The San Francisco Bay Coastal Flood Forecast pilot project is an operational CoSMoS model, part of a project funded by the California Department of Water Resources (CA-DWR) and NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL).
In development
As part of a project funded by the California Department of Water Resources (CA-DWR) and NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL), the Coastal Flood Forecast project aims to link watershed flood projections with CoSMoS’ ocean-based flood projections for operational and integrated coastal-flood forecasts up to 72 hours in advance of an approaching storm. Watershed flood projections are determined by NOAA’s National Weather Service (NWS) Office of Hydrologic Development Research Distributed Hydrologic Model (RDHM).
The pilot project focuses on two areas within the San Francisco Bay: the Napa and Petaluma River watersheds in North Bay, and the South Bay region in vicinity of Coyote Creek and Guadalupe River. A full Bay operational model is in the scoping phase.
Model enhancements for this operational implementation include:
- Use of a flexible-mesh model (Delft3D-FM) for increased resolution in nearshore areas and near infrastructure and flood-control features
- Use of the latest wind and pressure fields from NWS forecasts
- Operational connections to RDHM for indentSelected storm and precipitation events
- Rapid coastal flooding assessment using the Rapid Flood Spreading Method (RFSM)
Below is a link to the main project description, followed by links to all CoSMoS Applications.
Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS)
PS-CoSMoS: Puget Sound Coastal Storm Modeling System
CoSMoS 3.1: Central California
CoSMoS 3.0: Southern California
CoSMoS 2.2: Pt. Arena and Russian River
CoSMoS 2.1: San Francisco Bay
CoSMoS 2.0: North-central California (outer coast)
Operational CoSMoS model: San Francisco Bay
CoSMoS 1.0: Southern California
- Overview
The San Francisco Bay Coastal Flood Forecast pilot project is an operational CoSMoS model, part of a project funded by the California Department of Water Resources (CA-DWR) and NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL).
Sources/Usage: Public Domain.Coastal flood forecast pilot areas of CoSMoS. In development
As part of a project funded by the California Department of Water Resources (CA-DWR) and NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL), the Coastal Flood Forecast project aims to link watershed flood projections with CoSMoS’ ocean-based flood projections for operational and integrated coastal-flood forecasts up to 72 hours in advance of an approaching storm. Watershed flood projections are determined by NOAA’s National Weather Service (NWS) Office of Hydrologic Development Research Distributed Hydrologic Model (RDHM).
The pilot project focuses on two areas within the San Francisco Bay: the Napa and Petaluma River watersheds in North Bay, and the South Bay region in vicinity of Coyote Creek and Guadalupe River. A full Bay operational model is in the scoping phase.
Model enhancements for this operational implementation include:
- Use of a flexible-mesh model (Delft3D-FM) for increased resolution in nearshore areas and near infrastructure and flood-control features
- Use of the latest wind and pressure fields from NWS forecasts
- Operational connections to RDHM for indentSelected storm and precipitation events
- Rapid coastal flooding assessment using the Rapid Flood Spreading Method (RFSM)
- Science
Below is a link to the main project description, followed by links to all CoSMoS Applications.
Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS)
The Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) makes detailed predictions of storm-induced coastal flooding, erosion, and cliff failures over large geographic scales. CoSMoS was developed for hindcast studies, operational applications and future climate scenarios to provide emergency responders and coastal planners with critical storm-hazards information that can be used to increase public safety...PS-CoSMoS: Puget Sound Coastal Storm Modeling System
The CoSMoS model is currently available for most of the California coast and is now being expanded to support the 4.5 million coastal residents of the Puget Sound region, with emphasis on the communities bordering the sound.CoSMoS 3.1: Central California
CoSMoS v3.1 for central California shows projections for future climate scenarios (sea-level rise and storms)CoSMoS 3.0: Southern California
CoSMoS 3.0 for southern California provides detailed predictions of coastal flooding due to both future sea-level rise and storms, integrated with predictions of long-term coastal evolution (beach changes and coastal cliff retreat) for the Southern California region, from Point Conception (Santa Barbara County) to Imperial Beach (San Diego County).CoSMoS 2.2: Pt. Arena and Russian River
Building on the initial work in the Bay Area and Outer Coast, CoSMoS 2.2 adds river flows to help users project combined river and coastal flooding along the northern California coast from Bodega Head to Point Arena.CoSMoS 2.1: San Francisco Bay
With primary support from the National Estuarine Research Reserve (NERR), CoSMoS is set-up within the San Francisco Bay as part of Our Coast Our Future (OCOF).CoSMoS 2.0: North-central California (outer coast)
Our Coast Our Future (OCOF) is a collaborative, user-driven project providing science-based decision-support tools to help coastal planners and emergency responders understand, visualize, and anticipate local impacts from sea-level rise (SLR) and storms in the San Francisco Bay region.Operational CoSMoS model: San Francisco Bay
The San Francisco Bay Coastal Flood Forecast pilot project is an operational CoSMoS model, part of a project funded by the California Department of Water Resources (CA-DWR) and NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL).CoSMoS 1.0: Southern California
CoSMoS was initially developed and tested for the Southern California coast in collaboration with Deltares. CoSMoS has been used to assess coastal vulnerability within Southern California for the ARkStorm scenario, the January 2010 El Niño and Sea-Level Rise scenarios, and the January 2005 Newport Harbor Flood scenario. - Publications
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