Publications
The USGS fire science mission is to produce and deliver the best available scientific information, tools, and products to support land and emergency management by individuals and organizations at all levels. Below are USGS publications associated with our fire science portfolio.
Filter Total Items: 340
Living with wildfire in Estes Valley Fire Protection District, Larimer County, Colorado: 2023 Data report Living with wildfire in Estes Valley Fire Protection District, Larimer County, Colorado: 2023 Data report
Homeowner wildfire risk mitigation and preparedness are critical components of community wildfire readiness. This report describes the data collected through two efforts conducted in the Estes Valley Fire Protection District of Larimer County, Colorado, study area: (1) parcel-level rapid wildfire risk assessments performed by trained assessors and (2) homeowner surveys in which...
Authors
Colleen Donovan, Patricia A. Champ, Suzanne Wittenbrink, Wilynn Formeller, Christine Taniguchi, Jon Landkamer, Hannah Brenkert-Smith, James Meldrum, Christopher M. Barth, Carolyn Wagner
Living with wildfire in Montrose County, Colorado: 2023 Data report Living with wildfire in Montrose County, Colorado: 2023 Data report
During 2022–2024, the Wildfire Research (WiRē) Center partnered with the West Region Wildfire Council (WRWC) to learn more about parcel-level wildfire risk in Montrose County, Colorado. This research project was part of a larger, sustained collaboration between WiRē and the WRWC, moving the focus from areas typically characterized as fire-prone due to heavily treed and steep topography...
Authors
Hannah Brenkert-Smith, Aaron Johnson, Suzanne Wittenbrink, Colleen Donovan, Josh Kuehn, James Meldrum, Patricia A. Champ, Christopher M. Barth, Carolyn Wagner, Christine Taniguchi
Representing 3-dimensional fuels for physics-based fire behavior models: A general framework and case study in a type-converted post-fire shrubfield Representing 3-dimensional fuels for physics-based fire behavior models: A general framework and case study in a type-converted post-fire shrubfield
Background Physics-based three-dimensional (3D) fire behavior models improve planning for prescribed fire application and wildfire mitigation, but require high spatial resolution 3D fuel models as inputs. While multiple methods and data sources for realistically representing 3D, heterogeneous fuels are available, no unifying framework exists to guide the use of these tools to create 3D...
Authors
Niko Tutland, Andreas Paul Wion, Carolina Jasmine May, Grant C. Hutchings, Hope Nowak, James R. Gattiker, J. Kevin Hiers, Rodman R. Linn, Scott M. Pokswinski, Ellis Margolis
A fire deficit persists across diverse North American forests despite recent increases in area burned A fire deficit persists across diverse North American forests despite recent increases in area burned
Rapid increases in wildfire area burned across North American forests pose novel challenges for managers and society. Increasing area burned raises questions about whether, and to what degree, contemporary fire regimes (1984–2022) are still departed from historical fire regimes (pre-1880). We use the North American tree-ring fire-scar network (NAFSN), a multi-century record comprising...
Authors
Sean Parks, Chris Guiterman, Ellis Margolis, Maggie Lonergan, Ellen Whitman, John T. Abatzoglou, Donald A. Falk, James B. Johnston, Lori D. Daniels, Charles W. Lafon, Rachel A. Loehman, Kurt F. Kipfmueller, Cameron E. Naficy, Marc-Andre Parisien, Jeanne Portier, Michael C. Stambaugh, A. Park Williams, Andreas Paul Wion, Larissa Yocom
Post-fire sediment yield from a western Sierra Nevada watershed burned by the 2021 Caldor Fire Post-fire sediment yield from a western Sierra Nevada watershed burned by the 2021 Caldor Fire
Watershed sediment yield commonly increases after wildfire, often causing negative impacts to downstream infrastructure and water resources. Post-fire erosion is important to understand and quantify because it is increasingly placing water supplies, habitat, communities, and infrastructure at risk as fire regimes intensify in a warming climate. However, measurements of post-fire sediment
Authors
Amy E. East, Joshua B. Logan, Peter Dartnell, Helen Willemien Dow, Donald N. Lindsay, David B. Cavagnaro
Spatiotemporal synchrony of climate and fire occurrence across North American forests (1750-1880) Spatiotemporal synchrony of climate and fire occurrence across North American forests (1750-1880)
Aim Increasing aridity has driven widespread synchronous fire occurrence in recent decades across North America. The lack of historical (pre-1880) fire records limits our ability to understand long-term continental fire-climate dynamics. The goal of this study is to use tree-ring reconstructions to determine the relationships between spatiotemporal patterns in historical climate and...
Authors
Ellis Margolis, Andreas Paul Wion, John T. Abatzoglou, Lori D. Daniels, Donald A. Falk, Chris Guiterman, James B. Johnston, Kurt F. Kipfmueller, Charles W. Lafon, Rachel A. Loehman, Maggie Lonergan, Cameron E. Naficy, Marc-Andre Parisien, Sean Parks, Jeanne Portier, Michael C. Stambaugh, Ellen Whitman, A. Park Williams, Larissa Yocom
Evaluating a simulation-based wildfire burn probability map for the conterminous US Evaluating a simulation-based wildfire burn probability map for the conterminous US
Background Wildfire simulation models are used to derive maps of burn probability (BP) based on fuels, weather, topography and ignition locations, and BP maps are key components of wildfire risk assessments. Aims Few studies have compared BP maps with real-world fires to evaluate their suitability for near-future risk assessment. Here, we evaluated a BP map for the conterminous US based...
Authors
Amanda Renee Carlson, Todd Hawbaker, Lucas Bair, Chad Michael Hoffman, James Meldrum, L. Scott Baggett, Paul F. Steblein
Ecological trade-offs associated with fuel breaks in the sagebrush ecosystem Ecological trade-offs associated with fuel breaks in the sagebrush ecosystem
Background Unprecedented wildfire frequency, fueled by invasive annual grasses, threatens sagebrush ecosystems. To suppress wildfire and conserve sagebrush, land management agencies have installed fuel breaks across the sagebrush biome. However, despite the potential reduction in wildfire, fuel breaks may have ecological costs. Determining an acceptable balance between risks and benefits...
Authors
Morgan Dake Roche, D. Joanne Saher, Erin K. Buchholtz, Michele R. Crist, Douglas J. Shinneman, Cameron L. Aldridge, Brianne E. Brussee, Peter S. Coates, Cali L. Weise, Julie A. Heinrichs
Rates of change in invasive annual grass cover to inform management actions in sagebrush ecosystems Rates of change in invasive annual grass cover to inform management actions in sagebrush ecosystems
No abstract available.
Authors
Morgan Dake Roche, Michele R. Crist, Cameron L. Aldridge, Helen Sofaer, Catherine S. Jarnevich, Julie A. Heinrichs
Contemporary fires are less frequent but more severe in dry conifer forests of the southwestern United States Contemporary fires are less frequent but more severe in dry conifer forests of the southwestern United States
Wildfires in the southwestern United States are increasingly frequent and severe, but whether these trends exceed historical norms remains contested. Here we combine dendroecological records, satellite-derived burn severity, and field measured tree mortality to compare historical (1700-1880) and contemporary (1985-2020) fire regimes at tree-ring fire-scar sites in Arizona and New Mexico...
Authors
E. McClure, J.D. Cooper, C. Guiterman, Ellis Margolis, S. Parks
Trees have similar growth responses to first-entry fires and reburns following long-term fire exclusion Trees have similar growth responses to first-entry fires and reburns following long-term fire exclusion
Managing fire ignitions for resource benefit decreases fuel loads and reduces the risk of high-severity fire in fire-suppressed dry conifer forests. However, the reintroduction of low-severity wildfire can injure trees, which may decrease their growth after fire. Post-fire growth responses could change from first-entry fires to reburns, as first-entry fires reduce fuel loads and the...
Authors
Kevin G. Willson, Ellis Margolis, Mathew D. Hurteau
Postfire sediment mobilization and its downstream implications across California, 1984 – 2021 Postfire sediment mobilization and its downstream implications across California, 1984 – 2021
Fire facilitates erosion through changes in vegetation and soil, with major postfire erosion commonly occurring even with moderate rainfall. As climate warms, the western United States (U.S.) is experiencing an intensifying fire regime and increasing frequency of extreme rain. We evaluated whether these hydroclimatic changes are evident in patterns of postfire erosion by modeling...
Authors
Helen Willemien Dow, Amy E. East, Joel B. Sankey, Jonathan A. Warrick, Jaime Kostelnik, Donald N. Lindsay, Jason W. Kean