Publications
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The impact of the May 1921 superstorm on American telecommunication systems The impact of the May 1921 superstorm on American telecommunication systems
A compilation is presented of impacts (interference and damage) realized on long-line telegraph and telephone systems across North America during the 13-16 May 1921 magnetic storm. Impacts occurred primarily during local nighttime, after the third of four sudden commencements, and during the storm’s most-prominent main phase. Impacts are attributed to rapid and high-amplitude geomagnetic...
Authors
Jeffrey J. Love, Greg M. Lucas, Anna Kelbert, Neesha R. Schnepf, Paul A. Bedrosian, Sara K. McBride
Long-term dynamics of earthquake swarms in the Yellowstone caldera Long-term dynamics of earthquake swarms in the Yellowstone caldera
The factors controlling the spatial distribution and temporal evolution of earthquake swarms in volcanic systems remain unclear. We leverage leading-edge deep learning algorithms and a detailed three-dimensional velocity model to construct a 15-year high-resolution earthquake catalog of the Yellowstone caldera region. More than half of the region’s earthquakes are clustered into swarm...
Authors
Manuel Florez, Bing Q. Li, David R. Shelly, Mia Angulo, Jose Sanabria-Gomez
Surface rupture from an aftershock: Remote observations from the January 2024 Wushi (Aykol), China, earthquakes Surface rupture from an aftershock: Remote observations from the January 2024 Wushi (Aykol), China, earthquakes
On 22 January 2024, a moment magnitude (Mw) 7.0 earthquake occurred in the southern Tian Shan region of western China, followed by an Mw 5.7 aftershock on 29 January. The Mw 7.0 mainshock occurred on a northwest‐dipping fault plane, at a hypocentral depth of 13 km. Both Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and optical satellite imagery observations indicate a lack of...
Authors
Jessica A. Thompson Jobe, Catherine Elise Hanagan, Alexandra Elise Hatem, William D. Barnhart, Dara Elyse Goldberg, William L. Yeck
Estimating earthquake source depth using teleseismic broadband waveform modeling at the USGS National Earthquake Information Center Estimating earthquake source depth using teleseismic broadband waveform modeling at the USGS National Earthquake Information Center
The U.S. Geologic Survey National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) monitors global seismicity, producing a catalog of earthquake source parameters in near-real-time to provide information that can help mitigate the societal impact of earthquakes. The NEIC commonly relies on teleseismic observations to constrain earthquake source parameters (e.g., location, depth, magnitude, and...
Authors
William L. Yeck, Robert B. Herrmann, John Patton, William D. Barnhart, Harley M. Benz
2024 Surprise Inlet landslides: Insights from a prototype landslide‐triggered tsunami monitoring system in Prince William Sound, Alaska 2024 Surprise Inlet landslides: Insights from a prototype landslide‐triggered tsunami monitoring system in Prince William Sound, Alaska
Alaska's coastal communities face growing landslide hazards owing to glacier retreat and extreme weather intensified by the warming climate, yet hazard monitoring remains challenging. As part of ongoing experimental monitoring in Prince William Sound, we detected three large landslides (0.5–2.3 M m3) at Surprise Inlet on 20 September 2024, within the span of an hour. These events were...
Authors
Ezgi Karasozen, Michael E. West, Katherine R. Barnhart, John J. Lyons, Terry Nichols, Lauren N. Schaefer, Bohyun Bahng, Summer Ohlendorf, Dennis M. Staley, Gabriel J. Wolken
Quantitative evaluations of earthquake early warning performance using “Did You Feel It?” and post-alert surveys Quantitative evaluations of earthquake early warning performance using “Did You Feel It?” and post-alert surveys
We examine responses to the U.S. Geological Survey’s “Did You Feel It?” (DYFI) survey and its companion earthquake early warning (EEW) questionnaire to assess the performance of the U.S. ShakeAlert EEW system directly from the alert recipients’ perspectives. ShakeAlert rapidly detects earthquakes and develops alert information, but as official alert delivery partners issue these alerts...
Authors
Jessie K. Saunders, David J. Wald
A method to obtain remotely sensed grain size distributions from nonplanar granular deposits A method to obtain remotely sensed grain size distributions from nonplanar granular deposits
Constraining the grain size distribution of granular deposits with complex surfaces is difficult with existing approaches. Field and laboratory techniques are time consuming and limited by the maximum grain size that laboratories can accommodate. In this study, we present a new method to identify the coarse fraction of the grain size distribution at a debris-flow fan deposit surveyed...
Authors
Hayden L. Jacobson, Gabriel Walton, Katherine R. Barnhart, Francis K. Rengers
A northeast-dipping zone of low frequency earthquakes at the southern edge of Cascadia subduction A northeast-dipping zone of low frequency earthquakes at the southern edge of Cascadia subduction
Tectonic tremor monitoring occasionally detects events in an anomalous zone in southern Cascadia, 50–100 km west of the main tremor band, near the expected southern edge of the subducting Gorda slab at the Mendocino triple junction. To investigate the geometry and temporal behavior of this tremor, we examine its constituent low-frequency earthquakes (LFEs) by developing 27 stacked LFE...
Authors
David R. Shelly, Dara Elyse Goldberg, Aaron Wech, Amanda M. Thomas
Timescales of surface faulting preservation in low-strain intraplate regions from landscape evolution modeling and the geomorphic and historical record Timescales of surface faulting preservation in low-strain intraplate regions from landscape evolution modeling and the geomorphic and historical record
Large surface-rupturing intraplate earthquakes in stable continental regions (SCRs) are uncommon globally and have recurrence intervals of thousands to hundreds of thousands of years based on the paleoseismic and geomorphic record, challenging accurate active fault identification in these regions. To constrain the timescales of preservation for scarps created by surface ruptures from dip...
Authors
Jessica A. Thompson Jobe, Nadine G. Reitman
Risk implications of Poisson assumptions and declustering inferred from a fully time-dependent earthquake forecast Risk implications of Poisson assumptions and declustering inferred from a fully time-dependent earthquake forecast
We use the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence model, which is fully time-dependent in terms of including spatiotemporal clustering, to evaluate the effects of the Poisson assumption and declustering algorithms on statewide loss exceedance curves. The model is simulation based, meaning it produces synthetic catalogs that exhibit...
Authors
Edward H. Field, Kevin Ross Milner, Keith A. Porter
Engineering and risk research—A strategic vision for extending USGS earthquake science to risk assessment and mitigation Engineering and risk research—A strategic vision for extending USGS earthquake science to risk assessment and mitigation
As a part of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Natural Hazards Mission Area, the Engineering and Risk Project (ERP) of the Geologic Hazards Science Center conducts civil engineering research to extend natural hazards science to risk assessments. The ERP includes predominantly, but not exclusively, staff funded by the USGS Earthquake Hazards Program. A major focus of the ERP is to deliver
Authors
Kishor S. Jaiswal, Sanaz Rezaeian, Nico Luco, N. Simon Kwong, Andrew James Makdisi, H. Benjamin Mason, Robert E. Chase, Zachary Alan Kortum
Fault displacement model for surface principal rupture of strike-slip faults Fault displacement model for surface principal rupture of strike-slip faults
The probability distribution model for principal displacement accommodated on the surface main trace is a critical input to the fault displacement hazard analysis. This article presents a new model for strike-slip ruptures in the moment magnitude ( M) range of 6 to 8.3. The new model is the outcome of a multi-year research effort to update the widely used model developed by Petersen and...
Authors
Brian Chiou, Rui Chen, Kate Thomas, Christopher Milliner, Timothy Dawson, Mark D. Petersen