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Northwest CASC-supported researchers developed a new framework to assess how a wide variety of species may adapt to climate change.

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Featured Publication

National CASC Scientists co-authored an article in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment documenting species range shifts under climate change.

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Since its inception in 2008, CASC-funded research projects have generated over 2,000 publications in academic journals across the sciences, including articles in high-impact journals such as Science and Nature. Browse a selection of publications from CASC-funded projects below. For a complete list of our scientific projects, publications, and data, explore our Project Explorer database.

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CASC Network Annual Reports

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The CASC network develops an annual report each year to highlight successful and interesting activities from across the network over the past year. Explore past network reports.

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Regional CASC Annual Reports

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On an annual basis, each regional CASC produces a report documenting the activities of the host university and consortium institutions. Explore past reports from each CASC.

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Filter Total Items: 508

Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change

Impacts of global climate change on terrestrial ecosystems are imperfectly constrained by ecosystem models and direct observations. Pervasive ecosystem transformations occurred in response to warming and associated climatic changes during the last glacial-to-interglacial transition, which was comparable in magnitude to warming projected for the next century under high-emission scenarios. We review
Authors
Connor Nolan, Jonathan T. Overpeck, Judy R. M. Allen, Patricia M. Anderson, Julio L. Betancourt, Heather A. Binney, Simon Brewer, Mark B. Bush, Brian M. Chase, Rachid Cheddadi, Morteza Djamali, John Dodson, Mary E. Edwards, William D. Gosling, Simon Haberle, Sara C. Hotchkiss, Brian Huntley, Sarah J. Ivory, A. Peter Kershaw, Soo-Hyun Kim, Claudio Latorre, Michelle Leydet, Anne-Marie Lézine, Kam-Biu Liu, Yao Liu, A. V. Lozhkin, Matt S. McGlone, Robert A. Marchant, Arata Momohara, Patricio I. Moreno, Stefanie Müller, Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, Caiming Shen, Janelle Stevenson, Hikaru Takahara, Pavel E. Tarasov, John Tipton, Annie Vincens, Chengyu Weng, Qinghai Xu, Zhuo Zheng, Stephen T. Jackson
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

Climate change and future wildfire in the western USA: An ecological approach to nonstationarity

We developed ecologically based climate‐fire projections for the western United States. Using a finer ecological classification and fire‐relevant climate predictors, we created statistical models linking climate and wildfire area burned for ecosections, which are geographic delineations based on biophysical variables. The results indicate a gradient from purely fuel‐limited (antecedent positive wa
Authors
Jeremy S. Littell, Donald McKenzie, Ho Yi Wan, Samuel A. Cushman
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers, Wildland Fire Science

Final report for climate effects on the culture and ecology of sugar maple

Maple syrup is produced from the sap of sugar maple trees collected in the late winter and early spring. Native American tribes have collected and boiled down sap for centuries, and the tapping of maple trees is a cultural touchstone for many people in the northeast and Midwest. Because the tapping season is dependent on weather conditions, there is concern about the sustainability of maple sugari
Authors
Toni Lyn Morelli, Kristina A. Stinson
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

Moving from eco-forecasts to eco-projections

Ecological models can provide estimates of future conditions that are useful for decision-making, including long-term planning and resource prioritization. However, these models often rely on assumptions about ecological relationships and trajectories, forcings (e.g., biophysical conditions), and management approaches that may not be explicitly considered. To make assumptions more transparent, dis
Authors
Brian W. Miller, Jeffrey T. Morisette, Gregor W. Schuurman, Jamie K Reaser
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

Spatial patterns of development drive water use

Water availability is becoming more uncertain as human populations grow, cities expand into rural regions and the climate changes. In this study, we examine the functional relationship between water use and the spatial patterns of developed land across the rapidly growing region of the southeastern United States. We quantified the spatial pattern of developed land within census tract boundaries, i
Authors
G.M. Sanchez, J.W. Smith, Adam J. Terando, G. Sun, R.K. Meentemeyer
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

Looking beyond wildlife: Using remote cameras to evaluate accuracy of gridded snow data

The use of remote cameras is widespread in wildlife ecology, yet few examples exist of their utility for collecting environmental data. We used a novel camera trap method to evaluate the accuracy of gridded snow data in a mountainous region of the northeastern US. We were specifically interested in assessing (1) how snow depth observations from remote cameras compare with gridded climate data, (2)
Authors
Alexej P.K. Sirén, Marcelo Somos-Valenzuela, Catherine Callahan, Jillian R. Kilborn, Timothy Duclos, Cassie Tragert, Toni Lyn Morelli
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

Potential impacts of projected climate change on vegetation-management strategies in Hawai‘i Volcanoes National Park

Climate change is expected to alter the seasonal and annual patterns of rainfall and temperature in the Hawaiian Islands. Land managers and other responsible agencies will need to know how plant-species habitats will change over the next century in order to manage these resources effectively. This issue is a major concern for resource managers at Hawai‘i Volcanoes National Park (HAVO), where curre
Authors
Richard J. Camp, S. Paul Berkowitz, Kevin W. Brink, James D. Jacobi, Rhonda Loh, Jonathan Price, Lucas B. Fortini
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

The role of fish in a globally changing food system

Applied research and adaptive management techniques can assist with the necessary evolution of sustainable food systems to include a stronger emphasis on fish and other aquatic organisms. Fish provide key macro‐ and micronutrients and protein, are low in saturated fat, and have been linked to a wide array of health benefits for the developing fetus, infants, and adults. Diet quality is not only im
Authors
Abigail J. Lynch, J. Randy MacMillan
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

Characterizing local and range wide variation in demography and adaptive capacity of a forest indicator species

The red-backed salamander (Plethodon cinereus) is considered an indicator of forest health. The range of the species covers much of the eastern and central US, and is often locally abundant where it occurs, primarily in deciduous forest. While there are expectations that changes in climate will result in changes in forest ecosystems, the ability of a forest indicator such as the red-backed salaman
Authors
Evan H. Campbell Grant
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers, Eastern Ecological Science Center

Alaska snowpack response to climate change: Statewide snowfall equivalent and snowpack water scenarios

Climatically driven changes in snow characteristics (snowfall, snowpack, and snowmelt) will affect hydrologic and ecological systems in Alaska over the coming century, yet there exist no projections of downscaled future snow pack metrics for the state of Alaska. We updated historical and projected snow day fraction (PSF, the fraction of days with precipitation falling as snow) from McAfee et al. W
Authors
Jeremy Littell, Stephanie A. McAfee, Gregory D. Hayward
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

Ecological and management implications of climate change induced shifts in phenology of coastal fish and wildlife species in the Northeast CASC region

Climate change is causing species to shift their phenology, or the timing of recurring life events such as migration and reproduction, in variable and complex ways. This can potentially result in mismatches or asynchronies in food and habitat resources that negatively impact individual fitness, population dynamics, and ecosystem function. Numerous studies have evaluated phenological shifts in terr
Authors
Michelle D. Staudinger, Adrian Jordaan
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

U.S. Department of the Interior Climate Science Centers and U.S. Geological Survey National Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center—Annual report for 2017

IntroductionThe year 2017 was a year of review and renewal for the Department of the Interior (DOI) Climate Science Centers (CSCs) and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center (NCCWSC). The Southeast, Northwest, Alaska, Southwest, and North Central CSCs’ 5-year summary review reports were released in 2017 and contain the findings of the external review
Authors
Elda Varela Minder
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers
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