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Probabilistic regional-scale liquefaction triggering modeling using 3D Gaussian processes Probabilistic regional-scale liquefaction triggering modeling using 3D Gaussian processes

Liquefaction is a major cause of coseismic damages, occurring irregularly over hundreds or thousands of square kilometers in large earthquakes. Large variations in the extent and location of liquefaction have been observed in recent earthquakes, motivating the need for prediction methods that consider the spatial heterogeneity of geologic deposits at a regional scale. Contemporary...
Authors
Michael Greenfield, Alex R. Grant

Runoff-initiated post-fire debris flow Western Cascades, Oregon Runoff-initiated post-fire debris flow Western Cascades, Oregon

Wildfires dramatically alter the hydraulics and root reinforcement of soil on forested hillslopes, which can promote the generation of debris flows. In the Pacific Northwest, post-fire shallow landsliding has been well documented and studied, but the potential role of runoff-initiated debris flows is not well understood and only one previous to 2018 had been documented in the region. On...
Authors
Sara Wall, J.J. Roering, Francis K. Rengers

Regionally Optimized Background Earthquake Rates from ETAS (ROBERE) for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment Regionally Optimized Background Earthquake Rates from ETAS (ROBERE) for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment

We use an epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) based approach to develop a regionally optimized background earthquake rates from ETAS (ROBERE) method for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment. ROBERE fits parameters to the full seismicity catalog for a region with maximum‐likelihood estimation, including uncertainty. It then averages the earthquake rates over a suite of catalogs...
Authors
Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis at regional and national scale: State of the art and future challenges Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis at regional and national scale: State of the art and future challenges

Seismic hazard modelling is a multi-disciplinary science that aims to forecast earthquake occurrence and its resultant ground shaking. Such models consist of a probabilistic framework that quantifies uncertainty across a complex system; typically, this includes at least two model components developed from Earth science: seismic-source and ground-motion models. Although there is no...
Authors
M. C. Gerstenberger, W. Marzocchi, T. J. Allen, M. Pagani, Janice Adams, L. Danciu, Edward H. Field, H. Fujiwara, Nico Luco, K-F Ma, C. Meletti, Mark D. Petersen

Molecular indicators of methane metabolisms at cold seeps along the United States Atlantic margin Molecular indicators of methane metabolisms at cold seeps along the United States Atlantic margin

A lipid biomarker study was undertaken to determine the microbial composition and variability in authigenic carbonates and associated soft bottom habitats from the Norfolk and the Baltimore Canyon seep fields along the US mid-Atlantic margin. Results from this study capture a distinct molecular signal from methane oxidizing archaea, including archaeol (I), sn-2-hydroxyarchaeol...
Authors
Nancy G. Prouty, Pamela L. Campbell, Hilary Close, Jennifer F. Biddle, Sabrina Beckmann

Activation of optimally and unfavourably oriented faults in a uniform local stress field during the 2011 Prague, Oklahoma, sequence Activation of optimally and unfavourably oriented faults in a uniform local stress field during the 2011 Prague, Oklahoma, sequence

The orientations of faults activated relative to the local principal stress directions can provide insights into the role of pore pressure changes in induced earthquake sequences. Here, we examine the 2011 M 5.7 Prague earthquake sequence that was induced by nearby wastewater disposal. We estimate the local principal compressive stress direction near the rupture as inferred from shear...
Authors
Elizabeth S. Cochran, Robert Skoumal, Devin McPhillips, Z. Ross, Katie M. Keranen

Mechanics of near-field deformation during co- and post-seismic shallow fault slip Mechanics of near-field deformation during co- and post-seismic shallow fault slip

Poor knowledge of how faults slip and distribute deformation in the shallow crust hinders efforts to mitigate hazards where faults increasingly intersect with the expanding global population at Earth’s surface. Here we analyze two study sites along the 2014 M 6.0 South Napa, California, earthquake rupture, each dominated by either co- or post-seismic shallow fault slip. We combine mobile...
Authors
Johanna Nevitt, Benjamin A. Brooks, Rufus D. Catchings, Mark Goldman, Todd Ericksen, Craig L. Glennie

Earthquakes, ShakeCast Earthquakes, ShakeCast

ShakeCast® – short for ShakeMap Broadcast – is a fully automated software system for delivering specific ShakeMap products to critical users and for triggering established post-earthquake response protocols. ShakeCast is a freely available, postearthquake situational awareness software application that automatically retrieves earthquake shaking data from ShakeMap to compare ground...
Authors
Kuo-wan Lin, David J. Wald, Daniel Slosky

Map depicting susceptibility to landslides triggered by intense rainfall, Puerto Rico Map depicting susceptibility to landslides triggered by intense rainfall, Puerto Rico

Landslides in Puerto Rico range from nuisances to deadly events. Centuries of agricultural and urban modification of the landscape have perturbed many already unstable hillsides on the tropical island. One of the main triggers of mass wasting on the island is the high-intensity rainfall that is associated with tropical atmospheric systems. Puerto Rico’s geographic position and rugged...
Authors
K. Stephen Hughes, William H. Schulz

Dynamic rupture simulations of the M6.4 and M7.1 July 2019 Ridgecrest, California earthquakes Dynamic rupture simulations of the M6.4 and M7.1 July 2019 Ridgecrest, California earthquakes

The largest earthquakes of the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, sequence were a M 6.4 left‐lateral rupture followed 34 hr later by a M 7.1 on a perpendicular right‐lateral fault. We use dynamic rupture modeling to address the questions of why the first earthquake did not propagate through the right‐lateral fault in one larger event, whether stress changes from the M 6.4 were necessary for...
Authors
Julian C. Lozos, Ruth A. Harris

Response study of the tallest California building inferred from the Mw7.1 Ridgecrest, California earthquake of 5 July 2019 and ambient motions Response study of the tallest California building inferred from the Mw7.1 Ridgecrest, California earthquake of 5 July 2019 and ambient motions

The newly constructed tallest building in California, the 73-story Wilshire Grand in Los Angeles, California, is designed in conformance with performance-based design procedures. The building is designed with concrete core–shear walls, three outriggers with buckling restrained braces (BRBs) located along the height, and two three-story truss-belt structural systems. The building is...
Authors
Mehmet Celebi, S. Farid Ghahari, Hamid Haddadi, Ertugrul Taciroglu

A lacustrine paleoenvironment recorded at Vera Rubin ridge, Gale crater: Overview of the sedimentology and stratigraphy observed by the Mars Science Laboratory Curiosity rover A lacustrine paleoenvironment recorded at Vera Rubin ridge, Gale crater: Overview of the sedimentology and stratigraphy observed by the Mars Science Laboratory Curiosity rover

For ~500 Martian solar days (sols), the Mars Science Laboratory team explored Vera Rubin ridge (VRR), a topographic feature on the northwest slope of Aeolis Mons. Here we review the sedimentary facies and stratigraphy observed during sols 1,800–2,300, covering more than 100 m of stratigraphic thickness. Curiosity's traverse includes two transects across the ridge, which enables...
Authors
Lauren A. Edgar, Christopher M. Fedo, Sanjeev Gupta, Steve G. Banham, Abigail A. Fraeman, John P. Grotzinger, Kathryn M. Stack, Nathan T. Stein, Kristen A. Bennett, Frances Rivera-Hernandez, Vivian Z. Sun, Kenneth S. Edgett, David M. Rubin, Christopher H House, Jason K. Van Beek
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