Debris flow deposit at the outlet of the Tumalt Creek drainage basin, Columbia River Gorge, Oregon, following storms in January 2021.
2024 Elk Fire
Bighorn National Forest, Wyoming
2021 Muckamuck Fire burn area
Okanogan County, Washington
2020 Cameron Peak Fire burn area
Roosevelt National Forest, Colorado
2020 Dolan Fire
Los Padres National Forest, California
Wildfires can significantly alter the way water interacts with the landscape to the extent that even modest rainstorms can produce dangerous flash floods and debris flows. Recent fires in the western U.S. have impacted hundreds of thousands of acres of steep land, much of it public, making it susceptible to increased erosion and debris-flow activity. With the risk of severe wildfires continuing to rise and more development happening in fire-prone areas, it’s important to develop tools to understand the potential hazards posed by debris flows in recently burned areas.
This project aims to create quick and accurate ways to evaluate postfire debris-flow hazards. It also uses applied research to better understand the processes that control post-fire debris-flow initiation and growth. Federal, state, and local agencies need reliable scientific information about these hazards to help reduce the impact of wildfires on people, their homes, and the environment.
What is a postfire debris flow?
Debris flows, sometimes called mudslides by the media, carry much more than just mud. They are concrete-like mixtures of mud, water, boulders, vegetation, and other debris that move downslope faster than a person can run. They may travel great distances outside of the burn area, posing a significant risk to life and property.
Burned landscapes are particularly susceptible to debris flows because wildfire removes vegetation and alters soil properties, decreasing the ground's ability to absorb rainwater. These changes to the landscape mean that rainfall can runoff almost instantly, picking up mud, trees, and boulders as it travels downslope. The addition of debris to the rainwater increases the height of the flows, making them more dangerous and destructive than flash floods.
Debris flows are triggered intense bursts of rainfall and can happen during the first few minutes of the first storm following a wildfire.
A postfire debris flow triggered by intense rainfall on January 20, 2017, in the area burned by the 2016 Fish Fire, Los Angeles County, California.
USGS Postfire Debris-Flow Hazard Assessments
The USGS conducts postfire debris-flow hazard assessments for select fires in the Western U.S. These assessments use information about watershed properties, rainfall characteristics, and soil properties to answer a few key questions:
What burned watersheds are most susceptible to debris flows?
During what types of rainstorms are debris flows likely to be triggered?
How much mud and other debris are these flows capable of carrying?
Click the image below to access the postfire debris-flow hazard assessment dashboard. You can use the dashboard to view or download the data for all recent postfire hazard assessments conducted by the USGS.
More information about hazard assessments
Frequently asked questions
Scientific Background
GIS Services
Request an assessment
Learn more about postfire debris flows
RECOVERY
How long does the hazard last?
As the burn area recovers and the landscape returns to prefire conditions the level of debris-flow hazard decreases. Understanding this recovery process and how debris-flow hazards change in the years following the fire is an active area of research at the USGS.
Use the link below to learn more about fire recovery and postfire debris flows.
RUNOUT
How far can flows travel?
Understanding how far debris flows can travel and what the impacts may be is one of the most important questions we face to effectively protect life and property from debris-flow hazards.
Use the link below to learn more about debris-flow runout research at the USGS.
MONITORING
How well do our hazard models work?
Monitoring stations are installed in select burn areas to better understand the processes that control postfire debris-flow initiation and growth.
Use the link below to learn more about postfire watershed monitoring at the USGS.
Below is a list of science sites associated with this project.
Scientific Background
Tadpole Fire Debris Flow and Wood Collector Measurements May 2021 Tadpole Fire Debris Flow and Wood Collector Measurements May 2021
Tadpole Fire Field Measurements following the 8 September 2020 Debris Flow, Gila National Forest, NM Tadpole Fire Field Measurements following the 8 September 2020 Debris Flow, Gila National Forest, NM
Field-verified inventory of postfire debris flows for the 2021 Dixie Fire following a 23-25 October 2021 atmospheric river storm and 12 June 2022 thunderstorm Field-verified inventory of postfire debris flows for the 2021 Dixie Fire following a 23-25 October 2021 atmospheric river storm and 12 June 2022 thunderstorm
Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2019 Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2019
Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2015 Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2015
Post-wildfire debris-flow monitoring data, 2019 Woodbury Fire, Superstition Mountains, Arizona, USA November 2019 to February 2020 Post-wildfire debris-flow monitoring data, 2019 Woodbury Fire, Superstition Mountains, Arizona, USA November 2019 to February 2020
Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2016 Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2016
Debris-flow video files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2017 Debris-flow video files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2017
Soil moisture monitoring following the 2009 Station Fire, California, USA, 2016-2019 Soil moisture monitoring following the 2009 Station Fire, California, USA, 2016-2019
Gridded estimates of postfire debris flow frequency and magnitude for southern California Gridded estimates of postfire debris flow frequency and magnitude for southern California
Data supporting an analysis of the recurrence interval of post-fire debris-flow generating rainfall in the southwestern United States Data supporting an analysis of the recurrence interval of post-fire debris-flow generating rainfall in the southwestern United States
Debris-flow monitoring data, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2014 Debris-flow monitoring data, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2014
Postfire Debris Flow Science Infographic
Post-wildfire debris flow: 2016 Fish Fire, Las Lomas Canyon
The June 2016 Fish Fire burned over 12 km^2 in Los Angeles County, California. After the fire, the USGS installed an automated rain-triggered camera to monitor post-wildfire flooding and debris flow in a small canyon above the Las Lomas debris basin in Duarte. This video shows the peak flow triggered by an intense rainstorm on January 20, 2017.
Debris flow deposit at the outlet of the Tumalt Creek drainage basin, Columbia River Gorge, Oregon, following storms in January 2021.
Home damaged by post-wildfire debris flow in Montecito, CA.
Home damaged by post-wildfire debris flow in Montecito, CA.Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 9 January 2018 near Montecito, Santa Barbara County as a result of the 2017 Thomas Fire.
Home damaged by post-wildfire debris flow in Montecito, CA.
Home damaged by post-wildfire debris flow in Montecito, CA.Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 9 January 2018 near Montecito, Santa Barbara County as a result of the 2017 Thomas Fire.
Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 25 December 2003 near Devore, San Bernardino County as a result of the Old/Grand Prix fires that ran through the San Bernardino Mountains.
Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 25 December 2003 near Devore, San Bernardino County as a result of the Old/Grand Prix fires that ran through the San Bernardino Mountains.
Montecito home damaged by post-wildfire debrisflow.
Montecito home damaged by post-wildfire debrisflow.Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 9 January 2018 near Montecito, Santa Barbara County as a result of the 2017 Thomas Fire.
Montecito home damaged by post-wildfire debrisflow.
Montecito home damaged by post-wildfire debrisflow.Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 9 January 2018 near Montecito, Santa Barbara County as a result of the 2017 Thomas Fire.
The Dec. 4, 2017 Thomas fire, Southern California's largest wildfire on record, burned more than 280,000 acres across Ventura and Santa Barbara counties for nearly a month.
The Dec. 4, 2017 Thomas fire, Southern California's largest wildfire on record, burned more than 280,000 acres across Ventura and Santa Barbara counties for nearly a month.
Geologists assess boulders displaced during the Montecito debris flow event on Jan. 9, 2018.
Geologists assess boulders displaced during the Montecito debris flow event on Jan. 9, 2018.
USGS geologists deployed to Santa Barbara County to support a geohazard assessment of the Montecito area
USGS geologists deployed to Santa Barbara County to support a geohazard assessment of the Montecito area
Post-wildfire Flood and Debris Flow: 2014 Silverado Fire
Post-wildfire Flood and Debris Flow: 2014 Silverado FireIn 2014, the Silverado Fire burned approximately 4 km^2 in Orange County, California. After the fire, the USGS installed an automated rain-triggered camera to monitor post-wildfire flooding and debris flow at the outlet of a small 0.6 km^2 basin within the burn area.
Post-wildfire Flood and Debris Flow: 2014 Silverado Fire
Post-wildfire Flood and Debris Flow: 2014 Silverado FireIn 2014, the Silverado Fire burned approximately 4 km^2 in Orange County, California. After the fire, the USGS installed an automated rain-triggered camera to monitor post-wildfire flooding and debris flow at the outlet of a small 0.6 km^2 basin within the burn area.
House engulfed by debris flows generated in response to a rainstorm on February 6, 2010. This house was west of Briar Wood Canyon in southern California. The small, but steep and rugged drainage basin above this home was burned the previous summer by the Station Fire, the largest fire in the history of Los Angeles County.
House engulfed by debris flows generated in response to a rainstorm on February 6, 2010. This house was west of Briar Wood Canyon in southern California. The small, but steep and rugged drainage basin above this home was burned the previous summer by the Station Fire, the largest fire in the history of Los Angeles County.
Debris Flow in Cable Canyon following the 2003 Old Fire in the San Bernardino Mountains, California.
Debris Flow in Cable Canyon following the 2003 Old Fire in the San Bernardino Mountains, California.
The influence of large woody debris on post-wildfire debris flow sediment storage The influence of large woody debris on post-wildfire debris flow sediment storage
The rainfall intensity-duration control of debris flows after wildfire The rainfall intensity-duration control of debris flows after wildfire
Simulating debris flow and levee formation in the 2D shallow flow model D-Claw: Channelized and unconfined flow Simulating debris flow and levee formation in the 2D shallow flow model D-Claw: Channelized and unconfined flow
Multi-model comparison of computed debris flow runout for the 9 January 2018 Montecito, California post-wildfire event Multi-model comparison of computed debris flow runout for the 9 January 2018 Montecito, California post-wildfire event
Movement of sediment through a burned landscape: Sediment volume observations and model comparisons in the San Gabriel Mountains, California, USA Movement of sediment through a burned landscape: Sediment volume observations and model comparisons in the San Gabriel Mountains, California, USA
Forecasting the frequency and magnitude of postfire debris flows across southern California Forecasting the frequency and magnitude of postfire debris flows across southern California
Controls on debris‐flow initiation on burned and unburned hillslopes during an exceptional rainstorm in southern New Mexico, USA Controls on debris‐flow initiation on burned and unburned hillslopes during an exceptional rainstorm in southern New Mexico, USA
An evaluation of debris-flow runout model accuracy and complexity in Montecito, CA: Towards a framework for regional inundation-hazard forecasting An evaluation of debris-flow runout model accuracy and complexity in Montecito, CA: Towards a framework for regional inundation-hazard forecasting
Wildfire as a catalyst for hydrologic and geomorphic change Wildfire as a catalyst for hydrologic and geomorphic change
Quantifying post-wildfire hillslope erosion with lidar Quantifying post-wildfire hillslope erosion with lidar
The science and prediction of post-fire debris flows in the western United States The science and prediction of post-fire debris flows in the western United States
Prediction of spatially explicit rainfall intensity–duration thresholds for post-fire debris-flow generation in the western United States Prediction of spatially explicit rainfall intensity–duration thresholds for post-fire debris-flow generation in the western United States
View the geonarratives (Esri Storymap) below to learn more about recent post-fire debris flow events.
Cameron Peak Fire
Columbia River Gorge Landslides
Wildfires can significantly alter the way water interacts with the landscape to the extent that even modest rainstorms can produce dangerous flash floods and debris flows. Recent fires in the western U.S. have impacted hundreds of thousands of acres of steep land, much of it public, making it susceptible to increased erosion and debris-flow activity. With the risk of severe wildfires continuing to rise and more development happening in fire-prone areas, it’s important to develop tools to understand the potential hazards posed by debris flows in recently burned areas.
This project aims to create quick and accurate ways to evaluate postfire debris-flow hazards. It also uses applied research to better understand the processes that control post-fire debris-flow initiation and growth. Federal, state, and local agencies need reliable scientific information about these hazards to help reduce the impact of wildfires on people, their homes, and the environment.
What is a postfire debris flow?
Debris flows, sometimes called mudslides by the media, carry much more than just mud. They are concrete-like mixtures of mud, water, boulders, vegetation, and other debris that move downslope faster than a person can run. They may travel great distances outside of the burn area, posing a significant risk to life and property.
Burned landscapes are particularly susceptible to debris flows because wildfire removes vegetation and alters soil properties, decreasing the ground's ability to absorb rainwater. These changes to the landscape mean that rainfall can runoff almost instantly, picking up mud, trees, and boulders as it travels downslope. The addition of debris to the rainwater increases the height of the flows, making them more dangerous and destructive than flash floods.
Debris flows are triggered intense bursts of rainfall and can happen during the first few minutes of the first storm following a wildfire.
A postfire debris flow triggered by intense rainfall on January 20, 2017, in the area burned by the 2016 Fish Fire, Los Angeles County, California.
USGS Postfire Debris-Flow Hazard Assessments
The USGS conducts postfire debris-flow hazard assessments for select fires in the Western U.S. These assessments use information about watershed properties, rainfall characteristics, and soil properties to answer a few key questions:
What burned watersheds are most susceptible to debris flows?
During what types of rainstorms are debris flows likely to be triggered?
How much mud and other debris are these flows capable of carrying?
Click the image below to access the postfire debris-flow hazard assessment dashboard. You can use the dashboard to view or download the data for all recent postfire hazard assessments conducted by the USGS.
More information about hazard assessments
Frequently asked questions
Scientific Background
GIS Services
Request an assessment
Learn more about postfire debris flows
RECOVERY
How long does the hazard last?
As the burn area recovers and the landscape returns to prefire conditions the level of debris-flow hazard decreases. Understanding this recovery process and how debris-flow hazards change in the years following the fire is an active area of research at the USGS.
Use the link below to learn more about fire recovery and postfire debris flows.
RUNOUT
How far can flows travel?
Understanding how far debris flows can travel and what the impacts may be is one of the most important questions we face to effectively protect life and property from debris-flow hazards.
Use the link below to learn more about debris-flow runout research at the USGS.
MONITORING
How well do our hazard models work?
Monitoring stations are installed in select burn areas to better understand the processes that control postfire debris-flow initiation and growth.
Use the link below to learn more about postfire watershed monitoring at the USGS.
Below is a list of science sites associated with this project.
Scientific Background
Tadpole Fire Debris Flow and Wood Collector Measurements May 2021 Tadpole Fire Debris Flow and Wood Collector Measurements May 2021
Tadpole Fire Field Measurements following the 8 September 2020 Debris Flow, Gila National Forest, NM Tadpole Fire Field Measurements following the 8 September 2020 Debris Flow, Gila National Forest, NM
Field-verified inventory of postfire debris flows for the 2021 Dixie Fire following a 23-25 October 2021 atmospheric river storm and 12 June 2022 thunderstorm Field-verified inventory of postfire debris flows for the 2021 Dixie Fire following a 23-25 October 2021 atmospheric river storm and 12 June 2022 thunderstorm
Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2019 Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2019
Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2015 Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2015
Post-wildfire debris-flow monitoring data, 2019 Woodbury Fire, Superstition Mountains, Arizona, USA November 2019 to February 2020 Post-wildfire debris-flow monitoring data, 2019 Woodbury Fire, Superstition Mountains, Arizona, USA November 2019 to February 2020
Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2016 Debris-flow and Flood Video Files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2016
Debris-flow video files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2017 Debris-flow video files, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2017
Soil moisture monitoring following the 2009 Station Fire, California, USA, 2016-2019 Soil moisture monitoring following the 2009 Station Fire, California, USA, 2016-2019
Gridded estimates of postfire debris flow frequency and magnitude for southern California Gridded estimates of postfire debris flow frequency and magnitude for southern California
Data supporting an analysis of the recurrence interval of post-fire debris-flow generating rainfall in the southwestern United States Data supporting an analysis of the recurrence interval of post-fire debris-flow generating rainfall in the southwestern United States
Debris-flow monitoring data, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2014 Debris-flow monitoring data, Chalk Cliffs, Colorado, USA, 2014
Postfire Debris Flow Science Infographic
Post-wildfire debris flow: 2016 Fish Fire, Las Lomas Canyon
The June 2016 Fish Fire burned over 12 km^2 in Los Angeles County, California. After the fire, the USGS installed an automated rain-triggered camera to monitor post-wildfire flooding and debris flow in a small canyon above the Las Lomas debris basin in Duarte. This video shows the peak flow triggered by an intense rainstorm on January 20, 2017.
Debris flow deposit at the outlet of the Tumalt Creek drainage basin, Columbia River Gorge, Oregon, following storms in January 2021.
Debris flow deposit at the outlet of the Tumalt Creek drainage basin, Columbia River Gorge, Oregon, following storms in January 2021.
Home damaged by post-wildfire debris flow in Montecito, CA.
Home damaged by post-wildfire debris flow in Montecito, CA.Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 9 January 2018 near Montecito, Santa Barbara County as a result of the 2017 Thomas Fire.
Home damaged by post-wildfire debris flow in Montecito, CA.
Home damaged by post-wildfire debris flow in Montecito, CA.Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 9 January 2018 near Montecito, Santa Barbara County as a result of the 2017 Thomas Fire.
Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 25 December 2003 near Devore, San Bernardino County as a result of the Old/Grand Prix fires that ran through the San Bernardino Mountains.
Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 25 December 2003 near Devore, San Bernardino County as a result of the Old/Grand Prix fires that ran through the San Bernardino Mountains.
Montecito home damaged by post-wildfire debrisflow.
Montecito home damaged by post-wildfire debrisflow.Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 9 January 2018 near Montecito, Santa Barbara County as a result of the 2017 Thomas Fire.
Montecito home damaged by post-wildfire debrisflow.
Montecito home damaged by post-wildfire debrisflow.Damage from a major post-wildfire landslide that occurred on 9 January 2018 near Montecito, Santa Barbara County as a result of the 2017 Thomas Fire.
The Dec. 4, 2017 Thomas fire, Southern California's largest wildfire on record, burned more than 280,000 acres across Ventura and Santa Barbara counties for nearly a month.
The Dec. 4, 2017 Thomas fire, Southern California's largest wildfire on record, burned more than 280,000 acres across Ventura and Santa Barbara counties for nearly a month.
Geologists assess boulders displaced during the Montecito debris flow event on Jan. 9, 2018.
Geologists assess boulders displaced during the Montecito debris flow event on Jan. 9, 2018.
USGS geologists deployed to Santa Barbara County to support a geohazard assessment of the Montecito area
USGS geologists deployed to Santa Barbara County to support a geohazard assessment of the Montecito area
Post-wildfire Flood and Debris Flow: 2014 Silverado Fire
Post-wildfire Flood and Debris Flow: 2014 Silverado FireIn 2014, the Silverado Fire burned approximately 4 km^2 in Orange County, California. After the fire, the USGS installed an automated rain-triggered camera to monitor post-wildfire flooding and debris flow at the outlet of a small 0.6 km^2 basin within the burn area.
Post-wildfire Flood and Debris Flow: 2014 Silverado Fire
Post-wildfire Flood and Debris Flow: 2014 Silverado FireIn 2014, the Silverado Fire burned approximately 4 km^2 in Orange County, California. After the fire, the USGS installed an automated rain-triggered camera to monitor post-wildfire flooding and debris flow at the outlet of a small 0.6 km^2 basin within the burn area.
House engulfed by debris flows generated in response to a rainstorm on February 6, 2010. This house was west of Briar Wood Canyon in southern California. The small, but steep and rugged drainage basin above this home was burned the previous summer by the Station Fire, the largest fire in the history of Los Angeles County.
House engulfed by debris flows generated in response to a rainstorm on February 6, 2010. This house was west of Briar Wood Canyon in southern California. The small, but steep and rugged drainage basin above this home was burned the previous summer by the Station Fire, the largest fire in the history of Los Angeles County.
Debris Flow in Cable Canyon following the 2003 Old Fire in the San Bernardino Mountains, California.
Debris Flow in Cable Canyon following the 2003 Old Fire in the San Bernardino Mountains, California.
The influence of large woody debris on post-wildfire debris flow sediment storage The influence of large woody debris on post-wildfire debris flow sediment storage
The rainfall intensity-duration control of debris flows after wildfire The rainfall intensity-duration control of debris flows after wildfire
Simulating debris flow and levee formation in the 2D shallow flow model D-Claw: Channelized and unconfined flow Simulating debris flow and levee formation in the 2D shallow flow model D-Claw: Channelized and unconfined flow
Multi-model comparison of computed debris flow runout for the 9 January 2018 Montecito, California post-wildfire event Multi-model comparison of computed debris flow runout for the 9 January 2018 Montecito, California post-wildfire event
Movement of sediment through a burned landscape: Sediment volume observations and model comparisons in the San Gabriel Mountains, California, USA Movement of sediment through a burned landscape: Sediment volume observations and model comparisons in the San Gabriel Mountains, California, USA
Forecasting the frequency and magnitude of postfire debris flows across southern California Forecasting the frequency and magnitude of postfire debris flows across southern California
Controls on debris‐flow initiation on burned and unburned hillslopes during an exceptional rainstorm in southern New Mexico, USA Controls on debris‐flow initiation on burned and unburned hillslopes during an exceptional rainstorm in southern New Mexico, USA
An evaluation of debris-flow runout model accuracy and complexity in Montecito, CA: Towards a framework for regional inundation-hazard forecasting An evaluation of debris-flow runout model accuracy and complexity in Montecito, CA: Towards a framework for regional inundation-hazard forecasting
Wildfire as a catalyst for hydrologic and geomorphic change Wildfire as a catalyst for hydrologic and geomorphic change
Quantifying post-wildfire hillslope erosion with lidar Quantifying post-wildfire hillslope erosion with lidar
The science and prediction of post-fire debris flows in the western United States The science and prediction of post-fire debris flows in the western United States
Prediction of spatially explicit rainfall intensity–duration thresholds for post-fire debris-flow generation in the western United States Prediction of spatially explicit rainfall intensity–duration thresholds for post-fire debris-flow generation in the western United States
View the geonarratives (Esri Storymap) below to learn more about recent post-fire debris flow events.