Publications
Publications, scientific literature, and information products from the Land Change Science Program.
Filter Total Items: 565
Progress in natural capital accounting for ecosystems Progress in natural capital accounting for ecosystems
Reversing the ongoing degradation of the planet's ecosystems requires timely and detailed monitoring of ecosystem change and uses. Yet, the System of National Accounts (SNA), first developed in response to the economic crisis of the 1930s and used by statistical offices worldwide to record economic activity (for example, production, consumption, and asset accumulation), does not make...
Authors
Lars Hein, Kenneth Bagstad, Carl Obst, Bram Edens, Sjoerd Schenau, Gem Castillo, Francois Soulard, Claire Brown, Amanda Driver, Michael Bordt, Anton Steurer, Rocky Harris, Alejandro Capparros
Rapid peat development beneath created, maturing mangrove forests: Ecosystem changes across a 25-year chronosequence Rapid peat development beneath created, maturing mangrove forests: Ecosystem changes across a 25-year chronosequence
Mangrove forests are among the world’s most productive and carbon‐rich ecosystems. Despite growing understanding of factors controlling mangrove forest soil carbon stocks, there is a need to advance understanding of the speed of peat development beneath maturing mangrove forests— especially in created and restored mangrove forests that are intended to compensate for ecosystem functions...
Authors
Michael Osland, Laura Feher, Amanda Spivak, Janet Nestlerode, Alejandro Almario, Nicole Cormier, Andrew From, Ken Krauss, Marc Russell, Federico Alvarez, Darrin Dantin, James Harvey, Camille Stagg
Tree mortality in blue oak woodland during extreme drought in Sequoia National Park, California Tree mortality in blue oak woodland during extreme drought in Sequoia National Park, California
Blue oak woodlands in California have been a focus of conservation concern for many years. Numerous studies have found that existing seedling and sapling numbers are inadequate to sustain current populations, and recent work has suggested that blue oak woodlands might be particularly vulnerable to a warming climate. California has recently experienced a drought of historically...
Authors
Adrian J. Das, Nicholas Ampersee, Anne Pfaff, Nathan Stephenson, Tedmund Swiecki, Elizabeth Bernhardt, Patricia Haggerty, Koren Nydick
Patterns of denitrification potential in tidal freshwater forested wetlands Patterns of denitrification potential in tidal freshwater forested wetlands
Limited evidence for spatial patterns of denitrification in tidal freshwater forested wetlands (TFFWs), seemingly due to high spatial variability in the process, is surprising considering the various spatial gradients of its biogeochemical and hydrogeomorphic controls in these ecosystems. Because certain physical environmental gradients may be useful for the prediction of denitrification...
Authors
Alicia Korol, Gregory Noe
Scientist’s guide to developing explanatory statistical models using causal analysis principles Scientist’s guide to developing explanatory statistical models using causal analysis principles
Recent discussions of model selection and multimodel inference highlight a general challenge for researchers, which is how to clearly convey the explanatory content of a hypothesized model or set of competing models. The advice from statisticians for scientists employing multimodel inference is to develop a well‐thought‐out set of candidate models for comparison, though precise...
Authors
James B. Grace, Kathryn Irvine
Invertebrate communities of Prairie-Pothole wetlands in the age of the aquatic Homogenocene Invertebrate communities of Prairie-Pothole wetlands in the age of the aquatic Homogenocene
Simplification of communities is a common consequence of anthropogenic modification. However, the prevalence and mechanisms of biotic homogenization among wetland systems require further examination. Biota of wetlands in the North American Prairie Pothole Region are adapted to high spatial and temporal variability in ponded-water duration and salinity. Recent climate change, however, has...
Authors
Kyle McLean, David Mushet, Jon Sweetman, Michael Anteau, Mark Wiltermuth
Alternative stable states in inherently unstable systems Alternative stable states in inherently unstable systems
Alternative stable states are nontransitory states within which communities can exist. However, even highly dynamic communities can be viewed within the framework of stable‐state theory if an appropriate “ecologically relevant” time scale is identified. The ecologically relevant time scale for dynamic systems needs to conform to the amount of time needed for a system's community to...
Authors
David Mushet, Owen McKenna, Kyle McLean
An assessment of the representation of ecosystems in global protected areas using new maps of World Climate Regions and World Ecosystems An assessment of the representation of ecosystems in global protected areas using new maps of World Climate Regions and World Ecosystems
Representation of ecosystems in protected area networks and conservation strategies is a core principle of global conservation priority setting approaches and a commitment in Aichi Target 11 of the Convention on Biological Diversity. The 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) explicitly call for the conservation of terrestrial, freshwater, and marine ecosystems. Accurate ecosystem...
Authors
Roger Sayre, Deniz Karagulle, Charlie Frye, Timothy Boucher, Nicholas Wolff, Sean Breyer, Dawn Wright, Madeline Martin, Kevin Butler, Keith Van Graafeiland, Jerry Touval, Leonardo Sotomayor, Jennifer McGowan, Edward Game, Hugh Possingham
Whitebark pine (Pinus albicaulis) growth and defense in response to mountain pine beetle outbreaks Whitebark pine (Pinus albicaulis) growth and defense in response to mountain pine beetle outbreaks
Whitebark pine (Pinus albicaulis) is a critical forest species of Northern Rocky Mountain upper subalpine ecosystems, yet little is known about the physiological response of whitebark pine to disturbance (e.g. fire, bark beetles, and pathogens) across a range of diverse environmental gradients. Resin–based defenses have long been recognized as the primary mechanism by which conifers...
Authors
Nickolas Kichas, Sharon Hood, Gregory Pederson, Richard Everett, David McWethy
Glacier retreat in Glacier National Park, Montana Glacier retreat in Glacier National Park, Montana
Currently, the volume of land ice on Earth is decreasing, driving consequential changes to global sea level and local stream habitat. Glacier retreat in Glacier National Park, Montana, U.S.A., is one example of land ice loss and glacier change. The U.S. Geological Survey Benchmark Glacier Project conducts glaciological research and collects field measurements across select North American...
Authors
Caitlyn Florentine
Impacts of Hurricane Irma on Florida Bay Islands, Everglades National Park, U.S.A. Impacts of Hurricane Irma on Florida Bay Islands, Everglades National Park, U.S.A.
Hurricane Irma made landfall in south Florida, USA, on September 10, 2017 as a category 4 storm. In January 2018, fieldwork was conducted on four previously (2014) sampled islands in Florida Bay, Everglades National Park to examine changes between 2014 and 2018. The objectives were to determine if the net impact of the storm was gain or loss of island landmass and/or elevation; observe...
Authors
G. Wingard, Sarah Bergstresser, Bethany Stackhouse, Miriam Jones, Marci Marot, Kristen Hoefke, Andre Daniels, Katherine Keller
Synergistic interaction of climate and land-use drivers alter the function of North American, Prairie-pothole Wetlands Synergistic interaction of climate and land-use drivers alter the function of North American, Prairie-pothole Wetlands
Prairie-pothole wetlands provide the critical habitat necessary for supporting North American migratory waterfowl populations. However, climate and land-use change threaten the sustainability of these wetland ecosystems. Very few experiments and analyses have been designed to investigate the relative impacts of climate and land-use change drivers, as well as the antagonistic or...
Authors
Owen McKenna, Samuel Kucia, David Mushet, Michael Anteau, Mark Wiltermuth