Publications
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Constraining large magnitude event source and path effects using ground motion simulations Constraining large magnitude event source and path effects using ground motion simulations
The purpose of this study is to use ground motion simulations to investigate ways in which source and path effects for large magnitude events can be represented in non-ergodic GMMs. While we initially developed computation techniques using CyberShake simulations, the range of magnitudes and source-site combinations is not adequate to replicate what is observed empirically. We therefore...
Authors
Xiaofeng Meng, Robert Graves, Christine Goulet
Reconciling bias in moderate magnitude earthquake ground motions predicted by numerical simulations Reconciling bias in moderate magnitude earthquake ground motions predicted by numerical simulations
Recent studies found a significant underprediction in ground motion intensity measures for finite-fault simulations of moderate magnitude events in southern California relative to established ground motion models. This study aims to understand the source(s) of this bias by evaluating ground motion residuals. For this, simulations have been performed for a total of 27 well-recorded...
Authors
K. C. Sajan, Chukwuebuka C. Nweke, Jonathon P. Stewart, Robert Graves
International data gaps at the Center for Engineering Strong Motion Data International data gaps at the Center for Engineering Strong Motion Data
The Center for Engineering Strong Motion Data (CESMD) is utilized by seismologists, engineers, and disaster management professionals in the US and has historically achieved and distributed waveforms from across the globe for significant earthquakes. The increased access to the waveforms via Web API (Application Programming Interface) offers a unique opportunity to provide the community...
Authors
Han Shao, Jeff Brody, Lisa Schleicher, Kristin Marano, Jamison Steidl, Eric Thompson, Mike Hearne, James Luke Blair
Global survey of paleo-bedforms on Mars Global survey of paleo-bedforms on Mars
Sedimentary processes on Mars have contributed to a plethora of landforms, both ancient and modern. Many of these are aeolian- or fluvial-formed constructs that meet the morphologic criteria for dunes and ripples but are clearly lithified and part of the rock record. This study conducted a survey of Mars using data returned from the High Resolution Imaging Science Experiment (HiRISE) to...
Authors
Matthew Chojnacki, Lori Fenton, Lauren Edgar, Mackenzie Day, Christopher S. Edwards, Aaron R Weintraub, Amber Gullikson, Matt Telfer
U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Program decadal science strategy, 2024–33 U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Program decadal science strategy, 2024–33
Executive Summary Earthquakes represent one of our Nation’s most significant and costly natural hazards, with estimated annual loses from earthquakes close to $15 billion in 2023. Over the past two centuries, 37 U.S. States have experienced an earthquake exceeding a magnitude of 5, and 50 percent of States have a significant potential for future damaging shaking; these statistics speak...
Authors
Gavin P. Hayes, Annemarie Baltay Sundstrom, William Barnhart, Michael Blanpied, Lindsay Davis, Paul Earle, Ned Field, Jill Franks, Douglas Given, Ryan Gold, Christine Goulet, Michelle Guy, Jeanne Hardebeck, Nico Luco, Frederick Pollitz, Adam Ringler, Katherine M. Scharer, Steven Sobieszczyk, Valerie I. Thomas, Cecily Wolfe
Assessing community needs for terrestrial analog studies Assessing community needs for terrestrial analog studies
Executive SummaryThe U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) developed and released a survey to assess the terrestrial analog needs of the planetary science community. The goal was to assess the current state of terrestrial analog studies and determine community needs related to the use of field sites for training and research, data dissemination and archiving, and sample collections.The survey...
Authors
Lauren Edgar, M. Rumpf, Skinner, Amber Gullikson, Laszlo P. Keszthelyi, Marc Hunter, Tenielle Gaither
On algorithmically determined versus traditional macroseismic intensity assignments On algorithmically determined versus traditional macroseismic intensity assignments
The utility of macroseismic data, defined as the effects of earthquakes on humans and the built environment, has been increasingly recognized following the advent of online systems that now produce unprecedented volumes of macroseismic intensity information. Contributed reports from the U.S. Geological Survey “Did You Feel It?” (DYFI) system (Wald et al., 1999) are used to generate...
Authors
Susan Hough
Seismicity zoning at Coso geothermal field and stress changes from fluid production and migration Seismicity zoning at Coso geothermal field and stress changes from fluid production and migration
The Coso geothermal field is a major geothermal power production site in the western United States. It has been observed that low-magnitude seismic events (M < 3.71) are unevenly distributed in three distinct zones, namely, nearfield ( 6 km) from the Coso geothermal plant. These zones exhibit distinct changes in earthquake location before and during geothe
Authors
Sui Tung, Joern Kaven, Manoochehr Shirzaei, Timothy Masterlark, Herbert F. Wang, Wei-Chung Huang, Kurt L. Feigl
Shallow lake, strong shake: Record of seismically triggered lacustrine sedimentation from the 1959 M7.3 Hebgen Lake earthquake within Henrys Lake, Idaho Shallow lake, strong shake: Record of seismically triggered lacustrine sedimentation from the 1959 M7.3 Hebgen Lake earthquake within Henrys Lake, Idaho
We investigate a shallow lake basin for evidence of a large historic intraplate earthquake in western North America. Henrys Lake, Idaho is an atypical candidate for a lacustrine paleoseismic study given its shallow depth (~7 m) and low relief (≤2° slopes). Here, we test the earthquake-recording capacity of this basin type by showing sedimentological evidence of the 1959 M7.3 Hebgen Lake...
Authors
Sylvia Nicovich, Christopher DuRoss, Jessica Jobe, Jessica Rodysill, Richard Briggs, Alexandra Hatem, Madeleine Tan, Yann Gavillot, Noah Lindberg, Laura Strickland, Jason Padgett
Reduced injection rates and shallower depths mitigated induced seismicity in Oklahoma Reduced injection rates and shallower depths mitigated induced seismicity in Oklahoma
The proximity of wastewater disposal to the Precambrian basement is a critical factor influencing induced earthquake rates in the Central United States, but the impact of reducing injection depths has not been widely demonstrated. Beginning in 2015, state regulatory efforts in Oklahoma and Kansas mandated that wells injecting into the lower Arbuckle Group, a basal sedimentary unit, be...
Authors
Robert Skoumal, Andrew Barbour, Justin Rubenstein, Margaret Glasgow
Before the fire: Predicting burn severity and potential post-fire debris-flow hazards to Colorado River Cutthroat Trout (Oncorhynchus clarkii pleuriticus) conservation populations Before the fire: Predicting burn severity and potential post-fire debris-flow hazards to Colorado River Cutthroat Trout (Oncorhynchus clarkii pleuriticus) conservation populations
BackgroundColorado River Cutthroat Trout (CRCT; Oncorhynchus clarkii pleuriticus) conservation populations may be at risk from wildfire and post-fire debris flows hazards.AimTo predict burn severity and potential post-fire debris flow hazard classifications to CRCT conservation populations before wildfires occur.MethodsWe used remote sensing, spatial analyses, and machine learning to...
Authors
Adam Wells, Charles Yackulic, Jaime Kostelnik, Andrew Bock, Robert Zuellig, Daren Carlisle, James Roberts, Kevin B. Rogers, Seth Munson
Evidence for low effective stress within the crust of the subducted Gorda plate from the 2022 December Mw 6.4 Ferndale earthquake sequence Evidence for low effective stress within the crust of the subducted Gorda plate from the 2022 December Mw 6.4 Ferndale earthquake sequence
Stress levels on and adjacent to megathrust faults at seismogenic depths remain a key but difficult to constrain parameter for assessing seismic hazard in subduction zones. Although strong ground motions have been observed to be generated from distinct, high-stress regions on the downdip end of the megathrust rupture areas in many great earthquakes, we lack direct constraints on the...
Authors
Hao Guo, James Atterholt, Jeffrey J. McGuire, Clifford Thurber