Publications
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Some experiments in extreme-value statistical modeling of magnetic superstorm intensities Some experiments in extreme-value statistical modeling of magnetic superstorm intensities
In support of projects for forecasting and mitigating the deleterious effects of extreme space-weather storms, an examination is made of the intensities of magnetic superstorms recorded in the Dst index time series (1957-2016). Modified peak-over-threshold and solar-cycle, block-maximum sampling of the Dst time series are performed to obtain compi-lations of storm-maximum −Dstm intensity...
Authors
Jeffrey Love
Thresholds for post-wildfire debris flows: Insights from the Pinal Fire, Arizona, USA Thresholds for post-wildfire debris flows: Insights from the Pinal Fire, Arizona, USA
Wildfire significantly alters the hydrologic properties of a burned area, leading to increases in overland flow, erosion, and the potential for runoff-generated debris flows. The initiation of debris flows in recently burned areas is well-characterized by rainfall intensity-duration (ID) thresholds. However, there is currently a paucity of data quantifying the rainfall intensities...
Authors
Carissa Raymond, Luke McGuire, Ann Youberg, Dennis Staley, Jason Kean
Earthquakes, ShakeMap Earthquakes, ShakeMap
ShakeMap® is an open-source software program employed to automatically produce a suite of maps and products that portray the geographical extent and severity of potentially damaging shaking following an earthquake. ShakeMap’s primary purpose is to provide post-earthquake situational awareness for emergency management and response as well as damage and loss estimation. The availability of...
Authors
David Wald, Charles Worden, Eric Thompson, Mike Hearne
USGS near-real-time products-and their use-for the 2018 Anchorage earthquake USGS near-real-time products-and their use-for the 2018 Anchorage earthquake
In the minutes to hours after a major earthquake, such as the recent 2018 Mw 7.1 Anchorage event, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) produces a suite of interconnected earthquake products that provides diverse information ranging from basic earthquake source parameters to loss estimates. The 2018 Anchorage earthquake is the first major domestic earthquake to occur since several new USGS...
Authors
Eric Thompson, Sara K. McBride, Gavin Hayes, Kate Allstadt, Lisa Wald, David Wald, Keith Knudsen, Charles Worden, Kristin Marano, Randall Jibson, Alex Grant
Evaluation of ground‐motion models for U.S. Geological Survey seismic hazard models: 2018 Anchorage, Alaska, Mw 7.1 subduction zone earthquake sequence Evaluation of ground‐motion models for U.S. Geological Survey seismic hazard models: 2018 Anchorage, Alaska, Mw 7.1 subduction zone earthquake sequence
Instrumental ground‐motion recordings from the 2018 Anchorage, Alaska (Mw 7.1), earthquake sequence provide an independent data set allowing us to evaluate the predictive power of ground‐motion models (GMMs) for intraslab earthquakes associated with the Alaska subduction zone. In this study, we evaluate 15 candidate GMMs using instrumental ground‐motion observations of peak ground...
Authors
Daniel McNamara, Emily Wolin, Peter Powers, Allison Shumway, Morgan Moschetti, John Rekoske, Eric Thompson, Charles Mueller, Mark Petersen
The August 2018 Kaktovik earthquakes: Active tectonics in northeastern Alaska revealed With InSAR and seismology The August 2018 Kaktovik earthquakes: Active tectonics in northeastern Alaska revealed With InSAR and seismology
The largest earthquakes recorded in northern Alaska (Mw 6.4 and Mw 6.0) occurred ~6 hours apart on August 12, 2018 in the northeastern Brooks Range. The earthquakes were captured by Sentinel-1 InSAR satellites and Earthscope Transportable Array seismic data, giving insight into the little-known active tectonic processes of Arctic Alaska, obscured until recently by sparse data...
Authors
E. Gaudreau, E.K. Nissen, Eric Bergman, Harley Benz, F. Tan, E. Karasözen
Anatomy of a caldera collapse: Kīlauea 2018 summit seismicity sequence in high resolution Anatomy of a caldera collapse: Kīlauea 2018 summit seismicity sequence in high resolution
The 2018 Kīlauea eruption and caldera collapse generated intense cycles of seismicity tied to repeated large seismic (Mw ~5) collapse events associated with magma withdrawal from beneath the summit. To gain insight into the underlying dynamics and aid eruption response, we applied waveform-based earthquake detection and double-difference location as the eruption unfolded. Here, we...
Authors
David Shelly, Weston Thelen
Offset channels may not accurately record strike-slip fault displacement: Evidence from landscape evolution models Offset channels may not accurately record strike-slip fault displacement: Evidence from landscape evolution models
Slip distribution, slip rate, and slip per event for strike‐slip faults are commonly determined by correlating offset stream channels—under the assumption that they record seismic slip—but offset channels are formed by the interplay of tectonic and geomorphic processes. To constrain offset channel development under known tectonic and geomorphic conditions, we use numerical landscape...
Authors
Nadine Reitman, Karl Mueller, Gregory Tucker, Ryan Gold, Richard Briggs, Katherine R. Barnhart
Controls on debris‐flow initiation on burned and unburned hillslopes during an exceptional rainstorm in southern New Mexico, USA Controls on debris‐flow initiation on burned and unburned hillslopes during an exceptional rainstorm in southern New Mexico, USA
AbstractUsing observations from 688 debris flows, we analyse the hydrologic and landscape characteristics that influenced debris‐flow initiation mechanisms and locations in a watershed that had been partially burned by the 2012 Whitewater‐Baldy Complex Fire in the Gila Mountains, southern New Mexico. Debris flows can initiate due to different processes. Slopes can fail as discrete...
Authors
Anne Tillery, Francis Rengers
The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview of model and implications The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview of model and implications
During 2017–2018, the National Seismic Hazard Model for the conterminous United States was updated as follows: (1) an updated seismicity catalog was incorporated, which includes new earthquakes that occurred from 2013 to 2017; (2) in the central and eastern United States (CEUS), new ground motion models were updated that incorporate updated median estimates, modified assessments of the...
Authors
Mark Petersen, Allison Shumway, Peter Powers, Charles Mueller, Morgan Moschetti, Arthur Frankel, Sanaz Rezaeian, Daniel McNamara, Nico Luco, Oliver Boyd, Kenneth Rukstales, Kishor Jaiswal, Eric Thompson, Susan Hoover, Brandon Clayton, Edward H. Field, Yuehua Zeng
Increases in life-safety risks to building occupants from induced earthquakes in the central United States Increases in life-safety risks to building occupants from induced earthquakes in the central United States
Earthquake occurrence rates in some parts of the central United States have been elevated for a number of years; this increase has been widely attributed to deep wastewater injection associated with oil and gas activities. This induced seismicity has caused damage to buildings and infrastructure and substantial public concern. In March 2016, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) published...
Authors
Taojun Liu, Nico Luco, Abbie Liel
3D geologic framework for use with the U.S. Geological Survey National Crustal Model, Phase 1—Western United States 3D geologic framework for use with the U.S. Geological Survey National Crustal Model, Phase 1—Western United States
A 3D geologic framework is presented here as part of the U.S. Geological Survey National Crustal Model for the western United States, which will be used to improve seismic hazard assessment. The framework is based on 1:250,000 to 1:1,000,000-scale state geologic maps and depths of multiple subsurface unit boundaries. The geology at or near the Earth’s surface is based on published maps...
Authors
Oliver Boyd