Publications
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Earthquake catalog for the Fairbanks region of central Alaska, 2014–2024, based on waveform cross-correlation Earthquake catalog for the Fairbanks region of central Alaska, 2014–2024, based on waveform cross-correlation
The Fairbanks region of central Alaska is part of a broad zone of intraplate crustal deformation, situated north of the Denali fault and north of the ongoing collision and flat‐slab subduction of the Yakutat oceanic plateau. Seismicity in the Fairbanks region occurs both in diffuse areas as well as in well‐defined lineaments, such as the left‐lateral Salcha fault, which hosted the 1937...
Authors
Nealey E. Sims, Carl Tape, Natalia A. Ruppert, Michael E. West
Latest Pleistocene to 19th-century earthquakes on bending-moment reverse faults of the Seattle fault zone, Washington Latest Pleistocene to 19th-century earthquakes on bending-moment reverse faults of the Seattle fault zone, Washington
Fault-related folds and their associated secondary faults play a critical yet often underrecognized role in accommodating strain and generating earthquakes in active fold-and-thrust belts. In the Seattle fault zone (SFZ), Washington, USA, we present new paleoseismic, geomorphic, and geophysical evidence for late Pleistocene and Holocene earthquakes on shallow, south-dipping secondary...
Authors
Stephen J. Angster, Brian L. Sherrod, Jessie K. Pearl, Lydia M. Staisch, Wes Johns, Richard J. Blakely
Remote compositional analyses of space-weathered lunar maria Remote compositional analyses of space-weathered lunar maria
Visible-to-shortwave infrared (VSWIR) reflectance spectroscopy has revolutionized our understanding of planetary surface compositions. However, space-weathering processes on airless bodies complicate quantitative compositional analyses. Here, we present a framework to isolate the signatures of space weathering in VSWIR spectra of lunar maria by leveraging radiative transfer modeling...
Authors
Ji-In Jung, Matheiu G. Lapotre, Ralph E. Milliken, Sarah E. Minson
An entropic explanation for Gutenberg-Richter scaling An entropic explanation for Gutenberg-Richter scaling
We develop a simple explanation for Gutenberg-Richter (G-R) size scaling of earthquakes on a single fault. We discretize the fault and consider all possible contiguous ruptures at that level of discretization. In this static model, we assume that slip scales with rupture length, and that the rupture rates at each point along the fault are consistent with an a priori long-term slip rate...
Authors
Morgan T. Page, Edward H. Field
A deep dive into subduction zones and the Japan Trench A deep dive into subduction zones and the Japan Trench
Deep beneath the ocean, giant slabs of rock slide beneath one another in areas called subduction zones. These powerful movements shape the planet by building mountains, creating fiery volcanoes, and even causing huge earthquakes. Scientists study subduction zones to understand why these natural events happen and where and how they might occur so we can be better prepared. One important...
Authors
C. Nur Schuba, Patrick Fulton, Jamie D. Kirkpatrick, Shuichi Kodaira, Marianne Conin, Christine Regalla, Kohtaro Ujiie, Maya Pincus, Sharon Cooper, Callan Bentley, Natsumi Okutsu, Lena Maeda, Sean Toczko, Nobu Eguchi
The Sand AbrasioN Device for Aeolian Research (SANDAR): A new experimental device for investigating how wind transport affects sand on Earth and Mars The Sand AbrasioN Device for Aeolian Research (SANDAR): A new experimental device for investigating how wind transport affects sand on Earth and Mars
On Earth and Mars, aeolian transport causes sand grains to become abraded, resulting in mineralogic and textural changes. Understanding how sands evolve, or mature, with transport via experimental studies is important for understanding the origins, geologic history, and cycling of sediments, as well as dust production. Previous experimental works have used a variety of methods to...
Authors
A. Baker, Devon M. Burr, Rachel Lynn Fry, Joshua P. Emery, M. Loeffler
Rapid characterization of the 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka, Russia earthquake Rapid characterization of the 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka, Russia earthquake
The 29 July 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka, Russia, earthquake was the sixth largest instrumentally recorded earthquake. This event was seismically well observed at regional and teleseismic distances, but publicly available near‐source data were sparse at the time of the event, presenting unique challenges for rapid source and impact characterization. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National...
Authors
Harriet Zoe Yin, Kate E. Allstadt, William D Barnhart, Samantha Ann Clapp, Paul S. Earle, Dara Elyse Goldberg, Alex R. Grant, Matt Herman, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Sara K. McBride, Adam T. Ringler, Max Schneider, Eric M. Thompson, Nicholas van der Elst, David Wald, Dun Wang, Charles Worden, William L. Yeck
Capturing the uncertainty of seismicity observations in earthquake rate estimates: Implications for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and the USGS National Seismic Hazard Model Capturing the uncertainty of seismicity observations in earthquake rate estimates: Implications for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and the USGS National Seismic Hazard Model
The rate of earthquakes in a region is a fundamental input to Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis. We present a Monte Carlo method for computing that rate from seismicity catalogs while including a range of data and analysis uncertainties. This method is applied to regions for which the b value is assumed to be spatially invariant. Each region is broken down into epochs for which each...
Authors
Andrew J. Michael, Andrea L. Llenos
Source(s) of the smooth Caloris exterior plains on Mercury: Mapping, remote analyses, and scenarios for future testing with BepiColombo data Source(s) of the smooth Caloris exterior plains on Mercury: Mapping, remote analyses, and scenarios for future testing with BepiColombo data
Mercury hosts widespread smooth plains that are concentrated in the Caloris impact basin, in an annulus surrounding the Caloris basin, and in the adjacent northern smooth plains. The origins of these smooth plains are uncertain, although prior work suggests these plains in the northwestern Caloris annulus might reflect volcanic activity, impact ejecta, or a combination of the two...
Authors
Keenan G. Golder, Bradley J. Thompson, Lillian R. Ostrach, Devon M. Burr, Joshua P. Emery, Harold Hiesinger
Extreme plate boundary localization promotes shallow earthquake slip at the Japan Trench Extreme plate boundary localization promotes shallow earthquake slip at the Japan Trench
The 2011 Mw9.1 Tohoku-oki earthquake is exceptional among great earthquakes for having peak slip of ~50-70 m on the shallowest portion of the plate boundary megathrust. International Ocean Discovery Program Expedition 405 drilled multiple holes through the megathrust in the large slip region and at a Pacific Plate input site. The megathrust preferentially develops at the top or base of...
Authors
Jamie D. Kirkpatrick, Heather M. Savage, Christine Regalla, Srisharan Shreedharan, Catherine Ross, Hanaya Okuda, Uisdean Nicholson, Kohtaro Ujiie, Ron Hackney, Marianne Conin, Pei Pei, Sara Satolli, Junli Zhang, Patrick Fulton, Matt Ikari, Shuichi Kodaira, Lena Maeda, Natsumi Okutsu, Sean Toczko, Nobu Eguchi
Using gridded seismicity to forecast the long-term spatial distribution of earthquakes for the 2025 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands National Seismic Hazard Model Using gridded seismicity to forecast the long-term spatial distribution of earthquakes for the 2025 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands National Seismic Hazard Model
Gridded (or background) seismicity models are a critical component of probabilistic seismic hazard assessments, accounting for off‐fault and smaller‐magnitude earthquakes. They are typically developed by declustering and spatially smoothing an earthquake catalog to estimate a long‐term seismicity rate that can be used to forecast future earthquakes. Here, we present new gridded...
Authors
Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Kirstie Lafon Haynie, Allison Shumway, Julie A. Herrick
High frequency and region-scale simulations of large (Mw7+) earthquakes on the southern Whidbey Island fault, Washington, USA High frequency and region-scale simulations of large (Mw7+) earthquakes on the southern Whidbey Island fault, Washington, USA
We simulate ground shaking in western Washington State from hypothetical Mw7.0–7.5 earthquakes on the southern Whidbey Island fault (SWIF). Ground motions are modeled considering kinematic source distributions on a complex fault plane, a 3D seismic velocity model, and region‐specific soil velocity models. We run simulations with varying model resolutions, including regional‐scale...
Authors
Ian P. Stone, Erin A. Wirth, Alex R. Grant, Arthur D. Frankel