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Publications

These publications showcase the significant science conducted in our Science Centers.

Filter Total Items: 17012

Pluvial and potential compound flooding in a coupled coastal modeling framework: New York City during post-tropical Cyclone Ida (2021) Pluvial and potential compound flooding in a coupled coastal modeling framework: New York City during post-tropical Cyclone Ida (2021)

Many coastal urban areas are prone to extreme pluvial flooding due to limitations in stormwater system capacity, with the additional potential for flooding compounded by storm surge, tides, and waves. Understanding and simulating these processes can improve prediction and flood risk management. Here, we adapt the Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere–Wave–Sediment Transport modeling framework (COAWST...
Authors
Shima Kasaei, Phillip M. Orton, David K. Ralston, John C. Warner

RIce-Net: Integrating ground-based cameras and machine learning for automated river ice detection RIce-Net: Integrating ground-based cameras and machine learning for automated river ice detection

River ice plays a critical role in controlling streamflow in cold regions. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) qualifies affected water-level measurements and inferred streamflow by ice conditions at a date later than the day of the actual measurements. This study introduces a novel computer vision-based framework, River Ice-Network (RIce-Net), that uses the USGS nationwide network of...
Authors
Mahmoud Ayyad, Marouane Temini, Mohamed Abdelkader, Moheb Henein, Frank L. Engel, R. Russell Lotspeich, Jack R. Eggleston

Ecological thresholds and transformations due to climate change: The role of abiotic stress Ecological thresholds and transformations due to climate change: The role of abiotic stress

An ecological threshold is the point at which a comparatively small environmental change triggers an abrupt and disproportionately large ecological response. In the face of accelerating climate change, there is concern that abrupt ecosystem transformations will become more widespread as critical ecological thresholds are crossed. There has been ongoing debate, however, regarding the...
Authors
Michael Osland, John B. Bradford, Lauren T. Toth, Matthew J. Germino, James B. Grace, Judith Z. Drexler, Camille L. Stagg, Eric E. Grossman, Karen M. Thorne, Stephanie Romanach, Davina L. Passeri, Gregory B. Noe, Jessica R. Lacy, Ken Krauss, Kurt P. Kowalski, Glenn R. Guntenspergen, Neil K. Ganju, Nicholas Enwright, Joel A. Carr, Kristin B. Byrd, Kevin J. Buffington

Multi-Scale Graph Learning for anti-sparse downscaling Multi-Scale Graph Learning for anti-sparse downscaling

Water temperature can vary substantially even across short distances within the same sub-watershed. Accurate prediction of stream water temperature at fine spatial resolutions (i.e., fine scales, ≤ 1 km) enables precise interventions to maintain water quality and protect aquatic habitats. Although spatiotemporal models have made substantial progress in spatially coarse time series...
Authors
Yingda Fan, Runlong Yu, Janet R. Barclay, Alison P. Appling, Yiming Sun, Yiqun Xie, X. Jia

Time of travel of releases from Lake Wallenpaupack to the U.S. Geological Survey’s streamgage monitoring location on the Delaware River at Montague, New Jersey Time of travel of releases from Lake Wallenpaupack to the U.S. Geological Survey’s streamgage monitoring location on the Delaware River at Montague, New Jersey

In 2016, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) carried out a hydraulic study within the upper Delaware River Basin for the purpose of determining the time of travel for water releases from the Brookfield Renewable U.S. hydroelectric plant at Lake Wallenpaupack, Pennsylvania, to reach the USGS streamgage located on the Delaware River at Montague, New Jersey (site number 01438500). From...
Authors
Jaclynne Polcino, John J. Trainor, Jerilyn V. Collenburg

Nitrate loads and concentrations from forested watersheds and implications for Long Island Sound Nitrate loads and concentrations from forested watersheds and implications for Long Island Sound

Reduction in point sources of nitrogen has led to improvement in water quality of the Long Island Sound (LIS) since 2000, but changes in nonpoint sources are less clear. A significant yet poorly quantified nonpoint nitrogen source is the forested landscape. Because a large proportion of the LIS basin is forested, even small areal inputs from the forested landscape have a large cumulative...
Authors
Alana B. Spaetzel, James B. Shanley, Leslie A. DeSimone, John R. Mullaney

Long-term trends of streamwater chemistry in an agricultural watershed: Effects of anthropogenic and climatic factors Long-term trends of streamwater chemistry in an agricultural watershed: Effects of anthropogenic and climatic factors

The chemistry of headwater streams is a key indicator of the health of riparian zones and surrounding terrestrial ecosystems. This chemistry is shaped by biogeochemical processes, including chemical weathering, and anthropogenic activities that interact with one another and are sensitive to climate. Elucidating trends in streamwater chemistry and the drivers that underpin them is...
Authors
Fengchao Sun, Rob Rioux, William Miller-Brown, Bibek Shrestha, James B. Shanley, Noah J. Planavsky, Peter Raymond, James Saiers

Base-flow sampling to enhance understanding of the groundwater flow component of nitrogen loading in small watersheds draining into Long Island Sound Base-flow sampling to enhance understanding of the groundwater flow component of nitrogen loading in small watersheds draining into Long Island Sound

Excessive nitrogen discharge is a major concern for the Long Island Sound. Programs have been implemented to reduce point sources of nitrogen to the sound, but little is known about the nonpoint sources. This study aims to better understand the current groundwater contributions of nitrogen from nonpoint sources in the Long Island Sound watershed. During the spring and summer of 2022, the...
Authors
Kaitlin L. Laabs, Janet R. Barclay, John R. Mullaney

Assessing decadal-scale coastal change likelihood to define the accuracy and application of scientific information Assessing decadal-scale coastal change likelihood to define the accuracy and application of scientific information

Defining the accuracy and uncertainties of scientific data products is critical to the usability and trustworthiness of scientific information for environmental management and conservation purposes, such as coastal resource prioritization, design, adaptation, and mitigation. The U.S. Geological Survey has a new decadal-scale coastal change assessment product that synthesizes nearly two...
Authors
Elizabeth A. Pendleton, Erika E. Lentz, Rachel E. Henderson, Julia L. Heslin, Marie Kathleen Bartlett, Travis K. Sterne

Investigation of surficial seabed heterogeneity and geoacoustic variability in the New England Mud Patch Investigation of surficial seabed heterogeneity and geoacoustic variability in the New England Mud Patch

Benthic biological processes influence seabed heterogeneity and contribute to vari- ability in geoacoustic properties. To investigate these relationships, measurements were conducted to quantify spatial variability in the upper few decimeters of sediment near the water-seabed interface within a fine-grained sediment deposit on the New England continental shelf. At each measurement...
Authors
Kevin M. Lee, Kelly M. Dorgan, Gabriel R. Venegas, Jason D. Chaytor, Megan S. Ballard, Andrew R. McNeese, Preston S. Wilson

World minerals outlook—Cobalt, gallium, helium, lithium, magnesium, palladium, platinum, and titanium through 2029 World minerals outlook—Cobalt, gallium, helium, lithium, magnesium, palladium, platinum, and titanium through 2029

Given the rapid expansion in the demand for mineral commodities that underpin worldwide economic growth and technological advancement, information regarding expected country-level mine production and production capacity is becoming increasingly important to industry stakeholders, end users, and policymakers. Production capacity can limit future supply, depending on how rapidly that...
Authors
Elisa Alonso, Amanda Sarah Brioche, Ruth Schulte, Loyd M. Trimmer, Ji-Eun Kim, Andrew L. Gulley, David Pineault
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