Overview map and location of the Tracy Arm landslide-generated tsunami event. The imagery is not current, and the South Sawyer Glacier has retreated over a kilometer from what is depicted.
Images
Geologic Hazards Science Center images.
Overview map and location of the Tracy Arm landslide-generated tsunami event. The imagery is not current, and the South Sawyer Glacier has retreated over a kilometer from what is depicted.
Oblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is to the west.
Oblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is to the west.
Oblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide source area captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is approximately north.
Oblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide source area captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is approximately north.
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Tsunami-Inundated Shoreline
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Tsunami-Inundated ShorelinePhoto of tsunami-inundated shoreline at Williams Cove, near the mouth of Tracy Arm. Look direction is approximately north.
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Tsunami-Inundated Shoreline
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Tsunami-Inundated ShorelinePhoto of tsunami-inundated shoreline at Williams Cove, near the mouth of Tracy Arm. Look direction is approximately north.
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Across the Fiord Facing North
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Across the Fiord Facing NorthOblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide taken from across the fiord during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is approximately north.
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Across the Fiord Facing North
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Across the Fiord Facing NorthOblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide taken from across the fiord during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is approximately north.
Oblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide source area captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is approximately north.
Oblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide source area captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is approximately north.
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Before and After Satellite Imagery
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Before and After Satellite ImageryComparison of (a) pre- and (b) post-event satellite images showing the source area of the August 10th landslide that impacted Tracy Arm. The dashed line in (a) shows the approximate location of the front of South Sawyer Glacier on August 7th, 2025 (mapped from imagery © 2025 Planet Labs PBC).
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Before and After Satellite Imagery
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Before and After Satellite ImageryComparison of (a) pre- and (b) post-event satellite images showing the source area of the August 10th landslide that impacted Tracy Arm. The dashed line in (a) shows the approximate location of the front of South Sawyer Glacier on August 7th, 2025 (mapped from imagery © 2025 Planet Labs PBC).
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Source Area Facing Northwest
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Source Area Facing NorthwestOblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide, and tsunami trimline, captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is to the northwest.
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Source Area Facing Northwest
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Source Area Facing NorthwestOblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide, and tsunami trimline, captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is to the northwest.
Oblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide headscarp. Look direction is to the northwest.
Oblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide headscarp. Look direction is to the northwest.
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Runup Zone and South Sawyer Glacier
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Runup Zone and South Sawyer GlacierOblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide across-fiord runup zone and South Sawyer Glacier captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is to the southeast.
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Runup Zone and South Sawyer Glacier
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide Runup Zone and South Sawyer GlacierOblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide across-fiord runup zone and South Sawyer Glacier captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is to the southeast.
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide and South Sawyer Glacier Facing the Southeast
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide and South Sawyer Glacier Facing the SoutheastOblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide and South Sawyer Glacier captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is to the southeast.
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide and South Sawyer Glacier Facing the Southeast
2025 Tracy Arm Landslide and South Sawyer Glacier Facing the SoutheastOblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide and South Sawyer Glacier captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is to the southeast.
Oblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide. Look direction is to the south.
Oblique aerial photo of the August 10, 2025 landslide. Look direction is to the south.
Oblique aerial photo of Sawyer Island captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is to the southeast.
Oblique aerial photo of Sawyer Island captured during a field reconnaissance overflight on August 13, 2025. Look direction is to the southeast.
Map of the United States and its territories showing 2024 International Building Code Seismic Design Categories and Risk Categories.
Map of the United States and its territories showing 2024 International Building Code Seismic Design Categories and Risk Categories.
Map of the United States and its territories showing the distribution of average annualized earthquake losses by region (modified from Jaiswal and others, 2023). Economic losses from earthquakes in these nine regions are estimated to average \$14.7 billion dollars per year.
Map of the United States and its territories showing the distribution of average annualized earthquake losses by region (modified from Jaiswal and others, 2023). Economic losses from earthquakes in these nine regions are estimated to average \$14.7 billion dollars per year.
AftershockForecastSequence-SpecificModelParameters.png
AftershockForecastSequence-SpecificModelParameters.pngAftershock Forecast Sequence-Specific Model Parameters equation
The probability distribution for the number of aftershocks, P(N), and the forecast can then be computed using the same procedures as for the generic model, using Pseq-spec(a) instead of Pgeneric(a).
AftershockForecastSequence-SpecificModelParameters.png
AftershockForecastSequence-SpecificModelParameters.pngAftershock Forecast Sequence-Specific Model Parameters equation
The probability distribution for the number of aftershocks, P(N), and the forecast can then be computed using the same procedures as for the generic model, using Pseq-spec(a) instead of Pgeneric(a).
An example of Bayesian updating of productivity parameter (a-value) for the 2010 Mw 8.8 Maule, Chile, earthquake. Immediately following the earthquake, the SZ-GENERIC region-specific a-value distribution can be used.
An example of Bayesian updating of productivity parameter (a-value) for the 2010 Mw 8.8 Maule, Chile, earthquake. Immediately following the earthquake, the SZ-GENERIC region-specific a-value distribution can be used.
Screenshot of the Aftershock Forecast for an earthquake in California, showing the information box at the top of the forecast and the four tabs of forecast information.
Screenshot of the Aftershock Forecast for an earthquake in California, showing the information box at the top of the forecast and the four tabs of forecast information.
Screenshot of the Aftershock Forecast for an earthquake in California, with the “Summary” tab selected, and “M4+” and “Show All” selections for magnitude and forecast duration.
Screenshot of the Aftershock Forecast for an earthquake in California, with the “Summary” tab selected, and “M4+” and “Show All” selections for magnitude and forecast duration.
Screenshot of the Aftershock Forecast for an earthquake in California, with the “Summary” tab selected, and “M4+” and “Show All” selections for magnitude and forecast duration.
Screenshot of the Aftershock Forecast for an earthquake in California, with the “Summary” tab selected, and “M4+” and “Show All” selections for magnitude and forecast duration.
Screenshot of the Aftershock Forecast for an earthquake in California, with the “Forecast Table” tab selected.
Screenshot of the Aftershock Forecast for an earthquake in California, with the “Forecast Table” tab selected.