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Landslide Hazards Seminar

The USGS Landslide Hazards Seminar is a speaker series that brings together landslide researchers, academics, students, applied scientists, and others to share their work in a long format. Topics range from deep dives into numerical models to broad overviews of landslide hazards of a state. The 50-minute presentations are presented live on regular Wednesdays at 2:00 PM Mountain Time. 

2025 SEMINAR RECORDINGS

 

September 24, 2025 - Marisa C. Palucis, Dartmouth College
Landslide and debris flow response to past and present climate change in the Canadian Arctics
Media
text on slight with hillslope in background

Arctic landscapes are among the most vulnerable on Earth to climate change, largely due to the rapid degradation of permafrost. In steeper bedrock-dominated terrains, warming permafrost can lead to increased sediment production via mass wasting events and amplify the delivery of sediment to channels and lakes. However, there is a fundamental lack of data on current rates of sediment production and transport in Arctic watersheds, especially those still responding to post-glacial perturbations, making it impossible to predict the responses and rates of sediment transport processes under future climate change. In this talk, I will present findings from a field-based study of the Black Mountain catchment in the Aklavik Range (Canada). This site was chosen due to the presence of an alluvial fan that post-dates the retreat of the Laurentide Ice Sheet (LIS), providing a closed system where we can consider how both paraglacial and periglacial mass flow processes have influenced physical weathering and transport rates through time.

 
September 17, 2025 - Jacob Woodard, U.S. Geological Survey
Tools for more reliable regional landslide risk reduction products

 

Media
Map of the continental US with multiple colors showing landslide susceptibility

Regional-scale (>500 km2) landslide risk reduction models often suffer from their reliance on difficult-to-obtain data, such as inventories of past landslide locations or geomechanical properties of the hillslopes. However, over regional scales, these data are often sparse, inconsistent, and nonrepresentative, which can lead to biased model outputs. In this talk, I will present two recent studies that help overcome these challenges. First, I will share a method of assessing shallow landslide susceptibility based on a morphometric analysis of the landscape’s topography. Despite having no knowledge of past landslide locations, the morphometric approach can better characterize landslide potential over contrasting data-driven models that are generally used for assessing regional-scale landslide susceptibility. Second, I will present a Bayesian statistical comparison of common metrics used to predict rainfall-triggered landsliding across disparate regions of the United States. I will show that parsimonious leaky-bucket models, whose only inputs are a drainage constant and estimates of precipitation, can better distinguish landslide-triggering rainfall from non-landslide-triggering rainfall compared to traditional rainfall metrics or more complex models. The leaky-bucket model had the best performance across vastly different environments within the United States, suggesting that it may be used universally to enhance regional-scale landslide risk reduction efforts.

 
August 27, 2025 - Josh Roering, University of Oregon
Bedrock ledges, colluvial wedges, and ridgetop water towers: Characterizing the 2023 Wrangell landslide to inform landslide assessment in Southeast Alaska, USA
Media
steep slope covered with rocks and trees with water in background

In the past decade, several fatal landslides have impacted Southeast Alaska, highlighting the need to advance our understanding of regional geomorphic and atmospheric controls on triggering events and runout behavior. A large and long runout landslide on Wrangell Island, with area in the top 0.5% of >14,760 slides mapped in the Tongass National Forest, initiated during an atmospheric river event in November 2023 and traveled >1 km downslope, causing six fatalities. We used field observations, sequential airborne lidar, geotechnical analyses, and climate data to characterize the geomorphic, hydrologic, and atmospheric conditions contributing to the landslide. Rainfall intensities recorded at the Wrangell airport were modest (~1-yr recurrence interval), but rapid snowmelt and drainage from a ridgetop wetland may have contributed to rapid saturation of the landslide. Although strong winds were recorded, we did not observe extensive windthrow, which may downgrade its contribution to slope failure. The landslide mobilized a steep, thick (>4 m) wedge of colluvium that accumulated below a resistant bedrock ledge and entrained additional colluvial deposits as it traveled downslope across cliff-bench topography. The substantial entrainment resulted in an unusually large width, extensive runout, and low depositional slope as the landslide terminated in the coastal environment. Our results suggest that the sequencing of rain- and snow-dominated storms, geologic controls on post-glacial colluvium production and accumulation, and ridgetop hydrology contributed to landslide initiation and mobility. Advances in post-glacial landscape evolution models, frequent lidar acquisition, and additional climate data are needed to inform regional landslide hazard assessment.

 
August 13, 2025 - Adam Booth, Portland State University
Permafrost and structural controls on Holocene bedrock landslide occurrence around Eyjafjörður, north-central Iceland
Media
mountain peaks with lake in foreground

As glaciers recede and expose mountain slopes that were previously covered by ice, dramatic changes in the forces acting on those slopes occur. Those changing forces can trigger large bedrock landslides, which are potentially hazardous to humans and also play a role in sculpting landscapes over longer geologic time scales. Although changing conditions and their connection to landslides can be monitored in real-time at some locations, it is challenging to determine the mechanisms responsible for generating prehistoric landslides. In this study, we mapped and analyzed 676 landslides in north-central Iceland that occurred after the Icelandic Ice Sheet retreated and exposed the underlying land surface beginning about 13,000 years ago. Landslides did not occur randomly across the landscape; they instead clustered near zones of weaker rocks and near the margins of high elevation permafrost zones. In addition, about 90% of the landslides likely occurred several thousand years after the ice sheet retreated, during a time in which permafrost was rapidly degrading under warmer temperatures. These results imply that thawing permafrost was an important trigger of large landslides in the past and may become an important trigger again as ongoing warming and permafrost degradation in Iceland continues

 
July 30, 2025 - Arthur Merschat, U.S. Geological Survey
Field observations of landslides from Hurricane Helene in the Blue Ridge of northwestern North Carolina and northeastern Tennessee
Media
hillslope covered in rocks mud and downed trees

Hurricane Helene devastated western North Carolina and parts of surrounding Tennessee and Virginia. A stalled front over the Blue Ridge prior to landfall of the hurricane resulted in cumulative rainfall totals of 20–30 inches from Sept. 25–27, 2024. This triggered numerous landslides and devastating flooding, and has changed the landscape of the Blue Ridge and mountain communities. This mapping and assessment of the landslides was conducted as part of the USGS Landslide Assessments, Situational Awareness and Event Response Research (LASER) and in cooperation with the North Carolina Geological Survey Landslide Hazard Program. Mapping efforts focused on the northernmost area heavily impacted from the storm: parts of Watauga, Avery, and Ashe County, NC, and parts of Johnson County, TN. Initial observational descriptions of the landslides are presented. Landslides mapped are separated into three type occurrences, hyperconcentrated earth flows, debris flows, and modified slope failures. Earth flows occurred on steep grassed slopes and consisted of soil with a mixture of vegetated clumps, saprolite, and rock. The landslide tracks were 10–338 m long, and scarp widths of 10–30 m that often cut down 1–2 m to bedrock. Earth flows often occurred in clusters, and some merged down slope. Debris flows had longer tracks, 96–1085 m, and consisted of a mixture of soil, rock, trees, vegetation, and other debris. Head scarps were 10–114 m wide and cut down through 1–3 m of colluvium to bedrock. Bedrock structures controlling the failures included joints, fractures, and foliation. Seven debris flows on Howards Creek initiated on steep slopes with aspect and slope close to the orientation of the foliation in bedrock (330/20–40° NE). Modified slope failures included landslides that initiated on road cuts, road embankments, steep cut slopes, and other slopes modified by construction (e.g., failed drainages or septic fields). Although the slope modification was important to initiate these slides, some localized along preexisting bedrock (saprolite) structures. Collectively, the impact of landslides from Hurricane Helene highlights the importance of basic geologic mapping and landslide assessment to build robust datasets to better understand and model the occurrence of landslides and strengthen our planning and rebuilding of mountain communities.

 
July 16, 2025 - Will Struble, University of Houston
Debris-flow dominated landscapes: morphologic proxies for long-term uplift and erosion rates? 
Media
steep hillslopes with sparse vegetation

Fluvial channel steepness and hilltop curvature are commonly used as proxies for erosion rate in equilibrium landscapes, but they become less reliable in rocky steeplands dominated by debris flows. We explore an alternative metric—Adf, the drainage area at which valleys transition from slope-invariant to fluvial power-law slope-area scaling—and show that it correlates with erosion rates in several regions. Combining field data with a landform evolution model, we demonstrate that Adf provides insight into where debris-flow processes dominate, and we constrain a physically meaningful debris-flow incision law that offers new insight into how steep landscapes evolve under varying climatic and tectonic conditions. 

 
June 25, 2025 - Noah Finnegan, University of California, Santa Cruz
Insights into the frictional rheology and hydrology of a rock slope instability from in-situ monitoring near Columbia Glacier, Prince William Sound, Alaska
Media
Photo of Columbia Glacier. Habitat for Kittlitz’s Murrelets.

Since 2023 we have instrumented a large, creeping bedrock landslide near the calving face of Columbia glacier in Prince William Sound, Alaska.  With an eye towards better mitigating the hazards associated with large rock slope instabilities in coastal Alaska, I will highlight some of what we have learned about the mechanical and hydrological behavior of this landslide from our instrumentation

 
 
 
June 11, 2025 - Hunter Jimenez, University of Washington
Probabilistic Landslide Hazard Assessment of the 2023 Türkiye–Syria Earthquake and Subsequent Atmospheric River
Media
buildings below a mountainside that have been partially buried by mud

On February 6, 2023, a Mw 7.8 and Mw 7.5 earthquake doublet struck along the East Anatolian Fault Zone in Türkiye, triggering over 3,600 coseismic landslides. Roughly a month later, a rare atmospheric river event delivered up to 183 mm of rainfall in just 20 hours to the earthquake impacted region. This extreme precipitation induced additional landslides, debris flows, and flooding.

In our research, we conduct a probabilistic landslide hazard assessment using the open-source Landlab earth surface modeling library, integrating both seismic and climatic drivers. The model incorporates earthquake legacy effects, representing post-seismic slope weakening, and simulates shallow landslide susceptibility using a Monte Carlo implementation of the infinite slope stability theorem informed by remote sensing datasets.

I will present three key analyses: (1) modeling hydrologic response to the AR event and mapping landslide probability with and without earthquake legacy effects; (2) examining how the sequence and combination of extreme events alter landslide hazard; and (3) demonstrating how using historic climate data can effectively replicate post-seismic landslide hazard maps that use real-time data, offering an approach for seasonal hazard forecasting in tectonically active and climate-sensitive regions.

 
May 28, 2025 - Jean Dixon, Montana State University
Landslides at the Northern Edge of Yellowstone -- Where, When, and Why?
Media
mountains in background and grassy, bumpy hillslope in foreground
 
May 21, 2025 - Dual presentation
Francis Rengers, U.S. Geological Survey
Debris Flow Deposition: Where and Why?
Media
A pile of trees and mud near a destroyed house

Creating an accurate appraisal of debris flow hazards in burned areas is dependent upon correctly predicting the total volume of sediment that will be transported in potential debris flows. This study focuses on a post-wildfire debris flow in the Black Hollow watershed (17 km2), which burned in the 2020 Cameron Peak wildfire. The debris flow on 20 July 2021 resulted in four fatalities and a large fish kill that wiped out the trout population for 100 km downstream in the Cache La Poudre River. We examined the in-channel sediment dynamics using airborne lidar data collected in August/September 2020 and again in August 2021. Field and lidar data suggest that the vast majority of sediment was supplied from in-channel erosion; however, local patches of hillslope showed signs of extensive rilling. In addition, the lidar-derived channel elevation difference reveals zones of alternating erosion and deposition, such that the net sediment volume reaching the watershed outlet was a fraction of the total volume that was eroded and internally deposited. We identified two primary mechanisms controlling transitions between erosion and deposition in the channel: channel widening and large wood jams. Moreover, field observations combined with lidar differencing suggest that the debris flow discharge downstream may have been amplified by a temporary wooden dam that formed and subsequently broke during the rainstorm. This case study contributes to the larger goal of more accurately predicting the volume of sediment that can be expected at the outlet of burned watersheds by accounting for potential in-channel storage mechanisms.

 
Georgie Bennett, University of Exeter
Landslide-channel feedbacks amplify channel widening during floods

Channel widening is a major hazard during floods, particularly in confined mountainous catchments. However, channel widening during floods is not well understood and not always explained by hydraulic variables alone. Floods in mountainous regions often coincide with landslides triggered by heavy rainfall, yet landslide-channel interactions during a flood event are not well known or documented. Here we demonstrate with an example from the Great Colorado Flood in 2013, a 1000 year precipitation event, how landslide-channel feedbacks can substantially amplify channel widening and flood risk. We use a combination of DEM differencing, field analysis, and multiphase flow modeling to document landslide-channel interaction during the flood event in which sediment delivered by landslides temporarily dammed the channel before failing and generating substantial channel widening. We propose that such landslide-flood interactions will become increasingly important to account for in flood hazard assessment as flooding and landsliding both increase with extreme rainfall under climate change.

Bennett, G.L., Panici, D., Rengers, F.K. et al. Landslide-channel feedbacks amplify channel widening during floods. npj Nat. Hazards 2, 7 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-025-00059-6

 
May 14, 2025, Philip Prince, Appalachian Landslide Consultants
Melting mountainsides: The debris flows and "blowouts" of Hurricane Helene
Media
person stands on a hillslope covered with mud and rocks

Extreme rainfall (up to ~75 cm) prior to and during the passage of Hurricane Helene’s remnants generated catastrophic landslide activity in the rough topography of the southern Appalachian Blue Ridge. Due to saturated hillslope conditions, debris flow and “blowout” (flow-slide) landslides predominated during this extreme precipitation event, with substantial loss of life and property damage resulting from slide material entering populated areas. Both debris flows and blowouts mobilized colluvium stored on slopes, with debris flows transporting substantial volumes of colluvial soil well downslope and into the drainage network. Non- or minimally-erosive “blowout” slides, though less volumetrically significant, were observed to be highly mobile and potentially hazardous despite mobilizing less colluvial soil over shorter distances. Debris flows and blowouts initiated on both natural and modified slopes, with embankment failures representing a significant source of debris flow initiation during the event. Field work by Appalachian Landslide Consultants personnel has provided additional understanding of details of debris flow and blowout initiation and downslope movement, including potential influences of bedrock lithology and structure and associated soil type on initiation and mobility of fluidized slides. Comparison of detailed post-event aerial photography to pre-existing LiDAR imagery offers further insight into the hillslope settings of debris flow and blowout initiation. These data will generate useful inputs for ongoing modeling efforts to support regional preparedness, with debris flow (or blowout) runout modeling representing a particularly important direction of study necessary to mitigating impacts of future events.

 
April 30, 2025, Jennifer Bauer, Appalachian Landslide Consultants
Landslide Maps as a Life-Saving Tool - using Helene-triggered landslides to increase understanding and awareness
Media
person standing on mud and rocks looking downslope

On September 26-27, 2024, a Predecessor Rainfall Event, followed by the remnants of Hurricane Helene, passed over the southern Appalachians. Heavy rainfall was concentrated along the high peaks of the Blue Ridge Escarpment and other high-elevation ranges in western North Carolina (WNC). After the storm passed and communications began to be reestablished, geologists with Appalachian Landslide Consultants, PLLC (ALC) began responding to requests for landslide evaluations in WNC. Through these requests from the NC Geological Survey, county Emergency Management, the NC Department of Transportation, as well as private individuals, geologists began to collect empirical observations from the dozens of slope movements visited. The majority of these are classified as debris flows, debris blowouts, or debris or weathered rock slides. These features occur on non-constructed slopes, as well as on constructed cut or fill embankment slopes. Surface and groundwater played a large role in their initiation, as observed by surface overwash and erosion patterns as well as groundwater “macropore” features. Several of these features occurred where landslides have happened in the past, once again reminding us that past events may inform where future events may occur. Many occurred within modeled landslide susceptibility areas.

 
April 23, 2025, Lauren Schaefer and Ben Mirus, U.S. Geological Survey
Widespread landslides across southern Appalachia following Hurricane Helene: emergency response, initial observations, and historical context
Media
An aerial photo of green mountains with a landslide cutting through the trees. A red plane wing can also be seen.

Between the 23rd–27th of September 2024, antecedent rain followed by Hurricane Helene produced widespread flooding and landsliding across southern Appalachia, resulting in one of the most damaging weather events in the region’s history. The back-to-back storms produced observed rainfall accumulations of up to 848 mm and hurricane-force winds gusting over 200 kilometers per hour in western North Carolina, eastern Tennessee, and southwestern Virginia. The resulting regional flooding, landslides, and tree blowdown caused over 100 fatalities, damaged or destroyed critical infrastructure and thousands of structures, and severed connectivity across the region. Together with state, federal, and local partners, the U.S. Geological Survey activated their landslide emergency response team to coordinate rapid remote, aerial, and field mapping of landslides and impacts, hazard modeling and assessments, daily situational reports, and development of educational and outreach materials. These efforts provided timely information to aid emergency response, and initial observations highlight strong aspect and topographic controls as well as the importance of total rainfall accumulation on landslide initiation. Subsequent post-event investigations suggest that further research is needed to understand spatial clustering of landslide initiation, controls on landslide and debris flow runout, discrepancies between preliminary mapping and hazard models, and how to more effectively inform at-risk populations about potential landslide impacts.

 
April 16, 2025, Sean LaHusen, U.S. Geological Survey
Geologic Controls on Deep-Seated Landslides
Media
Side view of a rocky peak partially covered in snow

The frequency and scale of landslides in a region are determined by both external forcing and inherent, site-specific susceptibility. During potential triggering events like earthquakes, prolonged periods of elevated pore water pressure, or slope debuttressing, the geotechnical properties of the bedrock ultimately govern whether a hillslope fails as a deep-seated landslide and influence the landslide failure style and kinematics. Although mapped geology is regularly used as a predictor variable for landslide susceptibility models, it is often insufficient in characterizing the nuanced ways in which lithology, stratigraphy, and discontinuities interact to determine how slopes fail in landscapes underlain by heterogenous, fractured bedrock. Using case studies in the Pacific Northwest U.S. and Alaska, I hope to demonstrate that by incorporating more detailed geologic information into regional landslide assessments, we can develop a more complete understanding of the controls on landslide volume, location, and failure style.

 
April 9, 2025, Guo Yu, Desert Research Institute
Wildfire Continuum Flood Frequency Analysis
Media
Steep hillslope with rills with sparse burned trees as the only visible remnants of vegetation

Moderate- to high-severity wildfire can abruptly alter watershed properties, which intensifies extreme hydrologic responses such as debris flow and flooding. Understanding the frequency and severity of such compound wildfire-flood hazards is of growing importance, particularly in wildfire-prone regions. However, standard statistical flood frequency analysis approaches are ill-suited to examining this issue because wildfire-affected peak flow observations are limited in number and violate the assumption of independent and identically distributed events. In this study, we propose a process-based framework to derive flood frequency that accounts for the range of possible flood responses to a continuum of watershed conditions, from the pre-wildfire conditions to the perturbed state immediately after a wildfire to the post-wildfire recovery conditions

 
March 26, 2025, Carie-Ann Hancock, BGC Engineering
Contributing factors for landslides triggered by the November 2021 atmospheric river in British Columbia, Canada
Media
aerial view of muddy braided river surrounded by tree-covered hillslopes

More than a thousand geohazards were triggered by the mid-November 2021 atmospheric river in southern BC, Canada. We examined the contributing role of forest disturbances from wildfires, logging, and resource roads on the location of landslides. Geohazards occurred more frequently in burned areas and along forest harvesting resource roads, providing point sources of sediment that entered mainstem rivers. Geohazard mapping and lidar change detection revealed that bank erosion and lateral instability often occurred downstream of these mapped sediment sources.

 
March 19, 2025, Sergio Sepúlveda, Simon Fraser University
 Understanding large rock slides in deglaciated valleys in the Central and Patagonian Andes 
Media
snowcapped mountain peak surrounded by tree-covered hillslopes

The effects of deglaciation on the slope stability of glacial valleys have increasing importance in the context of climate change, with a role on the susceptibility to large-volume rock slides or rock avalanches and catastrophic cascading geohazards. In this talk, we review case studies in the Central and Patagonian Andes of Chile, including two fatal historic events (Parraguirre 1987 and Santa Lucia 2017), and other older and active landslides in which the effects of deglaciation are proposed to be major control in the instability of the rock slopes. This work uses 2D and 3D geotechnical numerical modeling approaches, combined with remote sensing and structural analyses, to improve understanding of how stress state changes linked to deglaciation induce rock damage and progressive failure mechanisms, in combination with lithological or structural controls and climatic triggers. The results provide meaningful information towards a better understanding of the behavior of rock slopes under paraglacial conditions, which are of critical importance for the design of monitoring and detection tools for geohazard assessment strategies in remote, high-mountain areas along the Andean range and other Cordilleran settings.

 
March 12, 2025, Paul Morgan, The University of Washington, Seattle
The damability function: A probabilistic approach to regional landslide dam susceptibility analysis applied to the Oregon Coast Range, USA
Media
photo of a river with text

Landslides can dam rivers and require rapid response to mitigate catastrophic outburst floods. In this talk I will describe what landslide dams are including a few recent examples, and present a workflow to map landslide dam formation susceptibility at a regional scale. We define a probabilistic function that combines river valley width and landslide volume to efficiently determine the likelihood of a landslide dam or ‘damability’. We combine damability values with landslide susceptibility to find landslide dam susceptibility. We verify and apply our approach to the Oregon Coast Range, USA and find high susceptibility in river headwaters and generally steeper terrain, which in this case correlates with more resistant lithologies. We also estimate volumes of the potential dammed lakes and find that most rivers with high dam susceptibility are less likely to impound large lakes, because they have low drainage areas. However, widespread susceptibility, and the critical potential impacts from exceptionally large landslides, suggest this hazard should be considered in the Pacific Northwest. The damability function workflow can readily ingest new data and can be applied more broadly to assess future landslide dam hazards.

 
February 19, 2025, Yuankun Xu, University of California, Berkeley
Remote sensing and hydromechanical characterization of landslides
Media
section of grassy hillslope removed and road blocked by large landslide

Yuankun Xu presents his research on landslides, focusing on how surface processes can be better understood using a combination of remote sensing, GPS, field instrumentation, and numerical modeling. His talk emphasizes the importance of integrating multiple methods to analyze landslide mechanics and hydrology, with specific case studies to demonstrate how surface movements correlate with subsurface hydromechanical processes.

 
 
February 12, 2025, Liam Toney, U.S. Geological Survey
Seismic and atmospheric acoustic waves reveal the dynamics of a large rock–ice avalanche in Denali National Park
Media
graphs and simulation image

In September 2023, a large rock–ice avalanche occurred in Denali National Park at Peters Dome, just 12 km from the summit of Denali. This landslide was well-recorded by Alaska’s robust geophysical sensor network, and it was reconnoitered by park staff on a fixed-wing flight the following day. In this talk, I’ll introduce seismology and infrasound (low-frequency atmospheric acoustics) as landslide monitoring tools. I’ll present the well-constrained Denali event as a showcase for the variety and quality of information we can rapidly and remotely obtain from these wiggles. I’ll conclude with some discussion of how seismology and infrasound might further contribute to future rapid landslide responses and ongoing monitoring efforts.

 
January 29, 2025, Jan Blahůt , Czech Academy of Sciences
When Rocks Heat Up: The Impact of Temperature on Rock Properties
Media
rocks on the shoreline with mountains visible in the background

This presentation discusses how temperature changes affect the properties of rocks and what that means for slope stability. It specifically looks at how wildfires in Czechia have altered rock properties. Additionally, it includes findings from research in Yosemite that investigates effects in a much cooler temperature range.

 
 
 
 
 
January 15, 2025, Colleen Murphy, U.S. Geological Survey
Impacts of increasing precipitation variability on landslide triggering in the San Francisco Bay Area (California, USA) due to climate change
Media
vista of vegetation covered hillslopes

Generation of sufficient soil pore-water pressure to trigger failure of rainfall-induced landslides depends on the combination of antecedent soil moisture and the intensity and duration of infiltrating rainfall during the triggering storm. Precipitation extremes and volatility are both projected to intensify in the future due to climate change, particularly in California (USA), which already experiences considerable interannual variability relative to the rest of the country as well as distinct seasonality. The effects of these changes on rainfall-induced landslides are not straightforward. Nominally, increasing precipitation intensities lead to more landslides, however above a certain threshold the efficacy will decrease as precipitation gets diverted from infiltration to runoff due to infiltration excess. Additionally, antecedent soil moisture conditions are likely to be affected by rising temperatures and changes in the timing and sequencing of storms relative to present. Here we explore the potential effects of these changes on landslide activity in the San Francisco Bay area using an ensemble of downscaled climate projections coupled to a 1-D hydrological model of transient, variably saturated flow in a 2-layer system. We first calibrate the model to site-specific groundwater observations and identify landslide days based on empirical hydrological thresholds. We then apply the model chain to historical and future (1950-2100) climate projections to assess changes in the characteristics and frequency of landslide triggering conditions due to the interplay of intensifying precipitation, rising temperatures, and changes in the frequency and timing of precipitation events. For shallow landslides, we project an increase in the frequency of both extreme landslide years and years with no landslide days at all, as well as a small increase the average annual number of landslide days overall.

 

2024 SEMINAR RECORDINGS

 

November 20, 2024, Maryn Sanders, University of Oregon, and David Sousa, Oregon State University
Controls on post-fire debris flows in Oregon
Media
a pile of large boulders and tree parts up against a guardrail next to a road

Wildfire often amplifies the likelihood and magnitude of debris flows in steep terrain. In arid climates (e.g. US Mountain West and Southwest), post-fire debris flows typically occur during the first rains following fire, suggesting that rainfall-driven erosion is a strong control on in-channel preconditioning and triggering of these hazards. However, in the humid and forested steeplands of the Pacific Northwest, there is an apparent lag between cessation of burning and debris flow occurrence that suggests controls differ from drier climates. Preliminary results suggest that post-fire debris flows in Western Oregon are associated with the delayed triggering of shallow landslides and in-channel bed failures years after burning. David and Maryn are working to evaluate the spatiotemporal controls on post-fire debris-flow initiation and their impact on transportation infrastructure. Their respective research focuses on the physical characterization of root strength following wildfire and quantification of fire-related debris flow erosion relative to the long-term evolution of the Columbia River Gorge, OR.

 

November 13, 2024, Jonathan King, U.S. Geological Survey
Building an operational framework for postfire debris-flow hazard assessments
Media
Multi color polygons overlying map of topography

Recently burned landscapes are often at elevated risk for debris-flows. To address this, the USGS releases over 50 postfire debris-flow hazard assessments each year, and these assessments are used by stakeholders, emergency managers, and the public to inform postfire response. In this talk, we will discuss recent efforts to modernize the operational framework for producing these assessments. Previously, the USGS relied on a collection of research codes, but these were not open source, were prone to breaking, and struggled to handle assessments for large fires. In the last year, we have converted these research codes to a collection of open-source software tools designed for a variety of users and use cases. These include the “pfdf” Python library, the “wildcat” assessment tool, and the USGS’s in-house operational codebase. We’ll provide a brief introduction to each of these tools, and then discuss future planned developments for the operational framework.

 

October 9, 2024, Chuxuan Li, UCLA
Use of WRF-Hydro to identify landslide-susceptible areas at regional scales
Media
Photo of a hillside with a large amount of landmass sliding down the hill, right next to a town with buildings.

Landslide-triggering weather systems often operate on expansive spatial scales, causing widespread landsliding activity. Diverse landslide-conditioning factors, such as wildfires, antecedent soil moisture, and snowpack, within these weather systems' extensive footprints, along with complex dynamic interactions, make regional landslide susceptibility prediction increasingly challenging and in need of multidisciplinary approaches. Here, I argue that regional hydrometeorology, which integrates atmospheric, hydrologic, and geomorphic processes, is key to advancing large-scale landslide susceptibility prediction. This presentation introduces a methodological framework for identifying landslide-prone areas at regional scales using physics-based hydrological simulations from WRF-Hydro. It begins by demonstrating WRF-Hydro's ability to simulate landslide-relevant variables, such as soil moisture and streamflow, over a regional domain in California. Next, it presents a case study on numerous postfire debris flows triggered by an atmospheric river along the central Californian coast. Lastly, a case study on widespread landsliding activity caused by the parade of nine atmospheric rivers during the 2022-2023 winter season in California will be presented.

 

September 18, 2024,  Bill Burns, Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industry
Using multitemporal lidar to better understand landslide and debris-flow hazards in western Oregon
Media
Text and shaded relief map with colors showing zones of erosion and deposition in stream channels

In 2017, the Eagle Creek fire scorched the western portion of the Oregon side of the Columbia Rive Gorge (CRG). In 2021 and 2022 atmospheric river type storms triggered many post-fire debris flows. The purpose of this research/paper is to evaluate pre- and post-2017 Eagle Creek Fire debris flows in the WCRG (western Columbia River Gorge) study area using multi-temporal bare earth lidar digital elevation model. To understand the difference between pre-fire debris flows and post-fire debris flows in the WCRG, multiple sources of data were collected and analyzed. The primary data sets were field data collected after storms, orthophotos, and the multitemporal lidar data sets used to map the debris flows.

 

August 21, 2024, Jonathan Perkins, U.S. Geological Survey
Characterizing the scale of regional landslide triggering in California from storm hydrometeorology
Media
A hillside showing landslides with debris from one landslide impacting a house at the bottom of the slope.

Landslides are a global issue that results in deaths and economic losses annually. However, it is not clear how storm severity relates to landslide severity across large regions. Here we develop a method to estimate the footprint of landslide area and compare this to meteorologic estimates of storm severity. We find that total storm strength does not clearly relate to landslide area. Rather, landslide area depends on soil wetness and smaller storm structures that can produce intense rainfall.

 

August 14, 2024, Philip Prince, Appalachian Landslide Consultants
Blockslides, summit grabens, and collapsing highwalls of the Appalachian Valley and Ridge: Using lidar-derived imagery to reevaluate a thoroughly studied landscape
Media
Areal hillshade image of a hillside with lobe-shaped landslide deposits

In the mid-1980s, Art Schultz (USGS, ret.) drew on experiences in the Colorado Front Range to identify numerous large, stratigraphically intact, kilometer-scale bedrock landslides on interbedded sandstone-shale dip slopes in the Virginia Valley and Ridge. The physical scale of the slides, along with the thick forest cover, made slide identification challenging, as slides could easily be mistaken for compressional fold-thrust features detached in shale horizons. As a result, the distribution and extent of blocksliding could not be fully evaluated at the time. Revisiting Valley and Ridge slopes with newly available 1-meter lidar datasets highlights the ubiquity of dip slope failure in the central and southern Appalachian Valley and Ridge, with many slides showing morphological features that imply relative youth. In addition to translational blockslides, lidar-derived imagery reveals numerous sackungen in rugged topography developed on gently dipping, interbedded sandstone-shale ridges. Abandoned late 19th and early 20th century iron mines on intact slopes in the vicinity of large blockslides show deep-seated slope movement almost certainly related to mine excavations. The extent of these movements relative to excavation size suggests that caprock-supported rugged topography in the Valley and Ridge may exist at or near the mechanical limit of weaker strata interbedded within the caprock interval. Lidar-supported investigation of Valley and Ridge bedrock slope movements invites reflection on the interpretive skill of Schultz and collaborators and a reconsideration of how potential slope behavior may impact infrastructure in the region..

 
July 24, 2024, Brittany Selander, U.S. Geological Survey
Impacts of wildfire on debris-flow hazards in Oregon’s western Cascade Range
Media
Large boulders, smaller rocks and trees on ground with river in background

In the steep and mountainous environment of western Oregon, debris flows pose a significant threat to property, infrastructure, and life. Wildfire increases the susceptibility of steep slopes to debris flow. The USGS estimates postfire debris-flow likelihood and triggering rainfall thresholds using the M1 postfire debris-flow likelihood model. This model was calibrated with data from southern California, where postfire debris flows typically initiate from distributed runoff and erosion. Due to a lack of available data, the likelihood model has not been tested in western Oregon, or in locations where postfire debris flows initiate via other mechanisms (e.g., shallow landslides or in-channel failures). Using repeat field observations and aerial imagery, we developed two new debris-flow inventories within, and adjacent to, the perimeters of five 2020 wildfires in western Oregon: Archie Creek, Holiday Farm, Beachie Creek, Lionshead, and Riverside. The first inventory focuses on debris flows prior to fires (1995-2020); the second focuses on postfire debris flows (2020-2022). Using these pre- and postfire inventories, we investigate how wildfire alters the initiation and frequency of debris flows. We additionally test the performance of the postfire debris-flow likelihood model. In this talk will summarize what we have learned about postfire debris-flow hazards in Oregon's western Cascade Range.

 

July 17, 2024, Matthew Morriss, Utah Geological Survey
Insights from the Chaos Canyon landslide, Rocky Mountain National Park
Media
Mountains side covered with rock and snow

This study investigates the Chaos Canyon landslide that occurred on June 28, 2022, in Rocky Mountain National Park. Wes ought to understand the factors contributing to alpine instabilities in a changing climate. Using satellite data, field observations, and climate analysis, we examined the landslide's movement history, volume, and potential causes. A mix of empirical and model based evidence suggests that permafrost thaw, weakened basal shear zone, and increased pore-fluid pressure from snowmelt led to the collapse. The researchers estimate the volume of displaced material and discuss the implications for future alpine topography in warming climates. Through detailed mapping and SfM models we estimate that ∼1 258 000 ± 150 000 m^3 of material was deposited at the slide toe and ∼1 340 000 ± 133 000 m^3 of material was evacuated from the source area. In a warming climate, landslides like this may be representative of future dynamic alpine topography.

 

July 10, 2024, Shelby Ahrendt, U.S. Geological Survey
Feedbacks between river meandering and landsliding in northwestern Washington glacial outwash terraces
Media
Several landslides above a river

Landslides that occur in river valleys can be large, highly mobile, and cause cascading downstream hazards associated with landslide dams and elevated flood risk. However, the role of rivers in triggering landslides is not well understood: are there spatial and temporal patterns in river geometry leading up to major landslide events? Additionally, how does river geometry respond to deep-seated landsliding?

This talk investigates river-landslide feedbacks in the Nooksack River in western Washington State where the channel is flanked by landslide-prone glacial terraces that are similar to those that failed in the deadly 2014 Oso landslide. We show that landsliding and river meandering can be dynamically coupled: deep-seated landslides can “push” the river away from the floodplain margin, creating a new up- or downstream river meander. This new meander erodes the adjacent terrace, triggering a secondary landslide. This conceptual model has ramifications for improving hazard management in river corridors as well as informing fundamental understandings of the river-hillslope interface in landscape evolution..

 

June 26, 2024, Paul Burgess, California Geological Survey
CGS response to landsliding during the 2023 – 2024 winter storm season in California
Media
Person standing at top of hillslope looking down at landslide scarp

From mid November 2023 until late March 2024, sixteen atmospheric river events impacted California, resulting in water year-to-date precipitation accumulations varying from more than 200 to 300% above average across selected areas of the state. Similar to the 2022 – 2023 winter storm season, California experienced historic flooding and multi-modal landslide activity that damaged transportation infrastructure, homes, property, and threatened life-safety and economic welfare across the state. California Geological Survey (CGS) staff worked to provide situational awareness of statewide landslide hazards to the State Geologist through partnership with various government and community sources. CGS leveraged its Reported Landslides Database (RLD) mapping tools for desktop and field surveying to rapidly identify areas of observed landslide impacts. The RLD mapping team identified more than 600 landslides, resulting in deployment of field teams to provide further assistance to hardest hit areas. CGS utilized these data to guide ongoing support of partner agency response to landslide hazards statewide.

 This talk will explore how the RLD can be applied as a tool before during and after landslide response work, and also highlight some particularly notable landslide events that occurred in California this past winter.

 

June 12, 2024, Ben Mirus, U.S. Geological Survey
Parsimonious landslide susceptibility modeling at continental scales: a new high-resolution national landslides map
Media
Mud from a landslide moving down a hillside that is covered with grass and trees


Landslide susceptibility maps are a fundamental tool for risk reduction. We used the USGS's landslide inventory compilation (N=613,724), high-resolution 3DEP digital elevation model (~10-m), and high-performance computing resources (YETI), to develop a new nation-wide susceptibility map for the Continental U.S., Hawaii, Alaska, and Puerto Rico. We used a parsimonious slope-relief threshold approach to distinguish between areas with some landslide potential from those with none, then down-sample our results to a 90-meter grid to account for uncertainty in the DEM, landslide position, and other factors. In addition to our rigorous 70/30 split-sample calibration and evaluation with multiple iterations, an independent validation with four statewide inventories (N=172,367) further reinforces the robustness of our threshold model, but also highlights spatially variable performance. Therefore, we propose a novel approach to susceptibility classification using the concentration of landslide-prone terrain within each down-sampled grid. While landslides are possible within any cells containing susceptible terrain, those with the highest concentration capture the majority of landslides. Our new map is more accurate than prior models; it also provides a transparent and flexible approach to susceptibility classification for implementing different tolerances for landslide risk reduction.

 

May 15, 2024, Seth Moran, U.S. Geological Survey
The Mount Rainier Lahar Detection System: Risk mitigation for an unlikely, but potentially catastrophic, hazard
Media
Scientist standing next to solar panels on monitoring station with snowy mountain in the background.

Of all the volcanic hazards associated with Mount Rainier, large lahars pose the greatest risk to communities downstream of the volcano—more than 90,000 people live in areas that could be impacted by a future large lahar.  Most lahars have been associated with eruptions except for the ~1507 A.D. landslide-initiated Electron Mudflow, for which no evidence of an associated eruption has been found.  Recent studies show that the western flank of Mount Rainier could produce future non-eruptive landslides and associated large lahars down the Puyallup and/or Tahoma Creek drainages, potentially reaching nearby small towns within 5-10 minutes and larger communities within 60 minutes. 

The Mount Rainier Lahar Detection System (RLDS) is part of a risk-mitigation strategy pursued by a group of local, State, and Federal agencies since 1998.  It consists of several components: 1) a real-time network of tens of seismometers, infrasound arrays, tripwires, webcams, and other instruments located on the flanks of the volcano and along vulnerable drainages operated and upgraded periodically by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Cascades Volcano Observatory (CVO) and the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network; 2) an automated detection system, designed and maintained by CVO, that triggers alarms in two separate county- and State-run 24/7 emergency operations centers; and 3) a set of protocols and inter-agency agreements among CVO, Pierce County (Washington) Department of Emergency Management, and the Washington State Emergency Management Division that delineate each agency’s detection, alerting, and/or warning responsibilities, protocols that are reviewed and tested periodically. 

This presentation will give a broad overview of the history and current status of the RLDS, including some of the challenges we have faced in achieving operational objectives.

 

May 8, 2024, Drake Singleton, U.S. Geological Survey
Submarine slope failures associated with the 1964 M9.2 Great Alaska Earthquake in the fjords of southcentral Alaska
Media
A glacier flowing between snow-capped mountains

The March 27, 1964, Mw 9.2 Great Alaska Earthquake produced strong ground motions across coastal southcentral Alaska. In the fjords of Prince William Sound (PWS), which overlie the 1964 epicenter and rupture area, intense shaking generated widespread destabilization and failure of submerged fjord sediments. Some of these slope failures in turn generated devastating tsunamis that impacted several coastal communities. While sediments in some fjords failed in 1964, others did not, suggesting that a complex interplay between basin physiography, sediment accumulation, and shaking intensity determines the degree of instability that develops within each local fjord depositional system. This talk will highlight observations from a dataset of high-resolution Chirp sub-bottom profiles and shallow gravity cores recently collected across the fjords of southcentral Alaska. Using this dataset, we investigate factors that contributed to observed variations in the 1964 deposit character with the goal of quantifying the relationships between seismic parameters (i.e., shaking intensity), the sedimentary response (i.e., total volume remobilized and thickness of the resulting deposit), and the potential for a particular slide to generate a tsunami.

 

April 24, 2024, Catherine Pennington and Roxanne Ciurean, British Geological Survey
Stability in motion: an overview of interdisciplinary landslide research at the British Geological Survey
Media
illustration of sliding land surface and monitoring equipment

 

Overview of landslide research at the British Geological Survey.

 

 
 

 

April 10, 2024, Pukar Amatya, U.S. Geological Survey
Accuracy assessment of rapid response landslide maps generated using open-source tools during the August 2021 Haiti earthquake
Media
Areal view of rugged landscape with landslides visible on hillslopes

A singular heavy rainfall event or earthquake can trigger hundreds to thousands of landslides. The first and most important information that on-the-ground disaster responders need following a major landslide event is information on the location and extent of landslides. Typically, the most used method for rapid landslide identification is manual mapping, a technique that is limiting in space and time. Recent availability of very high-resolution optical imagery and advancement in image processing technologies have significantly improved our ability to map landslides automatically. On August 14, 2021, a Mw 7.2 earthquake struck the Tiburon Peninsula of western Haiti triggering thousands of landslides. Three days after the earthquake on August 17, 2021, Tropical Storm Grace crossed shallow waters offshore of southern Haiti triggering more landslides worsening the situation. In the aftermath of these events, several organizations with disaster response capabilities or programs activated to provide information on the location of landslides to first responders on the ground. The 2021 Haiti event provided a unique opportunity to test different automated landslide detection methods that utilized both SAR and optical data in a rapid response scenario where rapid situational awareness was critical. As the methods used are highly replicable, I will be presenting on the landslide rapid response products released by the organizations, detection methods, accuracy quantification and guidelines on how some of the shortcomings encountered in this effort might be addressed in the future. 

 

March 20, 2024, Sabrina Martinez, U.S. Geological Survey
Variations in population exposure to landslides within the United States
Media
Four aerial views of landslides with a USGS logo

The 2021 National Landslide Preparedness Act directs the United States Department of the Interior to identify and understand hazards and societal risks posed by landslides across the country. However, a consistent and nationwide understanding of the societal risk posed by landslides does not exist. We attempt to fill this gap by characterizing exposure to landslides across the country using gridded 90-meter resolution landslide susceptibility and population models. The susceptibility model describes where landslides are more and less likely to occur. The LandScan USA population models estimate the number of people in a particular area. Results reveal regional variations in population exposure, such as the disparity in both the total number of people and the proportion of populations exposed to landsliding in different regions. In California, for example, a high number of people are exposed to landslides (> 8 million), but this number comprises only a small proportion of the total population of the entire state (< 30%). In contrast, in West Virginia and Puerto Rico, a low number of people are exposed (< 2 million each), but the proportion of people exposed within the state and territory is relatively high (> 60% and 45% respectively). This example illustrates the utility of a consistent and nationwide understanding of landslide exposure. Decision makers, for example, can use exposure information to inform resource allocation for landslide risk-reduction efforts (e.g., targeted risk communication). Additionally, the information can guide more detailed geologic and demographic investigations in regions where significant societal impacts from landslide events are likely.

 

March 13, 2024, Lisa Luna, U.S. Geological Survey
Global rainfall thresholds for urban landslides
Media
Hillslope with trees and landslide scar beneath building

By 2050, 68% of people are projected to live in urban areas. As cities grow into steeper terrain, residents are increasingly exposed to hazards like rainfall-triggered landslides. Landslide early warning systems can help reduce this risk, but so far, few cities have established such systems.  One barrier to doing so is lack of sufficient landslide inventory data to estimate rainfall thresholds for warning. In this talk, I will describe our efforts to estimate a global rainfall threshold for urban landslides and to learn how variable rainfall thresholds are between cities. Using a multi-level regression model and a new compilation of thousands of urban landslides reported in cities worldwide, we find that landslides were triggered under surprisingly similar rainfall conditions in most cities, despite contrasting environmental and economic characteristics. Furthermore, we show that one-third of landslides occurred during moderate storms, not only during extreme rainfall, and that urban landslides occurred at lower rainfall intensities than previously proposed global thresholds. Our results suggest that regional landslide early warning systems should consider differences between rural and urban areas and that cities with limited landslide inventory data may be able to use thresholds from other cities to inform warning efforts.

 

February 14, 2024, Sara Vallejo-Bernal, University of Potsdam
Atmospheric rivers cause the majority of precipitation-induced landslides in Western North America
Media
Satellite view of clouds over the western United States

By 2050, 68% of people are projected to live in urban areas. As cities grow into steeper terrain, residents are increasingly exposed to hazards like rainfall-triggered landslides. Landslide early warning systems can help reduce this risk, but so far, few cities have established such systems.  One barrier to doing so is lack of sufficient landslide inventory data to estimate rainfall thresholds for warning. In this talk, I will describe our efforts to estimate a global rainfall threshold for urban landslides and to learn how variable rainfall thresholds are between cities. Using a multi-level regression model and a new compilation of thousands of urban landslides reported in cities worldwide, we find that landslides were triggered under surprisingly similar rainfall conditions in most cities, despite contrasting environmental and economic characteristics. Furthermore, we show that one-third of landslides occurred during moderate storms, not only during extreme rainfall, and that urban landslides occurred at lower rainfall intensities than previously proposed global thresholds. Our results suggest that regional landslide early warning systems should consider differences between rural and urban areas and that cities with limited landslide inventory data may be able to use thresholds from other cities to inform warning efforts.

 

February 21, 2024, Matt Thomas, U.S. Geological Survey and Nina Oakley, California Geological Survey
Rainfall intensification amplifies exposure of American Southwest to conditions that trigger postfire debris flows
Media
Wideshot Debris Flow

Short-duration, high-intensity rainfall can initiate deadly and destructive debris flows after wildfire. Methods to estimate the conditions that can trigger debris flows exist and guidance to determine how often those thresholds will be exceeded under the present climate are available. However, the limited spatiotemporal resolution of climate models has hampered efforts to characterize how rainfall intensification driven by global warming may affect debris-flow hazard. We use dynamically downscaled (3.75-kilometer), convection-permitting simulations of short-duration (15-minute) rainfall to evaluate threshold exceedance for late 21st-century climate scenarios in the American Southwest. We observe significant increases in the frequency and magnitude of exceedances for regions dominated by cool- and warm-season rainfall. We also observe an increased frequency of exceedance in regions where postfire debris flows have not been documented and communities are unaccustomed to the hazard. Our findings can inform planning efforts to increase resiliency to debris flows under a changing climate.

 

January 17, 2024, Kate Allstadt, U.S. Geological Survey
The Many Mysteries of the 2022 Chaos Canyon landslide in Rocky Mountain National Park
Media
Blue lake surrounded by boulders with rocky hillslope in the background

On 28 June 2022, ~2 million m3 of ice-rich debris mobilized from the southeast flank of Hallett Peak in Rocky Mountain National Park. The material slid rapidly for about 245 m into Chaos Canyon, a popular bouldering destination, stopping as it reached a relict rock glacier composed of massive boulders that fills the valley floor. Several climbers were bouldering near the toe of the landslide when it occurred. The group narrowly escaped and caught parts of the event on video, resulting in substantial nationwide media coverage. In this talk, I will detail a multifacted investigation in which we used eyewitness accounts, field and remote sensing techniques, historic climate data, and seismic recordings to unravel the mysteries of this unusual landslide and the events leading up to it. Direct observations of melting blocks of icy debris in the landslide deposits coupled with decades of slope deformation patterns correlated with warming temperatures strongly suggest permafrost degradation was the likely culprit. The main failure sequence itself was also relatively complex, with deformation starting earlier in the day and culminating in 3 energetic episodes of sliding. The slower deformation of the first energetic episode transitioned suddenly into the main and most energetic sliding episode immediately following a distant (~36 km) M1.4-equivalent reservoir construction blast. This raises interesting questions of whether the blast was a “red herring” or whether the very minor levels of shaking could have influenced the behavior of a marginally unstable landslide already in motion.

 

January 10, 2024, Alex Strouth, BGC Engineering
Landslide risk evaluation: tools and tips for risky decisions
Media
Blue lake between two mountains with white outline around landslide

When a landslide is recognized to be life-threatening, difficult decisions follow. Like, should the house be evacuated? Is the community safe enough? How much should be invested in mitigation? For the past two decades, we have been applying a quantitative risk management framework to inform these types of decisions. We’ve learned that landslide risk management requires practitioners to navigate through many options, nuances, and pitfalls, as they seek to balance competing (and often contradictory) objectives. This presentation will provide an overview of what we have learned along the way, including tools, tips, and lessons related to each of the three aspects that are balanced in a landslide risk evaluation: the risk estimate, perceptions of tolerable risk, and options for risk control.

 

ARCHIVED SEMINAR RECORDINGS

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2020    |    2021    |    2022    |    2023

2023 Seminars
DATESPEAKERAFFILIATIONTITLE (click to view video)
12/20/23Lynne
Chastain-
Carpenter
U.S. Forest ServiceOne way to develop a
Geologic Hazards Program:
Lessons Learned and
other Anecdotes
11/08/23Scott BeasonMount Rainier
National Park
Forecasting and seismic
detection of debris flows
at Mount Rainier 
National Park
09/27/23Lauren
Schaefer
U.S Geological
Survey
Kinematic evolution of a
large paraglacial landslide
in the Barry Arm fjord of
Alaska
08/23/23

Thad
Wasklewicz

 

StantecPost-Wildfire Debris Flow
and Large Woody Debris
Transport Modeling from
the North Complex Fire to
Lake Oroville, CA, USA
08/09/23Corey ScheipBGC EngineeringInsights on the growth and
mobility of debris flows from
repeat high resolution LiDAR
07/20/23Chris Massey
Kerry Leith
GNS ScienceCyclone Gabrielle
Landslides, New Zealand
07/12/23Kyra BornongIdaho State
University
A novel union of LiDAR
inventories and InSAR: 
Documenting the distribution
and activity of landslides in
Yellowstone National Park
06/21/23Robert
Emberson
NASAWhat characterizes rainfall
triggered landslides and
the places they impact?
06/14/23Jeremy
Venditti
Simon Fraser
University
The rockslide that blocked
salmon migration in the Fraser
River, British Columbia
05/17/23Daniel CoeWashington
Geological Survey
Communicating landslide
information and hazards with
maps and graphics at the
Washington Geological Survey
05/10/23Jacob
Woodard
U.S. Geological
Survey
Mapping landslide susceptibility
over diverse regions with limited
data
04/12/23Ari
Jong-Levinger
University of
California
Irvine
Modeling post-fire flood and
debris-flow hazards
considering infrastructure
sedimentation
03/22/23David
Cavagnaro
University of 
Nevada Reno
The spatial distribution of
post-fire debris flows in relation
to observed rainfall anomalies:
Insights from the Dolan
Fire, California
03/08/23Christopher
Maike
North Dakota
Geological Survey
North Dakota landslide
mapping: A complete
inventory and mapping
into the future
02/15/23Paula
Burgi
U.S. Geological
Survey
Liquefaction or liquefiction?
Anthropogenic regulation and
the influence of evaporite
dissolution on ground failure
in the 2019 Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest
Earthquake and beyond
02/08/23Sebastian
Uhlemann
Lawrence Berkeley
National 
Laboratory
Integrated monitoring of urban
landslide hazards using
geophysics, remote sensing, 
and wireless sensor networks
01/17/23Philip PrinceAppalachian
Landslide 
Consultants
Blockslides, summit grabens, and
collapsing highwalls of the
Appalachian Valley and Ridge:
Using lidar-derived imagery to
reevaluate a thoroughly studied
landscape
01/11/23Nikita
Avdievitch
U.S. Geological
Survey
Submarine landslide
susceptibility
in Alaskan fjords

 

 

2022 Seminars
DATESPEAKERAFFILIATIONTITLE (click to view video)
11/16/22James MauchWyoming
Geological
Survey
Landslides in Wyoming:
Work, challenges, and
case studies
11/09/22Jeff CoeU.S. Geological
Survey
Sackung at Bald Eagle 
Mountain, central Colorado:
An updated interpretation
of ridge-spreading movement
based on surveying and
mapping from 1975-2022
09/28/22Alex GorrUniversity
of Arizona
ProDF: A tool for the rapid
assessment of post-wildfire
debris-flow inundation
09/21/22Ben LeshchinskyOregon State
University
Beyond the infinite slope:
Using topographic data to
explore landslide controls 
09/14/22Stephen DeLongU.S. Geological
Survey
Landslide susceptibility in
Minnesota: Insight from
landslide inventory mapping
and lidar change detection
08/17/22Olivia HochU.S. Geological
Survey
Temporal changes in rainfall
intensity-duration thresholds
for debris flows in a
recovering burned area
08/10/22Martha KopperArkansas
Geological
Survey
The Arkansas Geological
Survey Landslide Program
07/20/22Kate AllstadtU.S. Geological
Survey
The USGS ground failure
product: 3.5 years of near-
real-time estimates of 
earthquake-triggered
landslides and liquefaction
07/13/22Bob BiekUtah Geological
Survey
Utah's ancient 
mega-landslides
06/22/2Bill SchulzU.S Geological
Survey
Shear surface undulations
modulate gouge strength
and contribute to
divergent landslide acceleration
06/15/22Jeff KeckWashington 
State Dept. of
Natural
Resources
MassWasting Router: A
watershed-scale sediment
production (landslides!)
and transport model
06/08/22Rex BaumU.S. Geological
Survey
Five decades of progress in
landslide assessments
05/18/22Corina
Cerovski-Darriau
U.S. Geological
Survey
Landslides triggered by
Hurricane Maria:
Assessment of an extreme
event in Puerto Rico
05/11/22Rick Wooten2021-2022 Jahns
Distinguished
Lecturer
The building and upkeep of a
Landslide hazards program:
The confluence (collision?)
of science, history, politics,
and public opinion –
A Blue Ridge perspective
on a national challenge
04/20/22De Anne
Stevens
Alaska Dept.
of Natural 
Resources
Alaska Landslides -
A challenge for the
Last Frontier
04/13/22Zach LiftonIdaho
Geological
Survey
An overview of landslide
hazards in Idaho
03/23/22Andrew
Kozlowski
New York State
Museum
Landslides in the Empire State – 
A brief review of the
Quaternary geology and
landslide styles and
phenomena in New York State 
03/16/22Francis RengersU.S. Geological
Survey
Exploring debris-flow processes
with lidar and structure-from-
motion
3/09/22Brian CollinsU.S. Geological
Survey
Preparing for landslide disasters:
Lessons learned from 20 years
of USGS landslide response 
2/16/22Lindsay SpigelMaine
Geological
Survey
Sea to summit: An overview
of landslides in Maine 
2/9/22Will StrubleUniversity of
Arizona
Seismic vs hydrologic triggering
of landslide dams in the Oregon
Coast Range
1/19/22Matt Lato &
Carie-Ann Lau
BGC
Engineering
A coordinated response to
the November 2021 atmospheric
rivers on infrastructure in British
Columbia
1/12/22Nick MathewsU.S. Geological
Survey
A regional-scale three-
dimensional susceptibility
model for enhanced
evaluation of rainfall- and
seismically induced
landsliding

 

 

2021 Seminars
DATESPEAKERAFFILIATIONTITLE (click to view video)
12/08/2021Jennifer
Bauer
Appalachian
Landslide
Consultants
Landslide science - One
consultant’s role in connecting
research with the public
11/17/2021Jeremy
Lancaster
California
Geological
Survey
Landslide case studies across
California’s diverse terrain
11/10/2021Annette
Patton
University of
Oregon
Climate change and landslides
in subpolar Alaska: Less ice,
more water
10/27/2021Greg StockU.S. National
Park Service
Pace of rockfalls and cliff retreat
in Yosemite Valley since the Last
Glacial Maximum
10/20/2021Andrew GraberColorado School
of Mines
Evaluating rockfall frequency
from natural slopes at multiple
timescales using multiple
timescales – Examples fro
Glenwood Canyon, CO
9/29/2021Denny CappsU.S. National
Park Service
Infrastructure on ice –
when your road rides on
an accelerating rock glacier
09/22/2021Erich
Peitzcsh
U.S. Geological
Survey
Snow avalanches: A hazard and
driver of landscape change
09/15/2021Paul SantiColorado
School
of Mines
Water and sediment supply
requirements for post-wildfire
debris flows in the western
United States
09/08/2021Richard GiraudUtah
Geological
Survey
Utah landslides — Types,
problems, and risk reduction
08/25/2021Kevin SchmidtU.S. Geological
Survey
Active landsliding and rock
strength controls along the
Big Sur Coast, California
08/18/2021Francis AshlandU.S. Geological
Survey
Widespread landslides during
the 2018 wet year in Pittsburgh:
The impact of extreme winter
storms on subsurface hydrologic
conditions and the resulting
reduction of the critical
rainfall threshold
08/11/2021Helen DelanoPennsylvania
Geological
Survey
Pennsylvania landslides,
Pittsburgh and beyond:
A 40-year perspective
07/28/2021Kirk
Townsend
University of
Michigan
The contribution of rock-mass
strength to topographic form
and post-wildfire erosion:
Insights from the western
Transverse Ranges,
southern California
07/21/2021Kate
Mickelson
Washington
Geological
Survey
Washington Geological Survey’s
Landslide Hazard Program
07/14/2021Katy
Barnhart
U.S. Geological
Survey
Preliminary assessment of the
wave generating potential from
landslides at Barry Arm, Prince
William Sound, Alaska
06/30/2021Jon PerkinsU.S. Geological
Survey
How can vadose zone hydrology
influence the timing and
dynamic range of seasonal
landslide deformation?
A case study from northern
California’s Oak
Ridge earthflow
06/23/2021Matt ThomasU.S. Geological
Survey
Postwildfire soil-hydraulic
recovery and the persistence
of debris flow hazards
06/16/2021Bill BurnsOregon Dept.
of Geology &
Mineral
Industries
Fire and debris-flow hazards
in Oregon: ETART (BAER) and
GEER - Initial post-fire debris
flow observations
06/09/2021Corey FroeseBGC
Engineering
Management of large rock slope
hazards: Two decades of
learnings
05/26/2021Jason KeanU.S. Geological
Survey
Forecasting the frequency and
magnitude of postfire debris
flows across southern
California...and maybe beyond
05/12/2021Scott McCoyUniversity of
Nevada Reno
Rainfall-intensity thresholds for
post-wildfire debris-flow
initiation vary with climatology
of peak rainfall intensity
04/28/2021Adam BoothPortland
State
University
Landslide-forest feedbacks in the
United States' largest forest
carbon reservoir: southeast
Alaska
04/21/2021Noah
Finnegan
University of
California
Santa Cruz
Deformational processes
governing frictional sliding
in a large, slow-moving landslide
04/14/2021James
Guilinger
University of
California
Riverside
A nested scale analysis of postfire
sediment source and transport
dynamics across the 2018
Holy Fire burn scar, Santa
Ana Mountains, CA
03/31/2021Ingrid TomacUniversity of
California San
Diego
Rainwater droplet impact
dynamics on hydrophobic
sand surface and mudflow
onset mechanism
03/24/2021Jeff MooreUniversity
of Utah
Slope stability vibrometry:
In-situ seismic vibration
measurements for slope
stability characterization
and monitoring
03/17/2021Stephanie
Kampf
Colorado State
University
Fort
Collins
Post-fire erosion model
comparisons at hillslope
to watershed scale
03/10/2021Richard
Iverson
U.S. Geological
Survey
Landslide disparities, flume
discoveries, and Oso despair
02/24/2021Katy Barnhart,
Ryan Jones,
Matt Thomas
U.S. Geological
Survey
Meet the Mendenhalls
02/17/2021Netra RegmiOklahoma
Geological
Survey
Characteristics of shallow
landslides in eastern
Oklahoma and western Arkansas
02/10/2021Jonathan
Warrick
U.S. Geological
Survey
Coastal landslides
(and other changes) through
the lens of SfM photogrammetry
01/27/2021Alex
Handwerger
University of
California
Los Angeles,
Jet Propulsion
Laboratory
Landslide identification using
synthetic aperture radar change
detection on the Google Earth
Engine
01/20/2021Kate AllstadtU.S. Geological
Survey
Documenting and modeling
landslides and liquefaction
triggered by recent US
earthquakes
01/13/2021Melissa Ward
Jones
University
of Alaska
Fairbanks
Recent retrogressive thaw
slumping activity in the
Canadian high Arctic

 

2020 Seminars
11/18/2020Colton
Conroy
Columbia
University
Modeling entrainment of bed
sediment by debris flows and
water floods
10/28/2020Jeff
Prancevic
U.S. Geological
Survey
The relative importance of
landslides and soil creep for
eroding steep soil-mantled
hillslopes
10/21/2020Luke McGuire,
Ann Youberg
University of
Arizona,
Arizona
Geological
Survey 
Post-wildfire debris flow
hazards: Insights from
recovering burned areas in
the Southwestern US
10/14/2020Sean
LaHusen
U.S. Geological
Survey
Deep-seated landslide
susceptibility and triggering
in the Oregon Coast Range
09/30/2020Benjamin
Campforts
University of
Colorado
Boulder
How landslides alter sediment
dynamics: Answers from
HyLands, a large-scale
landscape evolution model
09/23/2020Margaret
Darrow
University of
Alaska
Fairbanks
Impacts of permafrost slope
stability on infrastructure in
Arctic Alaska
09/16/2020Matt
Crawford
Kentucky
Geological
Survey
Landslide susceptibility and
risk in eastern Kentucky
09/09/2020William
Medwedeff
University of
Michigan
What controls weathering
and hillslope strength in a
tectonically active
environment?
Lessons from geotechnical
observations in central Nepal
08/26/2020Don
Lindsay
California
Geological
Survey
A systematic approach to
evaluating and prescribing
post-fire triggering thresholds
in the second year after wildfire
08/19/2020Ben
Mirus
U.S. Geological
Survey
Landslides across the United
States: Occurrence,
susceptibility, and
data limitations
08/12/2020Hig
Brentwood
Ground Truth
Trekking
Questions raised by the Barry
Arm
landslides in Alaska
07/29/2020Nina
Oakley
Center for
Western Weather
& Water Extremes
Extreme precipitation research
and tools at the Center for
Western Weather and Water
Extremes (CW3E)
07/22/2020Corey
Scheip
North Carolina
State University 
HazMapper: A global
open-source natural hazard
mapping application in Google
Earth Engine
07/15/2020Thomas
Rapstine
U.S. Geological
Survey
Towards airborne
measurements of
ground displacement
07/08/2020Erin
Bessette-
Kirton
University of
Utah
Slope stability vibration
monitoring at Courthouse
Mesa, Utah
06/24/2020Arnaud
Temme
Kansas State
University
How do past landslides matter?
06/17/2020Paul
Burgess
California
Geological
Survey
Soil slip, shallow landslide,
and debris flow activity in San
Diego County, early April, 2020
06/10/2020Sabrina
Martinez,
Liam Toney
U.S. Geological
Survey
Semi-automatic landslide
detection in Puerto Rico and
rock-ice avalanche dynamics
in Alaska
06/03/2020Eli
Orland
National
Aeronautics
and Space
Administration
Deep Learning to forecast soil
moisture conditions on
landslide-prone hillslopes
05/20/2020Dalia
Kirschbaum
National
Aeronautics
and Space
Administration
Remote sensing of landslide
hazard: A multi-scale, multi-
modal approach
05/13/2020Bill Schulz,
Kenneth
Hughes
U.S. Geological
Survey,
University
of
Puerto Rico
Mayagüez
Factors contributing to
hurricane-induced landslides
in Puerto Rico: Implications
for hazards and sediment
mobilization
05/06/2020Stephen
Slaughter,
Jeff Coe
U.S. Geological
Survey
USGS landslide mission to Chile:
Initial motivations, March 2020
travel log, and future plans
04/22/2020Brian
Collins
U.S. Geological
Survey
Linking mesoscale meteorology
with extreme landscape
response
04/15/2020Francis
Ashland,
Sabrina
Martinez
U.S. Geological
Survey
Landslide response efforts in
Vicksburg, Mississippi
04/08/2020Francis
Rengers
U.S. Geological
Survey
Controls on debris-flow
initiation during an
exceptional rainstorm
in southern New Mexico
04/01/2020Jaime
Kostelnik
U.S. Geological
Survey
Developing a post-wildfire
debris-flow event database
and web page
03/11/2020Bill
Schulz
U.S. Geological
Survey
Using a dense seismic array
to determine structure and
site effects of the Two
Towers Earthflow in
northern California
02/19/2020Lauren
Schaefer
Colorado
School of
Mines
Estimating physical and
mechanical rock properties
through reflectance
spectroscopy
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