Publications
Publications, scientific literature, and information products from the Land Change Science Program.
Filter Total Items: 565
The Global food‐energy‐water nexus The Global food‐energy‐water nexus
Water availability is a major factor constraining humanity's ability to meet the future food and energy needs of a growing and increasingly affluent human population. Water plays an important role in the production of energy, including renewable energy sources and the extraction of unconventional fossil fuels that are expected to become important players in future energy security. The...
Authors
Paolo D’Odorico, Kyle Frankel Davis, Lorenzo Rosa, Joel A. Carr, Davide Chiarelli, Jampel Dell’Angelo, Jessica Gephart, Graham MacDonald, David Seekell, Samir Suweis, Maria Rulli
Forecasting for dry and wet avalanches during mixed rain and snow storm events Forecasting for dry and wet avalanches during mixed rain and snow storm events
Natural wet slab avalanches release when rain or melt water decreases snowpack strength, and natural dry slab avalanches release when an increased load overcomes snowpack strength. This study investigates avalanche activity resulting from mixed rain and snow falling on a faceted snowpack. This scenario produced an extensive slab avalanche cycle in March 2018 in the mountains near Ketchum...
Authors
Scott Savage, Erich Peitzsch, Simon Trautman, Benjamin VandenBos
Detecting snow depth change in avalanche path starting zones using uninhabited aerial systems and structure from motion photogrammetry Detecting snow depth change in avalanche path starting zones using uninhabited aerial systems and structure from motion photogrammetry
Understanding snow depth distribution and change is useful for avalanche forecasting and mitigation, runoff forecasting, and infrastructure planning. Advances in remote sensing are improving the ability to collect snow depth measurements. The development of structure from motion (SfM), a photogrammetry technique, combined with the use of uninhabited aerial systems (UASs) allows for high...
Authors
Erich Peitzsch, Daniel Fagre, Jordy Hendrikx, Karl Birkeland
Iron dissolution and speciation in atmospheric mineral dust: Metal-metal synergistic and antagonistic effects Iron dissolution and speciation in atmospheric mineral dust: Metal-metal synergistic and antagonistic effects
Under acidic atmospheric conditions, iron leached from atmospheric mineral dust may influence the distribution of bioavailable iron at a global scale. However, the effects of non-Fe-containing minerals on iron dissolution remain unknown. This work describes metal-metal synergistic and antagonistic effects on iron dissolution that go beyond aggregation and ionic strength effects in...
Authors
Eshani Hettiarachchi, Richard Reynolds, Harland Goldstein, Bruce Moskowitz, Gayan Rubasinghege
Changing station coverage impacts temperature trends in the Upper Colorado River Basin Changing station coverage impacts temperature trends in the Upper Colorado River Basin
Over the Upper Colorado River Basin (UCRB), temperatures in widely used gridded data products do not warm as much as mean temperatures from a stable set of U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) stations, located at generally lower elevations, in most months of the year. This is contrary to expectations of elevation-dependent warming, which suggests that warming increases with...
Authors
Stephanie A. McAfee, Gregory McCabe, Stephen Gray, Gregory Pederson
Population vulnerability to tsunami hazards informed by previous and projected disasters: A case study of American Samoa Population vulnerability to tsunami hazards informed by previous and projected disasters: A case study of American Samoa
Population vulnerability from tsunamis is a function of the number and location of individuals in hazard zones and their ability to reach safety before wave arrival. Previous tsunami disasters can provide insight on likely evacuation behavior, but post-disaster assessments have not been used extensively in evacuation modeling. We demonstrate the utility of post-disaster assessments in...
Authors
Nathan Wood, Jeanne Jones, Yoshiki Yamazaki, Kwok-Fai Cheung, Jacinta Brown, Jamie Jones, Nina Abdollahian
Identifying major avalanche years from a regional tree-ring based avalanche chronology for the U.S. Northern Rocky Mountains Identifying major avalanche years from a regional tree-ring based avalanche chronology for the U.S. Northern Rocky Mountains
Avalanches not only pose a major hazard to people and infrastructure, but also act as an important ecological disturbance. In many mountainous regions in North America, including areas with existing transportation corridors, reliable and consistent avalanche records are sparse or non-existent. Thus, inferring long-term avalanche patterns and associated contributory climate and weather...
Authors
Erich Peitzsch, Daniel Fagre, Gregory Pederson, Jordy Hendrikx, Karl Birkeland, Daniel Stahle
PRISM marine sites—The history of PRISM sea surface temperature estimation PRISM marine sites—The history of PRISM sea surface temperature estimation
For more than three decades, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Pliocene Research, Interpretation and Synoptic Mapping (PRISM) Project has compiled paleoenvironmental data with the goal of reconstructing global conditions during the warm interval in the middle of the Piacenzian Age of the Pliocene Epoch (about 3.3 to 3.0 million years ago). Because this is the most recent interval of time...
Authors
Marci Robinson, Harry Dowsett, Kevin Foley, Christina Riesselman
Differing modes of biotic connectivity within freshwater ecosystem mosaics Differing modes of biotic connectivity within freshwater ecosystem mosaics
We describe a collection of aquatic and wetland habitats in an inland landscape, and their occurrence within a terrestrial matrix, as a “freshwater ecosystem mosaic” (FEM). Aquatic and wetland habitats in any FEM can vary widely, from permanently ponded lakes, to ephemerally ponded wetlands, to groundwater‐fed springs, to flowing rivers and streams. The terrestrial matrix can also vary...
Authors
David Mushet, Laurie Alexander, Micah Bennet, Kate Schofield, Jay Christensen, Genevieve Ali, Amina Pollard, Ken Fritz, Megan Lang
Biological connectivity of seasonally ponded wetlands across spatial and temporal scales Biological connectivity of seasonally ponded wetlands across spatial and temporal scales
Many species that inhabit seasonally ponded wetlands also rely on surrounding upland habitats and nearby aquatic ecosystems for resources to support life stages and to maintain viable populations. Understanding biological connectivity among these habitats is critical to ensure that landscapes are protected at appropriate scales to conserve species and ecosystem function. Biological...
Authors
Lora Smith, Amanda Subalusky, Carla Atkinson, Julia Earl, David Mushet, David Scott, Stacey Lance, Steve Johnson
Fire, flood, and drought: Extreme climate events alter flow paths and stream chemistry Fire, flood, and drought: Extreme climate events alter flow paths and stream chemistry
Extreme climate events—such as hurricanes, droughts, extreme precipitation, and wildfires—have the potential to alter watershed processes and stream response. Yet due to the destructive and hazardous nature and unpredictability of such events, capturing their hydrochemical signal is challenging. A 5‐year postwildfire study of stream chemistry in the Fourmile Creek watershed, Colorado...
Authors
Sheila Murphy, R. McCleskey, Deborah Martin, Jeffrey H. Writer, Brian Ebel
Before the storm: Antecedent conditions as regulators of hydrologic and biogeochemical response to extreme climate events Before the storm: Antecedent conditions as regulators of hydrologic and biogeochemical response to extreme climate events
While the influence of antecedent conditions on watershed function is widely recognized under typical hydrologic regimes, gaps remain in the context of extreme climate events (ECEs). ECEs are those events that far exceed seasonal norms of intensity, duration, or impact upon the physical environment or ecosystem. In this synthesis, we discuss the role of source availability and hydrologic
Authors
Sara McMillan, Henry Wilson, Christina Tague, Daniel Hanes, Shreeram Inamdar, Diana Karwan, Terry Loecke, Jonathan Morrison, Sheila Murphy, Philippe Vidon