Publications
Publications, scientific literature, and information products from the Land Change Science Program.
Filter Total Items: 565
Tropicalization of temperate ecosystems in North America: The northward range expansion of tropical organisms in response to warming winter temperatures Tropicalization of temperate ecosystems in North America: The northward range expansion of tropical organisms in response to warming winter temperatures
Tropicalization is a term used to describe the transformation of temperate ecosystems by poleward‐moving tropical organisms in response to warming temperatures. In North America, decreases in the frequency and intensity of extreme winter cold events are expected to allow the poleward range expansion of many cold‐sensitive tropical organisms, sometimes at the expense of temperate...
Authors
Michael Osland, Philip Stevens, Margaret Lamont, Richard Brusca, Kristen Hart, Hardin Waddle, Catherine Langtimm, Caroline Williams, Barry Keim, Adam Terando, Eric Reyier, Katie Marshall, Michael Loik, Ross Boucek, Amanda Lewis, Jeffrey Seminoff
The imminent calving retreat of Taku Glacier The imminent calving retreat of Taku Glacier
Along the rugged Southeast Alaska coast, 30 kilometers northeast of the state capital Juneau, a tidewater glacier has largely defied global trends by steadily advancing for most of the past century while most glaciers on Earth retreated. This 55-kilometer-long and nearly 1,500-meter-thick tidewater glacier, named Taku Glacier, or T'aaḵú Ḵwáan Sít'i in the language of the Indigenous...
Authors
Christopher J. McNeil, Jason Amundson, Shad O’Neel, Roman Motyka, Louis C. Sass, Martin Truffer, Jenna Ziemann, Seth Campbell
Drought stress and hurricane defoliation influence mountain clouds and moisture recycling in a tropical forest Drought stress and hurricane defoliation influence mountain clouds and moisture recycling in a tropical forest
Mountain ranges generate clouds, precipitation, and perennial streamflow for water supplies, but the role of forest cover in mountain hydrometeorology and cloud formation is not well understood. In the Luquillo Experimental Forest of Puerto Rico, mountains are immersed in clouds nightly, providing a steady precipitation source to support the tropical forest ecosystems and human uses. A...
Authors
Martha Scholl, Maoya Bassiouni, Angel Torres-Sanchez
Export of photolabile and photoprimable dissolved organic carbon from the Connecticut River Export of photolabile and photoprimable dissolved organic carbon from the Connecticut River
Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) impacts water quality, the carbon cycle, and the ecology of aquatic systems. Understanding what controls DOC is therefore critical for improving large-scale models and best management practices for aquatic ecosystems. The two main processes of DOC transformation and removal, photochemical and microbial DOC degradation, work in tandem to modify and...
Authors
B. Yoon, Jacob Hosen, Ethan Kyzivat, Jennifer H Fair, Lisa Weber, Kelly Aho, Rachel Lowenthal, Serena Matt, W. Sobczak, James Shanley, Jonathan Morrison, James Saiers, Aron Stubbins, Peter Raymond
Improving Landsat predictions of rangeland fractional cover with multitask learning and uncertainty Improving Landsat predictions of rangeland fractional cover with multitask learning and uncertainty
Operational satellite remote sensing products are transforming rangeland management and science. Advancements in computation, data storage and processing have removed barriers that previously blocked or hindered the development and use of remote sensing products. When combined with local data and knowledge, remote sensing products can inform decision‐making at multiple scales.We used...
Authors
Brady Allred, Brandon Bestelmeyer, Chad Boyd, Christopher Brown, Kirk Davies, Michael Duniway, Lisa Ellsworth, Tyler Erickson, Samuel Fuhlendorf, Timothy Griffiths, Vincent Jansen, Matthew Jones, Jason Karl, Anna Knight, Jeremy Maestas, Jonathan Maynard, Sarah McCord, David E. Naugle, Heath Starns, Dirac Twidwell, Daniel Uden
Changing climate drives future streamflow declines and challenges in meeting water demand across the southwestern United States Changing climate drives future streamflow declines and challenges in meeting water demand across the southwestern United States
Society and the environment in the arid southwestern United States depend on reliable water availability, yet current water use outpaces supply. Water demand is projected to grow in the future and climate change is expected to reduce supply. To adapt, water managers need robust estimates of future regional water supply to support management decisions. To address this need, we estimate...
Authors
Olivia Miller, Annie Putman, Jay Alder, Matthew P. Miller, Daniel Jones, Daniel Wise
Does geomorphology determine vulnerability of mangrove coasts to sea-level rise? Does geomorphology determine vulnerability of mangrove coasts to sea-level rise?
The greatest climate-based threat to coastlines worldwide is sea-level rise. We tested the hypothesis that tropical coasts fringed by mangroves and receiving high inputs of terrigenous sediment are less vulnerable to sea-level rise than biogenic systems dependent upon peat formation for vertical land development. An analysis of published data spanning a range of geomorphic settings...
Authors
Karen L. McKee, Ken Krauss, Donald Cahoon
USGS permafrost research determines the risks of permafrost thaw to biologic and hydrologic resources USGS permafrost research determines the risks of permafrost thaw to biologic and hydrologic resources
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in collaboration with university, Federal, Tribal, and independent partners, conducts fundamental research on the distribution, vulnerability, and importance of permafrost in arctic and boreal ecosystems. Scientists, land managers, and policy makers use USGS data to help make decisions for development, wildlife habitat, and other needs. Native villages...
Authors
Mark Waldrop, Lesleigh Anderson, Mark Dornblaser, Li Erikson, Ann Gibbs, Nicole Herman-Mercer, Stephanie R. James, Miriam Jones, Joshua Koch, Mary-Cathrine Leewis, Kristen Manies, Burke Minsley, Neal Pastick, Vijay Patil, Frank Urban, Michelle Walvoord, Kimberly Wickland, Christian Zimmerman
By
Natural Hazards Mission Area, Water Resources Mission Area, Ecosystems Land Change Science Program, Coastal and Marine Hazards and Resources Program, Land Change Science Program, Volcano Hazards Program, Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center , Geology, Geophysics, and Geochemistry Science Center, Geology, Minerals, Energy, and Geophysics Science Center, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Volcano Science Center
Wildfires: Identification of a new suite of aromatic polycarboxylic acids in ash and surface water Wildfires: Identification of a new suite of aromatic polycarboxylic acids in ash and surface water
Ash and surface water samples collected after wildfires in four different geographical locations (California, Colorado, Kansas and Alberta) were analyzed. The ash samples were leached with deionized water, and leachates were concentrated by solid phase extraction and analyzed by liquid chromatography/time-of-flight mass spectrometry. In addition, three surface water samples and a...
Authors
Imma Ferrer, E. Michael Thurman, Jerry Zweigenbaum, Sheila Murphy, Jackson Webster, Fernando Rosario-Ortiz
Seed production patterns of surviving Sierra Nevada conifers show minimal change following drought Seed production patterns of surviving Sierra Nevada conifers show minimal change following drought
Reproduction is a key component of ecological resilience in forest ecosystems, so understanding how seed production is influenced by extreme drought is key to understanding forest recovery trajectories. If trees respond to mortality-inducing drought by preferentially allocating resources for reproduction, the recovery of the stand to pre-drought conditions may be enhanced accordingly. We...
Authors
Micah Wright, Phillip J. van Mantgem, Nathan Stephenson, Adrian Das, Jon Keeley
Upland burning and grazing as strategies to offset climate-change effects on wetlands Upland burning and grazing as strategies to offset climate-change effects on wetlands
Wetland ecosystems perform a multitude of services valued by society and provide critical habitat for migratory birds and other wildlife. Despite their importance, wetlands have been lost to different local, regional, and global drivers. Remaining wetlands are extremely sensitive to changing temperature and precipitation regimes. Management of grassland areas in wetland catchments may be...
Authors
Owen McKenna, David Renton, David Mushet, Edward DeKeyser
Identification of Global Priorities for New Mountain Protected and Conserved Areas Identification of Global Priorities for New Mountain Protected and Conserved Areas
Mountain ecosystems are extremely diverse and fragile. They include astonishing biodiversity in terms of number of taxa and endemicity, and globally provide the most diverse range of ecosystem services. The world’s system of protected and conserved areas includes many outstanding areas within the earth’s mountainous landscape: about 19% of mountain areas are protected or conserved...
Authors
Peter Jacobs, Erik Beever, Clinton Carbutt, Marc Foggin, Diego Juffe-Bignoli, Madeline Thomas Martin, Shane Orchard, Roger Sayre