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Anne M Wein, Ph.D. (Former Employee)

Science and Products

HayWired - Engineering implications

Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication scientists coauthored several chapters in the Earthquake hazards volume of the HayWired earthquake scenario.
By
Western Geographic Science Center
HayWired - Engineering implications

HayWired - Engineering implications

Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication scientists coauthored several chapters in the Earthquake hazards volume of the HayWired earthquake scenario.
Learn More
Haywired logo

HayWired Scenario

The HayWired scenario depicts a scientifically realistic earthquake sequence, and its cascading impacts, that all starts with a magnitude 7 earthquake on the Hayward Fault. The scenario emphasizes connectedness: multi-hazards of an earthquake, interactions between critical infrastructure systems, and compounded effects in communities and economies.
By
Natural Hazards Mission Area, Science Application for Risk Reduction
HayWired Scenario

HayWired Scenario

The HayWired scenario depicts a scientifically realistic earthquake sequence, and its cascading impacts, that all starts with a magnitude 7 earthquake on the Hayward Fault. The scenario emphasizes connectedness: multi-hazards of an earthquake, interactions between critical infrastructure systems, and compounded effects in communities and economies.
Learn More

Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication

The Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication project is led by Anne Wein at the Western Geographic Science Center (WGSC). The umbrella project is Science Application for Risk Reduction (SAFRR), which estimates consequences of natural hazard disaster scenarios as a strategy to engage decision-makers in increasing a community’s ability to cope with the effects of a disaster. Scenarios...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication

Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication

The Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication project is led by Anne Wein at the Western Geographic Science Center (WGSC). The umbrella project is Science Application for Risk Reduction (SAFRR), which estimates consequences of natural hazard disaster scenarios as a strategy to engage decision-makers in increasing a community’s ability to cope with the effects of a disaster. Scenarios...
Learn More
Map of Christ Church, NZ aftershocks

Aftershock Forecast Communication for Risk Reduction

Studies of the communication of aftershock information during the Canterbury, New Zealand earthquake sequence conducted by Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication team members and collaborators in New Zealand are examining the use of risk communication products, risk communication strategies, and risk-based decision-making. Focus groups and interviews were conducted with a range of...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
Aftershock Forecast Communication for Risk Reduction

Aftershock Forecast Communication for Risk Reduction

Studies of the communication of aftershock information during the Canterbury, New Zealand earthquake sequence conducted by Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication team members and collaborators in New Zealand are examining the use of risk communication products, risk communication strategies, and risk-based decision-making. Focus groups and interviews were conducted with a range of...
Learn More
Tsunami Scenario Wave Height

SAFRR Tsunami Scenario

The third SAFRR scenario is initiated by a magnitude 9.0 megathrust earthquake in the eastern Aleutian Islands, an event presenting a hypothetical but plausible distant-tsunami threat to southern and central California. USGS and other federal and state agencies entities developed the SAFRR Tsunami Scenario. The scenario describes wave heights, current velocities and inundation for the coast of...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
SAFRR Tsunami Scenario

SAFRR Tsunami Scenario

The third SAFRR scenario is initiated by a magnitude 9.0 megathrust earthquake in the eastern Aleutian Islands, an event presenting a hypothetical but plausible distant-tsunami threat to southern and central California. USGS and other federal and state agencies entities developed the SAFRR Tsunami Scenario. The scenario describes wave heights, current velocities and inundation for the coast of...
Learn More
USGS

ARkStorm

The SAFRR project’s second scenario, called ARkStorm, addresses massive U.S. West Coast storms analogous to those that devastated California in 1861–62. Storms of this magnitude are projected to become more frequent and intense as a result of climate change. The SAFRR project assembled experts from scientific research agencies to design the large, but scientifically plausible, hypothetical storm...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
ARkStorm

ARkStorm

The SAFRR project’s second scenario, called ARkStorm, addresses massive U.S. West Coast storms analogous to those that devastated California in 1861–62. Storms of this magnitude are projected to become more frequent and intense as a result of climate change. The SAFRR project assembled experts from scientific research agencies to design the large, but scientifically plausible, hypothetical storm...
Learn More
A screen shot of Delta Skelta serious game

Serious Games for Science

Serious or pedagogical games are an engaging way to educate decisionmakers and stakeholders about environmental challenges that are usefully informed by natural and social scientific information and knowledge. USGS designed two serious games intended to promote interactive learning and exploration in the face of large uncertainties, divergent values, and complex situations. Delta Skelta is a game...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
Serious Games for Science

Serious Games for Science

Serious or pedagogical games are an engaging way to educate decisionmakers and stakeholders about environmental challenges that are usefully informed by natural and social scientific information and knowledge. USGS designed two serious games intended to promote interactive learning and exploration in the face of large uncertainties, divergent values, and complex situations. Delta Skelta is a game...
Learn More
ShakeOut Don't Freak Out

ShakeOut

The ShakeOut Scenario was located in southern California where earthquake risk is high compared to the rest of the country. This scenario is a hypothetical, but plausible 7.8 magnitude earthquake on the southern San Andreas Fault. This scenario was completed in May 2008. The ShakeOut Scenario is described in two publications: The Scenario (Jones and others) and The Narrative (Perry and others)...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
ShakeOut

ShakeOut

The ShakeOut Scenario was located in southern California where earthquake risk is high compared to the rest of the country. This scenario is a hypothetical, but plausible 7.8 magnitude earthquake on the southern San Andreas Fault. This scenario was completed in May 2008. The ShakeOut Scenario is described in two publications: The Scenario (Jones and others) and The Narrative (Perry and others)...
Learn More

County-level maps of cropland surface water inundation measured from Landsat and MODIS County-level maps of cropland surface water inundation measured from Landsat and MODIS

This dataset represents a summary of potential cropland inundation for the state of California applying high-frequency surface water map composites derived from two satellite remote sensing platforms (Landsat and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer [MODIS]) with high-quality cropland maps generated by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR). Using Google Earth Engine...
By
Ecosystems Land Change Science Program, Western Geographic Science Center

Voice and data telecommunications restoration curves for 15 counties affected by the April 18, 2018, M7.0 HayWired earthquake scenario mainshock Voice and data telecommunications restoration curves for 15 counties affected by the April 18, 2018, M7.0 HayWired earthquake scenario mainshock

These data are a series of telecommunications voice and data restoration percentages for 17 counties affected by the HayWired earthquake scenario, a magnitude 7.0 earthquake occurring on the Hayward Fault on April 18, 2018, with an epicenter in the city of Oakland, CA. These data for telecommunications demand served are derived from residual network capacity based on potential hazard...
By
Earthquake Hazards Program, Earthquake Science Center

Estimated geospatial and tabular damages and vulnerable population distributions resulting from exposure to multiple hazards by the M7.0 HayWired scenario on April 18, 2018, for 17 counties in the San Francisco Bay region, California Estimated geospatial and tabular damages and vulnerable population distributions resulting from exposure to multiple hazards by the M7.0 HayWired scenario on April 18, 2018, for 17 counties in the San Francisco Bay region, California

This data release is comprised of geospatial and tabular data developed for the HayWired communities at risk analysis. The HayWired earthquake scenario is a magnitude 7.0 earthquake hypothesized to occur on the Hayward Fault on April 18, 2018, with an epicenter in the city of Oakland, CA. The following 17 counties are included in this analysis unless otherwise specified: Alameda, Contra...
By
Earthquake Hazards Program
No results found.
Filter Total Items: 63

Assessing causes and consequences of winter surface water dynamics in California’s Central Valley using satellite remote sensing Assessing causes and consequences of winter surface water dynamics in California’s Central Valley using satellite remote sensing

California's Central Valley is increasingly vulnerable to winter floods. A comprehensive spatial baseline of flood extents is critical for inundation analyses that can enhance future flood predictions, but cloud cover has prevented the regular observation of surface water extents with optical satellite imagery. In this study, we leveraged the daily resolution of Moderate Resolution...
Authors
Christine Albano, Christopher Soulard, Blake A. Minor, Jessica J. Walker, Britt Smith, Eric Waller, Michael D. Bartles, Tom Corringham, Anthony T. O'Geen, Melissa M. Rohde, Anne Wein
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Meet the people where they are: Assessing user needs for aftershock forecast products in El Salvador, Mexico and the United States Meet the people where they are: Assessing user needs for aftershock forecast products in El Salvador, Mexico and the United States

Aftershock forecasts can help communities reduce their seismic risk by conveying how many aftershocks can be expected following a large earthquake, and how the expected number of aftershocks and their corresponding ground shaking evolves over time and space. Prior work finds that graphical forecast products may communicate such information better than only text or numbers. To identify...
Authors
Max Schneider, Anne Wein, Sara K. McBride, Nicholas van der Elst, Julia Becker, Raul Castro, Manuel Diaz, Hector Gonzalez-Huizar, Jeanne Hardebeck, Andrew Michael, Luis Mixco, Morgan Page
By
Natural Hazards Mission Area, Earthquake Hazards Program, Earthquake Science Center

Lessons in business recovery following the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence, Türkiye informed by women entrepreneurs Lessons in business recovery following the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence, Türkiye informed by women entrepreneurs

On 6 February 2023, Southern Türkiye was hit by devastating earthquakes, directly affecting over 14 million people in 11 cities, causing more than 50,000 deaths and the destruction of more than 800,000 buildings. This article goes beyond the physical damage imposed by the catastrophe to discuss the effects of the earthquakes on the operations of women-owned businesses. The mixed-method...
Authors
Ezgi Orhan, Anne Wein, Cynthia Kroll, Juan Fung
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Long-term communication of aftershock forecasts: The Canterbury earthquake sequence in New Zealand Long-term communication of aftershock forecasts: The Canterbury earthquake sequence in New Zealand

On 14 February 2016, a magnitude (M)5.7 earthquake struck in Christchurch New Zealand (Aotearoa in the Maori language). The shaking caused damage to historic facades, power outages, cliff collapses, rock falls, and liquefaction but no reported injuries or fatalities. This Valentine’s Day earthquake was an aftershock in the Canterbury earthquake sequence (CES), which began on 4 September...
Authors
Anne Wein, Sara K. McBride, Julia S. Becker, Annemarie Christophersen, Emma Hudson Doyle, Matthew Gerstenberger, Sally H. Potter
By
Western Geographic Science Center

U.S. Geological Survey climate science plan—Future research directions U.S. Geological Survey climate science plan—Future research directions

Executive Summary Climate is the primary driver of environmental change and is a key consideration in defining science priorities conducted across all mission areas in the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Recognizing the importance of climate change to its future research agenda, the USGS’s Climate Science Steering Committee requested the development of a Climate Science Plan to identify...
Authors
Tamara Wilson, Ryan Boyles, Nicole DeCrappeo, Judith Drexler, Kevin Kroeger, Rachel Loehman, John Pearce, Mark Waldrop, Peter Warwick, Anne Wein, Sara Zeigler, Beard
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Water Resources Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers, Ecosystems Land Change Science Program, Energy Resources Program, Volcano Hazards Program, Alaska Science Center, California Water Science Center, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Geology, Energy & Minerals Science Center, Volcano Science Center, Western Geographic Science Center, Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center

Incorporating climate data into emergency planning and exercises: A primer for emergency management practioners and data developers Incorporating climate data into emergency planning and exercises: A primer for emergency management practioners and data developers

Climate change has and will continue to sharpen climate-related risks to communities and natural resources in California and elsewhere, as the probabilities of more extreme weather, floods, and fires continue to increase. This poses a problem of novel situations for emergency management. Progress has been made in terms of formally incorporating climate projections, data, and research on...
Authors
Christine Albano, Maureen McCarthy, Stephanie Mcafee, Anne Wein, Michael D. Dettinger
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

The long shadow of a major disaster: Modeled dynamic impacts of the hypothetical HayWired earthquake on California’s economy The long shadow of a major disaster: Modeled dynamic impacts of the hypothetical HayWired earthquake on California’s economy

We develop and apply a dynamic economic simulation model to analyze the multi-regional impacts of, and mechanisms of recovery from, a major disaster, the HayWired scenario — a hypothetical Magnitude 7.0 earthquake affecting California’s San Francisco Bay Area. The model integrates loss pathways: capital stock damage, labor supply shocks due to short-term population displacement and...
Authors
Ian Sue Wing, Adam Rose, Dan Wei, Anne Wein
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Methods and lessons for business resilience and recovery surveys Methods and lessons for business resilience and recovery surveys

Surveys are important tools in business resilience and recovery research because of their ability to capture disaggregated economic information; however, they can be difficult and costly due to business operational dynamics and the larger challenges of disaster research. The COVID-19 pandemic serves as a recent example where demand for business data was high across both research and...
Authors
Maria Watson, Charlotte Brown, John Handmer, Cynthia Kroll, Anne Wein, Jennifer Helgeson, Adam Rose, Noah Dormady, Juri Kim
By
Western Geographic Science Center

A conceptual framework for estimation of initial emergency food and water resource requirements in disasters A conceptual framework for estimation of initial emergency food and water resource requirements in disasters

Many households lack the necessary food and water supplies to sustain themselves for more than three days during a disaster. Community vulnerability assessments can be used to identify households with more pressing needs for emergency food and water resources. It is critical that these assessments include the interaction between physical impacts to lifeline infrastructure and the social
Authors
Joseph Toland, Anne Wein, An-Min Wu, Lauryn Spearing
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Economic consequences of the HayWired earthquake scenario Economic consequences of the HayWired earthquake scenario

This study evaluates the economic impacts of a Mw7.0 Hayward fault scenario earthquake on the greater San Francisco Bay Region’s economy and the California economy as a whole using a detailed multiregional, static computable general equilibrium model. Economic impacts in terms of Gross Regional Product (GRP) losses caused by both capital stock (building and content) damages and water and
Authors
Ian Sue Wing, Dan Wei, Adam Rose, Anne Wein
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Using Landsat and MODIS satellite collections to examine extent, timing, and potential impacts of surface water inundation in California croplands☆ Using Landsat and MODIS satellite collections to examine extent, timing, and potential impacts of surface water inundation in California croplands☆

The state of California, United States of America produces many crop products that are both utilized domestically and exported throughout the world. With nearly 39,000 km2 of croplands, monitoring unintentional and intentional surface water inundation is important for water resource management and flood hazard readiness. We examine inundation dynamics in California croplands from 2003 to...
Authors
Britt Smith, Christopher Soulard, Jessica J. Walker, Anne Wein
By
Western Geographic Science Center

The economic effects of the HayWired Scenario using the association of Bay Area governments regional growth forecast—A focus on network disruption and resilience The economic effects of the HayWired Scenario using the association of Bay Area governments regional growth forecast—A focus on network disruption and resilience

This paper describes how impacts to infrastructure networks within the San Francisco Bay Area may exacerbate the effects of building damage and how policies addressing these networks can improve resilience before and after the earthquake. The analysis uses existing modeling techniques that underlie the Association of Bay Area Government’s (ABAG) 2015 regional economic forecast of the San...
Authors
Cynthia Kroll, Bobby Lu, Anne Wein, Aksel Olsen
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Liquefaction and Sea-Level Rise Liquefaction and Sea-Level Rise

USGS scientists published a storymap explaining the impacts of sea-level rise on liquefaction severity around the San Francisco Bay Area, California for the magnitude 7.0 ‘HayWired’ earthquake scenario along the Hayward Fault.
By
Earthquake Hazards Program, Western Geographic Science Center
Liquefaction and Sea-Level Rise product has won the 2023 Shoemaker Awards for Communications Product Excellence for the Webpage/Website category.

Liquefaction and Sea-Level Rise product has won the 2023 Shoemaker Awards for Communications Product Excellence for the Webpage/Website category.

Anne Wein (WGSC) led the Sensitivity of Liquefaction to Sea-level Rise project in the San Francisco Bay Area with oversight of Keith Knudsen (ESC).  ...

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Anne Wein Wins Prestigious 2019 Bay Area Metro Award

Anne Wein Wins Prestigious 2019 Bay Area Metro Award

Congratulations to Dr. Anne Wein, Operations Research Analyst at WGSC, who received a 2019 Bay Area Metro Award from the Association of Bay Area...

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USGS Rolls Out Groundbreaking Earthquake Study: The HayWired Earthquake Scenario

USGS Rolls Out Groundbreaking Earthquake Study: The HayWired Earthquake Scenario

USGS collaborates with key academic, state, local, and industry partners to provide a new look at what could happen during a major earthquake in the...

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Scientists gather at USGS to discuss findings from Napa quake

Scientists gather at USGS to discuss findings from Napa quake

MENLO PARK, Calif. (KGO) -- 

Five months after the South Napa earthquake, scientists gathered on Wednesday at the U.S. Geological Survey to talk about...

Read Article
California Tsunami Would Have Costly Aftermath

California Tsunami Would Have Costly Aftermath

The fearsome aftermath of a tsunami striking California might cost at least $3.4 billion to repair, but neither of the state's nuclear power plants...

Read Article

Science and Products

HayWired - Engineering implications

Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication scientists coauthored several chapters in the Earthquake hazards volume of the HayWired earthquake scenario.
By
Western Geographic Science Center
HayWired - Engineering implications

HayWired - Engineering implications

Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication scientists coauthored several chapters in the Earthquake hazards volume of the HayWired earthquake scenario.
Learn More
Haywired logo

HayWired Scenario

The HayWired scenario depicts a scientifically realistic earthquake sequence, and its cascading impacts, that all starts with a magnitude 7 earthquake on the Hayward Fault. The scenario emphasizes connectedness: multi-hazards of an earthquake, interactions between critical infrastructure systems, and compounded effects in communities and economies.
By
Natural Hazards Mission Area, Science Application for Risk Reduction
HayWired Scenario

HayWired Scenario

The HayWired scenario depicts a scientifically realistic earthquake sequence, and its cascading impacts, that all starts with a magnitude 7 earthquake on the Hayward Fault. The scenario emphasizes connectedness: multi-hazards of an earthquake, interactions between critical infrastructure systems, and compounded effects in communities and economies.
Learn More

Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication

The Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication project is led by Anne Wein at the Western Geographic Science Center (WGSC). The umbrella project is Science Application for Risk Reduction (SAFRR), which estimates consequences of natural hazard disaster scenarios as a strategy to engage decision-makers in increasing a community’s ability to cope with the effects of a disaster. Scenarios...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication

Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication

The Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication project is led by Anne Wein at the Western Geographic Science Center (WGSC). The umbrella project is Science Application for Risk Reduction (SAFRR), which estimates consequences of natural hazard disaster scenarios as a strategy to engage decision-makers in increasing a community’s ability to cope with the effects of a disaster. Scenarios...
Learn More
Map of Christ Church, NZ aftershocks

Aftershock Forecast Communication for Risk Reduction

Studies of the communication of aftershock information during the Canterbury, New Zealand earthquake sequence conducted by Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication team members and collaborators in New Zealand are examining the use of risk communication products, risk communication strategies, and risk-based decision-making. Focus groups and interviews were conducted with a range of...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
Aftershock Forecast Communication for Risk Reduction

Aftershock Forecast Communication for Risk Reduction

Studies of the communication of aftershock information during the Canterbury, New Zealand earthquake sequence conducted by Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication team members and collaborators in New Zealand are examining the use of risk communication products, risk communication strategies, and risk-based decision-making. Focus groups and interviews were conducted with a range of...
Learn More
Tsunami Scenario Wave Height

SAFRR Tsunami Scenario

The third SAFRR scenario is initiated by a magnitude 9.0 megathrust earthquake in the eastern Aleutian Islands, an event presenting a hypothetical but plausible distant-tsunami threat to southern and central California. USGS and other federal and state agencies entities developed the SAFRR Tsunami Scenario. The scenario describes wave heights, current velocities and inundation for the coast of...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
SAFRR Tsunami Scenario

SAFRR Tsunami Scenario

The third SAFRR scenario is initiated by a magnitude 9.0 megathrust earthquake in the eastern Aleutian Islands, an event presenting a hypothetical but plausible distant-tsunami threat to southern and central California. USGS and other federal and state agencies entities developed the SAFRR Tsunami Scenario. The scenario describes wave heights, current velocities and inundation for the coast of...
Learn More
USGS

ARkStorm

The SAFRR project’s second scenario, called ARkStorm, addresses massive U.S. West Coast storms analogous to those that devastated California in 1861–62. Storms of this magnitude are projected to become more frequent and intense as a result of climate change. The SAFRR project assembled experts from scientific research agencies to design the large, but scientifically plausible, hypothetical storm...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
ARkStorm

ARkStorm

The SAFRR project’s second scenario, called ARkStorm, addresses massive U.S. West Coast storms analogous to those that devastated California in 1861–62. Storms of this magnitude are projected to become more frequent and intense as a result of climate change. The SAFRR project assembled experts from scientific research agencies to design the large, but scientifically plausible, hypothetical storm...
Learn More
A screen shot of Delta Skelta serious game

Serious Games for Science

Serious or pedagogical games are an engaging way to educate decisionmakers and stakeholders about environmental challenges that are usefully informed by natural and social scientific information and knowledge. USGS designed two serious games intended to promote interactive learning and exploration in the face of large uncertainties, divergent values, and complex situations. Delta Skelta is a game...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
Serious Games for Science

Serious Games for Science

Serious or pedagogical games are an engaging way to educate decisionmakers and stakeholders about environmental challenges that are usefully informed by natural and social scientific information and knowledge. USGS designed two serious games intended to promote interactive learning and exploration in the face of large uncertainties, divergent values, and complex situations. Delta Skelta is a game...
Learn More
ShakeOut Don't Freak Out

ShakeOut

The ShakeOut Scenario was located in southern California where earthquake risk is high compared to the rest of the country. This scenario is a hypothetical, but plausible 7.8 magnitude earthquake on the southern San Andreas Fault. This scenario was completed in May 2008. The ShakeOut Scenario is described in two publications: The Scenario (Jones and others) and The Narrative (Perry and others)...
By
Western Geographic Science Center
ShakeOut

ShakeOut

The ShakeOut Scenario was located in southern California where earthquake risk is high compared to the rest of the country. This scenario is a hypothetical, but plausible 7.8 magnitude earthquake on the southern San Andreas Fault. This scenario was completed in May 2008. The ShakeOut Scenario is described in two publications: The Scenario (Jones and others) and The Narrative (Perry and others)...
Learn More

County-level maps of cropland surface water inundation measured from Landsat and MODIS County-level maps of cropland surface water inundation measured from Landsat and MODIS

This dataset represents a summary of potential cropland inundation for the state of California applying high-frequency surface water map composites derived from two satellite remote sensing platforms (Landsat and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer [MODIS]) with high-quality cropland maps generated by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR). Using Google Earth Engine...
By
Ecosystems Land Change Science Program, Western Geographic Science Center

Voice and data telecommunications restoration curves for 15 counties affected by the April 18, 2018, M7.0 HayWired earthquake scenario mainshock Voice and data telecommunications restoration curves for 15 counties affected by the April 18, 2018, M7.0 HayWired earthquake scenario mainshock

These data are a series of telecommunications voice and data restoration percentages for 17 counties affected by the HayWired earthquake scenario, a magnitude 7.0 earthquake occurring on the Hayward Fault on April 18, 2018, with an epicenter in the city of Oakland, CA. These data for telecommunications demand served are derived from residual network capacity based on potential hazard...
By
Earthquake Hazards Program, Earthquake Science Center

Estimated geospatial and tabular damages and vulnerable population distributions resulting from exposure to multiple hazards by the M7.0 HayWired scenario on April 18, 2018, for 17 counties in the San Francisco Bay region, California Estimated geospatial and tabular damages and vulnerable population distributions resulting from exposure to multiple hazards by the M7.0 HayWired scenario on April 18, 2018, for 17 counties in the San Francisco Bay region, California

This data release is comprised of geospatial and tabular data developed for the HayWired communities at risk analysis. The HayWired earthquake scenario is a magnitude 7.0 earthquake hypothesized to occur on the Hayward Fault on April 18, 2018, with an epicenter in the city of Oakland, CA. The following 17 counties are included in this analysis unless otherwise specified: Alameda, Contra...
By
Earthquake Hazards Program
No results found.
Filter Total Items: 63

Assessing causes and consequences of winter surface water dynamics in California’s Central Valley using satellite remote sensing Assessing causes and consequences of winter surface water dynamics in California’s Central Valley using satellite remote sensing

California's Central Valley is increasingly vulnerable to winter floods. A comprehensive spatial baseline of flood extents is critical for inundation analyses that can enhance future flood predictions, but cloud cover has prevented the regular observation of surface water extents with optical satellite imagery. In this study, we leveraged the daily resolution of Moderate Resolution...
Authors
Christine Albano, Christopher Soulard, Blake A. Minor, Jessica J. Walker, Britt Smith, Eric Waller, Michael D. Bartles, Tom Corringham, Anthony T. O'Geen, Melissa M. Rohde, Anne Wein
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Meet the people where they are: Assessing user needs for aftershock forecast products in El Salvador, Mexico and the United States Meet the people where they are: Assessing user needs for aftershock forecast products in El Salvador, Mexico and the United States

Aftershock forecasts can help communities reduce their seismic risk by conveying how many aftershocks can be expected following a large earthquake, and how the expected number of aftershocks and their corresponding ground shaking evolves over time and space. Prior work finds that graphical forecast products may communicate such information better than only text or numbers. To identify...
Authors
Max Schneider, Anne Wein, Sara K. McBride, Nicholas van der Elst, Julia Becker, Raul Castro, Manuel Diaz, Hector Gonzalez-Huizar, Jeanne Hardebeck, Andrew Michael, Luis Mixco, Morgan Page
By
Natural Hazards Mission Area, Earthquake Hazards Program, Earthquake Science Center

Lessons in business recovery following the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence, Türkiye informed by women entrepreneurs Lessons in business recovery following the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence, Türkiye informed by women entrepreneurs

On 6 February 2023, Southern Türkiye was hit by devastating earthquakes, directly affecting over 14 million people in 11 cities, causing more than 50,000 deaths and the destruction of more than 800,000 buildings. This article goes beyond the physical damage imposed by the catastrophe to discuss the effects of the earthquakes on the operations of women-owned businesses. The mixed-method...
Authors
Ezgi Orhan, Anne Wein, Cynthia Kroll, Juan Fung
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Long-term communication of aftershock forecasts: The Canterbury earthquake sequence in New Zealand Long-term communication of aftershock forecasts: The Canterbury earthquake sequence in New Zealand

On 14 February 2016, a magnitude (M)5.7 earthquake struck in Christchurch New Zealand (Aotearoa in the Maori language). The shaking caused damage to historic facades, power outages, cliff collapses, rock falls, and liquefaction but no reported injuries or fatalities. This Valentine’s Day earthquake was an aftershock in the Canterbury earthquake sequence (CES), which began on 4 September...
Authors
Anne Wein, Sara K. McBride, Julia S. Becker, Annemarie Christophersen, Emma Hudson Doyle, Matthew Gerstenberger, Sally H. Potter
By
Western Geographic Science Center

U.S. Geological Survey climate science plan—Future research directions U.S. Geological Survey climate science plan—Future research directions

Executive Summary Climate is the primary driver of environmental change and is a key consideration in defining science priorities conducted across all mission areas in the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Recognizing the importance of climate change to its future research agenda, the USGS’s Climate Science Steering Committee requested the development of a Climate Science Plan to identify...
Authors
Tamara Wilson, Ryan Boyles, Nicole DeCrappeo, Judith Drexler, Kevin Kroeger, Rachel Loehman, John Pearce, Mark Waldrop, Peter Warwick, Anne Wein, Sara Zeigler, Beard
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Water Resources Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers, Ecosystems Land Change Science Program, Energy Resources Program, Volcano Hazards Program, Alaska Science Center, California Water Science Center, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Geology, Energy & Minerals Science Center, Volcano Science Center, Western Geographic Science Center, Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center

Incorporating climate data into emergency planning and exercises: A primer for emergency management practioners and data developers Incorporating climate data into emergency planning and exercises: A primer for emergency management practioners and data developers

Climate change has and will continue to sharpen climate-related risks to communities and natural resources in California and elsewhere, as the probabilities of more extreme weather, floods, and fires continue to increase. This poses a problem of novel situations for emergency management. Progress has been made in terms of formally incorporating climate projections, data, and research on...
Authors
Christine Albano, Maureen McCarthy, Stephanie Mcafee, Anne Wein, Michael D. Dettinger
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Climate Adaptation Science Centers

The long shadow of a major disaster: Modeled dynamic impacts of the hypothetical HayWired earthquake on California’s economy The long shadow of a major disaster: Modeled dynamic impacts of the hypothetical HayWired earthquake on California’s economy

We develop and apply a dynamic economic simulation model to analyze the multi-regional impacts of, and mechanisms of recovery from, a major disaster, the HayWired scenario — a hypothetical Magnitude 7.0 earthquake affecting California’s San Francisco Bay Area. The model integrates loss pathways: capital stock damage, labor supply shocks due to short-term population displacement and...
Authors
Ian Sue Wing, Adam Rose, Dan Wei, Anne Wein
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Methods and lessons for business resilience and recovery surveys Methods and lessons for business resilience and recovery surveys

Surveys are important tools in business resilience and recovery research because of their ability to capture disaggregated economic information; however, they can be difficult and costly due to business operational dynamics and the larger challenges of disaster research. The COVID-19 pandemic serves as a recent example where demand for business data was high across both research and...
Authors
Maria Watson, Charlotte Brown, John Handmer, Cynthia Kroll, Anne Wein, Jennifer Helgeson, Adam Rose, Noah Dormady, Juri Kim
By
Western Geographic Science Center

A conceptual framework for estimation of initial emergency food and water resource requirements in disasters A conceptual framework for estimation of initial emergency food and water resource requirements in disasters

Many households lack the necessary food and water supplies to sustain themselves for more than three days during a disaster. Community vulnerability assessments can be used to identify households with more pressing needs for emergency food and water resources. It is critical that these assessments include the interaction between physical impacts to lifeline infrastructure and the social
Authors
Joseph Toland, Anne Wein, An-Min Wu, Lauryn Spearing
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Economic consequences of the HayWired earthquake scenario Economic consequences of the HayWired earthquake scenario

This study evaluates the economic impacts of a Mw7.0 Hayward fault scenario earthquake on the greater San Francisco Bay Region’s economy and the California economy as a whole using a detailed multiregional, static computable general equilibrium model. Economic impacts in terms of Gross Regional Product (GRP) losses caused by both capital stock (building and content) damages and water and
Authors
Ian Sue Wing, Dan Wei, Adam Rose, Anne Wein
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Using Landsat and MODIS satellite collections to examine extent, timing, and potential impacts of surface water inundation in California croplands☆ Using Landsat and MODIS satellite collections to examine extent, timing, and potential impacts of surface water inundation in California croplands☆

The state of California, United States of America produces many crop products that are both utilized domestically and exported throughout the world. With nearly 39,000 km2 of croplands, monitoring unintentional and intentional surface water inundation is important for water resource management and flood hazard readiness. We examine inundation dynamics in California croplands from 2003 to...
Authors
Britt Smith, Christopher Soulard, Jessica J. Walker, Anne Wein
By
Western Geographic Science Center

The economic effects of the HayWired Scenario using the association of Bay Area governments regional growth forecast—A focus on network disruption and resilience The economic effects of the HayWired Scenario using the association of Bay Area governments regional growth forecast—A focus on network disruption and resilience

This paper describes how impacts to infrastructure networks within the San Francisco Bay Area may exacerbate the effects of building damage and how policies addressing these networks can improve resilience before and after the earthquake. The analysis uses existing modeling techniques that underlie the Association of Bay Area Government’s (ABAG) 2015 regional economic forecast of the San...
Authors
Cynthia Kroll, Bobby Lu, Anne Wein, Aksel Olsen
By
Western Geographic Science Center

Liquefaction and Sea-Level Rise Liquefaction and Sea-Level Rise

USGS scientists published a storymap explaining the impacts of sea-level rise on liquefaction severity around the San Francisco Bay Area, California for the magnitude 7.0 ‘HayWired’ earthquake scenario along the Hayward Fault.
By
Earthquake Hazards Program, Western Geographic Science Center
Liquefaction and Sea-Level Rise product has won the 2023 Shoemaker Awards for Communications Product Excellence for the Webpage/Website category.

Liquefaction and Sea-Level Rise product has won the 2023 Shoemaker Awards for Communications Product Excellence for the Webpage/Website category.

Anne Wein (WGSC) led the Sensitivity of Liquefaction to Sea-level Rise project in the San Francisco Bay Area with oversight of Keith Knudsen (ESC).  ...

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Anne Wein Wins Prestigious 2019 Bay Area Metro Award

Anne Wein Wins Prestigious 2019 Bay Area Metro Award

Congratulations to Dr. Anne Wein, Operations Research Analyst at WGSC, who received a 2019 Bay Area Metro Award from the Association of Bay Area...

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USGS Rolls Out Groundbreaking Earthquake Study: The HayWired Earthquake Scenario

USGS Rolls Out Groundbreaking Earthquake Study: The HayWired Earthquake Scenario

USGS collaborates with key academic, state, local, and industry partners to provide a new look at what could happen during a major earthquake in the...

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Scientists gather at USGS to discuss findings from Napa quake

Scientists gather at USGS to discuss findings from Napa quake

MENLO PARK, Calif. (KGO) -- 

Five months after the South Napa earthquake, scientists gathered on Wednesday at the U.S. Geological Survey to talk about...

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California Tsunami Would Have Costly Aftermath

California Tsunami Would Have Costly Aftermath

The fearsome aftermath of a tsunami striking California might cost at least $3.4 billion to repair, but neither of the state's nuclear power plants...

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