Publications
Publications, scientific literature, and information products from the Land Change Science Program.
Filter Total Items: 565
Factors influencing CO2 and CH4 emissions from coastal wetlands in the Liaohe Delta, northeast China Factors influencing CO2 and CH4 emissions from coastal wetlands in the Liaohe Delta, northeast China
Many factors are known to influence greenhouse gas emissions from coastal wetlands, but it is still unclear which factors are most important under field conditions when they are all acting simultaneously. The objective of this study was to assess the effects of water table, salinity, soil temperature and vegetation on CH4 emissions and ecosystem respiration (Reco) from five coastal...
Authors
Linda Olsson, Siyuan Ye, Xueyang Yu, Mengjie Wei, Ken Krauss, Hans Brix
Geographically isolated wetlands: Rethinking a misnomer Geographically isolated wetlands: Rethinking a misnomer
We explore the category “geographically isolated wetlands” (GIWs; i.e., wetlands completely surrounded by uplands at the local scale) as used in the wetland sciences. As currently used, the GIW category (1) hampers scientific efforts by obscuring important hydrological and ecological differences among multiple wetland functional types, (2) aggregates wetlands in a manner not reflective...
Authors
David Mushet, Aram Calhoun, Laurie C. Alexander, Matthew Cohen, Edward S. DeKeyser, Laurie Fowler, Charles R. Lane, Megan Lang, Mark Rains, Susan Walls
Proximity to encroaching coconut palm limits native forest water use and persistence on a Pacific atoll Proximity to encroaching coconut palm limits native forest water use and persistence on a Pacific atoll
Competition for fresh water between native and introduced plants is one important challenge facing native forests as rainfall variability increases. Competition can be especially acute for vegetation on Pacific atolls, which depend upon consistent rainfall to replenish shallow groundwater stores. Patterns of sap flow, water use, and diameter growth of Pisonia grandis trees were...
Authors
Ken Krauss, Jamie A. Duberstein, Nicole Cormier, Hillary Young, Stacie Hathaway
Structural equation modeling: Building and evaluating causal models Structural equation modeling: Building and evaluating causal models
Scientists frequently wish to study hypotheses about causal relationships, rather than just statistical associations. This chapter addresses the question of how scientists might approach this ambitious task. Here we describe structural equation modeling (SEM), a general modeling framework for the study of causal hypotheses. Our goals are to (a) concisely describe the methodology, (b)...
Authors
James Grace, Samuel Scheiner, Donald Schoolmaster
A spatial individual-based model predicting a great impact of copious sugar sources and resting sites on survival of Anopheles gambiae and malaria parasite transmission A spatial individual-based model predicting a great impact of copious sugar sources and resting sites on survival of Anopheles gambiae and malaria parasite transmission
Background Agent-based modelling (ABM) has been used to simulate mosquito life cycles and to evaluate vector control applications. However, most models lack sugar-feeding and resting behaviours or are based on mathematical equations lacking individual level randomness and spatial components of mosquito life. Here, a spatial individual-based model (IBM) incorporating sugar-feeding and...
Authors
Lin Zhu, Whitney Qualls, John Marshall, Kris Arheart, Donald DeAngelis, John McManus, Sekou Traore, Seydou Doumbia, Yosef Schlein, Gunter Muller, John Beier
An integrated approach to modeling changes in land use, land cover, and disturbance and their impact on ecosystem carbon dynamics: a case study in the Sierra Nevada Mountains of California An integrated approach to modeling changes in land use, land cover, and disturbance and their impact on ecosystem carbon dynamics: a case study in the Sierra Nevada Mountains of California
Increased land-use intensity (e.g. clearing of forests for cultivation, urbanization), often results in the loss of ecosystem carbon storage, while changes in productivity resulting from climate change may either help offset or exacerbate losses. However, there are large uncertainties in how land and climate systems will evolve and interact to shape future ecosystem carbon dynamics. To...
Authors
Benjamin Sleeter, Jinxun Liu, Colin Daniel, Leonardo Frid, Zhiliang Zhu
Effects of rapid urbanization on streamflow, erosion, and sedimentation in a desert stream in the American Southwest Effects of rapid urbanization on streamflow, erosion, and sedimentation in a desert stream in the American Southwest
Rapid urbanization has resulted in a series of sequential effects on a desert stream in the American Southwest. Lower Las Vegas Wash was a dry wash characterized by infrequent flood deposition when Las Vegas, Nevada was established in 1905. Wastewater effluent was discharged into the wash in low volumes for over 3 decades. Wastewater volumes increased commensurably with accelerated...
Authors
John Whitney, Patrick Glancy, Susan Buckingham, Arthur Ehrenberg
Thermokarst lake methanogenesis along a complete talik profile Thermokarst lake methanogenesis along a complete talik profile
Thermokarst (thaw) lakes emit methane (CH4) to the atmosphere formed from thawed permafrost organic matter (OM), but the relative magnitude of CH4 production in surface lake sediments vs. deeper thawed permafrost horizons is not well understood. We assessed anaerobic CH4 production potentials from various depths along a 590 cm long lake sediment core that captured the entire sediment...
Authors
J.K. Heslop, K.M. Walter Anthony, A. Sepulveda-Jauregui, K. Martinez-Cruz, A. Bondurant, G. Grosse, Miriam Jones
Adaptive management Adaptive management
Adaptive management is an approach to natural resource management that emphasizes learning through management where knowledge is incomplete, and when, despite inherent uncertainty, managers and policymakers must act. Unlike a traditional trial and error approach, adaptive management has explicit structure, including a careful elucidation of goals, identification of alternative management
Authors
Craig Allen, Ahjond Garmestani
Management applications of discontinuity theory Management applications of discontinuity theory
Human impacts on the environment are multifaceted and can occur across distinct spatiotemporal scales. Ecological responses to environmental change are therefore difficult to predict, and entail large degrees of uncertainty. Such uncertainty requires robust tools for management to sustain ecosystem goods and services and maintain resilient ecosystems.We propose an approach based on...
Authors
David G. Angeler, Craig Allen, Chris Barichievy, Tarsha Eason, Ahjond Garmestani, Nicholas Graham, Dean Granholm, Lance Gunderson, Melinda Knutson, Kirsty Nash, R. Nelson, Magnus Nystrom, Trisha Spanbauer, Craig A. Stow, Shana Sundstrom
Climate change and wildfire risk in an expanding wildland–urban interface: a case study from the Colorado Front Range Corridor Climate change and wildfire risk in an expanding wildland–urban interface: a case study from the Colorado Front Range Corridor
Context Wildfire is a particular concern in the wildland–urban interface (WUI) of the western United States where human development occurs close to flammable natural vegetation. Objectives (1) Assess the relative influences of WUI expansion versus climate-driven fire regime change on spatial and temporal patterns of burned WUI, and (2) determine whether WUI developed in the future will...
Authors
Zhihua Liu, Michael Wimberly, Aashis Lamsal, Terry Sohl, Todd Hawbaker
2013 Monitoring and tracking wet nitrogen deposition at Rocky Mountain National Park 2013 Monitoring and tracking wet nitrogen deposition at Rocky Mountain National Park
In 2004, multiple agencies including the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment (CDPHE), the National Park Service (NPS), and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) met to address the effects and trends of nitrogen deposition and related air quality issues at Rocky Mountain National Park (RMNP). These agencies signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to...
Authors
Kristi Morris, M. Mast, David Clow, Gregory Wetherbee, Jill Baron, Curt Taipale, Tamara Blett, David A. Gay, Daniel Bowker