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Publications

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On the importance of geological and geophysical lunar field work enabled by Artemis Base Camp On the importance of geological and geophysical lunar field work enabled by Artemis Base Camp

We report on six Findings related to the benefit of Artemis Base Camp (ABC) to lunar geoscience (Figure 1). These Findings are on the topics of 1) Repeat field site visits; 2) Geological experiments; 3) Satellite ABC campus(es); 4) Advanced lab equipment; 5) Frequent and resource-intensive EVAs; and 6) Geoscience STEM engagement. Lastly, we consider certain issues and caveats meriting...
Authors
K. Runyon, S. Buxner, K. Crane, C. Crow, A. Douglass, Lauren A. Edgar, D. Eppler, J.M. Hurtado, K. Rubins, M. Wagner

Cascading land surface hazards as a nexus in the Earth system Cascading land surface hazards as a nexus in the Earth system

Earth’s surface is sculpted by numerous processes that move sediment, ranging from gradual and benign to abrupt and catastrophic. Although infrequent, high-magnitude sediment mobilization events can be hazardous to people and infrastructure, leaving topographic imprints on the landscape and remarkable narratives in the historical record. Hazardous events such as fires, storms, and...
Authors
Brian J. Yanites, Marin Clark, Joshua J. Roering, A. Joshua West, Dimitrios Zekkos, Jane W. Baldwin, Corina Cerovski-Darriau, Sean F. Gallen, Daniel E. Horton, Eric Kirby, Ben Leshchinksy, H. Benjamin Mason, Seulgi Moon, Katherine R. Barnhart, Adam M. Booth, Jonathan A. Czuba, Scott W. McCoy, Luke A. McGuire, Allison M. Pfeiffer, Jennifer L. Pierce

Relationship between peak and cumulative ground motions from 49 Mw 3-6 earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay Area Relationship between peak and cumulative ground motions from 49 Mw 3-6 earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay Area

We examine the relationship between peak ground velocity (PGV) and cumulative absolute displacement (CAD) for 49 Mw 3 – 6 earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA) and gain insight into the spatiotemporal partitioning of seismic energy in ground motion records with respect to source, path, and site effects. PGV and CAD are positively correlated, but there can be large deviations...
Authors
Evan Tyler Hirakawa, Grace Alexandra Parker, Annemarie S. Baltay

Three-dimensional seismic velocity models for the San Francisco Bay region, California from joint body-wave and surface-wave tomography validated by waveform simulation Three-dimensional seismic velocity models for the San Francisco Bay region, California from joint body-wave and surface-wave tomography validated by waveform simulation

A high-resolution seismic velocity model for both P and S waves is essential for the San Francisco Bay (SFB) region to accurately simulate earthquake ground motions and assess seismic hazards in this high-risk region. We present new three-dimensional P-wave and S-wave velocity (Vp and Vs) models of the SFB region developed using joint tomographic inversion with a rich set of earthquake...
Authors
Hao Guo, Taka'aki Taira, Avinash Nayak, Clifford Thurber, Evan Tyler Hirakawa

Impact of gas/liquid phase change of CO2 during injection for sequestration Impact of gas/liquid phase change of CO2 during injection for sequestration

CO2 sequestration in deep saline formations is an effective and important process to control the rapid rise in CO2 emissions. The process of injecting CO2 requires reliable predictions of the stress in the formation and the fluid pressure distributions – particularly since monitoring of the CO2 migration is difficult – to mitigate leakage, prevent induced seismicity, and analyze wellbore...
Authors
M. Karimi, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Mehrdad Massoudi, Noel Walkington, Matteo Pozzi, Kaushik Dayal

High-pass corner frequency selection and review tool for use in ground-motion processing High-pass corner frequency selection and review tool for use in ground-motion processing

Raw seismological waveform data contain noise from the instrument’s surroundings and the instrument itself that can dominate recordings at low and high frequencies. To use these data in ground‐motion modeling, the effects of noise on the signals must be reduced and the signals’ usable frequency range identified. We present automated procedures to efficiently reduce low‐frequency noise...
Authors
Maria E. Ramos-Sepulveda, Scott J. Brandenberg, Tristan E Buckreis, Grace Alexandra Parker, Jonathan P. Stewart

An empirical Green’s function approach for isolating directivity effects in earthquake ground-motion amplitudes An empirical Green’s function approach for isolating directivity effects in earthquake ground-motion amplitudes

In this study, we apply an empirical Green’s function (eGf) method within a ground‐motion modeling framework to mitigate trade‐offs between source, path, and site effects. Many physical processes contribute to spatial variations in observed ground motions, including earthquake radiation pattern, directivity, variable path attenuation, and site effects. Current nonergodic ground‐motion...
Authors
Grace Alexandra Parker, Annemarie S. Baltay, Evan Tyler Hirakawa

The first instrumentally detected hydrothermal explosion in Yellowstone National Park The first instrumentally detected hydrothermal explosion in Yellowstone National Park

Hydrothermal explosions are one of the geological hazards most likely to impact people in Yellowstone National Park, but their frequency is poorly known. Infrasound and seismic sensors identified an explosion in Norris Geyser Basin on 15 April 2024, at 14:56 MDT (20:56 UTC)—the first instrumentally detected hydrothermal explosion in the Yellowstone region. The event affected an area tens...
Authors
Michael Poland, Alexandra M. Iezzi, Jamie Farrell, R. Greg Vaughan

Countdown to Apophis close approach—Cascading hazards from asteroid impacts Countdown to Apophis close approach—Cascading hazards from asteroid impacts

Introduction Apophis (officially 99942 Apophis, pronounced “uh-PAW-fiss”) is a Near-Earth Object. Primarily composed of the materials that make up the leftover building blocks of the solar system, Near-Earth Objects are small solar system bodies in an orbit around the Sun that brings them close to the Earth. Apophis has been classified as a “potentially hazardous object,” a Near-Earth...
Authors
Tim Titus, Lori Pigue, Lucienne Morton

Characterization and validation of tidally calibrated strains from the Alto Tiberina Near Fault Observatory Strainmeter Array (TABOO-NFO-STAR) Characterization and validation of tidally calibrated strains from the Alto Tiberina Near Fault Observatory Strainmeter Array (TABOO-NFO-STAR)

Six horizontal borehole tensor strainmeters (TSM1-6) installed from Fall 2021 to Spring 2022 comprise the Alto Tiberina Near Fault Observatory Strainmeter Array (STAR), providing an unprecedented opportunity to investigate seismic and aseismic deformation from hazardous high- and low-angle normal faults in Italy. Prior to use in tectonic applications, they require in-situ calibration and
Authors
Catherine Elise Hanagan, Eugenio Mandler, Richard Bennett, Lauro Chiaraluce, Mike Gottlieb, Adriano Gualandi, Amanda L. Hughes, Wade Johnson, David Mencin, Simone Marzorati

Meet the people where they are: Assessing user needs for aftershock forecast products in El Salvador, Mexico and the United States Meet the people where they are: Assessing user needs for aftershock forecast products in El Salvador, Mexico and the United States

Aftershock forecasts can help communities reduce their seismic risk by conveying how many aftershocks can be expected following a large earthquake, and how the expected number of aftershocks and their corresponding ground shaking evolves over time and space. Prior work finds that graphical forecast products may communicate such information better than only text or numbers. To identify...
Authors
Max Schneider, Anne Wein, Sara K. McBride, Nicholas van der Elst, Julia Becker, Raul Castro, Manuel Diaz, Hector Gonzalez-Huizar, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrew J. Michael, Luis E. Mixco, Morgan T. Page

Bayesian ETAS modeling for the Pacific Northwest: Uncovering effects of tectonic regimes, regional differences, and swarms on aftershock parameters Bayesian ETAS modeling for the Pacific Northwest: Uncovering effects of tectonic regimes, regional differences, and swarms on aftershock parameters

The Pacific Northwest (PNW) of North America has high seismic hazard due to numerous earthquake sources under populated areas. It hosts several tectonic regimes and subregional seismic zones that are hypothesized to have different patterns of earthquake and aftershock occurrence. It is also predisposed to earthquake swarms, which can complicate the statistical modeling of these patterns...
Authors
Max Schneider, Michael Barall, Peter Guttorp, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrew J. Michael, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst
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