Publications
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Physics-based forecasts of eruptive vent locations at calderas
Constraining stresses in the Earth's crust in volcanic regions is critical for understanding many mechanical processes related to eruptive activity. Dike pathways, in particular, are shaped by the orientation of principal stress axes. Therefore, accurate models of dike trajectories and future vent locations rely on accurate estimates of stresses in the subsurface. This work presents a framework fo
Authors
Lorenzo Mantiloni, Eleanora Rivalta, Kyle R. Anderson, Timothy W. Davis, Luigi Passarelli
Debris-flow monitoring on volcanoes via a novel usage of a laser rangefinder
Mount Rainier has had at least 11 large lahars over the last 6,000 years, including one occurring without evidence of eruptive activity. This prompted the creation of a lahar detection system that uses a combination of seismic, infrasound, and tripwires. We test a laser rangefinder placed on a river channel bank for detecting and confirming mass movements flowing past a station as an alternative t
Authors
Alexandra M. Iezzi, Emily H Bryant, Weston Thelen, Craig Gabrielson, Seth C. Moran, Matthew R. Patrick, Edward F. Younger, Maciej Obryk
Reexamining the Honolulu Volcanics: Hawai‘i's classic case of rejuvenation volcanism
Rejuvenated volcanism is a worldwide phenomenon occurring on many oceanic islands in all of the major ocean basins. This plume-related volcanism follows the main edifice-building stage after a hiatus of variable duration (e.g. 0.6–2 Myrs in Hawai'i). The Honolulu Volcanics (HV), the classic case of rejuvenated volcanism, involved monogenetic eruptions from at least 48 vent areas. Previous studies
Authors
Michael O. Garcia, Marc D. Norman, Brian Jicha, Kendra J. Lynn, Peng Jiang
Onset and tempo of ignimbrite flare-up volcanism in the eastern and central Mogollon-Datil volcanic field, southern New Mexico, USA
The Cenozoic ignimbrite flare-up (40–18 Ma) generated multiple volcanic fields in the southwestern United States and northern Mexico resulting from asthenospheric mantle upwelling after removal of the Farallon slab. The correlation of tuffs to one another and to source calderas within these volcanic fields is essential for determining spatiotemporal patterns in volcanism and magma geochemistry, wh
Authors
Karissa B. Vermillion, Emily Renee Johnson, Jeffrey M. Amato, Matthew T. Heizler, Jenna Lente
U.S. Geological Survey climate science plan—Future research directions
Executive Summary Climate is the primary driver of environmental change and is a key consideration in defining science priorities conducted across all mission areas in the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Recognizing the importance of climate change to its future research agenda, the USGS’s Climate Science Steering Committee requested the development of a Climate Science Plan to identify future rese
Authors
Tamara Wilson, Ryan P. Boyles, Nicole DeCrappeo, Judith Z. Drexler, Kevin D. Kroeger, Rachel A. Loehman, John M. Pearce, Mark P. Waldrop, Peter D. Warwick, Anne M. Wein, Sara L. Zeigler, T. Douglas Beard,
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Water Resources Mission Area, Energy Resources Program, Climate Adaptation Science Centers, Volcano Hazards Program, Alaska Science Center, California Water Science Center, Geology, Energy & Minerals Science Center, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Volcano Science Center, Western Geographic Science Center, Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center
The U.S. Geological Survey Volcano Science Center’s response plan for significant volcanic events
This publication describes the U.S. Geological Survey Volcano Science Center (VSC) Response Plan for Significant Volcanic Events (hereinafter referred to as “the plan”) that has been developed for U.S volcano observatories over the past several years in consultation with the lead scientist, or Scientist-in-Charge (SIC), of each of the five U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) volcano observatories. The g
Authors
Seth C. Moran, Christina A. Neal, Thomas L. Murray
Evolution and current state of continuous volcano gravimetry
Most processes controlling volcanic activity involve underground mass redistribution (e.g., magma accumulation or withdrawal). Because of its unique ability to provide direct information on subsurface mass/density changes over time, gravimetry has important advantages over other volcano-monitoring techniques. As an example, if pre-eruptive magma accumulation occurs in voids, surface uplift or seis
Authors
Daniele Carbone, Michael P. Poland, Filippo Greco, Danilo Contrafatto, Alfio Messina, Luca Timoteo Mirabella
From field station to forecast: Managing data at the Alaska Volcano Observatory
The Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) uses multidisciplinary data to monitor and study dozens of active and potentially active volcanoes. Here, we provide an overview of internally and externally generated data types, tools and resources used in their management, and challenges faced. Data sources include the following: (1) a multiparameter (seismic, infrasound, GNSS, web cameras) ground-based moni
Authors
Michelle L. Coombs, Cheryl Cameron, Hannah R. Dietterich, Eleanor Boyce, Aaron Wech, Ronni Grapenthin, Kristi L. Wallace, Thomas Parker, Taryn Lopez, Scott Crass, David Fee, Matthew M. Haney, Dane M. Ketner, Matthew W. Loewen, John J. Lyons, Jenny Sha Nakai, John Power, Steven M Botnick, Israel Brewster, Max L. Enders, Dain Harmon, Peter J. Kelly, Michael J. Randall
Reference 1D seismic velocity models for volcano monitoring and imaging: Methods, models, and applications
Seismic velocity models of the crust are an integral part of earthquake monitoring systems at volcanoes. 1D models that vary only in depth are typically used for real‐time hypocenter determination and serve as critical reference models for detailed 3D imaging studies and geomechanical modeling. Such models are usually computed using seismic tomographic methods that rely on P‐ and S‐wave arrival‐ti
Authors
Jeremy D. Pesicek, Trond Ryberg
Volcanoes of American Samoa
Upu Amata (Introduction)O le Atu-Samoa o le tasi lenei o faʻasologa motu mauga mu i le Vasa Pasefika i Saute. O motu e pito i sasaʻe o nei faʻasologa mauga mu o le Atu-Samoa, o motu ia o Amerika Samoa. E tofu lava mauga mu taʻitasi o Amerika Samoa ma ona talaaga aemaise tulaga e tutupu e ono pa ai i le lumanai. O loʻo galulue faʻatasi le Ofisa o le U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) ma le National Ocea
Authors
Natalia I. Deligne, Drew T. Downs, Elinor Lutu-McMoore, Steven Sobieszczyk, Wendy K. Stovall
Preface to the focus section on volcano monitoring in the Americas
From the Andes to the Aleutian Islands, the Americas are rich with volcanism that spans a diverse range of tectonic settings, eruptive styles, levels of activity, and hazards. Over the past 120 yr, the Americas have witnessed catastrophic volcanic eruptions that have significantly impacted nearby populations. Notable events include the 8 May 1902, pyroclastic density current from Mount Pelée in Ma
Authors
Alicia J. Hotovec-Ellis, Ricardo Garza-Girón, Greg Waite, Christian Farías, Susana Layana, Matthew M. Haney
Forecasting inundation of catastrophic landslides from precursory creep
Forecasting landslide inundation upon catastrophic failure is crucial for reducing casualties, yet it remains a long-standing challenge owing to the complex nature of landslides. Recent global studies indicate that catastrophic hillslope failures are commonly preceded by a period of precursory creep, motivating a novel scheme to foresee their hazard. Here, we showcase an approach to hindcast lands
Authors
Yuankun Xu, R. Burgmann, David L. George, E..J. Fielding, G.X. Solis-Gordillo, D.B. Yanez-Borja