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Learning to recognize volcanic non-eruptions Learning to recognize volcanic non-eruptions

An important goal of volcanology is to answer the questions of when, where, and how a volcano will erupt—in other words, eruption prediction. Generally, eruption predictions are based on insights from monitoring data combined with the history of the volcano. An outstanding example is the A.D. 1980–1986 lava dome growth at Mount St. Helens, Washington (United States). Recognition of a...
Authors
Michael P. Poland

Eruptions of Hawaiian volcanoes—Past, present, and future Eruptions of Hawaiian volcanoes—Past, present, and future

Viewing an erupting volcano is a memorable experience, one that has inspired fear, superstition, worship, curiosity, and fascination since before the dawn of civilization. In modern times, volcanic phenomena have attracted intense scientific interest because they provide the key to understanding processes that have created and shaped more than 80 percent of the Earth’s surface. The...
Authors
Katherine M. Mulliken, Robert I. Tilling, Donald A. Swanson

Interdisciplinary studies of eruption at Chaitén volcano, Chile Interdisciplinary studies of eruption at Chaitén volcano, Chile

High-silica rhyolite magma fuels Earth's largest and most explosive eruptions. Recurrence intervals for such highly explosive eruptions are in the 100- to 100,000-year time range, and there have been few direct observations of such eruptions and their immediate impacts. Consequently, there was keen interest within the volcanology community when the first large eruption of high-silica...
Authors
John S. Pallister, Jon J. Major, Thomas C. Pierson, Richard P. Holitt, Jacob B. Lowenstern, John C. Eichelberger, Lara Luis, Hugo Moreno, Jorge Muñoz, Jonathan M. Castro, Andrés Iroumé, Andrea Andreoli, Julia Jones, Fred Swanson, Charlie Crisafulli

Characterizing 6 August 2007 Crandall Canyon mine collapse from ALOS PALSAR InSAR Characterizing 6 August 2007 Crandall Canyon mine collapse from ALOS PALSAR InSAR

We used ALOS InSAR images to study land surface deformation over the Crandall Canyon mine in Utah, which collapsed on 6 August 2007 and killed six miners. The collapse was registered as a ML 3.9 seismic event. An InSAR image spanning the time of the collapse shows 25–30 cm surface subsidence over the mine. We used distributed dislocation sources to model the deformation field, and found...
Authors
Zhong Lu, Charles Wicks

Origins of large-volume, compositionally zoned volcanic eruptions: New constraints from U-series isotopes and numerical thermal modeling for the 1912 Katmai-Novarupta eruption Origins of large-volume, compositionally zoned volcanic eruptions: New constraints from U-series isotopes and numerical thermal modeling for the 1912 Katmai-Novarupta eruption

We present the results of a combined U-series isotope and numerical modeling study of the 1912 Katmai-Novarupta eruption in Alaska. A stratigraphically constrained set of samples have compositions that range from basalt through basaltic andesite, andesite, dacite, and rhyolite. The major and trace element range can be modeled by 80–90% closed-system crystal fractionation over a...
Authors
Simon Turner, Mike Sandiford, Mark Reagan, Chris Hawkesworth, Wes Hildreth

Localized surface disruptions observed by InSAR during strong earthquakes in Java and Hawai'i Localized surface disruptions observed by InSAR during strong earthquakes in Java and Hawai'i

Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar data spanning strong earthquakes on the islands of Java and Hawai‘i in 2006 reveal patches of subsidence and incoherence indicative of localized ground failure. Interferograms spanning the 26 May 2006 Java earthquake suggest an area of about 7.5 km2 of subsidence (~2 cm) and incoherence south of the city of Yogyakarta that correlates with...
Authors
Michael P. Poland

The perfect debris flow? Aggregated results from 28 large-scale experiments The perfect debris flow? Aggregated results from 28 large-scale experiments

Aggregation of data collected in 28 controlled experiments reveals reproducible debris-flow behavior that provides a clear target for model tests. In each experiment ∼10 m3 of unsorted, water-saturated sediment composed mostly of sand and gravel discharged from behind a gate, descended a steep, 95-m flume, and formed a deposit on a nearly horizontal runout surface. Experiment subsets...
Authors
Richard M. Iverson, Matthew Logan, Richard G. LaHusen, Matteo Berti

Ground surface deformation patterns, magma supply, and magma storage at Okmok volcano, Alaska, from InSAR analysis: 1. Intereruption deformation, 1997–2008 Ground surface deformation patterns, magma supply, and magma storage at Okmok volcano, Alaska, from InSAR analysis: 1. Intereruption deformation, 1997–2008

Starting soon after the 1997 eruption at Okmok volcano and continuing until the start of the 2008 eruption, magma accumulated in a storage zone centered ~3.5 km beneath the caldera floor at a rate that varied with time. A Mogi-type point pressure source or finite sphere with a radius of 1 km provides an adequate fit to the deformation field portrayed in time-sequential interferometric...
Authors
Zhong Lu, Daniel Dzurisin, Juliet Biggs, Charles Wicks, Steve McNutt

Shallow magma accumulation at Kīlauea Volcano, Hawai‘i, revealed by microgravity surveys Shallow magma accumulation at Kīlauea Volcano, Hawai‘i, revealed by microgravity surveys

Using microgravity data collected at Kīlauea Volcano, Hawai‘i (United States), between November 1975 and January 2008, we document significant mass increase beneath the east margin of Halema‘uma‘u Crater, within Kīlauea's summit caldera. Surprisingly, there was no sustained uplift accompanying the mass accumulation. We propose that the positive gravity residual in the absence of...
Authors
Daniel J. Johnson, Albert A. Eggers, Marco Bagnardi, Maurizio Battaglia, Michael P. Poland, Asta Miklius

Röthlisberger channel theory: its origins and consequences Röthlisberger channel theory: its origins and consequences

The theory of channelized water flow through glaciers, most commonly associated with the names of Hans Röthlisberger and Ron Shreve and their 1972 papers in the Journal of Glaciology, was developed at a time when interest in glacier-bed processes was expanding, and the possible relationship between glacier sliding and water at the bed was becoming of keen interest. The R-channel theory...
Authors
Joseph S. Walder

Caldera collapse: Perspectives from comparing Galápagos volcanoes, nuclear-test sinks, sandbox models, and volcanoes on Mars Caldera collapse: Perspectives from comparing Galápagos volcanoes, nuclear-test sinks, sandbox models, and volcanoes on Mars

The 1968 trapdoor collapse (1.5 km3) of Fernandina caldera in the Galapágos Islands developed the same kinds of structures as found in small sandbox-collapse models and in concentrically zoned sinks formed in desert alluvium by fault subsidence into underground nuclear-explosion cavities. Fernandina’s collapse developed through shear failure in which the roof above the evacuating chamber...
Authors
K. A. Howard
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