A slideshow of images from a flood event in northern New England in late December. Significant flooding occurred in Maine and New Hampshire from a combination of rainfall and snowmelt.
The USGS delivers continuous streamflow, stage (water-level), and tide data to help emergency managers and other decision makers protect life and property caused by floods and other water-related hazards.
The USGS New England Water Science Center maintains nearly 450 streamgages that collect data to determine the amount of water flowing in rivers and streams in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont. The Water Science Center also maintains about 15 tide gages along the coast of New England.
Nationwide, the USGS operates and maintains about 8,000 streamgages, which deliver near real-time data to the public.
Automatic alerts can be sent to mobile devices when streamflow of river or tide stage (water levels) reach user defined thresholds, such as a National Weather Service defined flood stage. These alerts help emergency managers and the public assess potentially hazardous conditions nearby a streamgage, stage-only gage, or tide gage.
USGS WaterAlert automatically sends email or SMS text messages when certain parameters at a USGS real-time data-collection station, exceed user-defined thresholds.
USGS Flood Information provides additional information about USGS flood science.
Current Flood Data for New England
- National Water Dashboard for New England
- WaterWatch Map of flood and high flow condition (select a State or Water-Resources Region)
- WaterWatch Map of flood and high flow conditions – New England
- USGS Project Alerts – Flood and Drought
- USGS Flood-Event Viewer (Data for Selected Current and Historic Floods – Coastal and Riverine)
- USGS Flood Inundation Mapper
- USGS Operational Total Water Level and Coastal Change Viewer
Current Streamflow, Stage, and Tide Data for New England
Flood Frequency Information
Visit USGS Floods and Recurrence Intervals for more information about floods and the annual exceedance probability (AEP).
New England Flood Frequency Studies
Flood Resources from Partner Agencies
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)
National Weather Service (NWS)
- NWS Northeast River Forecast Center
- NWS Current Precipitation Radar
- NWS Future Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (1-7 day totals)
- NOAA Office of Water Prediction – National Water Model
Northeast River Forecast Center (NERFC)
- NERFC Daily Hydrometeorological Briefing
- Recent NERFC Observed Precipitation Maps
- NERFC 5-Day Significant River Flood Outlook
- NERFC Future Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (72 Hours)
State Emergency Management
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
- U.S. Army Corps of Engineers – New England Reservoir Control Center
- U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Silver Jackets Program
Safety Related Resources
Below are resources associated with flood information.
USGS Flood Information
July 2023 Flood in Vermont
Rapid Deployment Gages (RDGs)
Surge, Wave, and Tide Hydrodynamics (SWaTH) Network
Historical Flooding
Flood Inundation Mapping (FIM) Program
Floods: Recurrence intervals and 100-year floods
The 100-Year Flood
Development of Flood Insurance Maps in New England
Northeast Region Flood Science Capability Team
Below are data or web applications associated with flood information.
Data and shapefiles used to document the floods associated with the January and March 2018 Nor'easters for Coastal Areas of New England (ver. 2.0, November 2021)
Below are multimedia items associated with flood information.
A slideshow of images from a flood event in northern New England in late December. Significant flooding occurred in Maine and New Hampshire from a combination of rainfall and snowmelt.
A hydrologic technician measures a high-water mark near the Androscoggin River in Topsham, Maine days after a significant flood event in late December 2023. A combination of heavy rainfall and snowmelt prompted the flooding.
A hydrologic technician measures a high-water mark near the Androscoggin River in Topsham, Maine days after a significant flood event in late December 2023. A combination of heavy rainfall and snowmelt prompted the flooding.
A hydrologic technician measures a high-water mark on a business in Anson, Maine after a significant flood event in late December 2023 flooded the Kennebec River.
A hydrologic technician measures a high-water mark on a business in Anson, Maine after a significant flood event in late December 2023 flooded the Kennebec River.
A heavy rainstorm, saturated ground, and pre-existing snowpack prompted flooding in Maine in late December 2023. USGS researchers manually measured streamflows after the flood event to validate real-time streamgage data.
A heavy rainstorm, saturated ground, and pre-existing snowpack prompted flooding in Maine in late December 2023. USGS researchers manually measured streamflows after the flood event to validate real-time streamgage data.
A hydrologic technician identifies a high-water mark at a gas station in Plymouth, New Hampshire following a flood event in late December 2023.
A hydrologic technician identifies a high-water mark at a gas station in Plymouth, New Hampshire following a flood event in late December 2023.
This USGS webcam footage shows the Kennebec River in Augusta, Maine, flooding after a large coastal storm hit much of the East Coast and battered New England with heavy rains and winds. USGS image.
This USGS webcam footage shows the Kennebec River in Augusta, Maine, flooding after a large coastal storm hit much of the East Coast and battered New England with heavy rains and winds. USGS image.
Photo taken in Hallowell, Maine on December 19, 2023, following a powerful rainstorm.
Photo taken in Hallowell, Maine on December 19, 2023, following a powerful rainstorm.
Piscataquis River in Maine during flood following a powerful rainstorm. Vicinity of the USGS streamgage 01031500, Piscataquis River near Dover-Foxcroft, Maine on December 19, 2023.
Piscataquis River in Maine during flood following a powerful rainstorm. Vicinity of the USGS streamgage 01031500, Piscataquis River near Dover-Foxcroft, Maine on December 19, 2023.
The streets of Hallowell, Maine, were flooded following heavy rains that hit New England and most of the East Coast, December 18, 2023. USGS photo by Glenn Hodgkins
The streets of Hallowell, Maine, were flooded following heavy rains that hit New England and most of the East Coast, December 18, 2023. USGS photo by Glenn Hodgkins
The Kennebec River flooded in downtown Augusta, Maine, after a heavy rainstorm. USGS streamgage 01049320 monitors the streamflow of this area
The Kennebec River flooded in downtown Augusta, Maine, after a heavy rainstorm. USGS streamgage 01049320 monitors the streamflow of this area
Flooding surrounds USGS streamgage 01029500 on the East Branch of the Penobscot River in Grindstone, Maine.
Flooding surrounds USGS streamgage 01029500 on the East Branch of the Penobscot River in Grindstone, Maine.
USGS Scientist makes a gage inspection during the rain event at Nepaug River near Nepaug, Connecticut - 01187800. The 1800 cubic feet per second (CFS) measured during the powerful rainstorm was the highest measurement on record to date, according to provisional data.
USGS Scientist makes a gage inspection during the rain event at Nepaug River near Nepaug, Connecticut - 01187800. The 1800 cubic feet per second (CFS) measured during the powerful rainstorm was the highest measurement on record to date, according to provisional data.
A look at the high waters and damage caused by a significant two-day rainfall event in New England in early July 2023. USGS researchers visited streamgages, manually captured discharge and river stage (or height), and canvassed for high-water marks in Vermont.
A look at the high waters and damage caused by a significant two-day rainfall event in New England in early July 2023. USGS researchers visited streamgages, manually captured discharge and river stage (or height), and canvassed for high-water marks in Vermont.
Heavy flooding, caused by two-day rainstorm in July 2023, transported boulders down a hillside to cover a resident's car and move their hot tub.
Heavy flooding, caused by two-day rainstorm in July 2023, transported boulders down a hillside to cover a resident's car and move their hot tub.
A hydrologic technician points to a high-water mark on the building of Weston Town Offices days after a significant flood event, which damaged the adjacent road.
A hydrologic technician points to a high-water mark on the building of Weston Town Offices days after a significant flood event, which damaged the adjacent road.
The Cobble Ridge Road Bridge in Londonderry, Vermont, along the West River was badly damaged during significant flooding precipitated by a heavy rainfall event.
The Cobble Ridge Road Bridge in Londonderry, Vermont, along the West River was badly damaged during significant flooding precipitated by a heavy rainfall event.
Sam Banas and Dale Tom located a debris high-water mark line in a field in Woodstock, Vermont. This physical evidence of flood water distance took place in the days following a heavy rainfall event that caused significant flooding.
Sam Banas and Dale Tom located a debris high-water mark line in a field in Woodstock, Vermont. This physical evidence of flood water distance took place in the days following a heavy rainfall event that caused significant flooding.
A high-water mark tag nailed to a tree trunk with visible debris. The debris that adheres to the tree is the physical evidence of how high the flood waters rose during the flood event; when the waters recede, the debris transported by the flood waters that was floating on the top of the water sticks to the tree.
A high-water mark tag nailed to a tree trunk with visible debris. The debris that adheres to the tree is the physical evidence of how high the flood waters rose during the flood event; when the waters recede, the debris transported by the flood waters that was floating on the top of the water sticks to the tree.
A high-water mark tag nailed to a tree in Vermont days after a flood-event in July 2023.
A high-water mark tag nailed to a tree in Vermont days after a flood-event in July 2023.
USGS hydrologic technician pointing to a high-water disk on the house porch in Woodstock, Vermont after the historical flood in July 2023.
USGS hydrologic technician pointing to a high-water disk on the house porch in Woodstock, Vermont after the historical flood in July 2023.
Below are publications associated with flood information.
Documentation and mapping of flooding from the January and March 2018 nor’easters in coastal New England
Estimating flood magnitude and frequency on gaged and ungaged streams in Maine
Estimating flood magnitude and frequency on streams and rivers in Connecticut, based on data through water year 2015
Total water level data from the January and March 2018 nor’easters for coastal areas of New England
Preliminary stage and streamflow data at selected U.S. Geological Survey streamgages in New England for the floods of April 2019
Effects of climate, regulation, and urbanization on historical flood trends in the United States
Flood-inundation maps for the lower Pawcatuck River in Westerly, Rhode Island, and Stonington and North Stonington, Connecticut
Flood-inundation maps for the Pawtuxet River in West Warwick, Warwick, and Cranston, Rhode Island
Preliminary stage and streamflow data at selected U.S. Geological Survey streamgages in Maine and New Hampshire for the flood of October 30–31, 2017
Magnitude of flood flows for selected annual exceedance probabilities for streams in Massachusetts
Flood- and drought-related natural hazards activities of the U.S. Geological Survey in New England
Flood-inundation maps for the Hoosic River, North Adams and Williamstown, Massachusetts, from the confluence with the North Branch Hoosic River to the Vermont State line
Below are data or web applications associated with flood information.
WaterWatch (surface water)
Flood Inundation Mapper - New England
WaterWatch Toolkit
Flood Inundation Mapper
Below are FAQ associated with flood information.
Where can I find flood maps?
FEMA is the official public source for flood maps for insurance purposes: FEMA’s Flood Map Service Center FEMA’s National Flood Hazard Layer NOAA is responsible for producing flood forecast maps that combine precipitation data with USGS streamflow data: NWS - National Water Prediction Service: River forecasts and long range flood outlook Coastal Inundation Dashboard: Real-time and historical...
What are the two types of floods?
There are two basic types of floods: flash floods and the more widespread river floods. Flash floods generally cause greater loss of life and river floods generally cause greater loss of property. A flash flood occurs when runoff from excessive rainfall causes a rapid rise in the water height (stage) of a stream or normally-dry channel. Flash floods are more common in areas with a dry climate and...
What is a 1,000-year flood?
The term “1,000-year flood” means that, statistically speaking, a flood of that magnitude (or greater) has a 1 in 1,000 chance of occurring in any given year. In terms of probability, the 1,000-year flood has a 0.1% chance of happening in any given year. These statistical values are based on observed data.
How can a 1,000-year rainfall not result in a 1,000-year flood?
It comes down to a number of factors, including the pattern of movement of the rainstorm in each particular watershed, the conditions of the soil and plant matter in the watershed, and the timing of the rainstorm in one watershed versus other watersheds. For example, if the ground is already saturated before a rainstorm, much of the rain will run off into streams, but if the ground is dry, it will...
Why do the values for the 100-year flood seem to change with every flood?
The amount of water corresponding to a 100-year flood, a 500-year flood, or a 1,000-year flood is known as a "flood quantile". For instance, on a given river, the flood quantile corresponding to the 50-year flood might be 10,000 cubic feet per second (cfs) and the flood quantile corresponding to the 100-year flood might be 15,000 cfs. The estimates of the flood quantiles are calculated using...
We had a "100-year flood" two years in a row. How can that be?
The term "100-year flood" is used to describe the recurrence interval of floods. The 100-year recurrence interval means that a flood of that magnitude has a one percent chance of occurring in any given year. In other words, the chances that a river will flow as high as the 100-year flood stage this year is 1 in 100. Statistically, each year begins with the same 1-percent chance that a 100-year...
Does an increase in the 100-year flood estimate originate from climate or land-use change?
Climate variability (dry cycles to wet cycles) and land-use change play a significant role, but there is a large amount of uncertainty around the flood quantile estimates (the value of discharge corresponding to the 100-year flood), particularly if there isn’t a long record of observed data at a stream location. Learn more: The 100-Year Flood The 100-Year Flood--It's All About Chance
How are floods predicted?
Flood predictions require several types of data: The amount of rainfall occurring on a real-time basis. The rate of change in river stage on a real-time basis, which can help indicate the severity and immediacy of the threat. Knowledge about the type of storm producing the moisture, such as duration, intensity and areal extent, which can be valuable for determining possible severity of the...
How can I obtain river forecasts (flood forecasts)?
River forecasts (flood forecasts) are made by the National Weather Service - National Water Prediction Service. The overall map on the website uses color designations to give a quick overview of current conditions. A legend and other information can be selected in the right column. From the main map, click on a station to bring up a box which includes a graph showing current information and a...
Below are partners associated with flood information.
The USGS delivers continuous streamflow, stage (water-level), and tide data to help emergency managers and other decision makers protect life and property caused by floods and other water-related hazards.
The USGS New England Water Science Center maintains nearly 450 streamgages that collect data to determine the amount of water flowing in rivers and streams in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont. The Water Science Center also maintains about 15 tide gages along the coast of New England.
Nationwide, the USGS operates and maintains about 8,000 streamgages, which deliver near real-time data to the public.
Automatic alerts can be sent to mobile devices when streamflow of river or tide stage (water levels) reach user defined thresholds, such as a National Weather Service defined flood stage. These alerts help emergency managers and the public assess potentially hazardous conditions nearby a streamgage, stage-only gage, or tide gage.
USGS WaterAlert automatically sends email or SMS text messages when certain parameters at a USGS real-time data-collection station, exceed user-defined thresholds.
USGS Flood Information provides additional information about USGS flood science.
Current Flood Data for New England
- National Water Dashboard for New England
- WaterWatch Map of flood and high flow condition (select a State or Water-Resources Region)
- WaterWatch Map of flood and high flow conditions – New England
- USGS Project Alerts – Flood and Drought
- USGS Flood-Event Viewer (Data for Selected Current and Historic Floods – Coastal and Riverine)
- USGS Flood Inundation Mapper
- USGS Operational Total Water Level and Coastal Change Viewer
Current Streamflow, Stage, and Tide Data for New England
Flood Frequency Information
Visit USGS Floods and Recurrence Intervals for more information about floods and the annual exceedance probability (AEP).
New England Flood Frequency Studies
Flood Resources from Partner Agencies
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)
National Weather Service (NWS)
- NWS Northeast River Forecast Center
- NWS Current Precipitation Radar
- NWS Future Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (1-7 day totals)
- NOAA Office of Water Prediction – National Water Model
Northeast River Forecast Center (NERFC)
- NERFC Daily Hydrometeorological Briefing
- Recent NERFC Observed Precipitation Maps
- NERFC 5-Day Significant River Flood Outlook
- NERFC Future Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (72 Hours)
State Emergency Management
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
- U.S. Army Corps of Engineers – New England Reservoir Control Center
- U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Silver Jackets Program
Safety Related Resources
Below are resources associated with flood information.
USGS Flood Information
July 2023 Flood in Vermont
Rapid Deployment Gages (RDGs)
Surge, Wave, and Tide Hydrodynamics (SWaTH) Network
Historical Flooding
Flood Inundation Mapping (FIM) Program
Floods: Recurrence intervals and 100-year floods
The 100-Year Flood
Development of Flood Insurance Maps in New England
Northeast Region Flood Science Capability Team
Below are data or web applications associated with flood information.
Data and shapefiles used to document the floods associated with the January and March 2018 Nor'easters for Coastal Areas of New England (ver. 2.0, November 2021)
Below are multimedia items associated with flood information.
A slideshow of images from a flood event in northern New England in late December. Significant flooding occurred in Maine and New Hampshire from a combination of rainfall and snowmelt.
A slideshow of images from a flood event in northern New England in late December. Significant flooding occurred in Maine and New Hampshire from a combination of rainfall and snowmelt.
A hydrologic technician measures a high-water mark near the Androscoggin River in Topsham, Maine days after a significant flood event in late December 2023. A combination of heavy rainfall and snowmelt prompted the flooding.
A hydrologic technician measures a high-water mark near the Androscoggin River in Topsham, Maine days after a significant flood event in late December 2023. A combination of heavy rainfall and snowmelt prompted the flooding.
A hydrologic technician measures a high-water mark on a business in Anson, Maine after a significant flood event in late December 2023 flooded the Kennebec River.
A hydrologic technician measures a high-water mark on a business in Anson, Maine after a significant flood event in late December 2023 flooded the Kennebec River.
A heavy rainstorm, saturated ground, and pre-existing snowpack prompted flooding in Maine in late December 2023. USGS researchers manually measured streamflows after the flood event to validate real-time streamgage data.
A heavy rainstorm, saturated ground, and pre-existing snowpack prompted flooding in Maine in late December 2023. USGS researchers manually measured streamflows after the flood event to validate real-time streamgage data.
A hydrologic technician identifies a high-water mark at a gas station in Plymouth, New Hampshire following a flood event in late December 2023.
A hydrologic technician identifies a high-water mark at a gas station in Plymouth, New Hampshire following a flood event in late December 2023.
This USGS webcam footage shows the Kennebec River in Augusta, Maine, flooding after a large coastal storm hit much of the East Coast and battered New England with heavy rains and winds. USGS image.
This USGS webcam footage shows the Kennebec River in Augusta, Maine, flooding after a large coastal storm hit much of the East Coast and battered New England with heavy rains and winds. USGS image.
Photo taken in Hallowell, Maine on December 19, 2023, following a powerful rainstorm.
Photo taken in Hallowell, Maine on December 19, 2023, following a powerful rainstorm.
Piscataquis River in Maine during flood following a powerful rainstorm. Vicinity of the USGS streamgage 01031500, Piscataquis River near Dover-Foxcroft, Maine on December 19, 2023.
Piscataquis River in Maine during flood following a powerful rainstorm. Vicinity of the USGS streamgage 01031500, Piscataquis River near Dover-Foxcroft, Maine on December 19, 2023.
The streets of Hallowell, Maine, were flooded following heavy rains that hit New England and most of the East Coast, December 18, 2023. USGS photo by Glenn Hodgkins
The streets of Hallowell, Maine, were flooded following heavy rains that hit New England and most of the East Coast, December 18, 2023. USGS photo by Glenn Hodgkins
The Kennebec River flooded in downtown Augusta, Maine, after a heavy rainstorm. USGS streamgage 01049320 monitors the streamflow of this area
The Kennebec River flooded in downtown Augusta, Maine, after a heavy rainstorm. USGS streamgage 01049320 monitors the streamflow of this area
Flooding surrounds USGS streamgage 01029500 on the East Branch of the Penobscot River in Grindstone, Maine.
Flooding surrounds USGS streamgage 01029500 on the East Branch of the Penobscot River in Grindstone, Maine.
USGS Scientist makes a gage inspection during the rain event at Nepaug River near Nepaug, Connecticut - 01187800. The 1800 cubic feet per second (CFS) measured during the powerful rainstorm was the highest measurement on record to date, according to provisional data.
USGS Scientist makes a gage inspection during the rain event at Nepaug River near Nepaug, Connecticut - 01187800. The 1800 cubic feet per second (CFS) measured during the powerful rainstorm was the highest measurement on record to date, according to provisional data.
A look at the high waters and damage caused by a significant two-day rainfall event in New England in early July 2023. USGS researchers visited streamgages, manually captured discharge and river stage (or height), and canvassed for high-water marks in Vermont.
A look at the high waters and damage caused by a significant two-day rainfall event in New England in early July 2023. USGS researchers visited streamgages, manually captured discharge and river stage (or height), and canvassed for high-water marks in Vermont.
Heavy flooding, caused by two-day rainstorm in July 2023, transported boulders down a hillside to cover a resident's car and move their hot tub.
Heavy flooding, caused by two-day rainstorm in July 2023, transported boulders down a hillside to cover a resident's car and move their hot tub.
A hydrologic technician points to a high-water mark on the building of Weston Town Offices days after a significant flood event, which damaged the adjacent road.
A hydrologic technician points to a high-water mark on the building of Weston Town Offices days after a significant flood event, which damaged the adjacent road.
The Cobble Ridge Road Bridge in Londonderry, Vermont, along the West River was badly damaged during significant flooding precipitated by a heavy rainfall event.
The Cobble Ridge Road Bridge in Londonderry, Vermont, along the West River was badly damaged during significant flooding precipitated by a heavy rainfall event.
Sam Banas and Dale Tom located a debris high-water mark line in a field in Woodstock, Vermont. This physical evidence of flood water distance took place in the days following a heavy rainfall event that caused significant flooding.
Sam Banas and Dale Tom located a debris high-water mark line in a field in Woodstock, Vermont. This physical evidence of flood water distance took place in the days following a heavy rainfall event that caused significant flooding.
A high-water mark tag nailed to a tree trunk with visible debris. The debris that adheres to the tree is the physical evidence of how high the flood waters rose during the flood event; when the waters recede, the debris transported by the flood waters that was floating on the top of the water sticks to the tree.
A high-water mark tag nailed to a tree trunk with visible debris. The debris that adheres to the tree is the physical evidence of how high the flood waters rose during the flood event; when the waters recede, the debris transported by the flood waters that was floating on the top of the water sticks to the tree.
A high-water mark tag nailed to a tree in Vermont days after a flood-event in July 2023.
A high-water mark tag nailed to a tree in Vermont days after a flood-event in July 2023.
USGS hydrologic technician pointing to a high-water disk on the house porch in Woodstock, Vermont after the historical flood in July 2023.
USGS hydrologic technician pointing to a high-water disk on the house porch in Woodstock, Vermont after the historical flood in July 2023.
Below are publications associated with flood information.
Documentation and mapping of flooding from the January and March 2018 nor’easters in coastal New England
Estimating flood magnitude and frequency on gaged and ungaged streams in Maine
Estimating flood magnitude and frequency on streams and rivers in Connecticut, based on data through water year 2015
Total water level data from the January and March 2018 nor’easters for coastal areas of New England
Preliminary stage and streamflow data at selected U.S. Geological Survey streamgages in New England for the floods of April 2019
Effects of climate, regulation, and urbanization on historical flood trends in the United States
Flood-inundation maps for the lower Pawcatuck River in Westerly, Rhode Island, and Stonington and North Stonington, Connecticut
Flood-inundation maps for the Pawtuxet River in West Warwick, Warwick, and Cranston, Rhode Island
Preliminary stage and streamflow data at selected U.S. Geological Survey streamgages in Maine and New Hampshire for the flood of October 30–31, 2017
Magnitude of flood flows for selected annual exceedance probabilities for streams in Massachusetts
Flood- and drought-related natural hazards activities of the U.S. Geological Survey in New England
Flood-inundation maps for the Hoosic River, North Adams and Williamstown, Massachusetts, from the confluence with the North Branch Hoosic River to the Vermont State line
Below are data or web applications associated with flood information.
WaterWatch (surface water)
Flood Inundation Mapper - New England
WaterWatch Toolkit
Flood Inundation Mapper
Below are FAQ associated with flood information.
Where can I find flood maps?
FEMA is the official public source for flood maps for insurance purposes: FEMA’s Flood Map Service Center FEMA’s National Flood Hazard Layer NOAA is responsible for producing flood forecast maps that combine precipitation data with USGS streamflow data: NWS - National Water Prediction Service: River forecasts and long range flood outlook Coastal Inundation Dashboard: Real-time and historical...
What are the two types of floods?
There are two basic types of floods: flash floods and the more widespread river floods. Flash floods generally cause greater loss of life and river floods generally cause greater loss of property. A flash flood occurs when runoff from excessive rainfall causes a rapid rise in the water height (stage) of a stream or normally-dry channel. Flash floods are more common in areas with a dry climate and...
What is a 1,000-year flood?
The term “1,000-year flood” means that, statistically speaking, a flood of that magnitude (or greater) has a 1 in 1,000 chance of occurring in any given year. In terms of probability, the 1,000-year flood has a 0.1% chance of happening in any given year. These statistical values are based on observed data.
How can a 1,000-year rainfall not result in a 1,000-year flood?
It comes down to a number of factors, including the pattern of movement of the rainstorm in each particular watershed, the conditions of the soil and plant matter in the watershed, and the timing of the rainstorm in one watershed versus other watersheds. For example, if the ground is already saturated before a rainstorm, much of the rain will run off into streams, but if the ground is dry, it will...
Why do the values for the 100-year flood seem to change with every flood?
The amount of water corresponding to a 100-year flood, a 500-year flood, or a 1,000-year flood is known as a "flood quantile". For instance, on a given river, the flood quantile corresponding to the 50-year flood might be 10,000 cubic feet per second (cfs) and the flood quantile corresponding to the 100-year flood might be 15,000 cfs. The estimates of the flood quantiles are calculated using...
We had a "100-year flood" two years in a row. How can that be?
The term "100-year flood" is used to describe the recurrence interval of floods. The 100-year recurrence interval means that a flood of that magnitude has a one percent chance of occurring in any given year. In other words, the chances that a river will flow as high as the 100-year flood stage this year is 1 in 100. Statistically, each year begins with the same 1-percent chance that a 100-year...
Does an increase in the 100-year flood estimate originate from climate or land-use change?
Climate variability (dry cycles to wet cycles) and land-use change play a significant role, but there is a large amount of uncertainty around the flood quantile estimates (the value of discharge corresponding to the 100-year flood), particularly if there isn’t a long record of observed data at a stream location. Learn more: The 100-Year Flood The 100-Year Flood--It's All About Chance
How are floods predicted?
Flood predictions require several types of data: The amount of rainfall occurring on a real-time basis. The rate of change in river stage on a real-time basis, which can help indicate the severity and immediacy of the threat. Knowledge about the type of storm producing the moisture, such as duration, intensity and areal extent, which can be valuable for determining possible severity of the...
How can I obtain river forecasts (flood forecasts)?
River forecasts (flood forecasts) are made by the National Weather Service - National Water Prediction Service. The overall map on the website uses color designations to give a quick overview of current conditions. A legend and other information can be selected in the right column. From the main map, click on a station to bring up a box which includes a graph showing current information and a...
Below are partners associated with flood information.