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Evidence-based guidelines for protective actions and earthquake early warning systems Evidence-based guidelines for protective actions and earthquake early warning systems

Earthquake early warning systems (EEW) are becoming increasingly available or in development throughout the world. With public alerting in Mexico, Japan, Taiwan, and parts of the United States, it is important to provide evidence-based recommendations for protective action so people can protect themselves when they receive an alert. Best-practice warning communication research suggests...
Authors
Sara K. McBride, Hollie Smith, Meredith Morgoch, Danielle F. Sumy, Mariah Jenkins, Lori Peek, Ann Bostrom, Dare Baldwin, Beth Reddy, Robert M. de Groot, Julia Becker, David Johnston, Michelle Wood

Geodetic constraints on a 25-year magmatic inflation episode near Three Sisters, central Oregon Geodetic constraints on a 25-year magmatic inflation episode near Three Sisters, central Oregon

Crustal inflation near the Three Sisters volcanic center documented since the mid-1990s has persisted for more than two decades. We update past analyses of the event through 2020 by simultaneously inverting InSAR interferograms, GPS time series, and leveling data for time-dependent volcanic deformation source parameters. We explore several source models to estimate how the deformation...
Authors
Michael Lisowski, Robert McCaffrey, Charles Wicks, Daniel Dzurisin

STEPS: Slip time earthquake path simulations applied to the San Andreas and Toe Jam Hill Faults to redefine geologic slip rate uncertainty STEPS: Slip time earthquake path simulations applied to the San Andreas and Toe Jam Hill Faults to redefine geologic slip rate uncertainty

Geologic slip rates are a time-averaged measurement of fault displacement calculated over hundreds to million-year time scales and are a primary input for probabilistic seismic hazard analyses, which forecast expected ground shaking in future earthquakes. Despite their utility for seismic hazard calculations, longer-term geologic slip rates represent a time-averaged measure of the tempo...
Authors
Alexandra Elise Hatem, Ryan D. Gold, Richard W. Briggs, Katherine M. Scharer, Edward H. Field

Five-year management plan for establishing and operating NVEWS—The National Volcano Early Warning System Five-year management plan for establishing and operating NVEWS—The National Volcano Early Warning System

On March 12, 2019, Congress passed the John D. Dingell, Jr., Conservation, Management, and Recreation Act (Public Law 116–9; 133 Stat. 580), in which Title V, §5001 (43 U.S.C. 31k) authorized the establishment of the National Volcano Early Warning and Monitoring System (NVEWS) within the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Conceived by the USGS Volcano Hazards Program in 2005, NVEWS is...
Authors
Peter F. Cervelli, Charlie Mandeville, Victoria F. Avery, Aleeza Wilkins

The seismic hazard implications of declustering and poisson assumptions inferred from a fully time‐dependent model The seismic hazard implications of declustering and poisson assumptions inferred from a fully time‐dependent model

We use the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3) epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model (UCERF3‐ETAS) to evaluate the effects of declustering and Poisson assumptions on seismic hazard estimates. Although declustering is necessary to infer the long‐term spatial distribution of earthquake rates, the question is whether it is also necessary to honor the...
Authors
Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Nico Luco

Workshop on terrestrial analogs for planetary exploration Workshop on terrestrial analogs for planetary exploration

Terrestrial analogs are an important part of the robotic and human exploration of the solar system. One of the main recommendations from a community survey conducted in 2019 was to hold a workshop to increase communication and share resources among scientists, engineers, data managers, educators, and students who are involved, or hope to be involved, in terrestrial analog studies.
Authors
Lauren A. Edgar, Amber L. Gullikson, M. Elise Rumpf, Skinner

Geophysical constraints on the crustal architecture of the transtensional Warm Springs Valley fault zone, northern Walker Lane, western Nevada, USA Geophysical constraints on the crustal architecture of the transtensional Warm Springs Valley fault zone, northern Walker Lane, western Nevada, USA

The Walker Lane is a zone of distributed transtension where normal faults are overprinted by strike-slip motion. We use two newly-acquired high-resolution seismic reflection profiles and a reprocessed Consortium for Continental Reflection Profiling (COCORP) deep crustal reflection profile to assess the subsurface geometry of the Holocene-active, transtensional Warm Springs Valley fault...
Authors
Richard W. Briggs, William J. Stephenson, J.H. McBride, Jackson K. Odum, Nadine G. Reitman, Ryan D. Gold

Intelligent monitoring system for real-time geologic storage, optimization, and reservoir management Intelligent monitoring system for real-time geologic storage, optimization, and reservoir management

The objective of the subtask was to develop a near-real-time monitoring system for seismic data at the Decatur, IL, geologic carbon sequestration (GCS) site and specifically include fiber-optic cable derived distributed acoustic signal (DAS) data in the process. Owing to the large volumes of data, we opted to utilize existing deep borehole conventional seismic sensors for detection and...
Authors
J. Ole Kaven

Clays are not created equal: How clay mineral type affects soil parameterization Clays are not created equal: How clay mineral type affects soil parameterization

Clay minerals dominate the soil colloidal fraction and its specific surface area. Differences among clay mineral types significantly influence their effects on soil hydrological and mechanical behavior. Presently, the soil clay content is used to parameterize soil hydraulic and mechanical properties (SHMP) for land surface models while disregarding the type of clay mineral. This...
Authors
Peter Lehmann, Ben Leshchinsky, Surya Gupta, Benjamin B. Mirus, Samuel Bickel, Ning Lu, Dani Or

Developing landslide chronologies using landslide-dammed lakes in the Oregon Coast Range Developing landslide chronologies using landslide-dammed lakes in the Oregon Coast Range

The Oregon Coast Range is a dynamic landscape that is continually shaped by shallow and deep-seated landslides that can have disastrous consequences to infrastructure and human lives. Searching for evidence of potentially coseismic mass wasting is incredibly difficult, particularly when historical observations are limited. Landslide-dammed lakes with submerged “ghost forests” in the...
Authors
Logan Wetherell, William Struble, Sean Richard LaHusen

Imaging the next Cascadia earthquake: Optimal design for a seafloor GNSS- A network Imaging the next Cascadia earthquake: Optimal design for a seafloor GNSS- A network

The Cascadia subduction zone in the Pacific Northwest of the United States of America capable of producing magnitude ∼9 earthquakes, likely often accompanied by tsunamis. An outstanding question in this region is the degree and spatial extent of interseismic strain accumulation on the subduction megathrust. Seafloor geodetic methods combining GNSS and underwater acoustic ranging (GNSS-A)...
Authors
Eileen L. Evans, Sarah E. Minson, David Chadwell

The finicky nature of earthquake shaking-triggered submarine sediment slope failures and sediment gravity flows The finicky nature of earthquake shaking-triggered submarine sediment slope failures and sediment gravity flows

Since 2011, seafloor temperatures, pressures, and seismic ground motions have been measured by the seafloor cabled Dense Oceanfloor Network system for Earthquakes and Tsunamis (DONET) on the Nankai margin. These measurements, high-resolution bathymetry, and abundant contextual information make the DONET region seem ideally suited to provide constraints on seismic shaking-triggered...
Authors
Joan S. Gomberg, Keisuke Ariyoshi, Susan Hautala, H.P. Johnson
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