We are a research team focusing on understanding the rates, causes, and consequences of land change across a range of geographic and temporal scales. Our emphasis is on developing alternative future projections and quantifying the impact on environmental systems, in particular, the role of land-use change on ecosystem carbon dynamics.
We are interested in how land-use and climate systems will evolve and interact to shape future land-use and carbon dynamics. Our team is developing the Land Use and Carbon Scenario Simulator (LUCAS) model. LUCAS is a state-and-transition simulation model designed to track changes in land use, land cover, land management, and disturbance, and their impacts on ecosystem carbon storage and flux.
The LUCAS model has been applied over multiple areas and temporal scales to track land-use and carbon dynamics as well as impacts on water use and protected areas. Learn more about the LUCAS model or explore our projects below.
The LUCAS Model
Land use and tsunami hazards in the Pacific Northwest
California land-change projections
Land change and water use in California
Threats to protected areas
Land use and carbon modeling in the Sierra Nevada Mountains
Great Dismal Swamp carbon dynamics
National land use projections
Below are data or web applications associated with this project.
Land-use and Land-cover Projections for California's 4th Climate Assessment
Below are publications associated with this project.
Effects of contemporary land-use and land-cover change on the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in the United States
Linkages between land-use change and groundwater management foster long-term resilience of water supply in California
Land-use change and future water demand in California’s central coast
Effects of contemporary land-use and land-cover change on the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in the United States
Integrating continuous stocks and flows into state-and-transition simulation models of landscape change
Future scenarios of land change based on empirical data and demographic trends
Mediterranean California’s water use future under multiple scenarios of developed and agricultural land use change
Projecting community changes in hazard exposure to support long-term risk reduction: A case study of tsunami hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Baseline and projected future carbon storage and carbon fluxes in ecosystems of Hawai‘i
A carbon balance model for the great dismal swamp ecosystem
Future land-use related water demand in California
Methods used to parameterize the spatially-explicit components of a state-and-transition simulation model
Downscaling global land-use/land-cover projections for use in region-level state-and-transition simulation modeling
Below are partners associated with this project.
We are a research team focusing on understanding the rates, causes, and consequences of land change across a range of geographic and temporal scales. Our emphasis is on developing alternative future projections and quantifying the impact on environmental systems, in particular, the role of land-use change on ecosystem carbon dynamics.
We are interested in how land-use and climate systems will evolve and interact to shape future land-use and carbon dynamics. Our team is developing the Land Use and Carbon Scenario Simulator (LUCAS) model. LUCAS is a state-and-transition simulation model designed to track changes in land use, land cover, land management, and disturbance, and their impacts on ecosystem carbon storage and flux.
The LUCAS model has been applied over multiple areas and temporal scales to track land-use and carbon dynamics as well as impacts on water use and protected areas. Learn more about the LUCAS model or explore our projects below.
The LUCAS Model
Land use and tsunami hazards in the Pacific Northwest
California land-change projections
Land change and water use in California
Threats to protected areas
Land use and carbon modeling in the Sierra Nevada Mountains
Great Dismal Swamp carbon dynamics
National land use projections
Below are data or web applications associated with this project.
Land-use and Land-cover Projections for California's 4th Climate Assessment
Below are publications associated with this project.
Effects of contemporary land-use and land-cover change on the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in the United States
Linkages between land-use change and groundwater management foster long-term resilience of water supply in California
Land-use change and future water demand in California’s central coast
Effects of contemporary land-use and land-cover change on the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in the United States
Integrating continuous stocks and flows into state-and-transition simulation models of landscape change
Future scenarios of land change based on empirical data and demographic trends
Mediterranean California’s water use future under multiple scenarios of developed and agricultural land use change
Projecting community changes in hazard exposure to support long-term risk reduction: A case study of tsunami hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Baseline and projected future carbon storage and carbon fluxes in ecosystems of Hawai‘i
A carbon balance model for the great dismal swamp ecosystem
Future land-use related water demand in California
Methods used to parameterize the spatially-explicit components of a state-and-transition simulation model
Downscaling global land-use/land-cover projections for use in region-level state-and-transition simulation modeling
Below are partners associated with this project.