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Publications

Listed here are publications, reports and articles by the Land Change Science Program in the USGS Ecosystems Mission Area.

Filter Total Items: 1145

Salinity yield modeling of the Upper Colorado River Basin using 30-meter resolution soil maps and random forests Salinity yield modeling of the Upper Colorado River Basin using 30-meter resolution soil maps and random forests

Salinity loading in the Upper Colorado River Basin (UCRB) costs local economies upwards of $300 million US dollars annually. Salinity source models have generally included coarse spatial data to represent non‐agriculture sources. We developed new predictive soil property and cover maps at 30 m resolution to improve source representation in salinity modeling. Salinity loading erosion risk...
Authors
Travis Nauman, Christopher P. Ely, Matthew Miller, Michael Duniway

Hydrologic lag effects on wetland greenhouse gas fluxes Hydrologic lag effects on wetland greenhouse gas fluxes

Hydrologic margins of wetlands are narrow, transient zones between inundated and dry areas. As water levels fluctuate, the dynamic hydrology at margins may impact wetland greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes that are sensitive to soil saturation. The Prairie Pothole Region of North America consists of millions of seasonally-ponded wetlands that are ideal for studying hydrologic transition states...
Authors
Brian Tangen, Sheel Bansal

An integrated framework for ecological drought across riverscapes of North America An integrated framework for ecological drought across riverscapes of North America

Climate change is increasing the severity and extent of extreme droughts events, posing a critical threat to freshwater ecosystems, particularly with increasing human demands for diminishing water supplies. Despite the importance of drought as a significant driver of ecological and evolutionary dynamics, current understanding of drought consequences for freshwater biodiversity is very...
Authors
Ryan Kovach, Jason Dunham, Robert Al-Chokhachy, Craig Snyder, Erik A. Beever, Gregory Pederson, Abigail Lynch, Nathaniel Hitt, Christopher P. Konrad, Kristin Jaeger, Alan Rea, Adam Sepulveda, Patrick Lambert, Jason Stoker, J. Giersch, Clint Muhlfeld

Global patterns of tree stem growth and stand aboveground wood production in mangrove forests Global patterns of tree stem growth and stand aboveground wood production in mangrove forests

Mangrove forests provide important ecological and economic services including carbon sequestration and storage. The conservation and restoration of mangroves are expected to play an important role in mitigating climate change, and understanding the factors influencing mangrove stem growth and wood production are important in predicting and improving mangrove carbon sequestration and...
Authors
Yanmei Xiong, Roxelane Cakir, Sang Phan, Anne Ola, Ken Krauss, Catherine Lovelock

Effects of 21st century climate, land use, and disturbances on ecosystem carbon balance in California Effects of 21st century climate, land use, and disturbances on ecosystem carbon balance in California

Terrestrial ecosystems are an important sink for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), sequestering ~30% of annual anthropogenic emissions and slowing the rise of atmospheric CO2. However, the future direction and magnitude of the land sink is highly uncertain. We examined how historical and projected changes in climate, land use, and ecosystem disturbances affect the carbon balance of...
Authors
Benjamin Sleeter, David Marvin, D. Cameron, Paul Selmants, LeRoy Westerling, Jason Kreitler, Colin Daniel, Jinxun Liu, Tamara Wilson

Jump-starting coastal wetland restoration: A comparison of marsh and mangrove foundation species Jump-starting coastal wetland restoration: A comparison of marsh and mangrove foundation species

During coastal wetland restoration, foundation plant species play a critical role in creating habitat, modulating ecosystem functions, and supporting ecological communities. Following initial hydrologic restoration, foundation plant species can help stabilize sediments and jump-start ecosystem development. Different foundation species, however, have different traits and environmental...
Authors
Erik Yando, Michael Osland, Scott Jones, Mark Hester

Establishment of Salsola tragus on aeolian sands: A Southern Colorado Plateau case study Establishment of Salsola tragus on aeolian sands: A Southern Colorado Plateau case study

Russian-thistle (Salsola tragus L.), is a nonnative, C4 photosynthesizing, annual plant that infests disturbed and natural areas in the arid U.S. Southwest. Land managers of natural areas may need to decide whether a S. tragus infestation is potentially harmful and whether it should be actively managed. One factor informing that decision is an understanding of the conditions under which...
Authors
Kathryn Thomas, Margaret Hiza

Fire risk in revegetated bunchgrass communities Infested with Bromus tectorum Fire risk in revegetated bunchgrass communities Infested with Bromus tectorum

In rangeland ecosystems, invasive annual grass replacement of native perennials is associated with higher fire risk. Large bunchgrasses are often seeded to reduce cover of annuals such as Bromus tectorum L. (cheatgrass), but there is limited information about how revegetation reduces fire risk over the long-term. For this research note, we conducted a pilot study to assess how community
Authors
Steve Link, Randall Hill, Sheel Bansal

New geochemical evidence for the origin of North America's largest dune field, the Nebraska Sand Hills, central Great Plains, USA New geochemical evidence for the origin of North America's largest dune field, the Nebraska Sand Hills, central Great Plains, USA

The Nebraska Sand Hills region is the largest dune field in North America and has diverse aeolian landforms. It has been active during both the late Pleistocene and late Holocene. Despite decades of study, the source of sediment for this large sand sea is still controversial. Here we report new trace element compositions of aeolian sand that are compared to four hypothesized sediment...
Authors
Daniel R. Muhs, James Budahn

Shrub persistence and increased grass mortality in response to drought in dryland systems Shrub persistence and increased grass mortality in response to drought in dryland systems

Droughts in the southwest United States have led to major forest and grassland die‐off events in recent decades, suggesting plant community and ecosystem shifts are imminent as native perennial grass populations are replaced by shrub‐ and invasive plant‐dominated systems. These patterns are similar to those observed in arid and semiarid systems around the globe, but our ability to...
Authors
Daniel Winkler, Jayne Belnap, David Hoover, Sasha Reed, Michael Duniway

Permafrost collapse is accelerating carbon release Permafrost collapse is accelerating carbon release

This much is clear: the Arctic is warming fast, and frozen soils are starting to thaw, often for the first time in thousands of years. But how this happens is as murky as the mud that oozes from permafrost when ice melts. As the temperature of the ground rises above freezing, microorganisms break down organic matter in the soil. Greenhouse gases — including carbon dioxide, methane and...
Authors
Merritt Turetsky, Benjamin W. Abbott, Miriam Jones, Katey Walter Anthony, David Olefeldt, Edward Schuur, Charles Koven, A.D. McGuire, Guido Grosse, Peter Kuhry, Gustaf Hugelius, David Lawrence, Carolyn Gibson, A. Sannel

Reducing sampling uncertainty in aeolian research to improve change detection Reducing sampling uncertainty in aeolian research to improve change detection

Measurements of aeolian sediment transport support our understanding of mineral dust impacts on Earth and human systems and assessments of aeolian process sensitivities to global environmental change. However, sample design principles are often overlooked in aeolian research. Here, we use high‐density field measurements of sediment mass flux across land use and land cover types to...
Authors
Nicholas Webb, Adrian Chappell, Brandon Edwards, Sarah McCord, Justin Van Zee, Bradley Cooper, Ericha Courtright, Michael Duniway, Brenton Sharratt, Negussie H Tedela, David Toledo
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