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Publications

Listed here are publications, reports and articles by the Land Change Science Program in the USGS Ecosystems Mission Area.

Filter Total Items: 1145

Linking degradation status with ecosystem vulnerability to environmental change Linking degradation status with ecosystem vulnerability to environmental change

Environmental change can cause regime shifts in ecosystems, potentially threatening ecosystem services. It is unclear if the degradation status of ecosystems correlates with their vulnerability to environmental change, and thus the risk of future regime shifts. We assessed resilience in acidified (degraded) and circumneutral (undegraded) lakes with long-term data (1988–2012), using time...
Authors
David G. Angeler, Didier Baho, Craig Allen, Richard Johnson

Improving estimates of tree mortality probability using potential growth rate Improving estimates of tree mortality probability using potential growth rate

Tree growth rate is frequently used to estimate mortality probability. Yet, growth metrics can vary in form, and the justification for using one over another is rarely clear. We tested whether a growth index (GI) that scales the realized diameter growth rate against the potential diameter growth rate (PDGR) would give better estimates of mortality probability than other measures. We also...
Authors
Adrian J. Das, Nathan Stephenson

Darcy’s law predicts widespread forest mortality under climate warming Darcy’s law predicts widespread forest mortality under climate warming

Drought and heat-induced tree mortality is accelerating in many forest biomes as a consequence of a warming climate, resulting in a threat to global forests unlike any in recorded history. Forests store the majority of terrestrial carbon, thus their loss may have significant and sustained impacts on the global carbon cycle. We use a hydraulic corollary to Darcy’s law, a core principle of...
Authors
Nate McDowell, Craig Allen

Organic carbon burial in lakes and reservoirs of the conterminous United States Organic carbon burial in lakes and reservoirs of the conterminous United States

Organic carbon (OC) burial in lacustrine sediments represents an important sink in the global carbon cycle; however, large-scale OC burial rates are poorly constrained, primarily because of the sparseness of available data sets. Here we present an analysis of OC burial rates in water bodies of the conterminous U.S. (CONUS) that takes advantage of recently developed national-scale data...
Authors
David Clow, Sarah Stackpoole, Kristine Verdin, David Butman, Zhi-Liang Zhu, David Krabbenhoft, Robert Striegl

Landscape disturbance from unconventional and conventional oil and gas development in the Marcellus Shale region of Pennsylvania, USA Landscape disturbance from unconventional and conventional oil and gas development in the Marcellus Shale region of Pennsylvania, USA

The spatial footprint of unconventional (hydraulic fracturing) and conventional oil and gas development in the Marcellus Shale region of the State of Pennsylvania was digitized from high-resolution, ortho-rectified, digital aerial photography, from 2004 to 2010. We used these data to measure the spatial extent of oil and gas development and to assess the exposure of the extant natural...
Authors
Terry Slonecker, Lesley E. Milheim

Effects of ungulate disturbance and weather variation on Pediocactus winkleri: Insights from long-term monitoring Effects of ungulate disturbance and weather variation on Pediocactus winkleri: Insights from long-term monitoring

Population dynamics and effects of large ungulate disturbances on Winkler cactus (Pediocactus winkleri K.D. Heil) were documented annually over a 20-year time span at one plot within Capitol Reef National Park, Utah. This cactus species was federally listed as threatened in 1998. The study began in 1995 to gain a better understanding of life history aspects and threats to this species...
Authors
Deborah Clark, Thomas Clark, Michael Duniway, Cody Flagg

Lunar periodicity in the shell flux of planktonic foraminifera in the Gulf of Mexico Lunar periodicity in the shell flux of planktonic foraminifera in the Gulf of Mexico

Synchronised reproduction offers clear benefits to planktonic foraminifera – an important group of marine calcifiers – as it increases the chances of successful gamete fusion. Such synchrony requires tuning to an internal or external clock. Evidence exists for lunar reproductive cycles in some species, but its recognition in shell flux time series has proven difficult, raising questions...
Authors
Lukas Jonkers, Caitlin Reynolds, Julie N. Richey, Ian Hall

Synthesis on Quaternary aeolian research in the unglaciated eastern United States Synthesis on Quaternary aeolian research in the unglaciated eastern United States

Late-middle and late Pleistocene, and Holocene, inland aeolian sand and loess blanket >90,000 km2 of the unglaciated eastern United States of America (USA). Deposits are most extensive in the Lower Mississippi Valley (LMV) and Atlantic Coastal Plain (ACP), areas presently lacking significant aeolian activity. They provide evidence of paleoclimate intervals when wind erosion and...
Authors
Helaine Markewich, Ronald Litwin, Douglas A. Wysocki, Milan Pavich

A multi-proxy record of hydroclimate, vegetation, fire, and post-settlement impacts for a subalpine plateau, Central Rocky Mountains U.S.A A multi-proxy record of hydroclimate, vegetation, fire, and post-settlement impacts for a subalpine plateau, Central Rocky Mountains U.S.A

Apparent changes in vegetation distribution, fire, and other disturbance regimes throughout western North America have prompted investigations of the relative importance of human activities and climate change as potential causal mechanisms. Assessing the effects of Euro-American settlement is difficult because climate changes occur on multi-decadal to centennial time scales and require...
Authors
Lesleigh Anderson, Andrea Brunelle, Robert Thompson

Sea level, paleogeography, and archeology on California's Northern Channel Islands Sea level, paleogeography, and archeology on California's Northern Channel Islands

Sea-level rise during the late Pleistocene and early Holocene inundated nearshore areas in many parts of the world, producing drastic changes in local ecosystems and obscuring significant portions of the archeological record. Although global forces are at play, the effects of sea-level rise are highly localized due to variability in glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) effects...
Authors
Leslie Reeder-Myers, Jon Erlandson, Daniel Muhs, Torben Rick

Late Quaternary sea-level history and the antiquity of mammoths (Mammuthus exilis and Mammuthus columbi), Channel Islands NationalPark, California, USA Late Quaternary sea-level history and the antiquity of mammoths (Mammuthus exilis and Mammuthus columbi), Channel Islands NationalPark, California, USA

Fossils of Columbian mammoths (Mammuthus columbi) and pygmy mammoths (Mammuthus exilis) have been reported from Channel Islands National Park, California. Most date to the last glacial period (Marine Isotope Stage [MIS] 2), but a tusk of M. exilis (or immature M. columbi) was found in the lowest marine terrace of Santa Rosa Island. Uranium-series dating of corals yielded ages from 83.8 ±...
Authors
Daniel Muhs, Kathleen R. Simmons, Lindsey T. Groves, John McGeehin, R. Schumann, Larry Agenbroad

Evaluating rehabilitation efforts following the Milford Flat Fire: successes, failures, and controlling factors Evaluating rehabilitation efforts following the Milford Flat Fire: successes, failures, and controlling factors

Uncontrolled wildfire in arid and semiarid ecosystems has become an increasing concern in recent decades. Active rehabilitation of fire-affected areas is often quickly initiated to minimize long-term ecosystem damage. However, the complex soil-geomorphic-vegetation patterns and low and variable moisture conditions in these regions makes restoration challenging. To further inform these...
Authors
Michael Duniway, Emily Palmquist, Mark Miller
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