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Publications

Listed here are publications, reports and articles by the Land Change Science Program in the USGS Ecosystems Mission Area.

Filter Total Items: 1145

Southeast Utah Group climate and drought adaptation report: Exposure and perennial grass sensitivity Southeast Utah Group climate and drought adaptation report: Exposure and perennial grass sensitivity

National Park Service (NPS) managers face growing challenges resulting from the effects of climate change. In particular, as temperatures rise in coming decades, natural resource management in the western United States must cope with expectations for elevated severity and frequency of droughts. These challenges are particularly pronounced for vegetation managers in dryland environments...
Authors
John B. Bradford, Caroline Havrilla, Jessica Hartsell, Daniel Schlaepfer, Molly McCormick, Seth Munson, Charles Yackulic, Terry Fisk, David Thoma, Dusty Perkins, Dana Witwicki, Matt VanScoyoc, Michael Duniway, Sasha C. Reed

Elevated nitrogen deposition to fire-prone forests adjacent to urban and agricultural areas, Colorado front range, USA Elevated nitrogen deposition to fire-prone forests adjacent to urban and agricultural areas, Colorado front range, USA

As humans increasingly dominate the nitrogen cycle, deposition of reactive nitrogen (Nr) will continue to have adverse consequences for ecosystems. In the Rocky Mountains, Nr deposition remains elevated and has become increasingly dominated by ammonium, despite efforts to reduce emissions. Currently, spatial models of Nr deposition do not fully account for urban and agricultural...
Authors
Ruth Heindel, Sheila Murphy, Deborah Repert, Gregory Wetherbee, Alexander Liethen, David Clow, Toby Halamka

Migration and transformation of coastal wetlands in response to rising seas Migration and transformation of coastal wetlands in response to rising seas

Coastal wetlands are not only among the world’s most valued ecosystems but also among the most threatened by high greenhouse gas emissions that lead to accelerated sea level rise. There is intense debate regarding the extent to which landward migration of wetlands might compensate for seaward wetland losses. By integrating data from 166 estuaries across the conterminous United States, we...
Authors
Michael Osland, Bogdan Chivoiu, Nicholas Enwright, Karen M. Thorne, Glenn Guntenspergen, James Grace, Leah Dale, William Brooks, Nathaniel Herold, John Day, Fred Sklar, Christopher Swarzenski

Biofilms in the Critical Zone: Distribution and mediation of processes Biofilms in the Critical Zone: Distribution and mediation of processes

Microbial biofilms occur in all levels of the Critical Zone (CZ); they are on and in the vegetation, throughout the soil-saprolite zone, and along fractures in deep subsurface. Here we discuss biofilms in each level of the CZ with a focus in the soil-saprolite continuum. We show how scanning electron microscope (SEM) images provide an appropriate scale to explore microbe mineral...
Authors
Marjorie S. Schulz, Kristen Manies

Modeling impacts of drought-induced salinity intrusion on carbon dynamics in tidal freshwater forested wetlands Modeling impacts of drought-induced salinity intrusion on carbon dynamics in tidal freshwater forested wetlands

Tidal freshwater forested wetlands (TFFW) provide critical ecosystem services including essential habitat for a variety of wildlife species and significant carbon sinks for atmospheric carbon dioxide. However, large uncertainties remain concerning the impacts of climate change on the magnitude and variability of carbon fluxes and storage across a range of TFFW. In this study, we...
Authors
Hongqing Wang, Zhaohua Dai, Carl Trettin, Ken Krauss, Gregory Noe, Andrew Burton, Camille Stagg, Eric Ward

Beyond glacier-wide mass balances: Parsing seasonal elevation change into spatially resolved patterns of accumulation and ablation at Wolverine Glacier, Alaska Beyond glacier-wide mass balances: Parsing seasonal elevation change into spatially resolved patterns of accumulation and ablation at Wolverine Glacier, Alaska

We present spatially distributed seasonal and annual surface mass balances of Wolverine Glacier, Alaska, from 2016 to 2020. Our approach accounts for the effects of ice emergence and firn compaction on surface elevation changes to resolve the spatial patterns in mass balance at 10 m scale. We present and compare three methods for estimating emergence velocities. Firn compaction was...
Authors
Lucas Zeller, Daniel McGrath, Louis C. Sass, Shad O'Neel, Christopher J. McNeil, Emily Baker

Evaluating the paleoenvironmental significance of sediment grain size in Bering Sea sediments during Marine Isotope Stage 11 Evaluating the paleoenvironmental significance of sediment grain size in Bering Sea sediments during Marine Isotope Stage 11

Grain size is an important textural property of sediments and is widely used in paleoenvironmental studies as a means to infer changes in the sedimentary environment. However, grain size parameters are not always easy to interpret without a full understanding of the factors that influence grain size. Here, we measure grain size in sediment cores from the Bering slope and the Umnak...
Authors
Natalie Thompson, Beth Caissie

A refined assessment of the paleoceanographic and tectonic influences on the deposition of the Monterey Formation in California A refined assessment of the paleoceanographic and tectonic influences on the deposition of the Monterey Formation in California

Application of updated diatom biochronology to the Monterey Formation and related biosiliceous rocks reveals the imprint of both global paleoclimatic/ paleoceanographic and regional tectonic events. A rise in global sea level combined with regional tectonic deepening associated with the development of the transform California margin resulted in the abrupt onset of deposition of fine...
Authors
John Barron

The consequences of climate change for dryland biogeochemistry The consequences of climate change for dryland biogeochemistry

Drylands, which cover more than 40% of Earth’s terrestrial surface, are dominant drivers of global biogeochemical cycling and home to more than one third of the human population. Climate projections predict warming, drought frequency and severity, and evaporative demand will increase in drylands at faster rates than global means. Due to extreme temperatures and high biological dependency...
Authors
Brooke Osborne, Brandon Bestelmeyer, Courtney Currier, Peter Homyak, Heather Throop, Kristina E. Young, Sasha C. Reed

Analysis of surface water trends for the conterminous United States using MODIS satellite data, 2003–2019 Analysis of surface water trends for the conterminous United States using MODIS satellite data, 2003–2019

Satellite imagery is commonly used to map surface water extents over time, but many approaches yield discontinuous records resulting from cloud obstruction or image archive gaps. We applied the Dynamic Surface Water Extent (DSWE) model to downscaled (250-m) daily Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data in Google Earth Engine to generate monthly surface water maps for...
Authors
Roy Petrakis, Christopher Soulard, Eric Waller, Jessica J. Walker

Processes and mechanisms of coastal woody-plant mortality Processes and mechanisms of coastal woody-plant mortality

Observations of woody plant mortality in coastal ecosystems are globally widespread, but the overarching processes and underlying mechanisms are poorly understood. This knowledge deficiency, combined with rapidly changing water levels, storm surges, atmospheric CO2, and vapor pressure deficit, creates large predictive uncertainty regarding how coastal ecosystems will respond to global...
Authors
Nate McDowell, Marilyn Ball, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Matthew Kirwan, Ken Krauss, J. Megonigal, Maurizio Mencuccini, Nicholas Ward, Michael N. Weintraub, Vanessa Bailey

Surface elevation change dynamics in coastal marshes along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico: Anticipating effects of rising sea-level and intensifying hurricanes Surface elevation change dynamics in coastal marshes along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico: Anticipating effects of rising sea-level and intensifying hurricanes

Accelerated sea-level rise and intensifying hurricanes highlight the need to better understand surface elevation change in coastal wetlands. We used the surface elevation table-marker horizon approach to measure surface elevation change in 14 coastal marshes along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, within five National Wildlife Refuges in Texas (USA). During the 2014–2019 study period, the...
Authors
Jena Moon, Laura Feher, Tiffany Lane, William Vervaeke, Michael Osland, Douglas Head, Bogdan Chivoiu, David R. Stewart, Darren Johnson, James Grace, Kristine Metzger, Nicole Rankin
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