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A spatiotemporal interrogation of hydrologic drought model performance for machine learning model interpretability A spatiotemporal interrogation of hydrologic drought model performance for machine learning model interpretability
The predictive accuracy of regional hydrologic models often varies across both time and space. Interpreting relationships between watershed characteristics, hydrologic regimes, and model performance can reveal potential areas for model improvement. In this study, we use machine learning to assess model performance of a regional hydrologic model to forecast the occurrence of streamflow...
Authors
Ali Dadkhah, Scott Douglas Hamshaw, Ryan van der Heijden, Donna M. Rizzo
Comparative life history of mud turtles (genus: Kinosternon) from the North American deserts Comparative life history of mud turtles (genus: Kinosternon) from the North American deserts
The warm deserts of North America are characterized by diverse environments that include the transition zone between tropical and temperate regions on the continent. This vast region includes the Sonoran and Chihuahuan deserts, which have different precipitation regimes and are composed of different floras and faunas, separated by the Cochise Filter Barrier. Inhabiting these deserts are...
Authors
Rodrigo Macipríos, Jeffrey E. Lovich
Insight 4. Climate change and biodiversity loss amplify each other Insight 4. Climate change and biodiversity loss amplify each other
Key messages: • Climate change is impacting biodiversity from local to global scales, and growing evidence suggests that further loss of biodiversity can contribute to climate change, creating a destabilizing feedback. • Loss of plant diversity due to climate and land-use change can weaken ecosystem functioning, leading to a decrease in biomass accumulation and reduced carbon storage. •...
Authors
Luiz A. Domeignoz-Horta, Guilherme G. Mazzochini, Akira S. Mori, Estelle Razanatsoa, Sarah R. Weiskopf, Adrian Heilemann
Earthquake stress-drop values delineate spatial variations in maximum shear stress in the Japanese forearc lithosphere Earthquake stress-drop values delineate spatial variations in maximum shear stress in the Japanese forearc lithosphere
Earthquake stress drop (Δσ) may increase with depth and stress in the brittle lithosphere. However, the range of uncertainty in Δσ and the lack of constraints on absolute stress make it difficult to establish whether they are correlated. Here, we investigate Δσ dependence on depth and maximum shear stress (τmax) based on ~11 years of seismicity in the northeastern Japanese forearc...
Authors
Gian Maria Bocchini, Armin Dielforder, Kilian B. Kemna, Rebecca M. Harrington, Elizabeth S. Cochran
Aftershocks in stress shadows are inconsistent with modeled static Coulomb stress changes Aftershocks in stress shadows are inconsistent with modeled static Coulomb stress changes
Aftershock triggering is commonly attributed to increases in static Coulomb stress. In some areas, termed "stress shadows", a decrease in Coulomb stress is predicted to suppress earthquake occurrence. However, aftershocks are often observed in the modeled stress shadows. We examine several hypotheses that attempt to reconcile these shadow aftershocks with the static Coulomb stress change...
Authors
Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Ruth A. Harris
Nodal seismic deployment on Mauna Loa volcano, Hawaii: Dataset and preliminary insights Nodal seismic deployment on Mauna Loa volcano, Hawaii: Dataset and preliminary insights
Mauna Loa is the largest active volcano on Earth, comprising ∼51% of the Island of Hawai‘i’s landmass and posing significant risks to the island’s communities, infrastructure, and natural environment. Historical eruptions have produced lava flows that have reached the ocean in as little as 3 hr. The timing and location of such lava flows in the past 200 yr underscore how critical...
Authors
Xusong Yang, Guoqing Lin, Ninfa Lucia Bennington, Elizabeth Gallant
Climatological effects on survival, recruitment, and possible extirpation of a Sierra Nevada anuran Climatological effects on survival, recruitment, and possible extirpation of a Sierra Nevada anuran
The drivers of population dynamics are a primary interest of ecologists, and predicting the consequences of climate variability on wildlife populations benefits from an understanding of how weather causes variation in the vital rates of populations. Given recent and projected extremes in annual precipitation in the Sierra Nevada of California, USA, including two severe droughts, we...
Authors
Brian J. Halstead, Patrick M. Kleeman, Jonathan P. Rose, Robert L. Grasso, Gary M. Fellers
Apparent annual survival of adult Golden-winged Warblers (Vermivora chrysoptera) may not differ by sex or region Apparent annual survival of adult Golden-winged Warblers (Vermivora chrysoptera) may not differ by sex or region
Understanding range-wide demographic, spatial, and temporal variation in annual survival is essential for managing species of conservation concern. Multi-population models are useful tools for integrating diverse datasets, reducing biases, and deriving survival estimates across differing spatial scales. We conducted a range-wide, multi-population apparent annual survival analysis for a...
Authors
Emily N. Filiberti, Amber M. Roth, Wayne E. Thogmartin, Ethan J. Royal, Kyle R. Aldinger, Ruth E. Bennett, David A. Buehler, Lesley P. Bulluck, Ronald A. Canterbury, Richard Chandler, Sarah J. Clements, Cameron J. Fiss, Keith A. Hobson, John Anthony Jones, David A. King, Gunnar R. Kramer, Jeffery L. Larkin, Darin J. McNeil, Jeffrey D. Ritterson, Anna Buckardt Thomas, Rachel Vallender, Steven L. Van Wilgenburg, Petra B. Wood
Commentary on paper by Matoza et al. (2021): Catalog revision to a common depth datum Commentary on paper by Matoza et al. (2021): Catalog revision to a common depth datum
We present a revision and update to the high-precision relocated seismicity catalog presented by Matoza et al. (2021, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001253) for the Island of Hawai'i from 1986 to 2018. The starting catalog of hypocenters (input data), on which the study by Matoza et al. (2021, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ea001253) was based, contained an inconsistent depth datum for...
Authors
Robin Matoza, Peter Shearer, Jefferson C. Chang, Paul Okubo
Movements and survival of hatchery reared juvenile cisco (Coregonus artedi) in Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron Movements and survival of hatchery reared juvenile cisco (Coregonus artedi) in Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron
Background Cisco (Coregonus artedi) were historically abundant throughout Lake Huron, including Saginaw Bay, but only a few remnant populations remain in northern Lake Huron today. Reestablishment of cisco is an important component of management plans to restore sustainable fisheries in Lake Huron. Cisco restoration efforts have focused on the release of hatchery-reared fish, but the...
Authors
Todd Hayden, Christopher M. Holbrook, Thomas R. Binder, Andrew Edgar Honsey, Roger Gordon, Kevin McDonnell, David G. Fielder, Aaron T. Fisk
A generalized design flood estimation framework under stationary and non-stationary scenarios A generalized design flood estimation framework under stationary and non-stationary scenarios
With the ever-ongoing debate over the death of stationarity in flood time series, developing methods for flood frequency analysis that can address both stationarity and non-stationarity simultaneously has become increasingly important for design flood estimation. Existing non-stationary flood frequency analysis (NFFQ) methods are either limited to providing time-varying conditional flood...
Authors
Chandramauli Awasthi, Stacey Archfield, Arumugam Sankarasubramanian
Non-native bird populations respond differently to their environment and exhibit shifts in ecological niche limits across continents Non-native bird populations respond differently to their environment and exhibit shifts in ecological niche limits across continents
Aim The degree to which species' niches remain stable over space and time–the niche conservatism hypothesis–is critical for predicting species' responses to environmental change. Tests of this hypothesis typically focus on changes in niche centroids and boundaries. An outstanding question is whether species' environmental associations differ within the interior of their niche space–that...
Authors
Kristin P. Davis, Helen R. Sofaer, Henrik G. Smith, Henning Heldbjerg, Anna Gamero, Ainārs Auniņš, Lluís Brotons, Tomasz Chodkiewicz, Daniel Palm Eskildsen, Benoît Fontaine, John Atle Kålås, Primož Kmecl, Petras Kurlavičius, Aleksi Lehikoinen, Åke Lindström, Ingar Jostein Øien, Jiří Reif, Nicolas Strebel, Tibor Szép, Chris A.M. van Turnhout, Thomas Vikstrøm, Liba Pejchar