Understanding the rates and causes of land-use/land-cover (LULC) change helps answer questions about what, where, how, and why the Earth’s surface is changing. Land-surface change results from human activities or natural processes like floods, droughts, and wildfires, and many of these change processes are observable in satellite imagery. The growing historical catalog of satellite images allows scientists to study past LULC changes to better understand where and why changes occur and how human and natural systems respond to them.
The mission of the PLACE (Patterns in the Landscape – Analyses of Cause and Effect) project is to inform land managers, planners, and researchers about historical and current changes to human and natural environments. PLACE focuses on floods, droughts, and fires, which are increasing in severity, extent, and frequency around the globe. Our work is based on the idea that understanding what drives these disturbance events is a necessary step for identifying management practices that can mitigate the negative human and ecological impacts.
Our research is characterized by the following three themes:
Landscape Monitoring
PLACE develops imagery-based approaches to identify and monitor the occurrence of land-cover/land-use change across the United States from 1985-present.
Our publications demonstrate the wide range of monitoring efforts in the PLACE portfolio, as well as how we tailor approaches to different study areas and research questions.
- We start with a thorough review of existing LULC change products to identify gaps in knowledge and to determine the most efficient way forward. The analysis strategy may involve accuracy assessments, visual checks, or the comparison of satellite-derived measures of change to ground-based sources (like stream gages).
- We often test the efficacy of fusing LULC characterization datasets. For example, combining information on fire extents, tree heights, and tree type can be used to estimate biomass loss resulting from fire events.
- We perform analyses across a wide range of spatial scales, from regional extents like California’s Central Valley to national efforts covering the conterminous US. These different perspectives allow us to analyze how rates and causes vary in diverse regions throughout the country. We often use ecological regions or watersheds to separate heterogenous regions
- We rely on cloud-computing and high-performance computation systems to access thousands of satellite images and supply the processing power to create map time series at weekly, monthly, and annual scales.
- We constantly seek incremental improvements in map accuracy by testing both well-established methods as well as newer machine learning approaches.
Causes of Disturbance and Recovery
PLACE explores how climate, human activities, abiotic characteristics, and past disturbances interact to shape the regional variability and magnitude of landscape change. Quantifying the underlying factors that contribute to these sorts of processes helps us understand why landscape changes occur. In the next few years, we will primarily focus on the influence of climatic drivers on select disturbance (flood, drought, and fire) and recovery processes. We are actively working with academic partners on developing robust geostatistical linkages between climate and water, wetland, and fire change patterns.
Impacts of Disturbance
PLACE is involved in investigations related to the ecological and socioeconomic impacts of landscape disturbances and subsequent recovery processes in the United States. The goal is to provide information to stakeholders for enhancing hazard preparedness, quantifying ecological effects, and anticipating the LULC composition of future landscapes.
Two current areas of concentration comprise this objective:
- The investigation of the socioeconomic risks associated with flooding in agricultural areas
- The investigation of wildfire impact on future burn severity potential, smoke emissions, and the character of vegetative recovery
- By looking at how fire intensity varies according to land cover type and number of previous burns, we aim to identify locations where land cover composition is at risk of changing, apply regional recovery signals to identify resiliency across the study area, and shed light on what degree of disturbance leads to different recovery pathways.
Below are data or web applications associated with this project.
National Surface Water Maps using Daily MODIS Satellite Data for the Conterminous United States, 2003-2019
DSWEmod surface water map composites generated from daily MODIS images - California
Spatially-explicit land-cover scenarios of federal lands in the northern Great Basin, 2018-2050
Phenology pattern data indicating recovery trajectories of ponderosa pine forests after high-severity fires
Data - Forest harvest patterns on private lands in the Cascade Mountains, Washington, USA
Data on influence of atmospheric rivers on vegetation productivity and fire patterns in the southwestern US
Below are multimedia items associated with this project.
Using Google Earth Engine to Generate Monthly-to-Weekly Maps of Surface Water
Our topic will be "Using Google Earth Engine to Generate Monthly-to-Weekly Maps of Surface Water." The presenter will be Chris Soulard with the USGS Western Geographic Science Center.
Below are publications associated with this project.
Using Landsat and MODIS satellite collections to examine extent, timing, and potential impacts of surface water inundation in California croplands☆
Analysis of surface water trends for the conterminous United States using MODIS satellite data, 2003–2019
DSWEmod - The production of high-frequency surface water map composites from daily MODIS images
Solar and sensor geometry, not vegetation response, drive satellite NDVI phenology in widespread ecosystems of the western United States
Application of empirical land-cover changes to construct climate change scenarios in federally managed lands
Implementation of a surface water extent model in Cambodia using cloud-based remote sensing
Phenology patterns indicate recovery trajectories of ponderosa pine forests after high-severity fires
Landsat time series assessment of invasive annual grasses following energy development
Integrating stream gage data and Landsat imagery to complete time-series of surface water extents in Central Valley, California
Spatial patterns of meadow sensitivities to interannual climate variability in the Sierra Nevada
Removing rural roads from the National Land Cover Database to create improved urban maps for the United States, 1992-2011
Forest harvest patterns on private lands in the Cascade Mountains, Washington, USA
Below are partners associated with this project.
- Overview
Understanding the rates and causes of land-use/land-cover (LULC) change helps answer questions about what, where, how, and why the Earth’s surface is changing. Land-surface change results from human activities or natural processes like floods, droughts, and wildfires, and many of these change processes are observable in satellite imagery. The growing historical catalog of satellite images allows scientists to study past LULC changes to better understand where and why changes occur and how human and natural systems respond to them.
The mission of the PLACE (Patterns in the Landscape – Analyses of Cause and Effect) project is to inform land managers, planners, and researchers about historical and current changes to human and natural environments. PLACE focuses on floods, droughts, and fires, which are increasing in severity, extent, and frequency around the globe. Our work is based on the idea that understanding what drives these disturbance events is a necessary step for identifying management practices that can mitigate the negative human and ecological impacts.
Image properties, image capture frequency, and mission longevity affect what can be observed by different satellites. Satellite images from separate collections provide an opportunity to visualize changing land cover dynamics over time and link mapped changes to underlying causes. This is possible in managed systems like Lake Mead, where changes in surface water levels can be affected by climatic factors that control inflows as well as human decisions that control releases at Hoover Dam.
Our research is characterized by the following three themes:
Landscape Monitoring
PLACE develops imagery-based approaches to identify and monitor the occurrence of land-cover/land-use change across the United States from 1985-present.
Our publications demonstrate the wide range of monitoring efforts in the PLACE portfolio, as well as how we tailor approaches to different study areas and research questions.- We start with a thorough review of existing LULC change products to identify gaps in knowledge and to determine the most efficient way forward. The analysis strategy may involve accuracy assessments, visual checks, or the comparison of satellite-derived measures of change to ground-based sources (like stream gages).
- We often test the efficacy of fusing LULC characterization datasets. For example, combining information on fire extents, tree heights, and tree type can be used to estimate biomass loss resulting from fire events.
- We perform analyses across a wide range of spatial scales, from regional extents like California’s Central Valley to national efforts covering the conterminous US. These different perspectives allow us to analyze how rates and causes vary in diverse regions throughout the country. We often use ecological regions or watersheds to separate heterogenous regions
- We rely on cloud-computing and high-performance computation systems to access thousands of satellite images and supply the processing power to create map time series at weekly, monthly, and annual scales.
- We constantly seek incremental improvements in map accuracy by testing both well-established methods as well as newer machine learning approaches.
PLACE uses dense stacks of images to create cloud-free map composites. In this case at the confluence of the Sacramento River and San Joaquin River in California, cloud-free composites include winter inundation and allow the team to measure seasonal surface water variability. The yellow circle highlights where surface water varies the most over the time series. Causes of Disturbance and Recovery
PLACE explores how climate, human activities, abiotic characteristics, and past disturbances interact to shape the regional variability and magnitude of landscape change. Quantifying the underlying factors that contribute to these sorts of processes helps us understand why landscape changes occur. In the next few years, we will primarily focus on the influence of climatic drivers on select disturbance (flood, drought, and fire) and recovery processes. We are actively working with academic partners on developing robust geostatistical linkages between climate and water, wetland, and fire change patterns.
Impacts of Disturbance
PLACE is involved in investigations related to the ecological and socioeconomic impacts of landscape disturbances and subsequent recovery processes in the United States. The goal is to provide information to stakeholders for enhancing hazard preparedness, quantifying ecological effects, and anticipating the LULC composition of future landscapes.
The Landsat image pair (tops) show the Thomas Fire, which burned over 230,000 acres in southern California in December 2017. The Thomas Fire led to considerable damage, including landslides that affected structures like this home on Montecito, California. Two current areas of concentration comprise this objective:
- The investigation of the socioeconomic risks associated with flooding in agricultural areas
- The investigation of wildfire impact on future burn severity potential, smoke emissions, and the character of vegetative recovery
- By looking at how fire intensity varies according to land cover type and number of previous burns, we aim to identify locations where land cover composition is at risk of changing, apply regional recovery signals to identify resiliency across the study area, and shed light on what degree of disturbance leads to different recovery pathways.
- Data
Below are data or web applications associated with this project.
National Surface Water Maps using Daily MODIS Satellite Data for the Conterminous United States, 2003-2019
Members from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Patterns in the Landscape - Analyses of Cause and Effect (PLACE) team are releasing monthly surface water maps for the conterminous United States (U.S.) from 2003 through 2019 as 250-meter resolution geoTIFF files. The maps were produced using the Dynamic Surface Water Extent (DSWE) algorithm applied to daily Moderate Resolution Imaging SpectroradiomeDSWEmod surface water map composites generated from daily MODIS images - California
USGS researchers with the Patterns in the Landscape ? Analyses of Cause and Effect (PLACE) project are releasing a collection of high-frequency surface water map composites derived from daily Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) imagery. Using Google Earth Engine, the team developed customized image processing steps and adapted the Dynamic Surface Water Extent (DSWE) to generate sSpatially-explicit land-cover scenarios of federal lands in the northern Great Basin, 2018-2050
As part of a 2018 Northwest Climate Adaptation and Science Center project, USGS researchers are releasing a series of spatially-explicit land-cover projections for the period 2018-2050 covering part of the northern Great Basin (Beaty Butte Herd Management Area, Hart Mountain National Antelope Refuge, and Sheldon National Refuge). The dataset contains an empirically-based business-as-usual (BAU) anPhenology pattern data indicating recovery trajectories of ponderosa pine forests after high-severity fires
This tabular, machine-readable CSV file contains annual phenometrics at locations in ponderosa pine ecosystems across Arizona and New Mexico that experienced stand-clearing, high-severity fire. The locations represent areas of vegetative recovery towards pre-fire (coniferous/pine) vegetation communities or towards novel grassland, shrubland, or deciduous replacements. Each sampled area is associatData - Forest harvest patterns on private lands in the Cascade Mountains, Washington, USA
Forests in Washington State generate substantial economic revenue from commercial timber harvesting on private lands. To investigate the rates, causes, and spatial and temporal patterns of forest harvest on private tracts throughout the central Cascade Mountain area, we relied on a new generation of annual land-use/land-cover (LULC) products created from the application of the Continuous Change DeData on influence of atmospheric rivers on vegetation productivity and fire patterns in the southwestern US
In the southwestern US, the meteorological phenomenon known as atmospheric rivers (ARs) has gained increasing attention due to its strong connections to floods, snowpacks and water supplies in the West Coast states. Relatively less is known about the ecological implications of ARs, particularly in the interior Southwest, where AR storms are less common. To address this gap, we compared a chronolog - Multimedia
Below are multimedia items associated with this project.
Using Google Earth Engine to Generate Monthly-to-Weekly Maps of Surface Water
Our topic will be "Using Google Earth Engine to Generate Monthly-to-Weekly Maps of Surface Water." The presenter will be Chris Soulard with the USGS Western Geographic Science Center.
- Publications
Below are publications associated with this project.
Filter Total Items: 17Using Landsat and MODIS satellite collections to examine extent, timing, and potential impacts of surface water inundation in California croplands☆
The state of California, United States of America produces many crop products that are both utilized domestically and exported throughout the world. With nearly 39,000 km2 of croplands, monitoring unintentional and intentional surface water inundation is important for water resource management and flood hazard readiness. We examine inundation dynamics in California croplands from 2003 to 2020 by iAuthorsBritt Windsor Smith, Christopher E. Soulard, Jessica J. Walker, Anne WeinAnalysis of surface water trends for the conterminous United States using MODIS satellite data, 2003–2019
Satellite imagery is commonly used to map surface water extents over time, but many approaches yield discontinuous records resulting from cloud obstruction or image archive gaps. We applied the Dynamic Surface Water Extent (DSWE) model to downscaled (250-m) daily Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data in Google Earth Engine to generate monthly surface water maps for the contermAuthorsRoy Petrakis, Christopher E. Soulard, Eric K. Waller, Jessica J. WalkerDSWEmod - The production of high-frequency surface water map composites from daily MODIS images
Optical satellite imagery is commonly used for monitoring surface water dynamics, but clouds and cloud shadows present challenges in assembling complete water time series. To test whether the daily revisit rate of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite imagery can reduce cloud obstruction and improve high-frequency surface water mapping, we compared map results derived froAuthorsChristopher E. Soulard, Eric Waller, Jessica J. Walker, Roy Petrakis, Britt Windsor SmithSolar and sensor geometry, not vegetation response, drive satellite NDVI phenology in widespread ecosystems of the western United States
Satellite-derived phenology metrics are valuable tools for understanding broad-scale patterns and changes in vegetated landscapes over time. However, the extraction and interpretation of phenology in ecosystems with subtle growth dynamics can be challenging. US National Park Service monitoring of evergreen pinyon-juniper ecosystems in the western US revealed an unexpected winter-peaking phenologicAuthorsJodi R. Norris, Jessica J. WalkerApplication of empirical land-cover changes to construct climate change scenarios in federally managed lands
Sagebrush-dominant ecosystems in the western United States are highly vulnerable to climatic variability. To understand how these ecosystems will respond under potential future conditions, we correlated changes in National Land Cover Dataset “Back-in-Time” fractional cover maps from 1985-2018 with Daymet climate data in three federally managed preserves in the sagebrush steppe ecosystem: Beaty ButAuthorsChristopher E. Soulard, Matthew B. RiggeImplementation of a surface water extent model in Cambodia using cloud-based remote sensing
Mapping surface water over time provides the spatially explicit information essential for hydroclimatic research focused on droughts and flooding. Hazard risk assessments and water management planning also rely on accurate, long-term measurements describing hydrologic fluctuations. Stream gages are a common measurement tool used to better understand flow and inundation dynamics, but gage networksAuthorsChristopher E. Soulard, Jessica J. Walker, Roy E. PetrakisPhenology patterns indicate recovery trajectories of ponderosa pine forests after high-severity fires
Post-fire recovery trajectories in ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa Laws.) forests of the US Southwest are increasingly shifting away from pre-burn vegetation communities. This study investigated whether phenological metrics derived from a multi-decade remotely sensed imagery time-series could differentiate among grass, evergreen shrub, deciduous, or conifer-dominated replacement pathways. We focAuthorsJessica J. Walker, Christopher E. SoulardLandsat time series assessment of invasive annual grasses following energy development
Invasive annual grasses are of concern in many areas of the Western United States because they tolerate resource variability and have high reproductive capacity, with propagules that are readily dispersed in disturbed areas like those created and maintained for energy development. Early-season invasive grasses “green up” earlier than the most native plants, producing a distinct pulse of greennessAuthorsMiguel L. Villarreal, Christopher E. Soulard, Eric WallerIntegrating stream gage data and Landsat imagery to complete time-series of surface water extents in Central Valley, California
Accurate monitoring of surface water location and extent is critical for the management of diverse water resource phenomena. The multi-decadal archive of Landsat satellite imagery is punctuated by missing data due to cloud cover during acquisition times, hindering the assembly of a continuous time series of inundation dynamics. This study investigated whether streamflow volume measurements could bAuthorsJessica J. Walker, Christopher E. Soulard, Roy E. PetrakisSpatial patterns of meadow sensitivities to interannual climate variability in the Sierra Nevada
Conservation of montane meadows is a high priority for land and water managers given their critical role in buffering the effects of climate variability and their vulnerability to increasing temperatures and evaporative demands. Recent advances in cloud computing have provided new opportunities to examine ecological responses to climate variability over the past few decades, and at large spatial sAuthorsChristine M. Albano, Meredith L. McClure, Shana E. Gross, Wesley Kitlasten, Christopher Soulard, Charles Morton, Justin HuntingtonRemoving rural roads from the National Land Cover Database to create improved urban maps for the United States, 1992-2011
Quantifying change in urban land provides important information to create empirical models examining the effects of human land use. Maps of developed land from the National Land Cover Database (NLCD) of the conterminous United States include rural roads in the developed land class and therefore overestimate the amount of urban land. To better map the urban class and understand how urban lands chanAuthorsChristopher E. Soulard, William Acevedo, Stephen V. StehmanForest harvest patterns on private lands in the Cascade Mountains, Washington, USA
Forests in Washington State generate substantial economic revenue from commercial timber harvesting on private lands. To investigate the rates, causes, and spatial and temporal patterns of forest harvest on private tracts throughout the Cascade Mountains, we relied on a new generation of annual land-use/land-cover (LULC) products created from the application of the Continuous Change Detection andAuthorsChristopher E. Soulard, Jessica J. Walker, Glenn E. Griffith - News
- Partners
Below are partners associated with this project.