Publications
Listed here are publications, reports and articles by the Land Change Science Program in the USGS Ecosystems Mission Area.
Filter Total Items: 1265
Postglacial ecosystem development of a hydrothermal landscape in Yellowstone National Park Postglacial ecosystem development of a hydrothermal landscape in Yellowstone National Park
The Yellowstone geo-ecosystem has been the subject of much research, but the ecological history of the Yellowstone Plateau volcanic field and its iconic geyser basins is less known. In this investigation, paleoenvironmental analyses of sediment cores from lakes in Lower Geyser Basin were compared with regional records and paleoclimate model simulations to reconstruct the vegetation...
Authors
Cathy Whitlock, Christopher M. Schiller, Steven W. Hostetler, Shaul Hurwitz, Mio Alt, Sabrina R. Brown, Lauren N. Harrison, Jay R. Alder, Kailey Busch, Jake Shelly, David B. McWethy
Weathering the ride: Associations of heat, smoke, precipitation, and ozone with bus ridership in Colorado Weathering the ride: Associations of heat, smoke, precipitation, and ozone with bus ridership in Colorado
Weather and climate variability increasingly shape urban travel behavior, yet the short-term temporal dynamics and contextual modifiers of weather-transit relationships remain poorly understood. We analyzed system-wide hourly bus ridership in the Denver metropolitan area from June 2022 through September 2023 using fixed-effects negative binomial distributed lag nonlinear models with lags...
Authors
Priyanka deSouza, Elizabeth A. Dzwonczyk, Peter Christian Ibsen, Adam M. Lippert, Carl Green, T.C. Chakraborty, Melissa R. McHale, Peter Anthamatten, Ebru Altintas, Carrie Makarewicz
Scalable urban tree canopy modelling for Canadian cities Scalable urban tree canopy modelling for Canadian cities
Urban tree cover (UTC) is a key indicator for monitoring climate adaptation, guiding policy goals, and designing equitable cities. However, consistent UTC estimates remain limited. This study proposes a transferable UTC modelling framework using global open-source data to map fractional UTC. The method involves satellite spectral products and high-resolution canopy height data to build...
Authors
Bayan Shaeri, Yuhao Lu, Alexander J. Martin, Lukas Olson, Raphael Ayambire, Txomin Hermosilla, Lucila Marie Corro, Jay Diffendorfer, Peter Christian Ibsen
Leveraging socioeconomic flows to inform shared, migratory species conservation Leveraging socioeconomic flows to inform shared, migratory species conservation
Migratory species, and the many cultural and economic values they provide, are declining worldwide. Previous research has quantified ecosystem service flows for single migratory species to provide valuable information on the dynamics of socio-ecological systems to inform cross-jurisdictional management. There are efficiencies in implementation to be gained from considering the dynamics...
Authors
Darius J. Semmens, Jay E. Diffendorfer, James A. Dubovsky, B.J. Mattsson, Wayne E. Thogmartin, Aaron Lien, Jonathan J. Derbridge, Jendrik Windt, Cooper Gottfried, Charles C. Chester
Loss and transformation of coastal wetlands due to global change in the conterminous United States: Past, present, and future Loss and transformation of coastal wetlands due to global change in the conterminous United States: Past, present, and future
Coastal wetlands are being transformed by global change, impacting the ecological and societal benefits provided by these ecosystems. Synthesizing knowledge of historical and expected future transformations in coastal wetlands can help inform forward-looking planning and stewardship efforts. Here, we review anticipated future ecological transformations in coastal wetlands of the...
Authors
Michael J. Osland, Bogdan Chivoiu, Kevin J. Buffington, Kristin B. Byrd, Joel A. Carr, Judith Z. Drexler, Nicholas M. Enwright, Neil K. Ganju, James B. Grace, Eric E. Grossman, Glenn R. Guntenspergen, Kurt P. Kowalski, Ken W. Krauss, Jessica R. Lacy, Gregory B. Noe, Davina L. Passeri, Stephanie Romanach, Christopher F. Smith, Camille L. Stagg, Karen M. Thorne, Janet R. Keough
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Water Resources Mission Area, Coastal and Marine Hazards and Resources Program, Ecosystems Land Change Science Program, California Water Science Center, Chesapeake Bay Activities, Eastern Ecological Science Center, Great Lakes Science Center, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center, Western Ecological Research Center (WERC), Wetland and Aquatic Research Center , Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center
Post-fire soil hydrologic response and recovery in northern California (USA) Post-fire soil hydrologic response and recovery in northern California (USA)
Background Wildfires abruptly change landscapes by altering soil properties and vegetation cover. These changes are thought to reduce soil infiltration capacity, making landscapes susceptible to runoff and erosion. However, post-fire soil response is complex and likely varies across locations and time.Aims Here, we aim to understand regional post-fire soil response and recovery by...
Authors
Corina Cerovski-Darriau, Kimberlie Perkins, Courtney Creamer, Jeff P. Prancevic, Jonathan D. Stock
Simulating past and future refugia for temperate trees in northern Italy Simulating past and future refugia for temperate trees in northern Italy
During the Quaternary, trees responded to the climatic changes of glacial–interglacial cycles with large-scale range shifts. Over cold glacials, temperate tree species contracted their ranges and survived in areas known as refugia. Several studies point to the Euganean Hills (Colli Euganei), in Veneto, northern Italy, as one of the northernmost European refugia of temperate tree species...
Authors
Azzurra Pistone, Paul D. Henne, Petra Boltshauser-Kaltenrieder, Willy Tinner, Christoph Schworer
Changes in suspended sediment concentration along tidal rivers of the Chesapeake Bay: The tidal freshwater “sediment shadow” Changes in suspended sediment concentration along tidal rivers of the Chesapeake Bay: The tidal freshwater “sediment shadow”
Transport of terrigenic sediment from nontidal watersheds into estuaries has important impacts on coastal habitat quality, pollutant transport, and resilience to sea-level rise. However, relatively little is known about changes in suspended sediment as nontidal rivers encounter tide, transition into tidal rivers through the tidal freshwater zone (TFZ), and enter saline portions of...
Authors
Gregory B. Noe, Rebecca Murphy, Ken W. Krauss
The role of groundwater in contributing to surface water salinization in the Upper Colorado River Basin The role of groundwater in contributing to surface water salinization in the Upper Colorado River Basin
Freshwater salinization impacts the availability of water for human use and ecosystem needs worldwide. It has been estimated that total dissolved solids (TDS) in the Colorado River Basin cause $350 million/year in damages and substantial resources are devoted to reducing TDS loading to streams. This study describes the development and application of coupled watershed models that enable...
Authors
Matthew P. Miller, Olivia L. Miller, Patrick C. Longley, Daniel R. Wise, Morgan C. McDonnell, Noah M. Schmadel, Jay R. Alder
Initial condition uncertainty exerts a large and persistent influence on model simulations of ecosystem carbon dynamics in California Initial condition uncertainty exerts a large and persistent influence on model simulations of ecosystem carbon dynamics in California
Uncertainties in terrestrial ecosystem models limit their predictive power. Efforts to reduce projection error have rarely focused on constraining uncertainty in the initial state of the ecosystem, however, despite evidence that matching model initial conditions to real-world observations reduces overall model bias. Here we use an integrated land change and carbon gain-loss model to...
Authors
Paul C. Selmants, Benjamin M. Sleeter, Colin J. Daniel
The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, Alaska The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, Alaska
Glacier energy-balance models offer mechanistic insights into glacier mass balance under a changing climate, yet their considerable data requirements hinder large-scale applications. Here we present the open-source Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI), which includes physically based albedo evolution using the Snow, Ice and Aerosol Radiative (SNICAR) model. PEBSI is...
Authors
Claire V. Wilson, David R. Rounce, Louis Sass, Albin Wells, Emily H. Baker, Mark Flanner, S. Mackenzie Skiles
A synthesis of plant mass mortality events in coastal ecosystems A synthesis of plant mass mortality events in coastal ecosystems
Around the world, mass mortality events are disrupting the ecological and economic stability of shorelines. To better understand mechanisms of mass mortality in coastal ecosystems, we provide a global synthesis of over 250 reports of plant mass mortality events in six coastal ecosystems: coastal freshwater forests, tidal freshwater marshes, salt marshes, mangrove forests, seagrass...
Authors
Camille L. Stagg, Emily Fromenthal, Judith Z. Drexler, Eric E. Grossman, Michael J. Osland, Karen M. Thorne