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Natural disasters: forecasting economic and life losses Natural disasters: forecasting economic and life losses

Events such as hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, and tornadoes are natural disasters because they negatively impact society, and so they must be measured and understood in human-related terms. At the U.S. Geological Survey, we have developed a new method to examine fatality and dollar-loss data, and to make probabilistic estimates of the frequency and...
Authors
Stuart P. Nishenko, Christopher C. Barton

Some comparisons between recent ground-motion relations Some comparisons between recent ground-motion relations

We provide an overview of new ground-motion relations for eastern North America (ENA) developed over the last five years. The empirical-stochastic relations of Atkinson and Boore (1995) are compared to relations developed by the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI, 1993; also Toro et al., 1994), Frankel et al. (1996), and the consensus ENA ground-motion values as reported by SSHAC...
Authors
Gail M. Atkinson, David M. Boore

Geology of Point Reyes National Seashore and vicinity, California: A digital database Geology of Point Reyes National Seashore and vicinity, California: A digital database

This Open-File report is a digital geologic map database. This pamphlet serves to introduce and describe the digital data. There is no paper map included in the Open-File report. The report does include, however, a PostScript plot file containing an image of the geologic map sheet with explanation, as well as the accompanying text describing the geology of the area. For those interested...
Authors
Jospeh C. Clark, Earl E. Brabb

The Cataclysmic 1991 Eruption of Mount Pinatubo, Philippines The Cataclysmic 1991 Eruption of Mount Pinatubo, Philippines

The second-largest volcanic eruption of this century, and by far the largest eruption to affect a densely populated area, occurred at Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines on June 15, 1991. The eruption produced high-speed avalanches of hot ash and gas, giant mudflows, and a cloud of volcanic ash hundreds of miles across. The impacts of the eruption continue to this day.
Authors
Christopher G. Newhall, James W. Hendley, Peter H. Stauffer

Taking the Earth's pulse Taking the Earth's pulse

During the past 35 years, scientists have developed a vast network of seismometers that record earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, and nuclear explosions throughout the world. Seismographic data support disaster response, scientific research, and global security. With this network, the United States maintains world leadership in monitoring the greatest natural and technological events that...
Authors
Robert L. Woodward, Harly M. Benz, William M. Brown

Hydraulic modeling of unsteady debris-flow surges with solid-fluid interactions Hydraulic modeling of unsteady debris-flow surges with solid-fluid interactions

Interactions of solid and fluid constituents produce the unique style of motion that typifies debris flows. To simulate this motion, a new hydraulic model represents debris flows as deforming masses of granular solids variably liquefied by viscous pore fluid. The momentum equation of the model describes how internal and boundary forces change as coarse-grained surge heads dominated by...
Authors
Richard M. Iverson

Normalizing rainfall/debris-flow thresholds along the U.S. Pacific coast for long-term variations in precipitation climate Normalizing rainfall/debris-flow thresholds along the U.S. Pacific coast for long-term variations in precipitation climate

Broad-scale variations in long-term precipitation climate may influence rainfall/debris-flow threshold values along the U.S. Pacific coast, where both the mean annual precipitation (MAP) and the number of rainfall days (#RDs) are controlled by topography, distance from the coastline, and geographic latitude. Previous authors have proposed that rainfall thresholds are directly...
Authors
Raymond C. Wilson

Debris-flow initiation experiments using diverse hydrologic triggers Debris-flow initiation experiments using diverse hydrologic triggers

Controlled debris-flow initiation experiments focused on three hydrologic conditions that can trigger slope failure: localized ground-water inflow; prolonged moderate-intensity rainfall; and high-intensity rainfall. Detailed monitoring of slope hydrology and deformation provided exceptionally complete data on conditions preceding and accompanying slope failure and debris-flow...
Authors
Mark E. Reid, Richard G. LaHusen, Richard M. Iverson

Executive summary of vision and options for the future of the US National Strong-Motion Program Executive summary of vision and options for the future of the US National Strong-Motion Program

These reports are presented in response to a charge of the Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (EHRP) Program Council of the U.S. Geological Survey to 'define the future of the USGS National Strong-Motion Program (NSMP)' (Appendix A). The council requested that a 'Vision Paper' and an 'Options Document' be prepared. Each of these reports is a separate document. The 'Executive Summary'...
Authors
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