Dr. Anne Wein is a principle investigator with the United States Geological Survey (USGS) in the Western Geographic Science Center, Moffett Field, California.
Her collaborative research activities translate natural hazard information and data into societal consequences to help inform decision-making and policy discussions. She has coordinated the analyses of economic impacts for USGS scenarios in California: the 2008 ShakeOut earthquake, 2011 ARkStorm winter storm, and 2013 SAFRR Tsunami. Currently, she co-leads the Bay Area HayWired earthquake sequence scenario. Also, she investigates the communication of aftershock information and forecasts during the 2010-2012 Canterbury, New Zealand earthquake sequence with GNS Science.
Anne works at the interfaces of disciplines (e.g., between engineering and economics), between theory and practice, using quantitative and qualitative methods. She received a Success Story award for advancing the goals of the USGS Science Strategy through the development and execution of the ShakeOut Scenario and Exercise.
Professional Experience
2015- present, Research Operations Research Analyst, Western Geographic Science Center (WGSC)
2007-2014, Operations, Western Geographic Science Center (WGSC)
2004-2007 Contractor, Western Geographic Science Center (WGSC)
Education and Certifications
Stanford University, Ph.D. Decision Sciences, June 1988
Stanford University, M.S. Operations Research, June 1985
University of Canterbury, New Zealand, B.S.Hons, Operations Research, May 1983
Christchurch Primary Teachers College, New Zealand, 1978-7
Honors and Awards
Recognition for leadership on the HayWired scenario by Metropolitan Transportation Commission/Assocation of Bay Area Governments, 2019
Recognition for leadership in USGS Strategic Science Planning, 2012
USGS Pacific Southwest Science Strategy Success Story, 2009
Best Scientific Paper, USGS Geography Discipline, 2009
Science and Products
HayWired - Engineering implications
HayWired Scenario
Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication
Aftershock Forecast Communication for Risk Reduction
SAFRR Tsunami Scenario
ARkStorm
Serious Games for Science
ShakeOut
County-level maps of cropland surface water inundation measured from Landsat and MODIS
Voice and data telecommunications restoration curves for 15 counties affected by the April 18, 2018, M7.0 HayWired earthquake scenario mainshock
Estimated geospatial and tabular damages and vulnerable population distributions resulting from exposure to multiple hazards by the M7.0 HayWired scenario on April 18, 2018, for 17 counties in the San Francisco Bay region, California
The long shadow of a major disaster: Modeled dynamic impacts of the hypothetical HayWired earthquake on California’s economy
Methods and lessons for business resilience and recovery surveys
A conceptual framework for estimation of initial emergency food and water resource requirements in disasters
Economic consequences of the HayWired earthquake scenario
Using Landsat and MODIS satellite collections to examine extent, timing, and potential impacts of surface water inundation in California croplands☆
The economic effects of the HayWired Scenario using the association of Bay Area governments regional growth forecast—A focus on network disruption and resilience
The HayWired earthquake scenario—Engineering implications
Changes in liquefaction severity in the San Francisco Bay Area with sea-level rise
The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Societal Consequences
A simplified method for rapid estimation of emergency water supply needs after earthquakes
The HayWired earthquake scenario—Societal consequences
The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Societal Consequences is the third volume of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013, which describes the HayWired scenario, developed by USGS and its partners. The scenario is a hypothetical yet scientifically realistic earthquake sequence that is being used to better understand hazards for the San Francisco Bay region during and a
Planners tool up for the next big one
Liquefaction and Sea-Level Rise
USGS scientists published a storymap explaining the impacts of sea-level rise on liquefaction severity around the San Francisco Bay Area, California for the magnitude 7.0 ‘HayWired’ earthquake scenario along the Hayward Fault.
Science and Products
- Science
HayWired - Engineering implications
Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication scientists coauthored several chapters in the Earthquake hazards volume of the HayWired earthquake scenario.HayWired Scenario
The HayWired scenario depicts a scientifically realistic earthquake sequence, and its cascading impacts, that all starts with a magnitude 7 earthquake on the Hayward Fault. The scenario emphasizes connectedness: multi-hazards of an earthquake, interactions between critical infrastructure systems, and compounded effects in communities and economies.Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication
The Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication project is led by Anne Wein at the Western Geographic Science Center (WGSC).The umbrella project is Science Application for Risk Reduction (SAFRR), which estimates consequences of natural hazard disaster scenarios as a strategy to engage decision-makers in increasing a community’s ability to cope with the effects of a disaster. Scenarios for...Aftershock Forecast Communication for Risk Reduction
Studies of the communication of aftershock information during the Canterbury, New Zealand earthquake sequence conducted by Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication team members and collaborators in New Zealand are examining the use of risk communication products, risk communication strategies, and risk-based decision-making. Focus groups and interviews were conducted with a range of...SAFRR Tsunami Scenario
The third SAFRR scenario is initiated by a magnitude 9.0 megathrust earthquake in the eastern Aleutian Islands, an event presenting a hypothetical but plausible distant-tsunami threat to southern and central California. USGS and other federal and state agencies entities developed the SAFRR Tsunami Scenario. The scenario describes wave heights, current velocities and inundation for the coast of...ARkStorm
The SAFRR project’s second scenario, called ARkStorm, addresses massive U.S. West Coast storms analogous to those that devastated California in 1861–62. Storms of this magnitude are projected to become more frequent and intense as a result of climate change. The SAFRR project assembled experts from scientific research agencies to design the large, but scientifically plausible, hypothetical storm...Serious Games for Science
Serious or pedagogical games are an engaging way to educate decisionmakers and stakeholders about environmental challenges that are usefully informed by natural and social scientific information and knowledge. USGS designed two serious games intended to promote interactive learning and exploration in the face of large uncertainties, divergent values, and complex situations. Delta Skelta is a game...ShakeOut
The ShakeOut Scenario was located in southern California where earthquake risk is high compared to the rest of the country. This scenario is a hypothetical, but plausible 7.8 magnitude earthquake on the southern San Andreas Fault. This scenario was completed in May 2008. The ShakeOut Scenario is described in two publications: The Scenario (Jones and others) and The Narrative (Perry and others)... - Data
County-level maps of cropland surface water inundation measured from Landsat and MODIS
This dataset represents a summary of potential cropland inundation for the state of California applying high-frequency surface water map composites derived from two satellite remote sensing platforms (Landsat and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer [MODIS]) with high-quality cropland maps generated by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR). Using Google Earth Engine, we examiVoice and data telecommunications restoration curves for 15 counties affected by the April 18, 2018, M7.0 HayWired earthquake scenario mainshock
These data are a series of telecommunications voice and data restoration percentages for 17 counties affected by the HayWired earthquake scenario, a magnitude 7.0 earthquake occurring on the Hayward Fault on April 18, 2018, with an epicenter in the city of Oakland, CA. These data for telecommunications demand served are derived from residual network capacity based on potential hazard information (Estimated geospatial and tabular damages and vulnerable population distributions resulting from exposure to multiple hazards by the M7.0 HayWired scenario on April 18, 2018, for 17 counties in the San Francisco Bay region, California
This data release is comprised of geospatial and tabular data developed for the HayWired communities at risk analysis. The HayWired earthquake scenario is a magnitude 7.0 earthquake hypothesized to occur on the Hayward Fault on April 18, 2018, with an epicenter in the city of Oakland, CA. The following 17 counties are included in this analysis unless otherwise specified: Alameda, Contra Costa, Ma - Multimedia
- Publications
Filter Total Items: 53
The long shadow of a major disaster: Modeled dynamic impacts of the hypothetical HayWired earthquake on California’s economy
We develop and apply a dynamic economic simulation model to analyze the multi-regional impacts of, and mechanisms of recovery from, a major disaster, the HayWired scenario — a hypothetical Magnitude 7.0 earthquake affecting California’s San Francisco Bay Area. The model integrates loss pathways: capital stock damage, labor supply shocks due to short-term population displacement and longer-run out-AuthorsIan Sue Wing, Adam Z Rose, Dan Wei, Anne WeinMethods and lessons for business resilience and recovery surveys
Surveys are important tools in business resilience and recovery research because of their ability to capture disaggregated economic information; however, they can be difficult and costly due to business operational dynamics and the larger challenges of disaster research. The COVID-19 pandemic serves as a recent example where demand for business data was high across both research and practice. Yet,AuthorsMaria Watson, Charlotte Brown, John Handmer, Cynthia Kroll, Anne Wein, Jennifer Helgeson, Adam Rose, Noah Dormady, Juri KimA conceptual framework for estimation of initial emergency food and water resource requirements in disasters
Many households lack the necessary food and water supplies to sustain themselves for more than three days during a disaster. Community vulnerability assessments can be used to identify households with more pressing needs for emergency food and water resources. It is critical that these assessments include the interaction between physical impacts to lifeline infrastructure and the social vulnerabilAuthorsJoseph Charles Toland, Anne Wein, An-Min Wu, Lauryn SpearingEconomic consequences of the HayWired earthquake scenario
This study evaluates the economic impacts of a Mw7.0 Hayward fault scenario earthquake on the greater San Francisco Bay Region’s economy and the California economy as a whole using a detailed multiregional, static computable general equilibrium model. Economic impacts in terms of Gross Regional Product (GRP) losses caused by both capital stock (building and content) damages and water and electriciAuthorsIan Sue Wing, Dan Wei, Adam Rose, Anne WeinUsing Landsat and MODIS satellite collections to examine extent, timing, and potential impacts of surface water inundation in California croplands☆
The state of California, United States of America produces many crop products that are both utilized domestically and exported throughout the world. With nearly 39,000 km2 of croplands, monitoring unintentional and intentional surface water inundation is important for water resource management and flood hazard readiness. We examine inundation dynamics in California croplands from 2003 to 2020 by iAuthorsBritt Windsor Smith, Christopher E. Soulard, Jessica J. Walker, Anne WeinThe economic effects of the HayWired Scenario using the association of Bay Area governments regional growth forecast—A focus on network disruption and resilience
This paper describes how impacts to infrastructure networks within the San Francisco Bay Area may exacerbate the effects of building damage and how policies addressing these networks can improve resilience before and after the earthquake. The analysis uses existing modeling techniques that underlie the Association of Bay Area Government’s (ABAG) 2015 regional economic forecast of the San FranciscoAuthorsCynthia Kroll, Bobby Lu, Anne Wein, Aksel OlsenThe HayWired earthquake scenario—Engineering implications
The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Engineering Implications is the second volume of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013, which describes the HayWired scenario, developed by USGS and its partners. The scenario is a hypothetical yet scientifically realistic earthquake sequence that is being used to better understand hazards for the San Francisco Bay region during aChanges in liquefaction severity in the San Francisco Bay Area with sea-level rise
This paper studies the impacts of sea-level rise on liquefaction triggering and severity around the San Francisco Bay Area, California, for the M 7.0 “HayWired” earthquake scenario along the Hayward fault. This work emerged from stakeholder engagement for the US Geological Survey releases of the HayWired earthquake scenario and the Coastal Storm Modeling System projects, in which local planners anAuthorsAlex R. R. Grant, Anne Wein, Kevin M. Befus, Juliette Finzi-Hart, Mike Frame, Rachel Volentine, Patrick L. Barnard, Keith L. KnudsenThe HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Societal Consequences
The HayWired earthquake scenario, led by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), anticipates the impacts of a hypothetical moment magnitude 7.0 earthquake on the Hayward Fault. The fault runs along the east side of California’s San Francisco Bay and is among the most active and dangerous in the United States, passing through a densely urbanized and interconnected region. A scientifically realistic scenAuthorsAnne M. Wein, Joseph L. Jones, Laurie A. Johnson, Cynthia Kroll, Jennifer A. Strauss, David Witkowski, Dale A. CoxA simplified method for rapid estimation of emergency water supply needs after earthquakes
Researchers are investigating the problem of estimating households with potable water service outages soon after an earthquake. Most of these modeling approaches are computationally intensive, have large proprietary data collection requirements or lack precision, making them unfeasible for rapid assessment, prioritization, and allocation of emergency water resources in large, complex disasters. ThAuthorsJoseph Charles Toland, Anne WeinThe HayWired earthquake scenario—Societal consequences
The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Societal Consequences is the third volume of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013, which describes the HayWired scenario, developed by USGS and its partners. The scenario is a hypothetical yet scientifically realistic earthquake sequence that is being used to better understand hazards for the San Francisco Bay region during and a
Planners tool up for the next big one
Data, modeling, risk analysis, and hazard scenario resources can help put earthquake mitigation efforts on firmer ground. Article discusses general earthquake information and findings of the HayWired scenario for a planner audience.AuthorsLaurie Johnson, Anne M. Wein - Web Tools
Liquefaction and Sea-Level Rise
USGS scientists published a storymap explaining the impacts of sea-level rise on liquefaction severity around the San Francisco Bay Area, California for the magnitude 7.0 ‘HayWired’ earthquake scenario along the Hayward Fault.
- News