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Publications

Publications, scientific literature, and information products from the Land Change Science Program.

Filter Total Items: 562

Winter climate change and the poleward range expansion of a tropical invasive tree (Brazilian pepper ‐ Shinus terebinthifolius)

Winter climate change is expected to lead to the tropicalization of temperate ecosystems, where tropical species expand poleward in response to a decrease in the intensity and duration of winter temperature extremes (i.e., freeze events). In the southeastern United States, freezing temperatures control the northern range limits of many invasive non‐native species. Here, we examine the influence of
Authors
Michael Osland, Laura Feher

Temperature thresholds for black mangrove (Avicennia germinans) freeze damage, mortality, and recovery in North America: Refining tipping points for range expansion in a warming climate

Near the tropical‐temperate transition zone, warming winter temperatures are expected to facilitate the poleward range expansion of freeze‐sensitive tropical organisms. In coastal wetlands of eastern and central North America, freeze‐sensitive woody plants (mangroves) are expected to expand northward into regions currently dominated by freeze‐tolerant herbaceous salt marsh plants. To advance under
Authors
Michael Osland, Richard Day, Courtney T. Hall, Laura Feher, Anna R. Armitage, Just Cebrian, Kenneth H. Dunton, Randall Hughes, David Kaplan, Amy K. Langston, Aaron Macy, Carolyn A. Weaver, Gordon H. Anderson, Karen Cummins, Ilka C. Feller, Caitlin M. Snyder

Effects of climate-related variability in storage on streamwater solute concentrations and fluxes in a small forested watershed in the Southeastern United States

Streamwater quality can be affected by climate-related variability in hydrologic state, which controls flow paths and affects biogeochemical processes. Thirty-one years of input/output solute fluxes at Panola Mountain Research Watershed, a small, forested, seasonally water-limited watershed near Atlanta, Georgia, were used to quantify the effects of climatic-related variability in storage on strea
Authors
Brent T. Aulenbach

The landscape of soil carbon data: Emerging questions, synergies and databases

Soil carbon has been measured for over a century in applications ranging from understanding biogeochemical processes in natural ecosystems to quantifying the productivity and health of managed systems. Consolidating diverse soil carbon datasets is increasingly important to maximize their value, particularly with growing anthropogenic and climate change pressures. In this progress report, we descri
Authors
Avni Malhotra, Katherine Todd-Brown, Luke Nave, Niels Batjes, James Holmquist, Alison Hoyt, Colleen Iversen, Robert B. Jackson, Kate Lathja, Corey R. Lawrence, Olga Vinduśková, William Wieder, Matt Williams, Gustaf Hugelias, Jennifer Harden

PaCTS 1.0: A crowdsourced reporting standard for paleoclimate data

The progress of science is tied to the standardization of measurements, instruments, and data. This is especially true in the Big Data age, where analyzing large data volumes critically hinges on that data being standardized. Accordingly, the lack of community-sanctioned data standards in paleoclimatology has largely precluded the benefits of Big Data advances in the field. Building upon recent ef
Authors
Natalie M. Kehrwald, Deborah Khider, Julien Emile-Geay, Nicholas P. McKay, Yolanda Gili, Daniel Garijo, Varun Ratnakar, Peter Brewer, Adam Csank, Emilie Dassie, Kristine Delong, Thomas Felix, William Gray, Lucas Jonkers, Michael Kahle, Darrell S. Kaufman, Julie N. Richey, Andreas Schmittner, Elaine Kennedy Sutherland, Montserrat Alonso-Garcia, Bertrand Sebastian, Oliver Bothe, Andrew Bunn, Manuel Chevalier, Pierre Francus, Amy Frappier, Simon Goring, Belen Martrat, Helen V. McGregor, Kathryn J. Allen, Fabien Arnaud, Yarrow L. Axford, Timothy T. Barrows, Lucie Bazin, S.E. Pilaar Birch, Elizabeth Bradley, Joshua Bregy, Emilie Capron, Olivier Cartapanis, Hong-Wei Chiang, Kim Cobb, Maxime Debret, Rene Dommain, Jianghui Du, Kelsey Dyez, Suellyn Emerick, Michael Erb, Georgina Falster, Walter Finsinger, Daniel Fortier, Nicolas Gauthier, Steven George, Eric Grimm, Jennifer Hertzberg, Fiona Hibbert, Aubrey Hillman, William Hobbs, Matthew Huber, Anna L. C. Hughes, Samuel Jaccard, Ruan Jiaoyang, Markus Kienast, Bronwen Konecky, Gael Le Roux, Vyacheslav Lyubchich, Valdir Novello, Lydia Olaka, Judson W. Partin, Christof Pearce, Steven J. Phipps, Cecile Pignol, Natalia Pietrowska, Maria-Serena Poli, Alexander Prokopenko, Franciele Schwanck, Christian Stepanek, George E. A. Swann, Richard Telford, Elizabeth R. Thomas, Zoe Thomas, Sarah Truebe, Lucien von Gunten, Amanda Waite, Nils Weitzel, Bruno Wilhelm, John B. Williams, Mai Winstrup, Ning Zhao, Yuxin Zhou

Evaluating k-nearest neighbor (kNN) imputation models for species-level aboveground forest biomass mapping in northeast China

Quantifying spatially explicit or pixel-level aboveground forest biomass (AFB) across large regions is critical for measuring forest carbon sequestration capacity, assessing forest carbon balance, and revealing changes in the structure and function of forest ecosystems. When AFB is measured at the species level using widely available remote sensing data, regional changes in forest composition can
Authors
Yuanyuan Fu, Hong S He, Todd Hawbaker, Paul D. Henne, Zhiliang Zhu, David R. Larsen

Paleoclimate of the subtropical Andes during the latest Miocene, Lauca Basin, Chile

Uplift of the Andean Cordillera during the Miocene and Pliocene produced large-scale changes in regional atmospheric circulation that impacted local ecosystems. The Lauca Basin (northern Chilean Altiplano) contains variably fluvial and lacustrine sedimentary sequences spanning the interval from 8.7 to 2.3 Ma. Field samples were collected from paleo-lacustrine sediments in the basin. Sediments were
Authors
Melina Feitl, Andrea Kern, Amanda Jones, Sherilyn Fritz, Paul E. Baker, Joeckel . R.M., Wout Salenbien, Debra A. Willard

The Islands of Oceania – Political geography, biogeography, and terrestrial ecosystems

Humans are dependent upon ecosystems for the production of goods and services necessary for their well-being (Daily, 1997). As the service provider units (SPUs) for these benefits of nature (Anderson et al., 2015), ecosystems need to be managed in a way that maximizes their persistence on the planet. Part of that management effort includes knowing a) what the ecosystem types are, b) where they are
Authors
Roger Sayre, Madeline Thomas Martin, Deniz Karagulle, Charlie Frye, Sean Breyer, Dawn Wright, Kevin Butler, Keith Van Graafeiland, Simone Maynard

Patterns of resource allocation in a coastal marsh plant (Schoenoplectus americanus) along a sediment-addition gradient

Reductions in sediment delivery to coastal marshes increase their vulnerability to relative sea-level rise. Sediment pulses from storm events and commercial dredge-spray operations (e.g., beneficial use) represent increasingly important sediment sources to otherwise sediment-deprived marshes. These sediments can stimulate plant growth by providing nutrient and elevation subsidies, with plant growt
Authors
Nigel A. Temple, James B. Grace, Julia A Cherry

Canals, backfilling and wetland loss in the Mississippi Delta

Canals and spoil banks have contributed significantly to high rates of wetland loss in the Mississippi delta. There has been relatively little research on management of canals and spoil banks and this needs to be a significant component of restoration of the delta. We analyze research on the role of backfilling canals in the context of delta restoration with special reference to Turner and McCle
Authors
John W. Day, Gary P. Shaffer, Donald Cahoon, Ronald D. DeLaune

Streamflow reconstruction in the Upper Missouri River Basin using a novel Bayesian network model

A Bayesian model that uses the spatial dependence induced by the river network topology, and the leading principal components of regional tree-ring chronologies for paleo-streamflow reconstruction is presented. In any river basin, a convergent, dendritic network of tributaries comes together to form the main stem of a river. Consequently, it is natural to think of a spatial Markov process that r
Authors
Arun Ravindranath, Naresh Devineni, Upmanu Lall, Edward Cook, Gregory T. Pederson, Justin Martin, Connie A. Woodhouse