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Publications

Below are publications associated with the Southwest Biological Science Center's research.

Trying to access a publication? Or looking for a GCMRC/GCES historical report? Reach out to Meredith Hartwell: mhartwell@usgs.gov with your request.

Filter Total Items: 1518

A greener future for the Galapagos: Forecasting ecosystem productivity by finding climate analogs in time A greener future for the Galapagos: Forecasting ecosystem productivity by finding climate analogs in time

Forecasting ecosystem response to climate change is critical for guiding policymaking but challenging due to: complicated relationships between microclimates and regional climates; species’ responses that are driven by extremes rather than averages; the multifaceted nature of species’ interactions; and the lack of historical analogs to future climates. Given these challenges, even model...
Authors
Noah D. Charney, Guillaume Bastille-Rousseau, Charles B. Yackulic, Stephen Blake, James P. Gibbs

A common garden super-experiment: An impossible dream to inspire possible synthesis A common garden super-experiment: An impossible dream to inspire possible synthesis

Global change threatens plant diversity and disrupts its interrelationship with ecosystem structure and function. This disruption in turn undermines confidence in the knowledge ecologists produce, and whether it will translate into multidisciplinary research settings or guide the effective management of natural lands.To address this challenge, ecology needs to consider the interactions...
Authors
Travis E. Huxman, Daniel E. Winkler, Kailen A. Mooney

Grasslands maintain stability in productivity through compensatory effects and dominant species stability under extreme precipitation patterns Grasslands maintain stability in productivity through compensatory effects and dominant species stability under extreme precipitation patterns

Extreme climatic events are likely to intensify under climate change and can have different effects on ecosystems depending on their timing and magnitude. Understanding how productivity responds to extreme precipitation patterns requires assessing stability and vulnerability during critical growing periods at the plant community level. In this study, we experimentally imposed two...
Authors
Wenlan Gao, Linfeng Li, Seth M. Munson, Xiaoyong Cui, Yanfen Wang, Yanbin Hao

Earthcasting: Geomorphic forecasts for society Earthcasting: Geomorphic forecasts for society

Over the last several decades, the study of Earth surface processes has progressed from a descriptive science to an increasingly quantitative one due to advances in theoretical, experimental, and computational geosciences. The importance of geomorphic forecasts has never been greater, as technological development and global climate change threaten to reshape the landscapes that support...
Authors
Behrooz Ferdowsi, John D. Gartner, Kerri N. Johnson, Alan Kasprak, Kimberly L. Miller, William Nardin, Alejandra C. Ortiz, Alejandro Tejedor

Vertical movement of soluble carbon and nutrients from biocrusts to subsurface mineral soils Vertical movement of soluble carbon and nutrients from biocrusts to subsurface mineral soils

Dryland ecosystems can be constrained by low soil fertility. Within drylands, the soil nutrient and organic carbon (C) cycling that does occur is often mediated by soil surface communities known as biological soil crusts (biocrusts), which cycle C and nutrients in the top ca. 0–2 cm of soil. However, the degree to which biocrusts are influencing soil fertility and biogeochemical cycling...
Authors
Kristina E. Young, Scott Ferrenberg, Robin H. Reibold, Sasha C. Reed, Tami Swenson, Trent Northen, Anthony Darrouzet-Nardi

Making research relevant: Sharing climate change research with rangeland advisors to transform results into drought resilience Making research relevant: Sharing climate change research with rangeland advisors to transform results into drought resilience

On the Ground • Public programs, strategies, and incentives to implement rangeland climate adaptation are more effective if they are tailored to local drought exposures, sensitivities, and adaptation opportunities. As such, local rangeland advisers who aid in climate adaptation are pivotal to the development of these resources. • We hosted a virtual workshop with rangeland advisors to...
Authors
Maude Dinan, Peter B. Adler, John B. Bradford, Mark Brunson, Emile Elias, Andrew J Felton, Christina Greene, Jeremy J. James, Katharine Suding, Eric Thacker

Sampling design workflows and tools to support adaptive monitoring and management Sampling design workflows and tools to support adaptive monitoring and management

On the Ground • Adaptive land management requires monitoring of resource conditions, which requires choices about where and when to monitor a landscape. • Designing a sampling design for a monitoring program can be broken down in to eight steps: identifying questions, defining objectives, selecting reporting units, deciding data collection methods, defining the sample frame, selecting an...
Authors
Nelson G. Stauffer, Michael C. Duniway, Jason W. Karl, Travis W. Nauman

Staggered-entry analysis of breeding phenology and occupancy dynamics of Arizona toads from historically occupied habitats of New Mexico, USA Staggered-entry analysis of breeding phenology and occupancy dynamics of Arizona toads from historically occupied habitats of New Mexico, USA

For species with variable phenology, it is often challenging to produce reliable estimates of population dynamics or changes in occupancy. The Arizona Toad (Anaxyrus microscaphus) is a southwestern USA endemic that has been petitioned for legal protection, but status assessments are limited by a lack of information on population trends. Also, timing and consistency of Arizona Toad...
Authors
MJ Forzley, Mason J. Ryan, IM Latella, JT Giermakowski, Erin L. Muths, Brent H. Sigafus, Blake R. Hossack

Economic assessment of surface water in the Harney Basin, Oregon Economic assessment of surface water in the Harney Basin, Oregon

Executive Summary The Harney Basin is a closed river basin in southeastern Oregon. Surface water in the basin is used for a variety of social, economic, and ecological benefits. While some surface water uses compete with one another, others are complementary or jointly produce multiple beneficial outcomes. The objective of this study is to conduct an economic assessment of surface water...
Authors
Lucas S. Bair, Matthew Flyr, Christopher Huber

Drought resistance and resilience: The role of soil moisture–plant interactions and legacies in a dryland ecosystem Drought resistance and resilience: The role of soil moisture–plant interactions and legacies in a dryland ecosystem

In many regions of the world, climate change is projected to reduce water availability through changes in the hydrological cycle, including more frequent and intense droughts, as well as seasonal shifts in precipitation. In water-limited ecosystems, such as drylands, lower soil water availability may exceed the adaptive capacity of many organisms, leading to cascading ecological effects...
Authors
Dave Hoover, Alix A. Pfennigwerth, Michael C. Duniway

Integrating airborne and mobile lidar data with UAV photogrammetry for rapid assessment of changing forest snow depth and cover Integrating airborne and mobile lidar data with UAV photogrammetry for rapid assessment of changing forest snow depth and cover

Forest structure and topography can influence the ecohydrologic function and resiliency to drought and changing climate. It is, therefore, important to understand how forest restoration treatments alter snowpack distribution and design the treatments accordingly. We use a combination of aerial lidar, multi-temporal terrestrial mobile lidar, and UAV photogrammetry to estimate rapidly...
Authors
Jonathon Donager, Temuulen Sankey, Andrew Sanchez-Meador, Joel B. Sankey, Abraham E. Springer
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