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Publications

Listed here are publications, reports and articles by the Land Change Science Program in the USGS Ecosystems Mission Area.

Filter Total Items: 1145

Representing 3-dimensional fuels for physics-based fire behavior models: A general framework and case study in a type-converted post-fire shrubfield Representing 3-dimensional fuels for physics-based fire behavior models: A general framework and case study in a type-converted post-fire shrubfield

Background Physics-based three-dimensional (3D) fire behavior models improve planning for prescribed fire application and wildfire mitigation, but require high spatial resolution 3D fuel models as inputs. While multiple methods and data sources for realistically representing 3D, heterogeneous fuels are available, no unifying framework exists to guide the use of these tools to create 3D...
Authors
Niko Tutland, Andreas Wion, Carolina May, Grant Hutchings, Hope Nowak, James Gattiker, J. Hiers, Rodman Linn, Scott Pokswinski, Ellis Margolis

Linking fire radiative power to land cover, fire history, and environmental setting in Alaska, 2003–2022 Linking fire radiative power to land cover, fire history, and environmental setting in Alaska, 2003–2022

BackgroundFire radiative power (FRP) shows promise as a diagnostic and predictive indicator of fire behavior and post-fire effects in Alaska, USA.AimsTo investigate relationships between FRP, vegetation functional groups, and environmental settings in Alaska (2003–2022) under various fire history conditions.MethodsWe tested for distinctness of MODIS FRP distributions associated with...
Authors
Jessica J. Walker, Rachel Loehman, Britt Smith, Christopher Soulard

An early Holocene wet period in the southwestern United States An early Holocene wet period in the southwestern United States

Multiple generations of spring-fed streams traversed ∼800 km2 of the Las Vegas Valley in southern Nevada between ca. 10.9 ka and 8.5 ka, depositing an extensive tufa network. The scale of this network and diversity of tufa morphologies is novel in North America and offers an opportunity to obtain quantitative paleoclimate data for the region during the early Holocene. We determined...
Authors
Kathleen Springer, Adam Hudson, Jeffrey Pigati, Katharine Huntington, Andrew Schauer

An enhanced national-scale urban tree canopy cover dataset for the United States An enhanced national-scale urban tree canopy cover dataset for the United States

Moderate-resolution (30-m) national map products have limited capacity to represent fine-scale, heterogeneous urban forms and processes, yet improvements from incorporating higher resolution predictor data remain rare. In this study, we applied random forest models to high-resolution land cover data for 71 U.S. urban areas, moderate-resolution National Land Cover Database (NLCD) Tree...
Authors
Lucila Corro, Kenneth Bagstad, Mehdi Heris, Peter Ibsen, Karen Schleeweis, James E. Diffendorfer, Austin Troy, Kevin Megown, Jarlath P.M. O'Neil-Dunne

Land-use and socioeconomic time-series reveal legacy of redlining on present-day gentrification within a growing United States city Land-use and socioeconomic time-series reveal legacy of redlining on present-day gentrification within a growing United States city

Home Owners’ Loan Corporation (HOLC) maps illustrated patterns of segregation in United States cites in the 1930s. As the causes and drivers of demographic and land-use segregation vary over years, these maps provide an important spatial lens in determining how patterns of segregation spatially and temporally developed during the past century. Using a high-resolution land-use time series...
Authors
Peter Ibsen, Anna Bierbrauer, Lucila Corro, Zachary Ancona, Mark Drummond, Kenneth Bagstad, James E. Diffendorfer

A fire deficit persists across diverse North American forests despite recent increases in area burned A fire deficit persists across diverse North American forests despite recent increases in area burned

Rapid increases in wildfire area burned across North American forests pose novel challenges for managers and society. Increasing area burned raises questions about whether, and to what degree, contemporary fire regimes (1984–2022) are still departed from historical fire regimes (pre-1880). We use the North American tree-ring fire-scar network (NAFSN), a multi-century record comprising...
Authors
Sean Parks, Chris Guiterman, Ellis Margolis, Maggie Lonergan, Ellen Whitman, John Abatzoglou, Donald Falk, James B. Johnston, Lori D. Daniels, Charles Lafon, Rachel Loehman, Kurt Kipfmueller, Cameron Naficy, Marc-Andre Parisien, Jeanne Portier, Michael Stambaugh, A. Williams, Andreas Wion, Larissa Yocom

Spatiotemporal synchrony of climate and fire occurrence across North American forests (1750-1880) Spatiotemporal synchrony of climate and fire occurrence across North American forests (1750-1880)

AimIncreasing aridity has driven widespread synchronous fire occurrence in recent decades across North America. The lack of historical (pre-1880) fire records limits our ability to understand long-term continental fire-climate dynamics. The goal of this study is to use tree-ring reconstructions to determine the relationships between spatiotemporal patterns in historical climate and...
Authors
Ellis Margolis, Andreas Wion, John Abatzoglou, Lori D. Daniels, Donald Falk, Chris Guiterman, James B. Johnston, Kurt Kipfmueller, Charles Lafon, Rachel Loehman, Maggie Lonergan, Cameron Naficy, Marc-Andre Parisien, Sean Parks, Jeanne Portier, Michael Stambaugh, Ellen Whitman, A. Williams, Larissa Yocom

Pollen records, postglacial: Southeastern North America Pollen records, postglacial: Southeastern North America

Pollen records from the unglaciated southeastern region of North America provide an overview of biogeographic changes associated with vegetational migration northward following the retreat of the Laurentide Ice Sheet. Changing insolation during the Holocene affected forest composition on the Coastal Plain, and rising sea level controlled the distribution of marsh and forested wetlands...
Authors
Debra A. Willard

Contemporary fires are less frequent but more severe in dry conifer forests of the southwestern United States Contemporary fires are less frequent but more severe in dry conifer forests of the southwestern United States

Wildfires in the southwestern United States are increasingly frequent and severe, but whether these trends exceed historical norms remains contested. Here we combine dendroecological records, satellite-derived burn severity, and field measured tree mortality to compare historical (1700-1880) and contemporary (1985-2020) fire regimes at tree-ring fire-scar sites in Arizona and New Mexico...
Authors
E. McClure, J.D. Cooper, C. Guiterman, Ellis Margolis, S. Parks

Effects of recent wildfires on giant sequoia groves were anomalous at millennial timescales: a response to Hanson et al. Effects of recent wildfires on giant sequoia groves were anomalous at millennial timescales: a response to Hanson et al.

BackgroundThe giant sequoia (Sequoiadendron giganteum [Lindley] Buchholz) of California’s Sierra Nevada recently suffered historically unprecedented wildfires that killed an estimated 13–19% of seed-bearing sequoias across their native range. Hanson et al. recently sought to characterize post-fire reproduction in two severely burned sequoia groves, but their two papers (1) inaccurately...
Authors
Nathan Stephenson, David Soderberg, Joshua Flickinger, Anthony C. Caprio, Adrian Das

Microplastic and associated black particles from road-tire wear: Implications for radiative effects across the cryosphere and in the atmosphere Microplastic and associated black particles from road-tire wear: Implications for radiative effects across the cryosphere and in the atmosphere

The environmental effects of airborne micro- and nano-size plastic particles are poorly understood. Microscopy and chemical analyses of atmospherically deposited particles on snow surfaces at high elevation (2,865–3,690 m) in the Upper Colorado River basin (UCRB; Colorado Rocky Mountains) revealed the presence of black substances intimately associated with microplastic fibers, particles...
Authors
Richard Reynolds, Heather Lowers, George N. Breit, Harland Goldstein, Elizabeth Williams, Corey Lawrence, Raymond Kokaly, Jeff Derry

Marshes to mangroves: Residential surveys reveal perceived wetland trade-offs for ecosystem services Marshes to mangroves: Residential surveys reveal perceived wetland trade-offs for ecosystem services

Coastal landscapes are rapidly changing due to both climate change and the decisions of waterfront landowners. For instance, the climate-driven encroachment of woody mangrove species into grassy marshland areas is predicted to impact coastal ecosystems, with consequences for the ecosystem services these landscapes provide to people. However, there is a dearth of knowledge concerning...
Authors
Savannah Swinea, A. Hughes, Michael Osland, Christine C. Shepard, Kalaina Thorne, Jahson B. Alemu I, Remi Bardou, Steven Scyphers
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