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Publications

Publications, scientific literature, and information products from the Land Change Science Program.

Filter Total Items: 565

Spatial variability in seasonal snowpack trends across the Rio Grande headwaters (1984 - 2017) Spatial variability in seasonal snowpack trends across the Rio Grande headwaters (1984 - 2017)

This study evaluated the spatial variability of trends in simulated snowpack properties across the Rio Grande headwaters of Colorado using the SnowModel snow evolution modeling system. SnowModel simulations were performed using a grid resolution of 100 m and 3-hourly time step over a 34-yr period (1984–2017). Atmospheric forcing was provided by phase 2 of the North American Land Data...
Authors
Graham A. Sexstone, Colin Penn, Glen Liston, Kelly Gleason, C. Moeser, David Clow

Summer runoff generation in foothill catchments of the Colorado Front Range Summer runoff generation in foothill catchments of the Colorado Front Range

Climatic shifts, disturbances, and land-use change can alter hydrologic flowpaths, water quality, and water supply to downstream communities. Prior research investigating streamflow generation processes in mountainous areas has largely focused on high-elevation alpine and subalpine catchments; less is known about these processes in lower-elevation foothills and montane catchments. In...
Authors
Isaac Bukoski, Sheila Murphy, Andrew Birch, Holly Barnard

Signatures of hydrologic function across the critical zone observatory network Signatures of hydrologic function across the critical zone observatory network

Despite a multitude of small catchment studies, we lack a deep understanding of how variations in critical zone architecture lead to variations in hydrologic states and fluxes. This study characterizes hydrologic dynamics of 15 catchments of the U.S. Critical Zone Observatory (CZO) network where we hypothesized that our understanding of subsurface structure would illuminate patterns of...
Authors
Adam Wlostowski, Noah Molotch, Suzanne Anderson, Susan Brantley, Jon Chorover, David Dralle, Praveen Kumar, Li Li, Kathleen Lohse, John Mallard, Jennifer McIntosh, Sheila Murphy, Eric Parrish, Mohammad Safeeq, Mark Seyfried, Yuning Shi, Ciaran Harman

From pools to flow: The PROMISE framework for new insights on soil carbon cycling in a changing world From pools to flow: The PROMISE framework for new insights on soil carbon cycling in a changing world

Soils represent the largest terrestrial reservoir of organic carbon, and the balance between soil organic carbon (SOC) formation and loss will drive powerful carbon‐climate feedbacks over the coming century. To date, efforts to predict SOC dynamics have rested on pool‐based models, which assume classes of SOC with internally homogenous physicochemical properties. However, emerging...
Authors
Bonnie Waring, Benjamin Sulman, Sasha C. Reed, A. Smith, Colin Averill, Courtney Creamer, Daniela Cusack, Steven Hall, Julie Jastrow, Kenneth Kemner, Markus Kleber, Xiao-Jun Liu, Jennifer Pett-Ridge, Marjorie S. Schulz

Getting to the root of plant‐mediated methane emissions and oxidation in a thermokarst bog Getting to the root of plant‐mediated methane emissions and oxidation in a thermokarst bog

Vascular plants are important in the wetland methane cycle, but their effect on production, oxidation, and transport has high uncertainty, limiting our ability to predict emissions. In a permafrost‐thaw bog in Interior Alaska, we used plant manipulation treatments, field‐deployed planar optical oxygen sensors, direct measurements of methane oxidation, and microbial DNA analyses to...
Authors
Jesse Turner, Colby Moorberg, Andrea Wong, Kathleen Shea, Mark Waldrop, Merritt Turetsky, Rebecca Neumann

Climate- versus geographic-dependent patterns in the spatial distribution ofmacroinvertebrate assemblages in New World depressional wetlands Climate- versus geographic-dependent patterns in the spatial distribution ofmacroinvertebrate assemblages in New World depressional wetlands

Analyses of biota at lower latitudes may presage impacts of climate change on biota at higher latitudes. Macroinvertebrate assemblages in depressional wetlands may be especially sensitive to climate change because weather‐related precipitation and evapotranspiration are dominant ecological controls on habitats, and organisms of depressional wetlands are temperature‐sensitive ectotherms...
Authors
C. Stenert, M.M. Pires, L.B. Epele, M.G. Grech, L. Maltchik, Kyle McLean, David Mushet, D.P. Batzer

Ultra‐high‐resolution mapping of biocrusts with Unmanned Aerial Systems Ultra‐high‐resolution mapping of biocrusts with Unmanned Aerial Systems

Biological soil crusts (biocrusts) occur in drylands globally where they support ecosystem functioning by increasing soil stability, reducing dust emissions and modifying soil resource availability (e.g. water, nutrients). Determining biocrust condition and extent across landscapes continues to present considerable challenges to scientists and land managers. Biocrusts grow in patches...
Authors
Caroline Havrilla, Miguel Villarreal, Jacob DiBiase, Michael Duniway, Nichole Barger

How plants influence resilience of salt marsh and mangrove wetlands to sea-level rise How plants influence resilience of salt marsh and mangrove wetlands to sea-level rise

This review evaluates the importance of plants and associated biological processes in determining the vulnerability of coastal wetlands to sea-level rise. Coastal wetlands occur across a broad sedimentary continuum from minerogenic to biogenic, providing an opportunity to examine the relative importance of biological processes in wetland resilience to sea-level rise. We explore how...
Authors
Donald Cahoon, Karen McKee, James Morris

Solar and sensor geometry, not vegetation response, drive satellite NDVI phenology in widespread ecosystems of the western United States Solar and sensor geometry, not vegetation response, drive satellite NDVI phenology in widespread ecosystems of the western United States

Satellite-derived phenology metrics are valuable tools for understanding broad-scale patterns and changes in vegetated landscapes over time. However, the extraction and interpretation of phenology in ecosystems with subtle growth dynamics can be challenging. US National Park Service monitoring of evergreen pinyon-juniper ecosystems in the western US revealed an unexpected winter-peaking
Authors
Jodi Norris, Jessica Walker

Processes influencing marsh elevation change in low- and high-elevation zones of a temperate salt marsh Processes influencing marsh elevation change in low- and high-elevation zones of a temperate salt marsh

The movement of salt marshes into uplands and marsh submergence as sea level rises is well documented; however, predicting how coastal marshes will respond to rising sea levels is constrained by a lack of process-based understanding of how various marsh zones adjust to changes in sea level. To assess the way in which salt marsh zones differ in their elevation response to sea-level change...
Authors
Linda Blum, Robert R. Christian, Donald Cahoon, Patricia Wiberg

Boreal blazes: Biomass burning and vegetation types archived in the Juneau Icefield Boreal blazes: Biomass burning and vegetation types archived in the Juneau Icefield

The past decade includes some of the most extensive boreal forest fires in the historical record. Warming temperatures, changing precipitation patterns, the desiccation of thick organic soil layers, and increased ignition from lightning all contribute to a combustive combination. Smoke aerosols travel thousands of kilometers, before blanketing the surfaces on which they fall, such as the...
Authors
Natalie Kehrwald, Jeramy Jasmann, Melissa Dunham, David Ferris, Erich Osterburg, Joshua Kennedy, Jeremy Havens, Larry B. Barber, Sarah Fortner

Modelling marsh-forest boundary transgression in response to storms and sea-level rise Modelling marsh-forest boundary transgression in response to storms and sea-level rise

The lateral extent and vertical stability of salt marshes experiencing rising sea levels depend on interacting drivers and feedbacks with potential for non‐linear behaviors. A two‐dimensional transect model was developed to examine changes in marsh and upland forest lateral extent and to explore controls on marsh inland transgression. Model behavior demonstrates limited and abrupt forest...
Authors
Joel A. Carr, Glenn Guntenspergen, Matthew Kirwan
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