Stephanie Romañach, Ph.D. (Former Employee)
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 37
Engaging Indigenous Communities to Co-Design a Web Application to Protect Everglades Tree Islands
The USGS collaborated with the Miccosukee and Seminole Tribes to co-design a dashboard mock-up for a real-time web application that monitors tree island health in the Everglades.
Developing a Roadmap for the Future of Natural Resources in Everglades National Park
To sustain economic and ecologically viable ecosystems into the future, USGS is developing freshwater delivery targets for water flowing southward into Everglades National Park by integrating climate and sea level projections, hydrologic modeling, and ecological modeling to forecast ecosystem responses to future freshwater availability scenarios.
Coastal Wetland Vulnerability to Climate Change and Sea-Level Rise: Understanding Ecological Thresholds and Ecosystem Transformations
Eighteen USGS coastal scientists from all four coasts of the conterminous United States are working together to advance the understanding of climate change and sea-level rise impacts to coastal wetlands.
By
California Water Science Center, Chesapeake Bay Activities, Eastern Ecological Science Center, Florence Bascom Geoscience Center, Great Lakes Science Center, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center, Western Ecological Research Center (WERC), Western Geographic Science Center, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center , Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center
Decision Support Tools for Everglades Ecosystem-Based Management
The USGS Joint Ecosystem Modeling team will work with partners to identify and develop decision support tools for Everglades water management.
Evaluating Population Viability and Habitat Suitability for the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Under Future Climate and Management Conditions
WARC will assess Cape Sable seaside sparrow population response and viability under different management and habitat change scenarios. The USGS EverSparrow model will be run on future scenarios, and differences in the predicted probability of presence and the efficacy of varying conservation strategies will be evaluated.
Ecological Model Support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration Project
The Joint Ecosystem Modeling team will provide model output for a suite of ecological models to aid in restoration decision planning for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration Project.
Ecological Modeling for the Central Everglades Planning Project (CEPP) Operational Plan
The Joint Ecosystem Modeling team will run a suite of 13 ecological models to provide insight into alternative restoration plans' ecological performance, unintended ecological conditions, and potential conflicts with other Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) goals.
Adding an Aquatic Prey Fish Module within the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis Modeling Framework
The USGS Joint Ecosystem Modeling team will use Bayesian networks to build a spatially explicit Everglades Vulnerability Analysis module based on current knowledge and existing data on fish density and biomass trends on the landscape.
Demographic Analysis of the Endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow
USGS researchers will examine how hydrology and landscape vegetation changes impact Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow survival and population growth.
Comparing EverForecast to the South Florida Water Management District’s Position Analysis
USGS will compare the EverForecast hydrologic forecast, the South Florida Water Management District's Position Analysis, and observed water level recordings from gages located across the Everglades landscape to examine which forecast performs better during the wet and dry seasons; wet, dry, or average years; or in different areas of the Everglades.
Engaging Indigenous Communities to Co-Design a Real-time Monitoring Application to Protect their Socio-Cultural and Ecological Areas
Everglades tree islands are traditional homes of the Miccosukee and Seminole Tribes and contain their ancestral remains, but no monitoring tool exists for water managers to protect sites from destructive flooding. We propose stakeholder workshops to codesign a monitoring application with the Tribes.
Knowledge Synthesis of Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Science
WARC researchers have developed a literature review of science on the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow focused on topics relevant to upcoming management decisions.
Filter Total Items: 33
Central Everglades Planning Project Operational Plan 1.0 (CEPP Ops 1.0) Ecological Model Support, Round 2 Central Everglades Planning Project Operational Plan 1.0 (CEPP Ops 1.0) Ecological Model Support, Round 2
Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management...
Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, 2025: Tentatively Selected Plan, ALT32R Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, 2025: Tentatively Selected Plan, ALT32R
Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management...
Synthesis of common themes within semi-structured interviews with members of the Everglades REstoration, COordination, and VERification (RECOVER) group Synthesis of common themes within semi-structured interviews with members of the Everglades REstoration, COordination, and VERification (RECOVER) group
Dataset of common themes that arose from semi-structured interviews with members of REstoration, COordination, and VERification (RECOVER), an interdisciplinary group of agencies, tribes, and institutions that conduct scientific evaluations and assessments to improve the implementation of the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP). The interviews centered on the ability and...
Integrated Population Model & Population Viability Analysis of the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS, Ammospiza maritima mirabilis) Integrated Population Model & Population Viability Analysis of the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS, Ammospiza maritima mirabilis)
This software release contains the R code to jointly run an integrated population model (IPM) and Bayesian population viability analysis (BPVA) for the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS; Ammospiza maritima mirabilis). The CSSS is a federally endangered bird endemic to a small part of the Everglades in southern Florida, USA. The IPM-BPVA synthesizes thirty years (1992-2021) of range-wide...
Small mammal captures in Everglades National Park, Florida (2014 - 2019) Small mammal captures in Everglades National Park, Florida (2014 - 2019)
Species differ in their habitat preferences based on seasonal hydrologic conditions. Species such as the semi-aquatic marsh rice rat (Oryzomys palustris) are adapted to high water conditions, while other species, such as the hispid cotton rat (Sigmodon hispidus) and the cotton mouse (Peromyscus gossypinus) prefer drier hammocks during the wet season. The aim of our study was to...
Hydrologic scenarios and ecological model output used to explore potential sea-level rise scenarios on ecological models used in Everglades restoration planning Hydrologic scenarios and ecological model output used to explore potential sea-level rise scenarios on ecological models used in Everglades restoration planning
One of the largest and most expensive restoration efforts in the world is occurring in the Everglades, a sub-tropical freshwater wetland system located in southern Florida. This unique ecosystem supports several endemic and endangered species, provides flood control for Florida’s large urban population, and provides water for both agriculture and drinking supply within the state. The...
Code to assemble and generate output for an integrated population model of the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Code to assemble and generate output for an integrated population model of the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow
This data release contains the R code to run an integrated population model (IPM) for the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS; Ammospiza maritima mirabilis), a federally endangered bird endemic to a small part of the Everglades in southern Florida, USA, and provides the parameter estimates from the model. The IPM synthesizes thirty years (1992-2021) of range-wide surveys, mark-resight, and...
Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, Round 3 Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, Round 3
Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management...
Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Five, 2023 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Five, 2023
Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management...
Model code to build and run an integrated population model for the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Model code to build and run an integrated population model for the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow
The Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS; Ammospiza maritima mirabilis) is an endangered species that has experienced population declines of more than 60% since the 1990s. The CSSS is restricted in geographic extent to a relatively small area of remaining marl prairie in the southern Florida Everglades and remains in six subpopulation areas (named A-F). There has been over two decades of...
Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Restoration Runs R Library Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Restoration Runs R Library
restoration_runs is a library of R-language scripts used to summarize/post-process output of Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM; https://jem.gov/) models used in Everglades restoration planning for projects such as the Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual (LOSOM) and the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP). The scripts summarize model output and create graphs and maps for each...
Updates to the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) vegetation module Updates to the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) vegetation module
The Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) is a series of connected, modular Bayesian networks that predict the response of several Everglades indicators of ecosystem health to changes in hydrology, salinity, and the landscape. This release provides the code to update the vegetation module of EVA, validate the updated module, and provides the process and outputs of a sensitivity...
Filter Total Items: 63
A tool to monitor hydrologic conditions on tree islands in the Everglades A tool to monitor hydrologic conditions on tree islands in the Everglades
Tree islands are patchy upland forested habitats in Florida's Everglades that face degradation and disappearance due to altered hydrologic patterns. The U.S. Geological Survey coordinated with the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians of Florida and the Seminole Tribe of Florida to co-develop a decision-support tool based on tree-island hydrologic conditions. Everglades managers can use this tool...
Authors
Saira M. Haider, Craig van der Heiden, Marcel Bozas, Stephanie S. Romañach
Restoring the Florida Everglades: Insights on integrating sea level rise into decision-support tools Restoring the Florida Everglades: Insights on integrating sea level rise into decision-support tools
Although coastal ecosystems are impacted by climate change and sea-level rise, many ecological and hydrological models do not yet incorporate sea-level rise projections in their modeling outputs. Therefore, this research examined the various challenges that may prevent sea-level rise from being effectively incorporated in modeling and decision-support tools. We conducted semi-structured...
Authors
Stephanie Castellano, Mysha Clarke, Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie S. Romañach, Stephanie Cadaval
Ecological thresholds and transformations due to climate change: The role of abiotic stress Ecological thresholds and transformations due to climate change: The role of abiotic stress
An ecological threshold is the point at which a comparatively small environmental change triggers an abrupt and disproportionately large ecological response. In the face of accelerating climate change, there is concern that abrupt ecosystem transformations will become more widespread as critical ecological thresholds are crossed. There has been ongoing debate, however, regarding the...
Authors
Michael Osland, John B. Bradford, Lauren T. Toth, Matthew J. Germino, James Grace, Judith Z. Drexler, Camille L. Stagg, Eric E. Grossman, Karen M. Thorne, Stephanie Romanach, Davina Passeri, Gregory E. Noe, Jessica R. Lacy, Ken Krauss, Kurt P. Kowalski, Glenn R. Guntenspergen, Neil K. Ganju, Nicholas Enwright, Joel A. Carr, Kristin B. Byrd, Kevin J. Buffington
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Coastal and Marine Hazards and Resources Program, California Water Science Center, Eastern Ecological Science Center, Florence Bascom Geoscience Center, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Southwest Biological Science Center, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center, Western Ecological Research Center (WERC), Western Geographic Science Center, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center , Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center
Linking environmental variability to long-term demographic change of an endangered species using integrated population models Linking environmental variability to long-term demographic change of an endangered species using integrated population models
Understanding how species populations change with environmental conditions is important for implementing effective habitat management and conservation strategies. Challenges to evaluating population-level responses to environmental conditions arise when data are sparse or not spatiotemporally aligned, especially for at-risk species with small, declining numbers.We synthesized 30 years...
Authors
Marisa Takada Martinez, Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie Romanach
Integrating sea level rise scenarios into Everglades restoration planning Integrating sea level rise scenarios into Everglades restoration planning
One of the largest and most expensive restoration efforts in the world is occurring in the Everglades, a sub-tropical freshwater wetland system located in southern Florida. This unique ecosystem supports several endangered species, provides flood control for Florida’s large urban population, and provides water for both agriculture and drinking supply within the state. The Comprehensive...
Authors
Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie Romanach, Stephanie Castellano, Mysha Clarke
Bobcat occupancy, tree islands, and invasive Burmese pythons in an Everglades conservation area Bobcat occupancy, tree islands, and invasive Burmese pythons in an Everglades conservation area
Bobcats (Lynx rufus) are terrestrial mammals that also inhabit tree islands (i.e., topographically elevated patches of forested land) embedded in the subtropical Everglades wetlands, which serve as a dry refuge habitat during the wet season in this region of Florida, USA. The Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan seeks to restore Everglades water flow to pre-drainage conditions, but...
Authors
Katherine M. Buckman, Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie Romanach, Rachel M. Taylor, Nathan J. Dorn
An integrated framework for examining groundwater vulnerability in the Mekong River Delta region An integrated framework for examining groundwater vulnerability in the Mekong River Delta region
The Mekong River provides water, food security, and many other valuable benefits to the more than 60 million Southeast Asian residents living within its basin. However, the Mekong River Basin is increasingly stressed by changes in climate, land cover, and infrastructure. These changes can affect water quantity and quality and exacerbate related hazards such as land subsidence and...
Authors
Kathryn Powlen, Saira M. Haider, Kyle W. Davis, Nina Burkardt, Sachin D. Shah, Stephanie Romanach, Matthew E. Andersen
Long-term demographic analysis of the Cape Sable seaside sparrow (1992–2021) Long-term demographic analysis of the Cape Sable seaside sparrow (1992–2021)
The Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammospiza maritima mirabilis) is an endangered species that has experienced a population decline of more than 60% since 1981. Despite its critical population status, a statistically robust analysis of the species’ demographic rates utilizing all data has yet to be completed (Benscoter et al. 2021). Furthermore, long-term population processes in response to
Authors
Marisa Takada Martinez, Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie Romanach
The Everglades vulnerability analysis: Linking ecological models to support ecosystem restoration The Everglades vulnerability analysis: Linking ecological models to support ecosystem restoration
Understanding of the Everglades’ ecological vulnerabilities and restoration needs has advanced over the past decade but has not been applied in an integrated manner. To address this need, we developed the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA), a decision support tool that uses modular Bayesian networks to predict the ecological outcomes of a subset of the ecosystem’s health indicators...
Authors
Laura D’Acunto, Leonard G. Pearlstine, Saira M. Haider, Caitlin E. Hackett, Dilip Shinde, Stephanie Romanach
Nest-site selection model for endangered Everglade snail kites to inform ecosystem restoration Nest-site selection model for endangered Everglade snail kites to inform ecosystem restoration
dictors of nesting for snail kites in south Florida. The results of our modeling indicate that hydrology, percent canopy cover, and proximity to recently burned areas were the most important factors associated with nest-site selection for snail kites. Water depths between 75 and 100 cm, water recession rates between 0 and 1.25 cm/day, percent canopy covers
Authors
Allison Benscoter, Laura D’Acunto, Saira M. Haider, Robert J. Fletcher, Stephanie Romanach
Sea level rise may pose conservation challenges for the endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow Sea level rise may pose conservation challenges for the endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow
Biodiversity conservation under a changing climate is a challenging endeavor. Landscapes are shifting as a result of climate change and sea level rise but plant communities in particular may not keep up with the pace of change. Predictive ecological models can help decision makers understand how species are likely to respond to change and then adjust management actions to align with...
Authors
Stephanie Romanach, Saira M. Haider, Allison Benscoter
Endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow ecology: Actions towards recovery through landscape-scale ecosystem restoration Endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow ecology: Actions towards recovery through landscape-scale ecosystem restoration
Understanding the ecology of endangered taxa and the factors affecting their population growth and decline is imperative for their recovery. In the southeastern USA, the Everglades wetland ecosystem supports a high diversity of species and communities, including many endemic and imperiled taxa, such as the federally endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow Ammospiza maritima mirabilis (CSSS...
Authors
Allison Benscoter, Stephanie Romanach
Non-USGS Publications**
Lindsey, P.A., Havemann, C.P., Lines, R.M., Price, A.E., Retief, T.A., Rhebergen, T., Van der Waal, C. and Romañach, S.S., 2013. Benefits of wildlife-based land uses on private lands in Namibia and limitations affecting their development. Oryx, 47(01), pp.41-53.
Romañach, S.S., Lindsey, P.A. and Woodroffe, R., 2010. Attitudes toward predators and options for their conservation in the Ewaso Ecosystem. A Chronology of Middle Missouri Plains Village Sites, 85.
Lindsey, Peter Andrew, S. S. Romanach, S. Matema, C. Matema, I. Mupamhadzi, and J. Muvengwi. "Dynamics and underlying causes of illegal bushmeat trade in Zimbabwe." Oryx 45, no. 01 (2011): 84-95.
Lindsey, Peter Andrew, S. S. Romanach, Craig J. Tambling, K. Chartier, and R. Groom. "Ecological and financial impacts of illegal bushmeat trade in Zimbabwe." Oryx 45, no. 01 (2011): 96-111.
Lindsey, P. A., S. S. Romanach, and H. T. Davies‐Mostert. "The importance of conservancies for enhancing the value of game ranch land for large mammal conservation in southern Africa." Journal of Zoology 277, no. 2 (2009): 99-105.
Lindsey, P., Romanach, S., Romanach, S.S. and Davies-Mostert, H., 2009. A synthesis of early indicators of the drivers of predator conservation on private lands in south africa. Anonymous Reintroduction of Top-Order Predators.: Wiley-Blackwell, pp.321-344.
Lindsey, P.A., du Toit, R., Pole, A. and Romañach, S., 2008. Savé Valley Conservancy: a large-scale African experiment in cooperative wildlife management. Evolution and innovation in wildlife conservation: parks and game ranches to transfrontier conservation areas, pp.163-184.
Romañach, S.S. and Lindsey, P.A., 2008. Conservation implications of prey responses to wild dogs Lycaon pictus during the denning season on wildlife ranches. Animal conservation, 11(2), pp.111-117.
Romanach, S.S., Lindsey, P.A. and Woodroffe, R., 2007. Determinants of attitudes towards predators in central Kenya and suggestions for increasing tolerance in livestock dominated landscapes. Oryx, 41(02), pp.185-195.
Romanach, S.S., Seabloom, E.W. and Reichman, O.J., 2007. Costs and benefits of pocket gopher foraging: Linking behavior and physiology. Ecology, 88(8), pp.2047-2057.
Georgiadis, N.J., Olwero, J.N. and Romañach, S.S., 2007. Savanna herbivore dynamics in a livestock-dominated landscape: I. Dependence on land use, rainfall, density, and time. Biological conservation, 137(3), pp.461-472.
Georgiadis, N.J., Ihwagi, F., Olwero, J.N. and Romañach, S.S., 2007. Savanna herbivore dynamics in a livestock-dominated landscape. II: Ecological, conservation, and management implications of predator restoration. Biological Conservation, 137(3), pp.473-483.
Lindsey, P.A., Roulet, P.A. and Romanach, S.S., 2007. Economic and conservation significance of the trophy hunting industry in sub-Saharan Africa. Biological conservation, 134(4), pp.455-469.
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.
Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Support Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Support
The JEM community of practice is focused on ecological modeling and monitoring across the Greater Everglades, with particular interest in habitats, how various factors affect habitat change, and how the organisms dependent on those habitats respond today and into the future.
Everglades Eco-Modeling Data Visualization and Tool Development Everglades Eco-Modeling Data Visualization and Tool Development
Working with the Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) community of practice, the WARC Advanced Applications Team developed and maintains the EverVIEW Data Viewer desktop visualization platform, which allows users to easily visualize and inspect standards-compliant NetCDF modeling data and has experienced tremendous feature growth driven by user feedback.
Alligator Production Suitability Index (APSI) in R Alligator Production Suitability Index (APSI) in R
This repository contains code to run the Alligator Production Suitability Index (APSI), a Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) hosted model developed by the National Park Service. The model has been refactored in R from Java to facilitate further model development, updates, and collaboration with Everglades partners. The R version has been modified slightly from the original Java version to...
ever4cast ever4cast
The Everglades Forecasting application (EverForecast) is a hydrologic and multi-species management tool. Designed to support natural resource managers, the tool simulates near future water levels across the Florida Everglades and models the likely impacts on the habitats and populations of numerous species. EverForecast is part of the Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) suite of tools. The...
Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Restoration Runs R Library Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Restoration Runs R Library
restoration_runs is a library of R-language scripts used to summarize/post-process output of Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM; https://jem.gov/) models used in Everglades restoration planning for projects such as the Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual (LOSOM) and the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP). The scripts summarize model output and create graphs and maps for each...
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 37
Engaging Indigenous Communities to Co-Design a Web Application to Protect Everglades Tree Islands
The USGS collaborated with the Miccosukee and Seminole Tribes to co-design a dashboard mock-up for a real-time web application that monitors tree island health in the Everglades.
Developing a Roadmap for the Future of Natural Resources in Everglades National Park
To sustain economic and ecologically viable ecosystems into the future, USGS is developing freshwater delivery targets for water flowing southward into Everglades National Park by integrating climate and sea level projections, hydrologic modeling, and ecological modeling to forecast ecosystem responses to future freshwater availability scenarios.
Coastal Wetland Vulnerability to Climate Change and Sea-Level Rise: Understanding Ecological Thresholds and Ecosystem Transformations
Eighteen USGS coastal scientists from all four coasts of the conterminous United States are working together to advance the understanding of climate change and sea-level rise impacts to coastal wetlands.
By
California Water Science Center, Chesapeake Bay Activities, Eastern Ecological Science Center, Florence Bascom Geoscience Center, Great Lakes Science Center, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center, Western Ecological Research Center (WERC), Western Geographic Science Center, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center , Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center
Decision Support Tools for Everglades Ecosystem-Based Management
The USGS Joint Ecosystem Modeling team will work with partners to identify and develop decision support tools for Everglades water management.
Evaluating Population Viability and Habitat Suitability for the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Under Future Climate and Management Conditions
WARC will assess Cape Sable seaside sparrow population response and viability under different management and habitat change scenarios. The USGS EverSparrow model will be run on future scenarios, and differences in the predicted probability of presence and the efficacy of varying conservation strategies will be evaluated.
Ecological Model Support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration Project
The Joint Ecosystem Modeling team will provide model output for a suite of ecological models to aid in restoration decision planning for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration Project.
Ecological Modeling for the Central Everglades Planning Project (CEPP) Operational Plan
The Joint Ecosystem Modeling team will run a suite of 13 ecological models to provide insight into alternative restoration plans' ecological performance, unintended ecological conditions, and potential conflicts with other Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) goals.
Adding an Aquatic Prey Fish Module within the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis Modeling Framework
The USGS Joint Ecosystem Modeling team will use Bayesian networks to build a spatially explicit Everglades Vulnerability Analysis module based on current knowledge and existing data on fish density and biomass trends on the landscape.
Demographic Analysis of the Endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow
USGS researchers will examine how hydrology and landscape vegetation changes impact Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow survival and population growth.
Comparing EverForecast to the South Florida Water Management District’s Position Analysis
USGS will compare the EverForecast hydrologic forecast, the South Florida Water Management District's Position Analysis, and observed water level recordings from gages located across the Everglades landscape to examine which forecast performs better during the wet and dry seasons; wet, dry, or average years; or in different areas of the Everglades.
Engaging Indigenous Communities to Co-Design a Real-time Monitoring Application to Protect their Socio-Cultural and Ecological Areas
Everglades tree islands are traditional homes of the Miccosukee and Seminole Tribes and contain their ancestral remains, but no monitoring tool exists for water managers to protect sites from destructive flooding. We propose stakeholder workshops to codesign a monitoring application with the Tribes.
Knowledge Synthesis of Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Science
WARC researchers have developed a literature review of science on the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow focused on topics relevant to upcoming management decisions.
Filter Total Items: 33
Central Everglades Planning Project Operational Plan 1.0 (CEPP Ops 1.0) Ecological Model Support, Round 2 Central Everglades Planning Project Operational Plan 1.0 (CEPP Ops 1.0) Ecological Model Support, Round 2
Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management...
Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, 2025: Tentatively Selected Plan, ALT32R Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, 2025: Tentatively Selected Plan, ALT32R
Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management...
Synthesis of common themes within semi-structured interviews with members of the Everglades REstoration, COordination, and VERification (RECOVER) group Synthesis of common themes within semi-structured interviews with members of the Everglades REstoration, COordination, and VERification (RECOVER) group
Dataset of common themes that arose from semi-structured interviews with members of REstoration, COordination, and VERification (RECOVER), an interdisciplinary group of agencies, tribes, and institutions that conduct scientific evaluations and assessments to improve the implementation of the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP). The interviews centered on the ability and...
Integrated Population Model & Population Viability Analysis of the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS, Ammospiza maritima mirabilis) Integrated Population Model & Population Viability Analysis of the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS, Ammospiza maritima mirabilis)
This software release contains the R code to jointly run an integrated population model (IPM) and Bayesian population viability analysis (BPVA) for the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS; Ammospiza maritima mirabilis). The CSSS is a federally endangered bird endemic to a small part of the Everglades in southern Florida, USA. The IPM-BPVA synthesizes thirty years (1992-2021) of range-wide...
Small mammal captures in Everglades National Park, Florida (2014 - 2019) Small mammal captures in Everglades National Park, Florida (2014 - 2019)
Species differ in their habitat preferences based on seasonal hydrologic conditions. Species such as the semi-aquatic marsh rice rat (Oryzomys palustris) are adapted to high water conditions, while other species, such as the hispid cotton rat (Sigmodon hispidus) and the cotton mouse (Peromyscus gossypinus) prefer drier hammocks during the wet season. The aim of our study was to...
Hydrologic scenarios and ecological model output used to explore potential sea-level rise scenarios on ecological models used in Everglades restoration planning Hydrologic scenarios and ecological model output used to explore potential sea-level rise scenarios on ecological models used in Everglades restoration planning
One of the largest and most expensive restoration efforts in the world is occurring in the Everglades, a sub-tropical freshwater wetland system located in southern Florida. This unique ecosystem supports several endemic and endangered species, provides flood control for Florida’s large urban population, and provides water for both agriculture and drinking supply within the state. The...
Code to assemble and generate output for an integrated population model of the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Code to assemble and generate output for an integrated population model of the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow
This data release contains the R code to run an integrated population model (IPM) for the Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS; Ammospiza maritima mirabilis), a federally endangered bird endemic to a small part of the Everglades in southern Florida, USA, and provides the parameter estimates from the model. The IPM synthesizes thirty years (1992-2021) of range-wide surveys, mark-resight, and...
Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, Round 3 Ecological model support for the Biscayne Bay and Southeastern Everglades Restoration (BBSEER) Project, Round 3
Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management...
Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Five, 2023 Ecological Model Support for the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP) Round Five, 2023
Ecological models facilitate evaluation of alternative approaches to restore the Greater Everglades ecosystem. However, the provision of useful and accessible models is a challenge because there is often a disconnect between model output and its use by decision makers. Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) meets this challenge by providing ecological model output tailored to management...
Model code to build and run an integrated population model for the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow Model code to build and run an integrated population model for the endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow
The Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (CSSS; Ammospiza maritima mirabilis) is an endangered species that has experienced population declines of more than 60% since the 1990s. The CSSS is restricted in geographic extent to a relatively small area of remaining marl prairie in the southern Florida Everglades and remains in six subpopulation areas (named A-F). There has been over two decades of...
Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Restoration Runs R Library Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Restoration Runs R Library
restoration_runs is a library of R-language scripts used to summarize/post-process output of Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM; https://jem.gov/) models used in Everglades restoration planning for projects such as the Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual (LOSOM) and the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP). The scripts summarize model output and create graphs and maps for each...
Updates to the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) vegetation module Updates to the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) vegetation module
The Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA) is a series of connected, modular Bayesian networks that predict the response of several Everglades indicators of ecosystem health to changes in hydrology, salinity, and the landscape. This release provides the code to update the vegetation module of EVA, validate the updated module, and provides the process and outputs of a sensitivity...
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A tool to monitor hydrologic conditions on tree islands in the Everglades A tool to monitor hydrologic conditions on tree islands in the Everglades
Tree islands are patchy upland forested habitats in Florida's Everglades that face degradation and disappearance due to altered hydrologic patterns. The U.S. Geological Survey coordinated with the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians of Florida and the Seminole Tribe of Florida to co-develop a decision-support tool based on tree-island hydrologic conditions. Everglades managers can use this tool...
Authors
Saira M. Haider, Craig van der Heiden, Marcel Bozas, Stephanie S. Romañach
Restoring the Florida Everglades: Insights on integrating sea level rise into decision-support tools Restoring the Florida Everglades: Insights on integrating sea level rise into decision-support tools
Although coastal ecosystems are impacted by climate change and sea-level rise, many ecological and hydrological models do not yet incorporate sea-level rise projections in their modeling outputs. Therefore, this research examined the various challenges that may prevent sea-level rise from being effectively incorporated in modeling and decision-support tools. We conducted semi-structured...
Authors
Stephanie Castellano, Mysha Clarke, Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie S. Romañach, Stephanie Cadaval
Ecological thresholds and transformations due to climate change: The role of abiotic stress Ecological thresholds and transformations due to climate change: The role of abiotic stress
An ecological threshold is the point at which a comparatively small environmental change triggers an abrupt and disproportionately large ecological response. In the face of accelerating climate change, there is concern that abrupt ecosystem transformations will become more widespread as critical ecological thresholds are crossed. There has been ongoing debate, however, regarding the...
Authors
Michael Osland, John B. Bradford, Lauren T. Toth, Matthew J. Germino, James Grace, Judith Z. Drexler, Camille L. Stagg, Eric E. Grossman, Karen M. Thorne, Stephanie Romanach, Davina Passeri, Gregory E. Noe, Jessica R. Lacy, Ken Krauss, Kurt P. Kowalski, Glenn R. Guntenspergen, Neil K. Ganju, Nicholas Enwright, Joel A. Carr, Kristin B. Byrd, Kevin J. Buffington
By
Ecosystems Mission Area, Coastal and Marine Hazards and Resources Program, California Water Science Center, Eastern Ecological Science Center, Florence Bascom Geoscience Center, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Southwest Biological Science Center, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center, Western Ecological Research Center (WERC), Western Geographic Science Center, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center , Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center
Linking environmental variability to long-term demographic change of an endangered species using integrated population models Linking environmental variability to long-term demographic change of an endangered species using integrated population models
Understanding how species populations change with environmental conditions is important for implementing effective habitat management and conservation strategies. Challenges to evaluating population-level responses to environmental conditions arise when data are sparse or not spatiotemporally aligned, especially for at-risk species with small, declining numbers.We synthesized 30 years...
Authors
Marisa Takada Martinez, Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie Romanach
Integrating sea level rise scenarios into Everglades restoration planning Integrating sea level rise scenarios into Everglades restoration planning
One of the largest and most expensive restoration efforts in the world is occurring in the Everglades, a sub-tropical freshwater wetland system located in southern Florida. This unique ecosystem supports several endangered species, provides flood control for Florida’s large urban population, and provides water for both agriculture and drinking supply within the state. The Comprehensive...
Authors
Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie Romanach, Stephanie Castellano, Mysha Clarke
Bobcat occupancy, tree islands, and invasive Burmese pythons in an Everglades conservation area Bobcat occupancy, tree islands, and invasive Burmese pythons in an Everglades conservation area
Bobcats (Lynx rufus) are terrestrial mammals that also inhabit tree islands (i.e., topographically elevated patches of forested land) embedded in the subtropical Everglades wetlands, which serve as a dry refuge habitat during the wet season in this region of Florida, USA. The Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan seeks to restore Everglades water flow to pre-drainage conditions, but...
Authors
Katherine M. Buckman, Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie Romanach, Rachel M. Taylor, Nathan J. Dorn
An integrated framework for examining groundwater vulnerability in the Mekong River Delta region An integrated framework for examining groundwater vulnerability in the Mekong River Delta region
The Mekong River provides water, food security, and many other valuable benefits to the more than 60 million Southeast Asian residents living within its basin. However, the Mekong River Basin is increasingly stressed by changes in climate, land cover, and infrastructure. These changes can affect water quantity and quality and exacerbate related hazards such as land subsidence and...
Authors
Kathryn Powlen, Saira M. Haider, Kyle W. Davis, Nina Burkardt, Sachin D. Shah, Stephanie Romanach, Matthew E. Andersen
Long-term demographic analysis of the Cape Sable seaside sparrow (1992–2021) Long-term demographic analysis of the Cape Sable seaside sparrow (1992–2021)
The Cape Sable seaside sparrow (Ammospiza maritima mirabilis) is an endangered species that has experienced a population decline of more than 60% since 1981. Despite its critical population status, a statistically robust analysis of the species’ demographic rates utilizing all data has yet to be completed (Benscoter et al. 2021). Furthermore, long-term population processes in response to
Authors
Marisa Takada Martinez, Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie Romanach
The Everglades vulnerability analysis: Linking ecological models to support ecosystem restoration The Everglades vulnerability analysis: Linking ecological models to support ecosystem restoration
Understanding of the Everglades’ ecological vulnerabilities and restoration needs has advanced over the past decade but has not been applied in an integrated manner. To address this need, we developed the Everglades Vulnerability Analysis (EVA), a decision support tool that uses modular Bayesian networks to predict the ecological outcomes of a subset of the ecosystem’s health indicators...
Authors
Laura D’Acunto, Leonard G. Pearlstine, Saira M. Haider, Caitlin E. Hackett, Dilip Shinde, Stephanie Romanach
Nest-site selection model for endangered Everglade snail kites to inform ecosystem restoration Nest-site selection model for endangered Everglade snail kites to inform ecosystem restoration
dictors of nesting for snail kites in south Florida. The results of our modeling indicate that hydrology, percent canopy cover, and proximity to recently burned areas were the most important factors associated with nest-site selection for snail kites. Water depths between 75 and 100 cm, water recession rates between 0 and 1.25 cm/day, percent canopy covers
Authors
Allison Benscoter, Laura D’Acunto, Saira M. Haider, Robert J. Fletcher, Stephanie Romanach
Sea level rise may pose conservation challenges for the endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow Sea level rise may pose conservation challenges for the endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow
Biodiversity conservation under a changing climate is a challenging endeavor. Landscapes are shifting as a result of climate change and sea level rise but plant communities in particular may not keep up with the pace of change. Predictive ecological models can help decision makers understand how species are likely to respond to change and then adjust management actions to align with...
Authors
Stephanie Romanach, Saira M. Haider, Allison Benscoter
Endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow ecology: Actions towards recovery through landscape-scale ecosystem restoration Endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow ecology: Actions towards recovery through landscape-scale ecosystem restoration
Understanding the ecology of endangered taxa and the factors affecting their population growth and decline is imperative for their recovery. In the southeastern USA, the Everglades wetland ecosystem supports a high diversity of species and communities, including many endemic and imperiled taxa, such as the federally endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow Ammospiza maritima mirabilis (CSSS...
Authors
Allison Benscoter, Stephanie Romanach
Non-USGS Publications**
Lindsey, P.A., Havemann, C.P., Lines, R.M., Price, A.E., Retief, T.A., Rhebergen, T., Van der Waal, C. and Romañach, S.S., 2013. Benefits of wildlife-based land uses on private lands in Namibia and limitations affecting their development. Oryx, 47(01), pp.41-53.
Romañach, S.S., Lindsey, P.A. and Woodroffe, R., 2010. Attitudes toward predators and options for their conservation in the Ewaso Ecosystem. A Chronology of Middle Missouri Plains Village Sites, 85.
Lindsey, Peter Andrew, S. S. Romanach, S. Matema, C. Matema, I. Mupamhadzi, and J. Muvengwi. "Dynamics and underlying causes of illegal bushmeat trade in Zimbabwe." Oryx 45, no. 01 (2011): 84-95.
Lindsey, Peter Andrew, S. S. Romanach, Craig J. Tambling, K. Chartier, and R. Groom. "Ecological and financial impacts of illegal bushmeat trade in Zimbabwe." Oryx 45, no. 01 (2011): 96-111.
Lindsey, P. A., S. S. Romanach, and H. T. Davies‐Mostert. "The importance of conservancies for enhancing the value of game ranch land for large mammal conservation in southern Africa." Journal of Zoology 277, no. 2 (2009): 99-105.
Lindsey, P., Romanach, S., Romanach, S.S. and Davies-Mostert, H., 2009. A synthesis of early indicators of the drivers of predator conservation on private lands in south africa. Anonymous Reintroduction of Top-Order Predators.: Wiley-Blackwell, pp.321-344.
Lindsey, P.A., du Toit, R., Pole, A. and Romañach, S., 2008. Savé Valley Conservancy: a large-scale African experiment in cooperative wildlife management. Evolution and innovation in wildlife conservation: parks and game ranches to transfrontier conservation areas, pp.163-184.
Romañach, S.S. and Lindsey, P.A., 2008. Conservation implications of prey responses to wild dogs Lycaon pictus during the denning season on wildlife ranches. Animal conservation, 11(2), pp.111-117.
Romanach, S.S., Lindsey, P.A. and Woodroffe, R., 2007. Determinants of attitudes towards predators in central Kenya and suggestions for increasing tolerance in livestock dominated landscapes. Oryx, 41(02), pp.185-195.
Romanach, S.S., Seabloom, E.W. and Reichman, O.J., 2007. Costs and benefits of pocket gopher foraging: Linking behavior and physiology. Ecology, 88(8), pp.2047-2057.
Georgiadis, N.J., Olwero, J.N. and Romañach, S.S., 2007. Savanna herbivore dynamics in a livestock-dominated landscape: I. Dependence on land use, rainfall, density, and time. Biological conservation, 137(3), pp.461-472.
Georgiadis, N.J., Ihwagi, F., Olwero, J.N. and Romañach, S.S., 2007. Savanna herbivore dynamics in a livestock-dominated landscape. II: Ecological, conservation, and management implications of predator restoration. Biological Conservation, 137(3), pp.473-483.
Lindsey, P.A., Roulet, P.A. and Romanach, S.S., 2007. Economic and conservation significance of the trophy hunting industry in sub-Saharan Africa. Biological conservation, 134(4), pp.455-469.
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.
Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Support Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Support
The JEM community of practice is focused on ecological modeling and monitoring across the Greater Everglades, with particular interest in habitats, how various factors affect habitat change, and how the organisms dependent on those habitats respond today and into the future.
Everglades Eco-Modeling Data Visualization and Tool Development Everglades Eco-Modeling Data Visualization and Tool Development
Working with the Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) community of practice, the WARC Advanced Applications Team developed and maintains the EverVIEW Data Viewer desktop visualization platform, which allows users to easily visualize and inspect standards-compliant NetCDF modeling data and has experienced tremendous feature growth driven by user feedback.
Alligator Production Suitability Index (APSI) in R Alligator Production Suitability Index (APSI) in R
This repository contains code to run the Alligator Production Suitability Index (APSI), a Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) hosted model developed by the National Park Service. The model has been refactored in R from Java to facilitate further model development, updates, and collaboration with Everglades partners. The R version has been modified slightly from the original Java version to...
ever4cast ever4cast
The Everglades Forecasting application (EverForecast) is a hydrologic and multi-species management tool. Designed to support natural resource managers, the tool simulates near future water levels across the Florida Everglades and models the likely impacts on the habitats and populations of numerous species. EverForecast is part of the Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) suite of tools. The...
Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Restoration Runs R Library Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM) Restoration Runs R Library
restoration_runs is a library of R-language scripts used to summarize/post-process output of Joint Ecosystem Modeling (JEM; https://jem.gov/) models used in Everglades restoration planning for projects such as the Lake Okeechobee System Operating Manual (LOSOM) and the Western Everglades Restoration Project (WERP). The scripts summarize model output and create graphs and maps for each...