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Publications

Browse more than 160,000 publications authored by our scientists over the past 100+ year history of the USGS.  Publications available are: USGS-authored journal articles, series reports, book chapters, other government publications, and more.

Filter Total Items: 176717

Machine learning generated streamflow drought forecasts for the conterminous United States (CONUS): developing and evaluating an operational tool to enhance sub-seasonal to seasonal streamflow drought early warning for gaged locations Machine learning generated streamflow drought forecasts for the conterminous United States (CONUS): developing and evaluating an operational tool to enhance sub-seasonal to seasonal streamflow drought early warning for gaged locations

Forecasts of streamflow drought, when streamflow declines below typical levels, are notably less available than for floods or meteorological drought, despite widespread impacts. We apply machine learning (ML) models to forecast streamflow drought 1–13 weeks ahead at 3,219 streamgages across the conterminous United States. We applied two ML methods (Long short-term memory neural networks...
Authors
John C. Hammond, Phillip J. Goodling, Jeremy Alejandro Diaz, Hayley R. Corson-Dosch, Aaron Joseph Heldmyer, Scott Douglas Hamshaw, Ryan R. McShane, Jesse Cleveland Ross, Roy Sando, Caelan Simeone, Erik A. Smith, Leah Ellen Staub, David Watkins, Michael Wieczorek, Kendall C. Wnuk, Jacob Aaron Zwart

Magmatic source of the opening phase of Kīlauea’s 2018 Lower East Rift Zone eruption Magmatic source of the opening phase of Kīlauea’s 2018 Lower East Rift Zone eruption

The 2018 eruption of Kīlauea volcano in its Lower East Rift Zone began with the discharge of evolved high-Ti basalt as weak lava fountains and short, slow-moving lava flows. The lavas were quickly geochemically recognized as being derived from magmas stored within the rift zone and remobilized by a new intrusion, a sequence that is common at Kīlauea. This initial phase of the 2018...
Authors
Rose Gallo, Laurine Barreau, Tom Shea, Nicolas Cluzel, Chris Russo, Aaron J. Pietruszka, William Nelson, Allan Lerner, Paul J. Wallace, Cheryl Gansecki

Magnetic storms and geoelectric hazards Magnetic storms and geoelectric hazards

Magnetic storms induce geoelectric fields at Earth's surface that can interfere with grounded long-line systems. The September 1859 storm disrupted global telegraph operations, the March 1989 storm caused a blackout in Canada and interfered with electric-power-transmission systems in the United States, and other storms have had related impacts. The geographic and temporal dependence of...
Authors
Jeffrey J. Love, Paul A. Bedrosian, Anna Kelbert, E. Joshua Rigler, Greg M. Lucas, Neesha R. Schnepf

Magnitude and frequency of peak and low flows in the Elkhorn River Basin, Nebraska, 1881–2022 Magnitude and frequency of peak and low flows in the Elkhorn River Basin, Nebraska, 1881–2022

Flood-frequency analysis is based on records of annual maximum instantaneous flows observed at long-term streamgages with 10 years or more of operation. Since the last flood-frequency analysis in Nebraska, an additional 30 years of annual peak-flow data have become available, and new flood-frequency analysis techniques have been developed. Moreover, the Elkhorn River Basin in north...
Authors
Kellan R. Strauch, Benjamin J. Dietsch

Magnitude conversion relations create substantial differences in seismic hazard models Magnitude conversion relations create substantial differences in seismic hazard models

Earthquake catalogs are essential data inputs for seismic hazard modeling. Because earthquake magnitudes are reported in a variety of types (e.g., local magnitudes and moment magnitudes), magnitude conversion relationships must be used to convert the different magnitude types present in a catalog to a uniform magnitude type to avoid biases in the hazard computation. However, these...
Authors
Andrea L. Llenos, David R. Shelly, Allison M. Shumway

Making many out of one: Synthetic geologic deformation model distributions for use in USGS NSHM25‐PRVI Puerto Rico-U.S. Virgin Island update Making many out of one: Synthetic geologic deformation model distributions for use in USGS NSHM25‐PRVI Puerto Rico-U.S. Virgin Island update

A key use‐case of geologic slip rates is within deformation models used in probabilistic seismic hazard analyses. Field‐derived geologic slip rates have formed the cornerstone of deformation models in such applications for decades. Recent advancements in seismic hazard analyses have expanded the use of faults for which geologic slip rates are not well constrained using categorical slip...
Authors
Alexandra Elise Hatem, Kevin Ross Milner, Richard W. Briggs, Jessica A. Thompson Jobe

Managed relocation: Addressing the nexus of climate change, invasive species, and fish and wildlife health Managed relocation: Addressing the nexus of climate change, invasive species, and fish and wildlife health

No abstract available.
Authors
Paul J. Heimowitz, Olivia E. LeDee, Nicholas W. Cole, Stanton Enomoto, Robert D. Fisher, Colin Gillin, Jessica Hellmann, Kris Inman, Aviv Karasov-Olson, Wynne Emily Moss, Gregor W. Schuurman, Mark D. Schwartz, Kerry Wixted, Tiffany Wolf, John Wullschleger

Management strategy evaluation for salmon habitat restoration and hatchery supplementation Management strategy evaluation for salmon habitat restoration and hatchery supplementation

A primary challenge in conservation is the evaluation of management actions. For species with complex life histories, this evaluation is particularly challenging, and quantitative models are needed to understand how effects on particular life stages translate to objectives such as an acceptably low extinction risk or large abundance. We modeled the effects of increasing juvenile survival...
Authors
Mark H. Sorel, Richard W. Zabel, Andrew R. Murdoch, Sarah J. Converse

Mangrove ecosystems: Importance, threats and opportunities for restoration Mangrove ecosystems: Importance, threats and opportunities for restoration

Mangroves are crucial for biodiversity conservation, coastal protection, and supporting local livelihoods. Mangroves may also protect coasts from storms and rising sea levels and can play a major role in climate mitigation. Threats to their health include activities such as infrastructural development, urban encroachment, aquaculture and crop farming, and oil and gas exploration. We...
Authors
Elijah I. Ohimain, Robert Eugene Turner, Beth A. Middleton

Mangrove microbiomes as drivers of ecosystem recovery and restoration success Mangrove microbiomes as drivers of ecosystem recovery and restoration success

The microbes found in the rhizosphere, roots, leaves and stem surfaces and within the internal tissues of mangrove vegetation and their environment constitute the microbiome of the ecosystem. The organisms in the microbiome include bacteria, protozoa, fungi, algae, amoebas, and slime molds, which assist in maintaining and restoring mangrove ecosystems. This review explores the role of...
Authors
Elijah I. Ohimain, Robert Eugene Turner, Beth A. Middleton

Mapping winter cover crops using remote sensing of crop phenology Mapping winter cover crops using remote sensing of crop phenology

Winter cover crops (WCC) are an effective agricultural conservation practice for improving soil health and water quality. Several U.S. states have established incentive programs to promote planting WCC between cash crop rotations. In recent years, the area planted with WCC has steadily increased due to these efforts, although the planting area varies among states. Since these programs...
Authors
Feng Gao, Martha Anderson, Michael Cosh, Xuesong Zhang, Alison Thieme, W. Dean Hively, Jisung Chang, Haoteng Zhao, Richard Circone, Jyoti Jennewein

Mars as one system: Insights from the 8th international conference on Mars polar science and exploration Mars as one system: Insights from the 8th international conference on Mars polar science and exploration

The 8th International Conference on Mars Polar Science and Exploration (ICMPSE) provided new insights into the complex interplay between Martian ice, climate, and atmospheric dynamics. The conference emphasized a holistic view of Mars as a system, where surface processes, subsurface ice, atmospheric dynamics, and historical climate shifts are interconnected. Research updates spanned...
Authors
Isaac B. Smith, Chimira Andres, Shannon Hibbard, Stefano Nerozzi, Roberto Aguilar, Peter Buhler, Ben Cornford, Leslie Tamppari, Timothy N. Titus
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