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Publications

Publications, scientific literature, and information products from the Land Change Science Program.

Filter Total Items: 565

Beyond clay: Towards an improved set of variables for predicting soil organic matter content Beyond clay: Towards an improved set of variables for predicting soil organic matter content

Improved quantification of the factors controlling soil organic matter (SOM) stabilization at continental to global scales is needed to inform projections of the largest actively cycling terrestrial carbon pool on Earth, and its response to environmental change. Biogeochemical models rely almost exclusively on clay content to modify rates of SOM turnover and fluxes of climate-active CO2...
Authors
Craig Rasmussen, Katherine Heckman, William Wieder, Marco Keiluweit, Corey Lawrence, Asmeret Asefaw Berhe, Joseph Blankinship, Susan Crow, Jennifer Druhan, Caitlin Hicks Pries, Erika Marin-Spiotta, Alain Plante, Christina Schadel, Joshua Schmiel, Carlos A. Sierra, Aaron Thompson, Rota Wagai

Vegetation cover, tidal amplitude and land area predict short-term marsh vulnerability in Coastal Louisiana Vegetation cover, tidal amplitude and land area predict short-term marsh vulnerability in Coastal Louisiana

The loss of coastal marshes is a topic of great concern, because these habitats provide tangible ecosystem services and are at risk from sea-level rise and human activities. In recent years, significant effort has gone into understanding and modeling the relationships between the biological and physical factors that contribute to marsh stability. Simulation-based process models suggest...
Authors
Donald Schoolmaster, Camille Stagg, Leigh Sharp, Tommy McGinnis, Bernard Wood, Sarai Piazza

Hydroclimatology of the Missouri River basin Hydroclimatology of the Missouri River basin

Despite the importance of the Missouri River for navigation, recreation, habitat, hydroelectric power, and agriculture, relatively little is known about the basic hydroclimatology of the Missouri River basin (MRB). This is of particular concern given the droughts and floods that have occurred over the past several decades and the potential future exacerbation of these extremes by climate...
Authors
Erika Wise, Connie Woodhouse, Gregory McCabe, Gregory Pederson, Jeannine-Marie St. Jacques

Accommodating state shifts within the conceptual framework of the wetland continuum Accommodating state shifts within the conceptual framework of the wetland continuum

The Wetland Continuum is a conceptual framework that facilitates the interpretation of biological studies of wetland ecosystems. Recently summarized evidence documenting how a multi-decadal wet period has influenced aspects of wetland, lake and stream systems in the southern prairie-pothole region of North America has revealed the potential for wetlands to shift among alternate states...
Authors
David Mushet, Owen McKenna, James LaBaugh, Ned Euliss, Donald Rosenberry

Monitoring global tree mortality patterns and trends. Report from the VW symposium ‘Crossing scales and disciplines to identify global trends of tree mortality as indicators of forest health’ Monitoring global tree mortality patterns and trends. Report from the VW symposium ‘Crossing scales and disciplines to identify global trends of tree mortality as indicators of forest health’

From the 21stto the 23rdJune 2017, the Herrenhausen castle inHannover/Germany hosted a diverse and large crowd with morethan 70 tree physiologists, forest ecologists, forest inventoryexperts, remote-sensing scientists, and vegetation modele rs. Par-ticipants from six continent s and from more than 20 countriesgathered to discuss how to improve the scientific determination ofglobal-scale...
Authors
Henrik Hartmann, Bernhard Schuldt, Tanja Sanders, Cate Macinnis-Ng, Hans Boehmer, Craig Allen, Andreas Bolte, Thomas Crowther, Matthew Hansen, Belinda Medlyn, Nadine Ruehr, William Anderegg

A molecular investigation of soil organic carbon composition across a subalpine catchment A molecular investigation of soil organic carbon composition across a subalpine catchment

The dynamics of soil organic carbon (SOC) storage and turnover are a critical component of the global carbon cycle. Mechanistic models seeking to represent these complex dynamics require detailed SOC compositions, which are currently difficult to characterize quantitatively. Here, we address this challenge by using a novel approach that combines Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy...
Authors
Hsiao-Tieh Hsu, Corey Lawrence, Matthew Winnick, John Bargar, Katharine Maher

Resource competition model predicts zonation and increasing nutrient use efficiency along a wetland salinity gradient Resource competition model predicts zonation and increasing nutrient use efficiency along a wetland salinity gradient

A trade-off between competitive ability and stress tolerance has been hypothesized and empirically supported to explain the zonation of species across stress gradients for a number of systems. Since stress often reduces plant productivity, one might expect a pattern of decreasing productivity across the zones of the stress gradient. However, this pattern is often not observed in coastal...
Authors
Donald Schoolmaster, Camille Stagg

Southeast Southeast

The Southeast includes vast expanses of coastal and inland low-lying areas, the southern portion of the Appalachian Mountains, numerous high-growth metropolitan areas, and large rural expanses. These beaches and bayous, fields and forests, and cities and small towns are all at risk from a changing climate. While some climate change impacts, such as sea level rise and extreme downpours...
Authors
Lynne Carter, Adam Terando, Kirstin Dow, Kevin Hiers, Kenneth Kunkel, Aranzazu Lascurain, Doug Marcy, Michael Osland, Paul Schramm

DOI/GTN-P climate and active-layer data acquired in the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska and the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, 1998-2019 DOI/GTN-P climate and active-layer data acquired in the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska and the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, 1998-2019

This report provides data collected by the climate monitoring array of the U.S. Department of the Interior on Federal lands in Arctic Alaska over the period August 1998 to July 2019; this array is part of the Global Terrestrial Network for Permafrost (DOI/GTN-P). In addition to presenting data, this report also describes monitoring, data collection, and quality-control methods. The array...
Authors
Frank Urban, Gary Clow

Northeast Northeast

The distinct seasonality of the Northeast’s climate supports a diverse natural landscape adapted to the extremes of cold, snowy winters and warm to hot, humid summers. This natural landscape provides the economic and cultural foundation for many rural communities, which are largely supported by a diverse range of agricultural, tourism, and natural resource-dependent industries (see Ch...
Authors
Lesley-Ann Dupigny-Giroux, Ellen Mecray, Mary Lemcke-Stampone, Glenn Hodgkins, Erika Lentz, Katherine Mills, Erin Lane, Rawlings Miller, David Hollinger, William Solecki, Gregory Wellenius, Perry Sheffield, Anthony McDonald, Christopher Caldwell

Model-based scenario planning to inform climate change adaptation in the Northern Great Plains—Final report Model-based scenario planning to inform climate change adaptation in the Northern Great Plains—Final report

Public Summary We worked with managers in two focal areas to plan for the uncertain future by integrating quantitative climate change scenarios and simulation modeling into scenario planning exercises. In our central North Dakota focal area, centered on Knife River Indian Villages National Historic Site, managers are concerned about how changes in flood severity and growing conditions...
Authors
Amy Symstad, Brian W. Miller, Jonathan Friedman, Nicholas Fisichelli, Andrea Ray, Erika Rowland, Gregor Schuurman

A case study examining the efficacy of drainage setbacks for limiting effects to wetlands in the Prairie Pothole Region, USA A case study examining the efficacy of drainage setbacks for limiting effects to wetlands in the Prairie Pothole Region, USA

The enhancement of agricultural lands through the use of artificial drainage systems is a common practice throughout the United States, and recently the use of this practice has expanded in the Prairie Pothole Region. Many wetlands are afforded protection from the direct effects of drainage through regulation or legal agreements, and drainage setback distances typically are used to...
Authors
Brian Tangen, Raymond Finocchiaro
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