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2018 update to the U.S. Geological Survey national volcanic threat assessment 2018 update to the U.S. Geological Survey national volcanic threat assessment

When erupting, all volcanoes pose a degree of risk to people and infrastructure, however, the risks are not equivalent from one volcano to another because of differences in eruptive style and geographic location. Assessing the relative threats posed by U.S. volcanoes identifies which volcanoes warrant the greatest risk-mitigation efforts by the U.S. Geological Survey and its partners...
Authors
John W. Ewert, Angela K. Diefenbach, David W. Ramsey

Globally detected volcanic lightning and umbrella dynamics during the 2014 eruption of Kelud, Indonesia Globally detected volcanic lightning and umbrella dynamics during the 2014 eruption of Kelud, Indonesia

Volcanic lightning shows considerable promise as a monitoring and research tool to characterize explosive eruptions. Its key strengths are rapid and remote detection, because the radio signals produced by lightning can propagate thousands of km at the speed of light. Despite these tantalizing properties, the scientific work on volcanic lightning has only recently started gaining momentum...
Authors
Kirstin A Hargie, Alexa R. Van Eaton, Larry G. Mastin, Robert H. Holzworth, John W. Ewert, Michael J. Pavolonis

Mount St. Helens retrospective: Lessons learned since 1980 and remaining challenges Mount St. Helens retrospective: Lessons learned since 1980 and remaining challenges

Since awakening from a 123-year repose in 1980, Mount St. Helens has provided an opportunity to study changes in crustal magma storage at an active arc volcano—a process of fundamental importance to eruption forecasting and hazards mitigation. There has been considerable progress, but important questions remain unanswered. Was the 1980 eruption triggered by an injection of magma into an...
Authors
Daniel Dzurisin

Historical eruptions and hazards at Bogoslof volcano, Alaska Historical eruptions and hazards at Bogoslof volcano, Alaska

Bogoslof volcano is a submarine volcano in the southern Bering Sea (53.9272°N, 168.0344°W), located 100 kilometers (km) west of Dutch Harbor/Unalaska, and 40 km north of Umnak Island. The volcano has a relatively long history of scientific investigation and several of its historical eruptions have been documented during brief visits to the area since the late 1700s. The purpose of this...
Authors
Christopher F. Waythomas, Cheryl E. Cameron

Spatial distribution of halogen oxides in the plume of Mount Pagan volcano, Mariana Islands Spatial distribution of halogen oxides in the plume of Mount Pagan volcano, Mariana Islands

Halogens are emitted from volcanoes primarily as hydrogen halides (HCl, HF, HBr, and HI). Upon mixing with the atmosphere, chlorine and bromine species are partially converted to the halogen oxides OClO and BrO. Here we report on the spatial distribution of BrO and OClO in the gas plume emitted from Mount Pagan volcano, Northern Mariana Islands. We found enhanced BrO/SO2 ratios near the...
Authors
Christoph Kern, John J. Lyons

McGee Till—oldest glacial deposit in the Sierra Nevada, California— and Quaternary evolution of the rangefront escarpment McGee Till—oldest glacial deposit in the Sierra Nevada, California— and Quaternary evolution of the rangefront escarpment

The McGee Till is an early Pleistocene glacial diamict as thick as 50 m, preserved over an area of 1.65 km2 on a relict low-relief Pliocene plateau that stands 900 m higher than mouths of its bounding canyons, on the rangefront of the Sierra Nevada. Although recognized 90 years ago as the oldest till in the Sierra, its age and relation to the next oldest Sierran till have remained...
Authors
Wes Hildreth, Judith E. Fierstein, Andrew T. Calvert

Frequency of volcanic eruptions in the Mammoth Lakes Sierra Frequency of volcanic eruptions in the Mammoth Lakes Sierra

Geologists recognize lavas and ash deposits from about 60 past eruptions in the area around Mammoth Mountain and Devils Postpile, California. This raises the unanswerable question, “When will it erupt again?” An alternative, answerable, and informative question is, “How often has it erupted?” In the Mammoth Lakes Sierra, geologists have mapped in great detail all the lavas and ash...
Authors
Wes Hildreth, Andrew T. Calvert, Judith Fierstein, Mae Marcaida

Decadal topographic change in the McMurdo Dry Valleys of Antarctica: Thermokarst subsidence, glacier thinning, and transfer of water storage from the cryosphere to the hydrosphere Decadal topographic change in the McMurdo Dry Valleys of Antarctica: Thermokarst subsidence, glacier thinning, and transfer of water storage from the cryosphere to the hydrosphere

Recent local-scale observations of glaciers, streams, and soil surfaces in the McMurdo Dry Valleys of Antarctica (MDV) have documented evidence for rapid ice loss, glacial thinning, and ground surface subsidence associated with melting of ground ice. To evaluate the extent, magnitude, and location of decadal-scale landscape change in the MDV, we collected airborne lidar elevation data in...
Authors
J.S. Levy, A.G. Fountain, Maciej Obryk, J. Telling, C. Glennie, R. Pettersson, M. Gooseff, D.J. van Horn

Seismic and acoustic signatures of surficial mass movements at volcanoes Seismic and acoustic signatures of surficial mass movements at volcanoes

Surficial mass movements, such as debris avalanches, rock falls, lahars, pyroclastic flows, and outburst floods, are a dominant hazard at many volcanoes worldwide. Understanding these processes, cataloging their spatio-temporal occurrence, and detecting, tracking, and characterizing these events would advance the science of volcano monitoring and help mitigate hazards. Seismic and...
Authors
Kate E. Allstadt, Robin S Matoza, Andrew Lockhart, Seth C. Moran, Jacqueline Caplan-Auerbach, Matthew M. Haney, Weston Thelen, Stephen D. Malone

Discussion of “Case study: Oso, Washington, landslide of March 22, 2014-Material properties and failure mechanism” by Timothy D. Stark, Ahmed K. Baghdady, Oldrich Hungr, and Jordan Aaron Discussion of “Case study: Oso, Washington, landslide of March 22, 2014-Material properties and failure mechanism” by Timothy D. Stark, Ahmed K. Baghdady, Oldrich Hungr, and Jordan Aaron

The original paper discusses factors that may have contributed to the occurrence and long runout of a disastrous landslide near the community of Oso, Washington, on March 22, 2014. The paper reinforces a prior finding that the long runout likely resulted from liquefaction of wet colluvium that was rapidly loaded by landslide debris impinging from upslope (Iverson et al. 2015). However...
Authors
Richard M. Iverson

The influence of tectonic environment on dynamic earthquake triggering: A review and case study on Alaskan volcanoes The influence of tectonic environment on dynamic earthquake triggering: A review and case study on Alaskan volcanoes

The phenomenon of dynamic earthquake triggering, when seismic waves from an earthquake trigger seismicity at distant sites, has been recognized for over 25 years, yet knowledge of the global distribution of dynamic triggering remains far from complete. Because occurrences of dynamic triggering provide in-situ information of the stress-state of a responding site, a more complete global...
Authors
Stephanie Prejean, David P. Hill

Short-term forecasting and detection of explosions during the 2016–2017 eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska Short-term forecasting and detection of explosions during the 2016–2017 eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska

We describe a multidisciplinary approach to forecast, rapidly detect, and characterize explosive events during the 2016–2017 eruption of Bogoslof volcano, a back-arc shallow submarine volcano in Alaska’s Aleutian arc. The eruptive sequence began in December 2016 and included about 70 discrete explosive events. Because the volcano has no local monitoring stations, we used distant stations...
Authors
Michelle L. Coombs, Aaron Wech, Matthew M. Haney, John J. Lyons, David J. Schneider, Hans Schwaiger, Kristi L. Wallace, David Fee, Jeffrey T. Freymueller, Janet Schaefer, Gabrielle Tepp
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