Publications
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Extreme plate boundary localization promotes shallow earthquake slip at the Japan Trench Extreme plate boundary localization promotes shallow earthquake slip at the Japan Trench
The 2011 Mw9.1 Tohoku-oki earthquake is exceptional among great earthquakes for having peak slip of ~50-70 m on the shallowest portion of the plate boundary megathrust. International Ocean Discovery Program Expedition 405 drilled multiple holes through the megathrust in the large slip region and at a Pacific Plate input site. The megathrust preferentially develops at the top or base of...
Authors
Jamie D. Kirkpatrick, Heather M. Savage, Christine Regalla, Srisharan Shreedharan, Catherine Ross, Hanaya Okuda, Uisdean Nicholson, Kohtaro Ujiie, Ron Hackney, Marianne Conin, Pei Pei, Sara Satolli, Junli Zhang, Patrick Fulton, Matt Ikari, Shuichi Kodaira, Lena Maeda, Natsumi Okutsu, Sean Toczko, Nobu Eguchi
Using gridded seismicity to forecast the long-term spatial distribution of earthquakes for the 2025 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands National Seismic Hazard Model Using gridded seismicity to forecast the long-term spatial distribution of earthquakes for the 2025 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands National Seismic Hazard Model
Gridded (or background) seismicity models are a critical component of probabilistic seismic hazard assessments, accounting for off‐fault and smaller‐magnitude earthquakes. They are typically developed by declustering and spatially smoothing an earthquake catalog to estimate a long‐term seismicity rate that can be used to forecast future earthquakes. Here, we present new gridded...
Authors
Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Kirstie Lafon Haynie, Allison M. Shumway, Julie A. Herrick
High frequency and region-scale simulations of large (Mw7+) earthquakes on the southern Whidbey Island fault, Washington, USA High frequency and region-scale simulations of large (Mw7+) earthquakes on the southern Whidbey Island fault, Washington, USA
We simulate ground shaking in western Washington State from hypothetical Mw7.0–7.5 earthquakes on the southern Whidbey Island fault (SWIF). Ground motions are modeled considering kinematic source distributions on a complex fault plane, a 3D seismic velocity model, and region‐specific soil velocity models. We run simulations with varying model resolutions, including regional‐scale...
Authors
Ian P. Stone, Erin A. Wirth, Alex R. Grant, Arthur D. Frankel
Memory and jamming in fault zone sediments Memory and jamming in fault zone sediments
Many subsurface processes involve transitions in granular material states, from arrested to creeping to flowing. Experiments and frameworks for idealized systems reveal that granular fabrics develop during shearing, co-evolve with applied stress, and govern such transitions. We use microtomography to test whether fabrics at two San Andreas fault sites reflect slip history and whether...
Authors
Jhardel Dasent, Vashan Wright, Katherine M. Scharer, Michael Manga, Richard Kilburn
Persistent deep long-period seismicity near the Lassen Volcanic Center Persistent deep long-period seismicity near the Lassen Volcanic Center
Deep long-period (DLP) earthquakes have been observed at many volcanic settings around the world and linked to the magmatic processes that drive volcanic unrest. At the Lassen Volcanic Center (LVC) of the Cascade arc, limited detection of DLP activity hinders classification of anomalous seismic behavior and its relationship to the LVC magmatic system. This study uses a template matching...
Authors
Eric Kiser, Kevin M. Ward, Clint Koch, Emily Rodriguez, Haiyang Kehoe, Audrey M. Dunham, Peter Blake
3D Converted wave reverse time migration imaging 3D Converted wave reverse time migration imaging
We describe a newly developed method for recovering high-resolution images of seismic discontinuities, such as subducting slabs, in 3D. Our method makes use of converted S →P or P →S waves observed by dense arrays of seismometers to infer the locations and relative strengths of seismic discontinuities at depth in a target region. Observed direct and converted waves are backpropagated to...
Authors
Leah Langer, Christopher Henze, Frederick Pollitz, Jeffrey J. McGuire
Ultramafic float rocks at Jezero crater (Mars): Excavation of lower crustal rocks or mantle peridotites by impact cratering? Ultramafic float rocks at Jezero crater (Mars): Excavation of lower crustal rocks or mantle peridotites by impact cratering?
Based on observation and data from meteorites and in situ scientific missions, experiments as well as models, the Martian mantle is assumed to share some compositional and mineralogical affinity with the terrestrial mantle. However, there might be subtle differences like the Martian mantle being more ferroan. Yet, we do not have any direct analysis of a Martian mantle rock to confirm...
Authors
O. Beyssac, Elise Clavé, O. Forni, A. Udry, A.C. Pascuzzo, E. Dehouck, P.S.A. Beck, L. Mandon, C. Quantin-Nataf, N. Mangold, G. Lopez-Reyes, C. Royer, Olivier Gasnault, Travis S.J. Gabriel, L.C. Kah, Susanne Schröder, J.R. Johnson, T. Bertrand, B. Chide, T. Fouchet, J.I. Simon, F. Montmessin, A. Fau, S. Maurice, R. C. Wiens, A. Cousin
Evolution of permeability and strength recovery of shear fracture under hydrothermal conditions Evolution of permeability and strength recovery of shear fracture under hydrothermal conditions
Geothermal energy is a clean and renewable resource that depends on the ability to move water through hot rock. In many locations, the ability to move water through rock requires the presence of extensive natural or human-made systems of fractures. However, these fracture systems are influenced by a variety of complex processes that occur at the temperature and pressure conditions found...
Authors
David A. Lockner, Joshua M. Taron, Tamara Nicole Jeppson
Exploring Martian geothermal and liquid water potential with basin modeling Exploring Martian geothermal and liquid water potential with basin modeling
Assessing the potential for geothermal energy and liquid water presence in the Martian subsurface is crucial for future exploration and habitability studies. In this work, we employed comprehensive finite element model simulations adapted specifically for Martian conditions to estimate subsurface temperatures and the potential for liquid water at depth within Martian crater basins. Rock...
Authors
Rand Gardner, Justin E. Birdwell, Katherine L. French, Chris Okubo, Janet K. Pitman, Stanley T. Paxton, Jason A. Flaum
Summer snow determines the depth to ice-cemented ground under dry permafrost in Antarctica Summer snow determines the depth to ice-cemented ground under dry permafrost in Antarctica
Dry permafrost underlain by ice-cemented permafrost has been reported in several locations in Antarctica. Initially thought to be relic ice, it is now understood that this subsurface ice is in equilibrium with the surface conditions, although it is not in equilibrium with the atmosphere. We use year-round data from University Valley in the Dry Valleys and Elephant Head in the Ellsworth...
Authors
C. P. McKay, M. Marinova, Kaj E. Williams, M. Mellon
Long‐period ground motions from dynamic rupture simulations of large earthquakes on the creeping Hayward–Calaveras–Rodgers Creek fault system Long‐period ground motions from dynamic rupture simulations of large earthquakes on the creeping Hayward–Calaveras–Rodgers Creek fault system
he Hayward, Calaveras, and Rodgers Creek faults in the San Francisco Bay region of California have a high probability of producing a large earthquake in the next decades. Although these faults creep, the creep is insufficient to keep up with their relatively rapid slip rates on their deepest sections, so they have been storing tectonic strain since their last large earthquakes, with the...
Authors
Ruth A. Harris, Michael Barall, Grace Alexandra Parker, Evan Tyler Hirakawa