced drought conditions pose significant challenges to public land managers. Widespread declines of multiple plant species have already been observed, providing insight into what the future could look like for vegetation in the region as conditions are projected to become warmer and drier. To understand how vulnerable western ecosystems...
Filter Total Items: 13
Land-use and Land-cover Projections for California's 4th Climate Assessment Land-use and Land-cover Projections for California's 4th Climate Assessment
This dataset consists of modeled projections of land use and land cover for the State of California for the period 1970-2100. For the 1970-2001 period, we used the USGS's LUCAS model to "backcast" LULC, beginning with the 2001 initial conditions and ending with 1970. For future projections, the model was initialized in 2001 and run forward on an annual time step to 2100. In total 5...
Filter Total Items: 54
Integrating continuous stocks and flows into state-and-transition simulation models of landscape change Integrating continuous stocks and flows into state-and-transition simulation models of landscape change
State-and-transition simulation models (STSMs) provide a general framework for forecasting landscape dynamics, including projections of both vegetation and land-use/land-cover (LULC) change. The STSM method divides a landscape into spatially-referenced cells and then simulates the state of each cell forward in time, as a discrete-time stochastic process using a Monte Carlo approach, in...
Authors
Colin Daniel, Benjamin Sleeter, Leonardo Frid, Marie-Josée Fortin
Future scenarios of land change based on empirical data and demographic trends Future scenarios of land change based on empirical data and demographic trends
Changes in land use and land cover (LULC) have important and fundamental interactions with the global climate system. Top-down global scale projections of land use change have been an important component of climate change research; however, their utility at local to regional scales is often limited. The goal of this study was to develop an approach for projecting changes in LULC based on...
Authors
Benjamin Sleeter, Tamara Wilson, Ethan Sharygin, Jason Sherba
Mediterranean California’s water use future under multiple scenarios of developed and agricultural land use change Mediterranean California’s water use future under multiple scenarios of developed and agricultural land use change
With growing demand and highly variable inter-annual water supplies, California’s water use future is fraught with uncertainty. Climate change projections, anticipated population growth, and continued agricultural intensification, will likely stress existing water supplies in coming decades. Using a state-and-transition simulation modeling approach, we examine a broad suite of spatially...
Authors
Tamara Wilson, Benjamin Sleeter, D. Cameron
Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios
We examine the impacts of climate on net returns from crop and livestock production and the resulting impact on land-use change across the contiguous USA. We first estimate an econometric model to project effects of weather fluctuations on crop and livestock net returns and then use a semi-reduced form land-use share model to study agricultural land-use changes under future climate and...
Authors
Jianhong Mu, Benjamin Sleeter, John Abatzoglou, John Antle
Projecting community changes in hazard exposure to support long-term risk reduction: A case study of tsunami hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest Projecting community changes in hazard exposure to support long-term risk reduction: A case study of tsunami hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Tsunamis have the potential to cause considerable damage to communities along the U.S. Pacific Northwest coastline. As coastal communities expand over time, the potential societal impact of tsunami inundation changes. To understand how community exposure to tsunami hazards may change in coming decades, we projected future development (i.e. urban, residential, and rural), households, and...
Authors
Benjamin Sleeter, Nathan Wood, Christopher Soulard, Tamara Wilson
Community for Data Integration 2016 annual report Community for Data Integration 2016 annual report
The Community for Data Integration (CDI) represents a dynamic community of practice focused on advancing science data and information management and integration capabilities across the U.S. Geological Survey and the CDI community. This annual report describes the various presentations, activities, and outcomes of the CDI monthly forums, working groups, virtual training series, and other...
Authors
Madison Langseth, Leslie Hsu, Jon Amberg, Norman Bliss, Andrew Bock, Rachel T. Bolus, R. Sky Bristol, Katherine Chase, Theresa Crimmins, Paul Earle, Richard Erickson, A. Everette, Jeff Falgout, John Faundeen, Michael N. Fienen, Rusty Griffin, Michelle R. Guy, Kevin D. Henry, Nancy Hoebelheinrich, Randall J. Hunt, Vivian B. Hutchison, Drew Ignizio, Dana Infante, Catherine Jarnevich, Jeanne Jones, Tim Kern, Scott Leibowitz, Francis Lightsom, R. Marsh, S. Grace McCalla, Marcia McNiff, Jeffrey Morisette, John Nelson, Tamar Norkin, Todd Preston, Alyssa Rosemartin, Roy Sando, Jason Sherba, Richard Signell, Benjamin Sleeter, Eric Sundquist, Colin B. Talbert, Roland J. Viger, Jake F. Weltzin, Sharon Waltman, Marc Weber, Daniel Wieferich, Brad Williams, Lisamarie Windham-Myers
A carbon balance model for the great dismal swamp ecosystem A carbon balance model for the great dismal swamp ecosystem
Background Carbon storage potential has become an important consideration for land management and planning in the United States. The ability to assess ecosystem carbon balance can help land managers understand the benefits and tradeoffs between different management strategies. This paper demonstrates an application of the Land Use and Carbon Scenario Simulator (LUCAS) model developed for...
Authors
Rachel Sleeter, Benjamin Sleeter, Brianna Williams, Dianna Hogan, Todd Hawbaker, Zhiliang Zhu
Human footprint affects US carbon balance more than climate change Human footprint affects US carbon balance more than climate change
The MC2 model projects an overall increase in carbon capture in conterminous United States during the 21st century while also simulating a rise in fire causing much carbon loss. Carbon sequestration in soils is critical to prevent carbon losses from future disturbances, and we show that natural ecosystems store more carbon belowground than managed systems do. Natural and human-caused...
Authors
Dominique Bachelet, Ken Ferschweiler, Tim Sheehan, Barry Baker, Benjamin Sleeter, Zhiliang Zhu
Divergent projections of future land use in the United States arising from different models and scenarios Divergent projections of future land use in the United States arising from different models and scenarios
A variety of land-use and land-cover (LULC) models operating at scales from local to global have been developed in recent years, including a number of models that provide spatially explicit, multi-class LULC projections for the conterminous United States. This diversity of modeling approaches raises the question: how consistent are their projections of future land use? We compared...
Authors
Terry Sohl, Michael Wimberly, Volker Radeloff, David Theobald, Benjamin Sleeter
Estimating carbon sequestration in the piedmont ecoregion of the United States from 1971 to 2010 Estimating carbon sequestration in the piedmont ecoregion of the United States from 1971 to 2010
Background: Human activities have diverse and profound impacts on ecosystem carbon cycles. The Piedmont ecoregion in the eastern United States has undergone significant land use and land cover change in the past few decades. The purpose of this study was to use newly available land use and land cover change data to quantify carbon changes within the ecoregion. Land use and land cover...
Authors
Jinxun Liu, Benjamin Sleeter, Zhiliang Zhu, Linda S. Heath, Zhengxi Tan, Tamara Wilson, Jason Sherba, Decheng Zhou
State-and-transition simulation models: a framework for forecasting landscape change State-and-transition simulation models: a framework for forecasting landscape change
SummaryA wide range of spatially explicit simulation models have been developed to forecast landscape dynamics, including models for projecting changes in both vegetation and land use. While these models have generally been developed as separate applications, each with a separate purpose and audience, they share many common features.We present a general framework, called a state-and...
Authors
Colin Daniel, Leonardo Frid, Benjamin Sleeter, Marie-Josee Fortin
Future land-use related water demand in California Future land-use related water demand in California
Water shortages in California are a growing concern amidst ongoing drought, earlier spring snowmelt, projected future climate warming, and currently mandated water use restrictions. Increases in population and land use in coming decades will place additional pressure on already limited available water supplies. We used a state-and-transition simulation model to project future changes in...
Authors
Tamara Wilson, Benjamin Sleeter, D. Cameron